Priority picks, draft concessions and compromise: How to overhaul the draft

By Thom Roker / Roar Guru

Priority picks and concessions have been hotly debated ever since the AFL began tinkering with the draft in order to equalise the competition for struggling teams, yet the AFL Commission in recent years have had a different approach every season, with this year’s draft order yet to be compromised.

It was announced last year that clubs will not be able to match bids on tied next generation academy players in the first round of the 2021 national draft, with a majority of clubs voting against their own self-interest by agreeing to remove the measure that allowed the Western Bulldogs to scream up the order to match Adelaide’s bid on Jamarra Ugle-Hagan.

In fact there were three NGA players whose bids were matched in last year’s first round and a further two in the second round which from 2022 won’t be able to be matched either.

However, the 2021 draft will hardly go uncompromised, with father-sons and northern academy prospects bound to attract bids and pushing out the end of the first round multiple places, perhaps as many as five or six if the under-19 national championships can expose the form of kids that haven’t been playing due to recent lockdowns.

Another thing that helped to blow the 2020 first round out to 26 picks was the concession pick given to the Gold Coast Suns, originally Pick 11, which they had traded to Geelong, who in turn had been strong-armed into handing over to Greater Western Sydney as part of the Jeremy Cameron negotiations.

This year the AFL Commission has so far prevaricated on announcing whether the Suns will be getting their third year of the concessions that were announced at the end of 2019 in the form of priority drafts picks and list spots.

Last year the AFL prevented the Suns from trading their future start of the second round 2021 priority pick, leading to speculation that it might be removed if the Suns season dramatically improved.

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One concession that is confirmed is that the Suns will be able to keep their extra rookie list spots, which is designed to enable the club to nurture academy talent. However, there is no word yet on whether the club will be able to prelist academy players as they have at the past two drafts.

While prelisting players outside of the draft may seem like an unfair advantage, what it has done has dramatically lowered the value of the Suns picks that they can’t use, so clubs willing to trade have walked away with the better of each deal.

Gold Coast currently have plenty of draft picks to match bids for their academy players – Austin Harris, Will Bella, Bodhi Uwland and Ned Stevens were named in the top 90 draft combine prospects list – so if prelisting is removed as an option, the club has a fallback.

However, with both prelisting and a haul of draft picks, the Suns can be very active in the trade period, which would allow them to bring in experienced talent to augment the young list and still nurture academy talent, which has the flow-on effect of distributing picks back to clubs looking to move fringe players and top up on youth at the draft.

(Photo by Chris Hyde/Getty Images)

Looking at the Suns’ season and the benchmarks by which the AFL Commission judges the allocation of concessions, there has been an improved win-loss ratio, better percentage and more resilience in the playing group, although injuries returned this season with a vengeance, and this ought to prioritise the last instalment of concessions.

It mustn’t be overlooked that in 2018 the AFL Commission deliberated on three applications for priority picks from the bottom teams – St Kilda, Gold Coast and Carlton – and deemed the Suns and Blues to be worthy but ruled that the Saints had the list to bounce back.

Yet these priority picks came in the form of being able to recruit uncontracted players from second-tier competitions and prelist them before the draft, with Carlton able to sign two players and the Suns given three.

The clubs were given the choice to keep or trade these players, which Carlton went to the draft with, trading Sturt’s Shane McAdam as part of the deal that landed Mitch McGovern and sending Nathan Kreuger from South Adelaide to Geelong for a pick that helped get Will Setterfield.

Alternatively, the Suns went out to fill list needs as they cleaned house on several Rodney Eade-era deals, recruiting Chris Burgess from West Adelaide, Sam Collins and Josh Corbett from Werribee to replace a lot of mature bodies.

Three seasons later and these five players have made a remarkable impact on their new clubs, and recruiters have been taking much more interest in finding the next Tim Kelly, as evidenced in the players taken in this year’s midseason rookie draft.

Without a doubt this type of priority pick worked to assist Carlton and the Suns while not compromising the integrity of the draft, as all of these players continue to regularly feature at the top level and all look to have bright futures.

North Melbourne are in dire need of this concession this year, with five of their best players on the wrong side of 30, the future of their list coming through in their early 20s and an underwhelming draft hand where even Pick 1 probably gets only the third-best player.

Collingwood would have a case to get such a concession as well given the AFL Commission took pity on the Suns after their disastrous trade with West Coast, although they need draft points more than mature bodies, so if they could get a player like the WAFL’s Greg Clark (current Sandover Medal favourite) and trade him on to give them extra mid-range draft picks, they could match an early bid for Nick Daicos and potentially get back into the draft in later rounds.

It is an elegant model that seems to have been mothballed due to the introduction of the supplementary selection period and the midseason rookie draft, yet it could be a successful alternative to the controversial priority picks.

The Crowd Says:

2021-09-10T07:32:32+00:00

Rodger King

Roar Rookie


So in effect, we hold two opposite views on what a sporting landscape should look like. We will agree to disagree, until the cows come home. Good chat, only thing missing was the beer and sharing a shout or two.

2021-09-09T14:13:13+00:00

Kick to Kick

Roar Rookie


Ah now we get to it. Free market fanaticism. Actually team sport has little to do with a free market, at least in its foundations and principles. And the AFL is not formed on market principles. In general team games grow from a community contract, one that creates clubs and leagues and endorses a collective agreement about rules. They are played in stadia built from the public purse in front of crowds conveyed by publicly built roads and public transport. Elite athletes are developed as youngsters by thousands and thousands of hours put in by volunteer coaches and administrators in junior clubs and by school teachers working mostly in public schools. Clubs do not work without community involvement. It’s true wealthy individuals hover around football clubs, sometimes as benefactors, often as social climbers. Leagues and clubs have to be financially savvy.But a league is not a market. It’s another kind of competition altogether based on athletic skill, tribalism and passion. One of the explicit roles of the AFL is to conduct the sport as a national game. No club in Australia runs as a profit making enterprise. Almost all barely succeed or just fail at breaking even. The AFL constitution explicitly requires the League distributes to all its clubs money and other support. In so far as fairness is an issue, it’s an issue about the AFL maximising emotional reward for members of all clubs who keep the game afloat with their subs and attendance. If we look abroad we see American sports thrive ( and profit their owners) because if they are markets, they are highly regulated.markets. And in European soccer we see market failure with clubs like Barcelona with unsustainable debt or Manchester United where supporters are in a civil war with out of touch owners.

2021-09-09T08:48:42+00:00

Rodger King

Roar Rookie


I think it will depend on who you ask about the La Liga comparison. Ask any Spaniard or American and you will no doubt get two distinctive and different answers. I will agree with you that expressing an opinion is never a going to win an argument. In truth it was never my intention to try and persuade an AFL fan that the system they use is unfair, as a sporting contest. In such a small market that Australia is, the likes of Celtic or Rangers scenario taking hold I believe is extremely unlikely. There are too many individuals at various other clubs to allow that to happen. I am certain that in a free sporting market, the likes of Collingwood, West Coast, Adelaide, Port Adelaide, Richmond, Geelong would share the majority of the Premierships, then you throw in Carlton, and or Melbourne who also have serious money people available to them, and the Premierships will still be shared around.It may mean the Northern clubs may have to either stand on their own two feet or disappear, but in a free market, that is what should happen.

2021-09-09T05:01:14+00:00

Kick to Kick

Roar Rookie


Well you can’t “prove” opinions on what is or is not a better competition. Opinions are not fact and therefore unprovable. You might mean you are unpersuadable but that has nothing to do with logic or proof. I do think however 9 out of 10 people would disagree that a competition which in which the biggest budget determines the winner or habitual top tier is not “fairer”. Unconstrained money has nothing to do with fairness. I also think that the danger of money and traditional power in a small market can lead to absurd leagues like the Scottish Premier League in which one of two teams has won every year since 1985. It’s bizarre to call that a “fair” or desirable competition. And though I prefer football to gridiron I defy anyone to say that La Liga with no salary cap or draft is a more even, exciting, or fair competition than the NFL.

2021-09-09T02:52:30+00:00

Rodger King

Roar Rookie


@k2K - you have generalized re the European situation, but that's OK most of the leagues over there last season and there are 55 different leagues we are talking about now, didn't have a 'traditional' winner of their league. Yes England did, and Germany did, Spain and France and Italy did not. Many will argue that those seasons are the exception not the rule. That would be a fair comment. I still say that their system is a much fairer sporting contest than we have here in the AFL. Under the current AFL system it would be fair to assume that North Melbourne, Adelaide FC and the GC Suns will win a flag within the next 18 years, so in fact their turn will come around sooner or later. Not by them doing some development of any players who they can retain, but simply because it will be their turn, and the AFL system thinks it is better that it is shared around rather than them doing something for the game. I know i am not going to convince anyone of that, just like it is most likely no one will come up with a sound proof argument to prove me wrong.

2021-09-09T02:25:01+00:00

Kick to Kick

Roar Rookie


There’s an argument for Father and Son concessions being abolished. They are based purely on history and sentiment and favour older clubs which dominated before current equalisation. More importantly they don’t add a single player to the game. But there have to be concessions for academies which bring in players who would have never played the sport otherwise. Australian rules, a wonderfully quixotic game in just one market, relies on larger teams than virtually any other code except maybe gridiron. It’s looking to add a 19th perhaps 20th team. It has a relatively small talent pool and competes with soccer, rugby league, rugby Union and basketball for talent. The identification, training and investment in an Isaac Heeney from the age of 12 when he would have otherwise played Rugby League has to be rewarded – in the same way there are rookie allowances for identifying and recruiting Irish players.

2021-09-09T02:10:35+00:00

Kick to Kick

Roar Rookie


The rationale for drafts and salary caps is pretty simple. Sports competitions around the world that have no equalisation measures, no draft or salary caps, become ludicrously distorted with only 4 or 5 teams in each competition ( sometimes as few as two) rich enough to win premierships. Those few teams dominate for years even decades even if they occasionally swap around.. European football ( soccer) is the chief exhibit. There super clubs dominate in a way that disenfranchises millions of fans and worse means the top clubs get so expensive they become trophies for petro-billionaires, completely removing any sense sports clubs belong to members or fans. Meanwhile domestic competitions become so predictable that rich club owners seek breakaway elite leagues ( which nearly happened in Europe this year). Eventually the costs in this system become unsustainable, even for billionaire hobbyists. The idea of drafts and salary caps comes from United States, the home of unrestricted free markets. And it works. In the NFL and NBA over 5 years any team can rise to compete to win the competition. And these are much healthier, vibrant and financially stable competitions than say Spain’s La Liga.

2021-09-09T01:47:10+00:00

Kick to Kick

Roar Rookie


Free agency brings problems, not just in the capacity of desirable teams being able to poach elite players from lower teams . Another less discussed issue is the inflationary effect for clubs who pump up contracts to keep players with whom they’ve a long history. New contracts for Josh Kelly at the Giants and Luke Parker at the Swans must put extra pressure on those salary caps. The AFL abolished its short lived but sensible veterans salary cap allowance to keep the salary cap simple. So there’s no relief for extending a player on high wages well into his thirties to keep him. Players have to be allowed club movement and free agency is here to stay. But when teams lose players or have to pay over the odds to keep them there’s a problem that is not solved by draft concessions which bump down everyone else’s draft position. Personally I think compromising the salary cap with a version of a veterans allowance is better than compromising the draft, though admittedly if a player is determined to go some other relief is also needed.

2021-08-31T02:10:40+00:00

Rodger King

Roar Rookie


You are right to a degree Richie, the same old 'money' clubs seem to rise to the top of the EPL, La Liga, Serie A and the Bundesliga. With the occasional not so rich clubs snatching a title here and there. The question has to be asked, is this a good thing or not. If you support one of those clubs then I'm sure you would answer YES, however if you grew up supporting a community based club, then you would be screaming for change, most likely. Some sort of middle ground may be, to ensure clubs 'have to' nurture their own next crop of players, do away with the draft as it now is. Then reward those clubs with some sort of financial incentive in their salary cap, for every player they play that has emerged from their own youth structure. Something we all have to realise is that the AFL doesn't have a hold on young people other than those in the 3 Southern States. The 4 clubs North of the Murray River will most likely suffer more than most, just due to a lack of numbers playing the game early enough to get a feel for it. One big bonus the AFL has going for it is that the very best players in the world are on show every week and [pre COVID-19] we could go and watch them live or on on FTA TV, something most other codes would love to have, but as it has been stated 'ad nauseum' is that it is driven by people wanting to see those games.

2021-08-29T11:59:44+00:00

Naughty's Headband

Roar Rookie


Nope, no priority picks. The funding thing is a moot point - the AFL doesn’t generate its own revenue; all revenue is actually generated by the clubs and their players. The AFL merely administers the revenue on behalf of the clubs. They power they hold over the game and clubs is unwarranted.

AUTHOR

2021-08-29T09:54:04+00:00

Thom Roker

Roar Guru


You make good points and I won’t argue what we are plainly far apart on. I forget which team you follow, but I’d be surprised if they hadn’t benefited from AFL support in the form of priority picks or extra funding.

AUTHOR

2021-08-29T09:50:12+00:00

Thom Roker

Roar Guru


I like your thinking. Probably a more convoluted exchange of later picks than just a second rounder though. Possibly some sort of 3 way deal with McAsey going to St Kilda.

2021-08-28T12:15:03+00:00

timbos rules

Guest


I reckon the deal will be McAsay and pick 5 for no 1 pick and a second rounder.

2021-08-28T07:17:59+00:00

Naughty's Headband

Roar Rookie


That’s a different matter. The game is definitely not equitable regarding fixturing. In face it’s demonstrably unfair. The AFL doesn’t know the meaning of the word integrity. I don’t agree with giving clubs a hand up though; the draft does that already. The only thing it’s skewed by is the NGAs and father-son. In the interests of equity the NGAs should be abolished. Father-son helps to maintain a small amount of tradition so I’d like see that kept but it could be fixed up with bidding through draft points. The inequity in the AFL comes about from their manipulation to maximise revenue not from the draft.

AUTHOR

2021-08-28T05:10:04+00:00

Thom Roker

Roar Guru


It is equitable, but there is by no means enough equity. The teams that consistently finish in the finals are not getting there solely on good management. There are clubs that are so rich they could support themselves without a cent from the AFL, but in the interest of fairness they get their playing bills paid and their wishes granted when it comes to blockbuster scheduling. The Brisbane Lions have been getting as much funding as the Sun and GWS despite having a much longer history. The fact of the matter is that they require that level of assistance just to compete. Equity doesn't mean giving everybody the same thing. It means finding a balance between maintaining the success of the best and giving a hand up to the others to be able to compete. One of the biggest divides between haves and have nots in the AFL is which clubs are involved in pokies, which the AFL wants all clubs to get out of, so part of the reason several clubs get more funding is that they don't collect dirty gambling money.

AUTHOR

2021-08-27T23:03:24+00:00

Thom Roker

Roar Guru


They are the oldest two clubs. I’d argue that Melbourne is a cricket club, but who cares. You are right. I couldn’t be bothered saying second oldest when we are talking about two equally old teams.

2021-08-27T16:28:43+00:00

Micko

Roar Rookie


Geelong are not the oldest club in the AFL. That would be Melbourne.

2021-08-27T16:24:33+00:00

RT

Roar Rookie


You make a good point. I guess most of us look across at the EPL and not want to see the same thing happen in the AFL with only a few clubs ever finishing top. Perhaps landing somewhere in between would be best.

2021-08-27T09:47:32+00:00

Naughty's Headband

Roar Rookie


The current system does provide equity. What is doesn’t provide is protection from poor management.

AUTHOR

2021-08-27T08:28:39+00:00

Thom Roker

Roar Guru


Ideally not. Yet when the current system can’t provide equity, concessions are warranted. The AFL doesn’t ignore this, but top of the draft priority picks either haven’t worked - see Melbourne and Carlton, who wrecked the system - or they have led to premiership sides that nailed the draft picks - see Hawthorn and Richmond. My suggestion is for teams to get the best 2nd tier player pre-draft. It isn’t a new idea and in both cases with the 5 players concerned it has been successful without being too much. I don’t think giving North a VFL player who was passed over for the midseason draft is too much, nor would it be too much if they found a second club willing to trade for such a player. As it is clubs get father-sons, NGA and Academy players, so concessions aren’t going away and the consensus is for them to remain.

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