The fatal flaw the Wallabies and All Blacks share

By Matt McIlraith / Expert

One was a draw and shouldn’t have been. The other was not but should have been.

It was an unusual scenario, especially as the twin outcomes occurred within a few hours of each other, but if last weekend achieved one thing, it was to highlight a similar and fatal flaw shared by each of the All Blacks and Wallabies.

While England’s remarkable recovery from 19 points down in the last ten minutes owed plenty to the belief that Eddie Jones has instilled in his men, it also spoke to the All Blacks’ ability to mentally disintegrate under pressure.

This is a trend that has become all too familiar since the 2015 Rugby World Cup.

An inability to overcome the unexpected – or, more correctly the unanticipated – played a big part in each of the failures to beat the 2017 British and Irish Lions and the semi-final exit at the Rugby World Cup two years later.

Coach Steve Hansen had ‘depowered’ his leadership group after the core of the 2008-15 side retired, and this showed when the torch was applied through the final four years of his tenure.

His assistant and successor, Ian Foster, inherited the flaw.

Not only has he not been able to ‘repair’ this weakness, but it has also spread.

That is not on Foster alone. It is also a consequence of similar failings across various teams in Super Rugby.

The players spend most of their time with Super Rugby teams. This is where their habits and on-field traits are moulded.

The Crusaders keep winning because of innovative coaching, but they also have nearly always had the best core player leadership group, who are given full licence in key decision-making by their coaches.

This experience is passed on generation by generation.

But Super Rugby is a far lower level of play than top international footy, and recent years have shown it is becoming increasingly less fit for purpose as far as the step-up to Test matches is concerned.

Whether Crusaders coach Scott Robertson could achieve more at the higher level given the players and more particularly the leaders, he would be inheriting in the All Blacks, is a moot point.

We might be able to judge that in the future, whether with the All Blacks or maybe even England, but he might wind up with neither role.

Time will tell.

The All Blacks’ collapse against an English opponent that kept coming put a dampener on a game where, for the most part, they had played pretty well.

The result didn’t end the team’s unbeaten sequence, which now stands at seven, but it has meant that the questions as to whether New Zealand is on the right track remain unanswered for all but the most optimistic heading into the summer.

In settling for the draw, the English were criticised by many, especially in New Zealand, which I found misguided.

Put the boot on the other foot. Had the All Blacks recovered in an identical situation at Eden Park, would the Kiwis have wanted their team to run the risk of losing what had unexpectedly been gained by attacking deep within their own territory against a set defence?

Imagine the criticism had it done so, made a mistake and surrendered the Test.

The Scots know the feeling, having stunningly overturned a 31-7 halftime deficit against England at Twickenham in 2019 to lead 38-31, only to then make an unnecessary mistake in injury time, giving up a converted try in the 84th minute.

Thus a famous Calcutta Cup victory was snatched away in heartbreaking fashion.

So, to Dublin and the Wallabies’ decision to kick for touch in the final moments when after an effort full of energy and industry, if not quality, a draw was there for the taking via a Bernard Foley goal.

As one of the best – if not the best – clutch goalkickers in the game, it is highly unlikely Foley would have missed his penalty attempt.

(Photo by Morgan Hancock/Getty Images)

Given the year the Wallabies have had and especially after last week in Italy and the late concession two weeks ago against France, a draw at the home of the team currently ranked number one in the world was surely a great result.

So why not take it?

After all, the Irish had comfortably dealt with the Australian maul throughout the game, and as the Wallabies huff and puff but are ultimately one-trick ponies – with backline incision almost as rare as sightings of the Loch Ness monster – the chances of success on that play were minuscule at best.

It was not the inaccuracy of the last lineout though, which was ultimately the fault.

It was the all-too-familiar failure in leadership.

And not just the captain James Slipper but the team’s player leadership group entirely.

This is unfortunately passing on through the generations of Australian rugby players now and is a collective issue for both the state and the national teams.

I can remember during my time as a media manager with the Wallabies, when the team coached by Robbie Deans was second in the world for the bulk of his tenure – and wouldn’t Australia kill for that now? – it was judged almost exclusively on its ability (or inability) to regularly beat the All Blacks.

On eight occasions from 18 games Australia led New Zealand at halftime. It only won three of them, while another was drawn.

The quality of the collective leadership within that All Blacks team was unquestionably the difference.

Ma’a Nonu, who is a good friend and played in nearly all those matches, told me that the All Blacks never doubted they would beat the Wallabies, as they knew their opponent would panic and make errant decisions when the game reached ‘squeaky bum’ time.

Many hold a view that a draw last weekend was no use, it was nearly as bad as another loss.

It’s not one I share.

For a team in the state of the Wallabies in terms of global ranking and mental fragility, sharing the spoils with Ireland was nearly as good as a win.

Ten years ago, on the same day Kurtley Beale scored in the 80th minute to grab the Wallabies a dramatic 14-12 win in Wales, the All Blacks scored three tries yet lost 38-21 at Twickenham.

After the game the question was asked of Wallabies captain Nathan Sharpe as to whether it was disheartening that the Wallabies had scored only one try.

The perplexed player answered: “Well, we won and we scored the try that mattered”.

At the same time down the M4, if you had asked the All Blacks which dressing room they would rather have been in at that moment, few would have said Twickenham.

No-one likes to lose.

That returns us to the draw that was and the draw that wasn’t.

Marcus Smith kicked the ball into touch knowing he was deciding the game as a draw.

The Wallabies kicked for the corner knowing they were passing up the chance to draw.

Given the choices made and the outcomes achieved, which dressing room do you think would have been the happier one at fulltime?

The Crowd Says:

2022-11-25T19:20:42+00:00

Nick

Roar Rookie


Maybe bro. The French turned up to play that day. They got the rub of the green & shit happens. We don't have a devine right to win. Also... I was less pissed about the missed forward pass than I was about the fact they gave away like one penalty in the 2nd half even though they were cheating their asses off in the ruck!

2022-11-25T04:35:29+00:00

Wizz

Roar Rookie


Not final stuff up maul just in general I don't think he reads well from the back.

2022-11-25T02:45:44+00:00

Jacko

Roar Rookie


Sorry I dont care what position you say you held. Can you tell us ONE example of this settleing for a draw you believe NZ would have settled for? Even just 1 example of the ABs not going for a win would do!

2022-11-25T02:42:52+00:00

Jacko

Roar Rookie


Spew is it mentally weak for a side to concede a 19 point difference in the first 70 mins too? Teams can score easily and particully when the FB is off the park.

2022-11-25T02:39:38+00:00

Jacko

Roar Rookie


Razor should already be signed, and may well be. They are dumb ( as we know ) but surely not that dumb. ( I cross fingers LOL ) I really worry about the coaching too as it seems NZ coaches are now more concerned about winning than the game itself. I want the younger 10s to develop as 10s not as FBs or 3 mins on the wing. Its BS.

2022-11-25T02:27:21+00:00

Spew_81

Roar Rookie


Agree they didn't have a massive lead. More of an example of mental weakness. In 2007 the All Blacks had, probably, the best squad depth they ever had. The All Black second 23 probably would've been in the top five of the world rankings. But they fell to pieces in that quarter final.

2022-11-25T02:10:34+00:00

Nick

Roar Rookie


They didn't blow a massive lead in 07 though.

2022-11-25T02:02:29+00:00

Nick

Roar Rookie


Plenty of young talent coming up in NZ. Coaching is a concern Jacko. If Razor is allowed to leave it'll be a travesty.

2022-11-25T01:58:02+00:00

Nick

Roar Rookie


Yep Jacko.

2022-11-25T00:27:29+00:00

KiwiHaydn

Roar Rookie


All good. Sometimes I wish the ABs would play a more conservative/territory based game, especially in the RWCs you’ve mentioned where they had the talent but didn’t execute or change the game plan when they needed to - something they still can’t seem to be able to do is changing styles mid game. Re your points about winning away from home, that’s why I think France is in the box seat. They’ve played RWC finals before, are playing at home, and have beaten all the top teams over the past 12 months. They have size, skill, depth and a good game plan. But will they crack under the pressure of expectation, as the 2011 ABs almost did? Ireland are also looking strong, but are playing away from home, haven’t played finals footy at the pointy end of the RWC, and look vulnerable without Sexton. Time will tell…

2022-11-24T18:50:51+00:00

Nick

Roar Rookie


Yeah we lack the hard heads & leadership of the recent golden era. Hopefully some real leaders will emerge!

2022-11-24T18:49:36+00:00

Nick

Roar Rookie


Still have nightmares!

2022-11-24T12:57:12+00:00

Guess

Roar Rookie


Dunno maybe in this particular case he didn’t want to put foley under the spotlight but in general it’s his thing what he did. Anyways yeah 3 points is not the reason they are losing and thank god they don’t play like nh teams fishing for 3.

2022-11-24T12:31:01+00:00

Guess

Roar Rookie


Nah I approve hooper going for try. Yes 3 is pragmatic but it's boring and feminine.. Really wonder if ab would've played on? I'd like to think they would

2022-11-24T11:37:16+00:00

Brendan NH Fan

Roar Rookie


:stoked: I just like to explain why I think things because sometimes people don't have anything to back it up but I am analytical by nature so like to explain my thinking for others to pick the idea apart, helps me learn. People would always go on about how the NH would win WCs because they were beating SH at home, but I would point out they couldn't win away. England in 2003 only won because they had picked up away wins. With NH teams believing they can win away from home maybe now is the time for them to stop failing. I agree with the WC and tests but some tests are just as important. SA v NZ second game NZ were much more WC. NZ v Ireland third test same thing. I feel the England v NZ was one of these games.

2022-11-24T10:41:45+00:00

FunBus

Roar Rookie


What happened was that an international was staged for the first time at Old Trafford, the iconic football stadium, at the start of the professional rugby era. There was much debate beforehand about whether crowds would turn up in 'football' country to support the England rugby team. At the end the England team stayed on the pitch for a while to thank the fans for showing up. Of course, with that mixture of ignorance and arrogance that so characterises the Kiwi abroad, this was immediately deemed to be 'a lap of honour because they kept the score down against the mighty ABs,' as if players like Martin Johnson and Lawrence Dallaglio were thrilled with 'only' a 17 point loss. As always, it said rather more about the Kiwi rugby community than England.

2022-11-24T08:51:05+00:00

KiwiHaydn

Roar Rookie


Wow, bet you’re glad you offloaded that! :stoked: I too hope the ABs are practicing and prepared for a DG if needed in the RWC. As you say, it’s generally not a part of the NZ game. Finals footy, and especially RWC finals footy, is different to ‘friendly’ tests.

2022-11-24T08:44:38+00:00

winston

Roar Rookie


With the way penalties were being blown it would be pretty dangerous to be in your own half whether you had the ball or not .

2022-11-24T08:42:28+00:00

winston

Roar Rookie


There seems to be a pretty strong correlation between the ABs form the the length of time Wayne Smith hasn't been coaching them

2022-11-24T08:00:14+00:00

Brendan NH Fan

Roar Rookie


2007 there was no drop goal. In 1999 when France beat New Zealand in the Semi, France are remembered for all the tries they scored. at 46mins France are 24-10 down. Within 3 minutes they have kicked 2 drop goals (aren't waiting for the penalties) and then kick 2 penalties making it 24-22 down. The French then go on to score 3 tries (what we remember) to make in 46-24 but all started because France were able to turn the tide and a kicker who could do it. Yes BB has hit DGs but they seem to be more when no pressure is on then when there is. Its easy to take a DG when you have a kickable penalty but having the ability to take a DG when you are under pressure and have no fall back is another story. Other semi of 99 was a kicking duel but a DG by both teams played key roles with pushing teams ahead. How players play for club and if they are doing DGs as part of their club will tell you if they are going to do it in big games, If Foley has that kick in SRP does he go for goal, byrne does exactly what he does for Leinster. Its fine to say if its the WC you take the draw but would NZ or OZ take the draw or would they feel a draw is kissing your sister so its their duty to go for the win (like England 2015 v Wales) because a draw would not let them top the group. In the quarters if it is tight games which 10s do we feel will hit DGs and which will try run every ball. DC took a DG in 2015 v SA does BB or RM do the same thing in the same game or do they keep trying for the tries or only do it with a pen advantage (I don't know if DC had a pen advantage maybe he did)

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