NRL season review and crystal ball Part 1: The cellar dwellers - Bulldogs, Cowboys, Broncos, Tigers

By Harry Ramage / Roar Guru

This is Part 1 in a series reviewing the NRL season that was. First up, the teams that were perennially near or at the bottom of the ladder.

Canterbury-Bankstown Bulldogs

They were once a perennial powerhouse of the NRL, but the Canterbury Bulldogs’ premiership drought is set to enter an 18th season. While they haven’t played finals in five years, there is plenty of reason for their fans to be optimistic in 2022, but should they be expecting a return to the eight?

Any time you can recruit Josh Addo-Carr, John Asiata, Matt Burton, Matt Dufty, Brent Naden, Tevita Pangai Jr, Paul Vaughan and Braidon Burns in a single off-season, you’ve got to be happy with your haul. Newcastle in 2018 had a similar recruitment turnover and it only delivered nine wins, so will that be the destiny for the Bulldogs or will they end their finals drought?

What went right in 2021?
It’s a complete intangible, but they gave incredible effort every week despite winning just three games all season. They realistically got as good as they could have hoped for when you look at their 2021 squad back before a ball was kicked.

The Dogs led the competition with an 80 per cent completion rate and made the fewest errors, but with no established players in the spine and a mix of players on bad contracts or young up-and-comers around them, it meant they posed little threat to troubling the scorers on a consistent basis.

Their season did see the emergence of the likes of Aaron Schoupp and Jake Averillo, who will both be expected to be contributors on a weekly basis next season having both come through the club’s junior pathway system.

(Photo by Chris Hyde/Getty Images)

The club’s salary cap finally got back into somewhat decent shape after many overpaid players were either moved on or had their deals expire, giving them a blank canvas to work with. The Bulldogs also ended the season on a bright note with a sensational 38-0 win over the Wests Tigers.

What went wrong in 2021?
It was almost a case of what could go wrong, did. A COVID-19 protocol breach mid-season saw mass suspensions in the squad and it resulted in a 66-0 loss to the Manly Sea Eagles. It highlighted the lack of depth in the squad as well as the lack of natural talent from top to bottom, which has been a problem for more than just Trent Barrett’s reign at the helm.

The Bulldogs finished 16th in total run metres, total points and line engagements, while finishing 15th in offloads and post contact metres. They also only got 14 games out of their big recruit Nick Cotric and got nowhere near what they would have hoped from Kyle Flanagan and Corey Allan.

What they need most in 2022
With a roster overhaul, they need as little injury disruption as possible. History has shown that squads who have a lot of turnover within an off-season tend to struggle with continuity and combinations.

The first thing outside of injury fortune they need is for there to be no discourse around coach Trent Barrett’s future. He needs to show quickly he deserves to be a coach at NRL level and he needs continued support from Phil Gould and the rest of the board.

For the Bulldogs to have a good 2022 season on-field, they will need Matt Burton to be playing at a level that demands State of Origin selection and Kyle Flanagan be solid enough to not force the coaching staff to have to drop him three times in a season.

In the, forwards they’ll need Pangai Jr to realise his full potential and lead from the front. If he can be the physical force and off-loading presence they’ve desired for a long time, they will cause teams plenty of headaches.

(Photo by Speed Media/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images)

2022 crystal ball
The Bulldogs will be much improved on talent alone but the mass infusion of talent means they’ll have some weeks where it looks a little choppy and it will cost them at the back end of the season. There is no shame in going from 16th to tenth in 12 months and it would actually indicate they’ve put some good building blocks in place for longer term success.

North Queensland Cowboys

The North Queensland Cowboys have the greatest metre-eating forward the game has seen in the middle of a ten-year contract in Jason Taumalolo and they’ve been shambolic over the last four seasons. In his first season under Todd Payten, he looked unhappy and suffered from niggling injuries all year and he finally gave away the ‘best forward in the game’ title after a stellar six-year run at the top.

The Cowboys have been stuck in the bottom four ever since their magical run to the 2017 Grand Final and their demise has been highlighted by the talent they’ve let go that has prospered at other NRL clubs. They face an uphill battle for the 2022 season but the sudden retirement of Michael Morgan does give them some salary cap flexibility for future seasons.

What went right in 2021?
Despite finishing 15th, they were well in the mix to play finals after 12 games. They had a run of eight games where they went 6-2 before their bye and they scored 26 or more points in five of those wins. Hamiso Tabuai-Fidow gave fans a reason to tune in each week, announcing himself as a genuine star of the competition with his play in the centres and later fullback, which earned him a State of Origin debut for Queensland.

Kyle Feldt also had one of his best seasons on the wing as he continues to score tries at a strike rate of 0.66 per game across a career of more than 150 games. They just need to find more strike players to pair to complement those two.

Reece Robson at hooker also had a terrific year and was in their top five players every week. He turned into a good scoring threat inside attacking 20 around the ruck.

What went wrong in 2021?
Everything. Name a statistical category and they were mediocre at it.

They couldn’t get the ball up the field and they finished 11th in total tries, as well as being third in missed tackles. They are a young team who got worse the longer the season went and it culminated with a ten-game losing streak.

It appears that even though they’ve been in the doldrums since the retirement of Johnathan Thurston, there is still plenty of dark days ahead. They also got some decisions off the field completely wrong that will affect their future.

A transaction they’d like to have back is releasing Jake Clifford early from his contract to bring in Tom Dearden. Clifford was playing great football at the time and didn’t want to leave, so why did they upset the apple cart just as they were finding form?

How big a mistake was letting Clifford go to the Knights? (Photo by Mark Kolbe/Getty Images)

Early in the year, they announced the signing of Chad Townsend from Cronulla, making the signature of Dearden even harder to understand. Two halfbacks who play the same style left many scratching their heads.

What they need most in 2022
Unless Jason Taumalolo proves that 2021 was an anomaly and he becomes the force of nature he is capable of being, they simply have no shot at being competitive and won’t trouble anyone on a consistent basis. Todd Payten needs to establish an identity when they have the football and they need to find more defensive toughness and not play as though they are just waiting to get the ball back.

2022 will be a building block season in Townsville.

2022 crystal ball
Sadly for their fans, it looks like a return to their foundation years and they appear primed for a season where they could be the wooden spooners. The conundrum in the halves, the lack of grunt in the forward pack and the terrible defence on the edges has all the hallmarks of a horror season.

Brisbane Broncos

The Brisbane Broncos showed towards the back end of 2021 they were on the right path to being a successful club once again. After the Anthony Seibold era went so poorly, Kevin Walters got the playing group back to basics and taught them how to fight for the jersey.

They defeated the Roosters despite being $13 outsiders at the Sydney Cricket Ground and pushed the Grand Final-winning Panthers all the way to the 80th minute in both of their games.

They had some rough days, which rebuilding sides often do, but the signings of Adam Reynolds and Kurt Capewell give the Broncos the experience they need to take the next step.

What went right in 2021?
Payne Haas proved he might be the most underpaid player in the competition, playing in such a way that prop forwards were just never meant to. If a linebreak was made or a try needed to be saved, it was Haas getting back there to help out after carting the ball forward tirelessly.

Payne Haas is one of Brisbane’s best (Matt King/Getty Images)

Kobe Hetherington also proved later in the season to be a player of promise at lock forward, stiffening up their defence in the midfield and providing some aggression which inspired teammates. Selwyn Cobbo and Herbie Farnworth in the three-quarter line provided a good blend of pace and power, while Kotoni Staggs was able to get some games under his belt at the back end of the year which should help him have a big 2022 season.

What went wrong in 2021?
Like any rebuilding side, they lacked consistency and it saw them leak a lot of points at different stages. They gave up 40 or more points in seven different games and they only managed 77 total tries, which was good enough for 15th.

Being third in offloads on the surface looks good, but if you don’t know how to create chances on the back of it, you’re just playing hot potato for the sake of it. Without having the same halves in the team each week, their attack on some days would get far too sideways and lacked the ability to punch holes in the defence.

What they need most in 2022
Tom Flegler, Patrick Carrigan, Kobe Hetherington, Jordan Riki and Rhys Kennedy all need to take another step in their development. If they remain just as they are now, they won’t be able to get Adam Reynolds playing on the front foot and they’ll fail to get a return on their big investment.

Kurt Capewell will be a terrific addition to give them a hard, line-running back rower that can give them options on the edge, and they’ll need someone to put their hand up to claim the hooking role. Jake Turpin has regressed in recent years and it presents a fantastic chance for Cory Paix to make the jersey his own as he showed the potential to transition full time from the halves.

2022 crystal ball
They’ll finish just outside the eight but are more than capable of turning seven wins into ten or 11. The Adam Reynolds kicking game will cover a lot of warts and they’ll play in a lot of close games as a result.

Wests Tigers

To have not played in a finals series in a decade where there is a salary cap and half the teams make it is just about impossible to do. Sadly for Tigers’ fans, that is their reality, and if you stretch out the entire history of the joint-venture, they’ve only made finals in three of their 22 years of existence.

They shocked the world when they didn’t sack coach Michael Maguire after all the signs looked as though they’d spear another head coach, but is that perhaps a sign the club is trying to build a foundation of stability? The 38-0 loss to the Bulldogs in the final round was as dark a day the club has had on the field, but did that signal rock bottom and they can now move forward?

Michael Maguire lives to fight another day (Photo by Matt King/Getty Images)

What went right in 2021?
Adam Doueihi and Daine Laurie. That’s the list.

Doueihi was simply sensational at five-eighth and any time something good happened on the field for the Tigers, he was usually at the centre of it all. Laurie also made an immediate impact at fullback and within four weeks became one of their most important players and a cornerstone piece for their future.

Laurie did break his ankle in the final month of the season on a run through the mid field off an offload, but it was this kind of play that showed his next step as a player. From the start of the season he was great on the edge at sniffing out chances, but he has the potential to be damaging through the middle-third. Later in the year they got some good performances out of Stefano Utoikamanu, Shaun Blore and Tommy Talau.

What went wrong in 2021?
In 14 of their 24 games, they gave up 30 or more points. No team will ever compete for an NRL title with defence as poor as that.

While he won their player of the year award, they need more from Luke Brooks, who now holds the unenviable record of having played the most games for a halfback to never play a finals match. The Tigers were only eighth in line engagements and if they want to be successful they need Brooks taking the ball deep into the line to create some deception.

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They had the third most decoy runs of any team in the competition but were relatively anaemic in attack, which is a complete anomaly when the Storm, Panthers and Rabbitohs rounded out the top four in that category.

What they need most in 2022
Belief, hunger and a long hard look in the mirror. At some point the players have to stop the rot and have some pride in their defence as professional footballers. They also need to buy in to what the new coaching staff are selling to them.

There were suggestions they had quit on Maguire throughout the year but the club bas backed the coach, so now it’s up to the players to take accountability.

2022 crystal ball
Unfortunately, it will be an 11th season of the finals drought. They just don’t have enough good players throughout their squad and unless they can add more pieces, the improvement will largely have to come from within the four walls.

Oliver Gildart is an England Test player but outside backs from the Super League have had a hard time of it in the NRL, so it would be wrong to expect big things from him. Where Jackson Hastings and new addition Tyrone Peachey slot into the 17 is anyone’s guess, but if 2021 proved anything it’s that teams can afford to play smaller line-ups.

The Crowd Says:

2021-10-13T08:37:16+00:00

Gibbo

Roar Pro


I disagree. I think the future is bright. I think that 2022 will have the Cowboys improving, and I have the Wests Tigers in the wooden spoon position. However, there are serious issues in the Cowboys ranks including how to fit in Dearden, Drinkwater and Townsend into the same spine with Tabuai-Fidow and Holmes. I think their young forwards will take a massive step forward next year and we'll see them finish in the middle of the bottom half of the pack.

2021-10-09T02:14:41+00:00

Rob

Guest


TB they made rulings up on the fly again. The Bulldogs, Cowboys and Broncos were viewed differently at critical times and the influence of some players is most certainly a factor. Robinson felt aggrieved after being on the receiving end of poor officiating a couple of times. Obviously he’s had things pretty good for sometime. Some clubs encounter this type of inconsistent consistently season after season. I certainly believe NRL officials are not deliberately doing this but I also believe they are collectively suffering from conformation bias due to living in Sydney and being exposed to pressure from clubs supporters and media. Honestly the force and type of contact Kikau hit both CNK and Arrow with was far more dangerous or deliberate than Hetherington’s reactive hooking of Holmes around the neck. Hetherington’s reputation and jersey seen him treated differently? Holmes was not hurt because he got caught by an outstretched arm above the elbow from wrong footing his opponent. Kikau however charged into contact and hit his victims from in the side, in the head with a swing arm action with his forearm? It’s no wonder both players suffered significant concussions and possibly on going issues. I’m discussed with the inconsistency. You can’t change rules especially around player safety. Hetherington gets sent, then Kikau has to be binned and suspended at the very least.

2021-10-08T23:50:35+00:00

Greg

Roar Pro


yeah, im thinking its going to be a very lean year. The best 17 will compete especially if they can find a bit of effort in defense but no depth. Gildart, an English rep has been signed as one centre. He looks to be very quick with good footwork but small and drops off tackles. Not sure who will start on the other side. BJ has been released, Roberts is still around. Tommy Talau is probably the best option but does have an error in him and will likely miss the start of the season. I have high hopes for a young bloke Asu Kepaoa, Played a few games (mostly on the wing) last year before an ACL. Theres a few other good young backs coming through but with lower grades cancelled this year they probably arent ready.

2021-10-08T22:20:39+00:00

Glory Bound

Roar Rookie


IMHO, Paul Vaughan is vastly overrated and lazy, and his next contract will be in the English SL assuming he sees his current contract with the Bulldogs to completion. TPJ is an injury prone, ill-disciplined, loose cannon who will not show the same self-restraint he did with the Panthers. He also will be lucky to get through 30 - 40 mins a game. Luke Thompson is average at best and has struggled to make the impact in the NRL that other pommie forwards have in the past. Josh Jackson and Dylan Napa look lacklustre and tired. IMO, they are both done (hence Napa being cut by the Dogs). Neither player can keep up with the speed of the new game. Time for English SL. Jack Hetherington, Chris Smith, Corey Waddell, Dean Britt and Ava Seumanufagai are park footballers, no more. None of these players would crack a spot in the 17 at any of the clubs that finished in the top 6 this year. John Asiata is a talented player for a forward, but seldom rolls his sleeves up and gets in the grind when the middle third are bashing each other. With those hands, soft skills and kicking game he is probably best used as an edge back rower than a middle forward at any rate. Raymond Faitala-Mariner needs to lift his work rate and consistency, but he is one of the few keepers for the Dogs IMO. Adam Elliott was consistently one of the Bulldogs' best forwards, yet his release was understandable along with that of Lachlan Lewis. Lewis always walked around with the attitude that he was Wally Lewis without having done anything in the game to earn that confidence and swagger. Will Hopoate should have been shipped off to English SL years ago! Ofahiki Ogden and Matt Doorey, two more park footballers, but they show heart and a toughness that will see them make it in the NRL IMO but only IF they are coached properly. I never really rated Josh Cook, and Peter Mamouzelos clearly got the nod (for good reason) over the lesser Cook at any rate. I agree, hooker is a big problem for the Bulldogs. If only they had managed to sign Brandon Smith, that would have made a massive difference. Although I think Smith makes a bigger impact playing at 13 and covering at dummy half for short periods. Forget Jeremy Marshall-King at hooker, that clearly hasn't been working. Bailey Biondi-Odo shows a lot of promise but he is a HB who has been thrown into the dummy half role. to fill a need I wonder whether the Bulldogs might be better served playing him with Matt Burton in the halves instead of Kyle Flanagan or Jake Averillo. IMHO, Averillo isn't a HB or 5/8. Even the Bulldogs website lists him as a centre. The other option for the Dogs at hooker has been Sione Katoa who is OK at times but at best only a fill in option IMO. The better sides in the NRL all have strike FBs as well as hookers who can threaten from dummy half as well as help their forwards get across the advantage line in how they engage the defensive line and with the timing and pass selection of their passing game. They are also usually able to accelerate through any hole in the defensive line. Players that lack that threat and unpredictability don't often do well in the role. So in summation, the Bulldogs have an inadequate forward pack IMO to get the job done and are badly in need of a quality hooker. Bailey Biondi-Odo seems the best fit atm, but he is small and will have to get through the same defensive workload as Apisai Koroisau and Reed Mahoney to make that position work for him. I'll give the Bulldogs an A for the recruitment in their backline but only a C+ for their recruitment in the forwards.

2021-10-08T11:31:29+00:00

Eelsalmighty

Roar Rookie


Yeah, as per my original comments I didn't watch many Tigers games, so I appreciate your insight/feedback. Going forward (and very simply) it doesn't look flash. A young/small, but looks to be talented FB, good but not great halves, and probably fair to say the same about the hooker. I don't know what you've done in the centres for next year, but if it's still BJ and Roberts? I'm not trying to be a 'd..ck', but it doesn't look good.

2021-10-08T11:01:47+00:00

Greg

Roar Pro


I agree with your overall assessment of Brooks, deserves his place in first grade but not a top tier halfback. It is his short kicking game that is painful to watch but aside from that i think every other aspect of his game is sufficient if not actually good. I thought Doueihi was pretty good in attack but doesn't deserve the praise that opposition fans always give him. Whilst he is often credited as our only attacking threat foxsports stats has Brooks 23 try assists (the same as J. Hughes who people rave about) to Doueihi's 16. He was probably also our worst defender though admittedly not helped by those inside him. Doueihi does bring a bit of passion and leadership that is sorely missing at the club and floating or spiral bombs (though under utilised) that Brooks doesnt possess. Leilua went on a good run mid season but started and ended the season poorly. You are absolutely right about Roberts. At the start of the season i figured he was a good signing for Tigers given his potential and it being close to minimum wage contract. But even on that contract he was well over paid for what he delivered, though like you said, just one of many who under performed.

2021-10-08T10:40:46+00:00

The Barry

Roar Guru


I’d love to see Staggs play a full season in the centres before moving to 6 if that’s what’s happening. Just don’t think we’ve seen his best there yet Reynolds is a great addition for the Broncs. Having someone guiding the team around the park, telling the young forwards where to run, setting up two or three plays ahead is just what they’ve needed. I think Reynolds is at his peak now

2021-10-08T10:38:23+00:00

The Barry

Roar Guru


I think JT13 has been mishandled for years but at times this season he looked downright disinterested. Playing him wide later in the game to get him running at smaller men is fine but he should be winning the middle first and get him offloading!!! It’s criminal a bloke who’s 120 kegs, fast and agile is an easy target, but he is because he tucks the ball every time and four lesser men slowly drag him down. It’s like watching a bear get baited… He’s a million buck man so if he’s not at his optimum the cows will struggle…

2021-10-08T10:32:07+00:00

Eelsalmighty

Roar Rookie


I won't/can't add too much to your comments, as I didn't watch many Tigers games, but I tend to (at least semi) agree with your comments on Brooks. I don't think he's an elite HB, as he lacks a bit of the organisational side of the role etc, but in a side that doesn't need to rely so heavily on their HB (a more rounded overall team) he'd be an asset. I thought Douehi and L. Leilua were the standouts (at least in the games I saw) and the young FB looks very promising. There was a lot of 'underperformance', obviously, but the main 1 that caught my eye, and maybe/probably because I punted on him in my NRL Fantasy team, was Roberts. I watched him (literally) walk (yes, walk) himself into an offside position while the ball was still in play, and more times than I've had hot dinners. An incomplete tackle, a player looking for an offload, Roberts is right there, the only one there, and he takes a few steps forward. Maybe he didn't like that play/its potential, maybe he didn't think it was his turn, whatever, but if I was the coach (and Madge would be a million times harsher than me), well let's just say I wouldn't be happy.

2021-10-08T10:28:20+00:00

The Barry

Roar Guru


Mate, I sound like a w.hinger because my team is struggling but there were plenty of games where the game was just officiated differently between top and bottom sides… and not just involving the Dogs…

2021-10-08T06:09:29+00:00

kersed

Roar Rookie


I don't see them making the 8 next year either, but I disagree about the foward pack. IT will be pretty formidable as of next year: Thompson, TPJ, Vaughan, Hetherington (IF he can stay on the field), Jackson, Asiata and the underrated workhouse, Ava S. Its not Melbourne Storm/Penrith Panthers calibre pack, but it's got a lot more starch and go-forward than they did this year. Where they will stuggle is the 7 & 9. The hooker could be the most important position on the field in the current '6 again' era of NRL; will be interesting to see if Josh Cook gets a run and if so, how he goes.

2021-10-08T02:00:00+00:00

Rellum

Roar Guru


Because they want to play for a real team :stoked: I don't think Mam should start for the Broncs next year, but after the first few rounds I think we should ditch the hooker on the bench and start playing Mam as a 14 whilst giving him as many Souths games as possible assuming he starts next season like he finished this season.

2021-10-08T01:56:20+00:00

matth

Roar Guru


Thanks. A bit young I would have thought. If Souths Logan have so many gun players on Broncos contracts, why aren't they joining the Devils or Seagulls this weekend? :laughing: :laughing:

2021-10-08T01:39:20+00:00

Rellum

Roar Guru


Ezra Mam, 18 year old gun South Brisbane 5/8th who I think is on a Broncs development contract. Scored 10 tries in 9 games and to me has had the same impact in the QRL as players like Munster and Cody Walker

2021-10-08T01:35:12+00:00

matth

Roar Guru


I must be getting vague in my old age. Who are talking about?

2021-10-08T00:09:16+00:00

TA

Guest


A well thought out article, I`m a Cowboy supporter and you hit the nail on the head, unfortunately. The club does not have the talent in the boardroom or the football department to navigate out of this mess. I`ve said it here before, I would bet that the expansion club make the finals before the Cowboys get back there. Sad days ahead I`m afraid.

2021-10-07T22:53:54+00:00

Rob

Guest


I’m excited about the development of under 20’s Neame, Luki, Nanai, Condon, Dearden and Hammer at fullback. Holmes in the centre and a better kicking game that Townsend will hopefully provide. Last time Taumalolo played well was when the kicking game wasn’t diabolical and 6 again wasn’t Rugby League’s version of touch football.

2021-10-07T22:13:36+00:00

Rob

Guest


On a side note Bulldogs, Cowboys and Broncos received considerably less penalties than the Panthers, Rabbits and Manly from the officials? This is something that those teams can’t improve. Conceding penalties is a problem but awarding penalties is the sole responsibility of the officials in charge. Personally I believe players like Cleary, DCE, Foran, Cook, Reynolds and Tedesco have a much better voice when advising the officials about things. Some clubs/player are looked at with less respect. Top clubs were receiving penalties for the same offences others were sometimes given an extra tackle or 2? I don’t doubt teams are better defensively if they get gifted field position and tackles. Bring the ball of your line is much easier with a penalty in centre field? It is mystifying how Burr, Robson got sin binned and Taumalolo, Luki and Neame got suspended when comparing them Cleary, Kikau and others throughout the season?

2021-10-07T20:11:40+00:00

Greg

Roar Pro


Cant believe Brooks needing to engage the line is what has been identified as what went wrong for he Tigers. He was leading the comp for line engagements at the end of the regular season and remains 2nd after the finals. Their "anaemic" attack managed more points than 7 other teams despite the 15th worse defense in the competition. Simply put poor defense reduces attacking opportunities so to be sitting in 9th for points scored with their defense shows their attack is far from anaemic. Whilst i see little improvement next year it is simply the defensive side of the game that needs addressing, particularly the disconnect between Doueihi and Leilua if they are to continue defending together and the willingness of the middle to work from the inside leaving their edges exposed.

2021-10-07T16:46:01+00:00

Ryan

Guest


Bronx big movers for mine they have been great against the big guns but have lost their way without an organiser they have that with Renno, throw in Brenko he will add something too, James will add some size and exp to help Payne, Capwell Jenson will add some strong defence in the Middle carrigan coming back too will help throw in the kids like Riki Robatti and the rest of the young pack they will be fine, they have some great young backs X who is super impressive watching him live he's a gun.. and cobbo too he's a mirror image of Lattrell then there's Tess Farns, and don't forget they are still hunting another Sen fwd and a back so good times ahead for you Bronx fans haters enjoy the last two years because the old Bronx are coming home

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