NRL Power Rankings: Cowboys up, Broncos down and Ricky's Raiders in with a chance

By Mike Meehall Wood / Editor

That’s 20 done, five to go. It’s like that Johnny Cash song where he imagines the last halfa in the life of a condemned man, except that sounds more fun than watching Newcastle try yet another hit-up on the opposition line.

They had 48 tackles inside the Bulldogs’ 20 on Sunday for a grand total of two tries. I want that time back.

Where was I? Yes, Round 20 is in the books and what a round it was, Newcastle’s attack aside.

Manly had a Pride jersey (that’s good). Nathan Cleary got sent off (that’s bad). Wests Tigers won a match (that’s good). Latrell Mitchell produced some of the worst field goal attempts since … actually I just remembered the Titans v Dragons missathon at Magic. (That’s bad). Remember the Titans, what a film. Where were we?

Oh yeah. Power Rankings. This was a good round for ranking things, because all the final results are still up for grabs. The minor premiers were brought back to the pack, the top four is still up for grabs and the top eight is anyone’s guess. Even the spoon is still undecided.

Let’s go through it all.

1 – Penrith Panthers (-)

A rare defeat this week, but what do you expect when your halfback and best player gets sent off after 20 minutes?

There’s two ways to look at this one for Ivan Cleary: on the one hand, his team actually played really well when they were forced to cope without Nathan pulling the string, and won the second half.

On the other, they were losing the game (long way to go, but still…) when the young bloke was punted. Parra seem to have their number and were on it from the start. Please let those two meet in the finals.

Dylan Brown is tackled dangerously by Nathan Cleary. (Photo by Joshua Davis/Getty Images)

2 – North Queensland Cowboys (+1)

Another comprehensive win for North Queensland, who were as good as they had to be before the break against the Dragons and then exceptional after it, aided by some terrible tackling.

Beating the Dragons, regular readers will know, gets you nowt in my book. Any team that is half decent and plays half decently will have enough against severely limited opposition.

I do death ride the Cowboys quite a lot but you really can’t argue with their results, and on Sunday, with the manner of them. Scott Drinkwater and Jeremiah Nanai are good examples of what I remain unconvinced on: they’re excellent attacking players but in the white heat of the finals, will they be as good?

Until such a moment as they get to test that: they are up into second on my list.

3 – Cronulla Sharks (+2)

The Sharkies have gone 3-1 in the past month against the Storm, Cowboys, Panthers and now Souths, with the only loss coming against the last iteration of full-strength Penrith that we’ll get until the finals.

I don’t read too much into golden-point games, because they’re essentially draws with shootouts attached, but it’s another week, another win for Cronulla and their draw to round out the year is softer than cheese left on a radiator, with only bottom eight teams from here out.

They might finish second, they certainly should finish third, and there’ll be no fear for Fitzy come finals. He’s already ahead of schedule.

4 – Brisbane Broncos (-2)

Speaking of ahead of schedule: the Broncos. The reverse to the Tigers on Saturday night was a killer blow to tippers and gamblers everywhere, and proved that despite the incredible progress seen over the last year, Kevvie’s men are still far from the finished article.

A top-eight finish will be more than sufficient for 2022 for Brisbane, and if it comes with a home final, then all the better for it.

They might be in the ‘lose one to win one’ stage of finals footy and the experience will do them no end of good. It’s hard to see them troubling a Panthers, Storm or Cowboys in a knockout game, and if they come fifth and get the Roosters, that might be tough too – but they’ll have nothing to lose whoever they face.

5 – Melbourne Storm (-1)

Back to winning ways for Melbourne, so at least we don’t have to talk about that anymore, but not exactly encouraging stuff. There was little revelatory about their performance in Auckland: yes, they are better than the Warriors, no, they don’t appear to have fixed their defensive issues out wide.

A team that includes Cam Munster, Jahrome Hughes and Harry Grant is going to win a lot of games on talent alone, and will likely score a lot of points in the process. Rugby league is a weak link sport, however, and the manner in which Edward Kosi – not a world beater – found space along his wing will be very concerning.

The Storm get a lay up this week against the Titans – that could be any score at all – but thereafter, they have trips to Penrith, Brisbane and Parramatta, plus a home game with the resurgent Roosters. The defence will be tested.

6 – South Sydney Rabbitohs (-)

Guess what time it is? That’s right: good defeat time. This week’s pat on the head goes to the Bunnies, who had three chances to win against the Sharks and Latrell Mitchell sent all of them wide.

In terms of their recent upwards trajectory, losing late in golden point means nothing, because Souths proved that amid uncertainty, on-the-fly changes and adversity, they could still compete away from home with one of the best teams.

This loss will likely prove highly valuable at the end of the year, not least because it will end any chances of Latrell playing anywhere other than fullback. Everyone else moves around him now.

The top four ramifications, however, might be an issue. It would take Souths to win all four of their games and other results to go their way for them to get a second crack in the finals. A win on Satruday evening would have helped, a lot, in that regard.

Still: if they keep playing like this, nobody will want to face them in a knockout game. Just practice field goals a bit more.

Maika Sivo scores a try. (Photo by Cameron Spencer/Getty Images)

7 – Parramatta Eels (-)

You know what I said above about Penrith? That, in reverse. Parramatta beat a 12-man Panthers, and were playing great before they had Cleary sent off, but then dropped off a cliff after half-time.

They really struggle to maintain intensity over long periods, especially against better teams, but sometimes also against bad teams. Their interchanges seem designed to lose momentum, with two players – Junior Paulo and Reagan Campbell-Gillard – exceptional and then a precipitous dropoff thereafter.

They are level on 26 points with the Storm and Broncos going for that final top four place, but without halfback Mitchell Moses, who broke his finger in the win on Friday night, one fears for them. They drastically need to beat Manly on Friday.

8 – Sydney Roosters (-)

In a weekend where everything happened, it’s hard to remember that there was also a bizarre game of rugby league played on Thursday night.

The Roosters beat Manly, kinda comfortably but also underwhelmingly. If you’ll allow a dalliance into my trademark homespun Pommy wisdom: it was a game that felt like an early round Challenge Cup tie, where a Super League team still searching for their straps struggle to defeat a fired-up lower league side with a few wily heads in the halves and jobbers everywhere else.

Manly were spirited but limited, the Chooks were perfunctory and nothing more. You never felt they’d lose, but they were also rubbish. They’ll need to be a lot better against Brisbane.

9 – Canberra Raiders (+2)

Canberra never really look that convincing, but were more than good enough to get over the Titans on Saturday afternoon. Even when they’re good they often look rubbish, but that is just their style at the moment and if it keeps delivering two points against overmatched opposition, then Ricky Stuart will be happy enough.

The Raiders get first crack at the new-look, Cleary and Luai-less Panthers this weekend and if they win, it’s a coast to the finish line. 12 wins is the goal and they already have ten of them, with Dragons, Knights and Tigers still to play, plus Manly at home.

We’re actually entering the territory where 13 wins might become necessary, especially if the Roosters renaissance continues and Manly can get back into contention.

(Photo by Cameron Spencer/Getty Images)

10 – Manly Sea Eagles (-1)

On those Sea Eagles: Dessie will have been happy with the commitment against the Roosters and furious, I presume, that seven of his best lads decided to aim gun at foot on the eve of a potential make-or-break match.

If I were, say, Reuben Garrick, who has been exceptional and ran his blood to water for the cause on Thursday, I would be fuming my teammates decided to piss months of work up the wall.

The Sea Eages Seven will get a chance to redeem themselves to the group this Friday against Parra, which is now last-chance saloon for Manly. Lose that and the big red pen comes out.

Win, however … and you get Titans, as guaranteed a two points as exists in rugby league at the moment, then the Sharks, who might be resting players by that point, then a showdown with the Raiders, then the Bulldogs who will be on the beach. So you’re saying there’s a chance…

11 – St George Illawarra Dragons (-)

The Dragons are still mathematically possible but would have to start scoring bulk points to overturn their deficit to all of their finals rivals.

They won’t, so I’ll say no more. See you next year, St George Illawarra. Try to work on some attack over the summer.

12 – Canterbury Bulldogs (-)

The freewheeling Canterbury Bulldogs continue their vibes train up the league. Readers of this column for a long time will know that I often ranked the Dogs as high as twelfth, even under Trent Barrett, because there was something in the effort and dig that made me believe that there was a team in there.

Now the shackles are well and truly off, and it’s a pleasure to see. They’re fun. That’s it. I ask nothing more from my rubbish teams than that they give you a reason to watch them. I hope they keep Mick Potter for next year because every game will end 32-30. Not sure who to, but that’s the joy of it.

Jacob Kiraz scores. (Photo by Ashley Feder/Getty Images)

13 – New Zealand Warriors (+1)

I really don’t have anything to say about the Warriors, other than that if you watch the YouTube highlights of their games – I only saw the second half, so did a recap – you often get the highly superior Kiwi commentary.

Why do I have to listen to two blokes in Moore Park discuss the game they’re watching on the telly when there’s another feed available from people who are in the ground and can pronounce the players’ names properly?

14 – Wests Tigers (+1)

Justice! Well, sort of. It’s so Wests Tigers that they have managed to beat three sides that are nailed on to make the finals, and pretty much beat a fourth until the incident last week, but still have just four wins all year.

It’s also very, very Wests Tigers to lose their best player for the season just as they start to look decent too. They are an interesting case point for the rest of the year: they have the Roosters and Raiders, plus the Sharks, so could put the kibosh on a lot of teams with something to play for while themselves having nothing to play for.

Daine Laurie. (Photo by Bradley Kanaris/Getty Images)

15 – Newcastle Knights (-2)

The Knights cannot wait for this season to end. They can’t tackle, can’t attack and don’t seem interested. Adam O’Brien has been dealt a poor hand in terms of injuries, but that only goes so far.

Finishing last after winning your first two games is quite the feat, but it’s more than achievable: there’s a proper spoonbowl in the offing on the Gold Coast in Round 23.

16 – Gold Coast Titans (-)

I’d say the Titans were on the beach but the Gold Coast is essentially one big beach so that metaphor doesn’t really work. They couldn’t be more checked out of NRL 2022 if they turned up to next week’s loss to Melbourne with inflatables wrapped around them.

Brian Kelly has a beach towel. Erin Clark brought the bat and ball. Patrick Herbert has a fishing rod. In fact, if Herbert went fishing, it would be the closest to a tackle that he’s got all year.

var request = new XMLHttpRequest();

request.open('POST', '/wp-admin/admin-ajax.php', true); request.setRequestHeader('Content-Type', 'application/x-www-form-urlencoded;'); request.onload = function () { if (this.status >= 200 && this.status

The Crowd Says:

2022-08-03T03:09:27+00:00

Rob

Guest


I forgot to mention Robson best defender is playing sensational and Hiku is a 12 game international also being fractionally behind Taumalolo for RM’s this year.

2022-08-03T02:59:21+00:00

Rob

Guest


I’ve come to the realisation that when the Cowboys win the other teams have played terrible? It been the common response all year. Some what the same us QLD hear every year about Origin. To think they only beat the Tigers because Holmes was a better goal kicker on the day. That had me thinking the loss to Bulldogs and Warriors was simply a bad goal kicking day also? The defeat to Roosters with 3 players sent to the bin? The Panthers loss away without Taumalolo and Feldt. The Sharks with Bunker overturning 2 tries, 2 days after Origin that had 7 players involved and No McClean, Dearden, Holmes, Nanai, Cotter or Taulagi playing. We see the Cowboys sitting outright 2nd something they have never achieved at this point of a season in their history. Most are saying it’s luck and a favourable draw? They are more successful Away with their PD closer to the 1st than they are to 3rd. Hammer, Cotter, Nanai, Dearden, Gilbert, Hess, Taulagi now have a positive Origin experience. Townsend, Feldt, McClean, Holmes, Taumalolo are GF winning players. How do they lack the big game Test material ?

AUTHOR

2022-08-03T00:14:03+00:00

Mike Meehall Wood

Editor


Thisis very true. I did the heavy lifting on draws earlier in the year but short answer is that Cowboys did very, very well out of it.

AUTHOR

2022-08-03T00:13:13+00:00

Mike Meehall Wood

Editor


My gambling accounts would appreaciate this. They were giving $5 on Raiders to make the 8 prior to Storm game, apparently without having looked up their fixture list.

2022-08-01T23:38:47+00:00

Geoff from Bruce Stadium

Roar Rookie


Sharks and the Raiders both have a pretty soft draw to end the season – but they’ll need to stay focussed. Sharks should finish 2nd or 3rd by season’s end which is a great achievement for a rookie coach. Nicho Hynes is the buy of the year. The Storm is not the same without him. He has a calmness about him and makes great decisions under pressure. Love the way the Cowboys are playing – so many options across the park – Drinkwater and Nanai offer so much in attack – they turned that game against the Dragons

2022-08-01T13:22:37+00:00

Chuck

Guest


Hey BM, i am a Cowboys supporter and i agree with your position on counting the Tigers v Cows game as a win for the Tigers. The Cows have been on the wrong end of some howlers over the years so will take the 2 points without any apologies, but the Tigers were dudded.

2022-08-01T12:35:31+00:00

JVGO

Guest


We've both had pretty soft draws you have to admit.

2022-08-01T12:34:42+00:00

JVGO

Guest


Nah. From a Sharks fan. You guys are more of a threat at this stage than us.

2022-08-01T12:31:22+00:00

Big Mig

Roar Rookie


Geoff I agree with your assessment, I have the Raiders in the top 8, with Storm not making the 4. Manly out and probably the Roosters out.

AUTHOR

2022-08-01T10:38:51+00:00

Mike Meehall Wood

Editor


you can look forward to my column tomorrow morning

2022-08-01T10:23:01+00:00

Dwanye

Roar Rookie


And that’s part of the ‘mystery’ of parramatta

2022-08-01T06:35:58+00:00

Geoff from Bruce Stadium

Roar Rookie


There is too much competition between the Roosters, Raiders and Sea Eagles for 12 wins to be enough to make the 8 this year. And there is a distinct possibility that the Storm may only win two out of their last 5 the way they are travelling. They have games against the Panthers, Broncos, Roosters and Eels. Plus the Roosters have some tough games coming up against the Broncos, Cowboys, Storm and Rabbitohs. They may win 3 out of the last 5 but it may not be enough. 12 might have been enough a few years ago but I think you will need 14 wins to finish in the bottom two position in the 8 this season. Currently with my NRL predictor I have the Storm finishing 7th and the Raiders 8th at season's end with the Roosters and Sea Eagles one win short at this stage. But it doesn't take much to upset these predictions. I reckon you have your rankings just about right this week - but I'd be putting the Tigers ahead of the Warriors with the way they've played in the past two games. I know you aren't a Raiders fan but I like the way they have been playing in the past month or so. Jack and Jamal are starting to look like a real halves combination, Tapine is playing out of his skin, the rest of the forwards have been really solid with Hudson Young a standout and CHN being capable of brilliance but a bit inconsistent. I like the look of the back 5 as well with Cotric showing more, Kris scoring tries on a regular basis and Rapana coming back. Should be a great contest against Penrith.

2022-08-01T05:27:17+00:00

Duncan Smith

Roar Guru


St George ahead of the Bulldogs? Don't think so.

2022-08-01T05:24:25+00:00

Big Mig

Roar Rookie


Good summary Mike thanks. I feel for the Tigers as realistically they have won 2 games in a row (v Cowboys *count that as a win) and Broncos in Brisbane, Two tough games and the Tigers played some good footy. I think the Raiders are coming together well and may make a good charge into the finals, their upcoming draw looks relatively easy compared to some of the teams just ahead of them. Souths - probably could have won their game, taking nothing away from a good Sharks performance. As you said it should be a good lesson for Souths come finals time when there will be the need for a field goal. Somehow we know Latrell will nail it then.

2022-08-01T05:20:48+00:00

Johnny

Roar Rookie


Cowboys fan here but i think the Sharks should be in position 2 in the power rankings. They have good form and a draw which will probably see them finish in second.

AUTHOR

2022-08-01T05:20:36+00:00

Mike Meehall Wood

Editor


:laughing: #Mikestradamus

2022-08-01T05:18:46+00:00

Johnny

Roar Rookie


I was going through some of the old power rankings out of interest. Back in mid April Mike said "It’s not sustainable for Jeremiah Nanai to score every game, and for young players to be this good for long stretches, which will be a worry." Mike was right, Nanais form has dropped and he is now down to 17 tries in 20 games. I'm a cowboys supporter but I'll admit i wasn't expecting a great year either with with Derden and Townsend in the halves. Some gun youngsters have really stepped up and with an almost certain top 4 spot locked up who knows? Go the Cows!

2022-08-01T05:10:00+00:00

Renegade

Roar Guru


Parra unconvincingly beat warriors and tigers - shoot up the rankings to number 2 Beat Panthers convincingly - stay 7th..

2022-08-01T05:07:14+00:00

Dwanye

Roar Rookie


Footy’s a funny old game.

2022-08-01T04:22:54+00:00

Brett Allen

Guest


You clearly pissed of Brad Arthur with your question about his use of his interchange bench, don’t think I’ve ever heard him get that short with a journo before, lol

More Comments on The Roar

Read more at The Roar