The monster lurking in Pool C for the Wallabies

By MattTheContrarian / Roar Rookie

Part of the joy of the World Cup is about seeing games that don’t usually occur and seeing upsets. Japan in Brighton anyone?

As the anticipation for the upcoming Rugby World Cup builds, let’s delve into the underdog potential that could bring about thrilling surprises once again

Semi finalists 2019
England, South Africa, New Zealand and Wales.

Of that group, Wales is in Pool C, alongside Australia as the Tier One nations.

England. Directionless.
The finalists in 2019 look sluggish, out of sorts and a bit headless, perhaps still suffering the post EJ hangover.
Farrell’s “unbanning” is almost worse for the team as without him the mercurial Smith would have been in prime spot to lead the Roses out.

South Africa. Fallible.
Winners in 2019 but there is a sense of fallibility about the Boks. Handre Pollard-less, parachuting captain fantastic Siya Kolisi into the fray and with the coaches on a swansong, it could go either way. A good marker will be whether or not the warm up match vs the All Blacks results in more critical injuries. The Boks have never gone back to back.

New Zealand. Ascendent.
Nuff said. The machine looks pretty slick and deep where it needs to be.

Wales. Frail.
The world is still grappling with a Wales side not led by Alun Wyn Jones, one that also doesn’t feature the stalwart names. They play like a team that can’t action the plan set by Warren Gatland.

Pool C: A Cauldron of Potential Upsets
Pool C houses Wales, Australia, Fiji, Georgia, and Portugal. This pool is particularly intriguing due to the potential vulnerability of formerly strong teams like Wales and Australia.

Wales’ Fragility
As discussed, Wales lacks depth in key areas and is fragile, key injuries and they will be in real trouble. We saw them struggle for direction against a poor England side that had three yellow cards at once last weekend. In that situation, they only managed to score once when playing against 12 men.

Georgia, the Boars and Bears
Georgia will always be a dark horse (pardon the animal metaphors), but expect sides that come up against them to battle against the scrum. Physicality is their weapon and teams will feel the toll of being in collisions with blokes whose ancestors wrestled boars and bears for fun.

Portugal, the Plucky Contender
This team is much better than any that Portugal has fielded in the professional era. Many played in very successful under 20 teams together. They will be plucky and better than you expect, with some talent at 10 and 12, they probably will end winless.

Fiji, the Pool C Monster
And then.. There is Fiji. A side that had Vern Cotter, then didn’t have Vern Cotter, barely played during Covid and yet have one of the scariest sides on paper in the game.

World Cups are made for Fiji even if 2019 was not a vintage year for them. If the Pacific Nations form is anything to go by, Fiji are rising. Many in the squad have played together in Super Rugby with the Drua which adds a missing element of much needed consistency.

Fiji have always battled with discipline and set piece, but this year, things are looking so much slicker and clearer. Forget the mad missiles in the backline for a moment.

Rugby is built off of forwards and Fiji suddenly have front rowers that are playing top flight in some of the very best leagues in the world – Sam Matavesi from Northampton, Eroni Mawi – Saracens and Peni Ravai – Clermont and now the Reds.

The pack tore through Samoa’s pack which was anchored by former All Black Charlie Faumuina. Similarly they tore through Tonga’s much vaunted pack which is also anchored by a massive top-flite prop in the form of Ben Tameifuna.

The locks are a potential weak point in their squad, but the loose trio will be sensational. Led by a man who would make any side in the world – Levani Botia. There is not a coach in the world who wouldn’t give their firstborn to have Botia in the squad.

If they can lay the platform – especially at scrum time and get rid of the discipline issues, Fiji are a scary prospect.

And then there is the backline.

The halves in Nikola Matawalu and Frank Lomani are classy, but the missiles outside of them are gamebreakers.

Fiji’s Semi Radradra (right) is tackled by Georgia’s Giorgi Kveseladze . (Photo by Andrew Milligan/PA Images via Getty Images)

It’s the Kim Jong Un shopping list of destructive outside backs. Nuclear talent, ridiculous skills and freak athletes: Waisea Nayacalevu, Semi Radradra and Josua Tuisova. Those three alone are keeping Wales’ defence coaches up at night. The list goes on but you would imagine they would want all three to start in some sort of centre/centre/wing axis of destruction.

Beating Wales is a distinct possibility, but Australia? That may be more difficult.
Fiji will beat Portugal, should beat Wales, can beat Australia and strangely (I think) will battle with the dogged Georgians far more than anyone expects.

Georgia is the only team in the pool that will be able to match the physicality of the Fijian forwards and scrum. The backs won’t be able to handle the pace and skills of Fiji, but expect to see cards given in this match.

A final point is that Fiji will likely get better during the comp. It’s a pity that unlike many other teams that have a favorable draw, Fiji starts with Wales – a side that will get worse as injuries mount – and then have Australia. So their campaign starts off with the top teams in the pool.

Can they get out of the Pool? Yes. Will they? Very likely.

If you were in Pool C who would you fear the most? Wales? Australia? Georgia? Or Fiji? (Apologies Portugal and here’s hoping you get a scalp).

The Crowd Says:

AUTHOR

2023-08-31T00:16:23+00:00

MattTheContrarian

Roar Rookie


Touch wood indeed. I loved that performance on the weekend - in the interests of objectivity - but that looked like the best we could play. Swys was talking about how the kicking coach from the Cape did some work with Manie, and maybe it pays off, but thats the worry. Pollard back to Leicester and Manie still looking like a worry off the tee. Unconvinced by Willemse though, and I dont think the boks have won a game with him at 10.

2023-08-26T05:25:01+00:00

Grobu

Roar Rookie


I thought it was a very impressive performance. It might even convince the bookies to make them RWC favorites.

2023-08-26T04:59:16+00:00

CheetahBok

Roar Rookie


So how did the fallible Boks do in your opinion?

2023-08-25T07:28:16+00:00

Pedro

Roar Rookie


Is Josua Tuisova injured? Haven't seen him for a while.

2023-08-24T10:38:37+00:00

CheetahBok

Roar Rookie


Even the match vs the AB’s is no marker. We lost handsomely vs the AB’s in the more important pool match, and we all know how that ended. Given the string of injuries in the warm ups, Boks are still pretty unscathed “touchwood”

2023-08-24T10:36:56+00:00

CheetahBok

Roar Rookie


Maybe, but hardly a credible measure if you consider that their whole approach since the start of the year has been about the WC. They haven’t played their best side or a side without multiple changes, the whole year. The Boks are likely to top their pool and it will be a close QF given the likely opposition.

2023-08-23T11:01:50+00:00

Rusty

Roar Guru


"exciting" Like how Im "excited" with playing Ireland and Scotland to get out of our pool... will be more "excited" after we have got the wins needed to advance

2023-08-23T03:46:01+00:00

jeznez

Roar Guru


Oz, Wales, Fiji and Georgia very close in world rankings. Am nervous that Oz can navigate this pool with so many players with so little test experience. Going to be exciting

AUTHOR

2023-08-23T01:32:25+00:00

MattTheContrarian

Roar Rookie


Sorry mate- I was backing you up on that - and also replying to guzzle. Dunno why it positioned under your comment. 2019 Wales was lean and mean, 2023 Wales is lean and lean. It could go either way, but this isnt the same Wales side.

2023-08-23T01:02:27+00:00

Footy Franks

Roar Rookie


Go Fiji. It will be interesting to see if they perform or not. Who knows. I hope they top the pool

2023-08-22T23:03:59+00:00

Frankly

Roar Rookie


I'm sorry, I was responding to Guzzle comment, "Wales and Fiji can also beat Australia.Who could forget Wales doing it in a 2019 pool game." My point is, Wales beat the Wallabies in 2019 as they were a more successful team back then. As you point out, they are now old and busted. I feel there is a good chance the Wallabies and Fiji will make the quarter finals from pool C.

AUTHOR

2023-08-22T22:24:13+00:00

MattTheContrarian

Roar Rookie


Maybe a predicted pre RWC world XV vs a post RWC world XV?

AUTHOR

2023-08-22T22:23:16+00:00

MattTheContrarian

Roar Rookie


Well said, playing Fiji - as France found out this week - is a big contact prospect.

AUTHOR

2023-08-22T22:22:02+00:00

MattTheContrarian

Roar Rookie


Grand Slam winners "in 2019". A lot has happened since 2019 for Wales rugby.. A near player strike, Gatland replaced by Pivac, and then Gatland again, AWJ and Tipuric retiring etc etc In 2023, they only managed to beat Italy in the 6N..

AUTHOR

2023-08-22T22:16:41+00:00

MattTheContrarian

Roar Rookie


Agreed RG - the RWC is a lot more open and thats the best thing about it. Noone wants to see the expected winners win all the time (except the bookies)!

AUTHOR

2023-08-22T21:24:31+00:00

MattTheContrarian

Roar Rookie


Boeta, hou bietjie vas. We'll get to the boks. One big win against the Wales B team doesn't change that manie can't kick. Or that Polly is still injured. Dunno about you but I've watched every Bok game and Gazza (Willemse) is no option at 10. The pack is great. It's the 10 that could cause the biggest problems. Let's see how we go against the All Blacks this week.

2023-08-22T21:20:50+00:00

Riccardo

Roar Rookie


Discipline and set-piece has always been an issue for the mighty Fijians, especially as the clock winds down. If they can negate that, and the author suggests they might, they will be a very real threat to emerge from that pool at the expense of Wales or even Australia. Like Cheetah I'm surprised by the "fallible" comment for the Springboks. Tight 5 is just awesome (Marx and the bomb squad are starting in Twickers). Back row is one of the best in the game and they have scoring threats all over the park. They may have lost to a rampant All Black start but owned large parts of the middle of that game. Add in a game-plan that suits knock-out rugby and they are a genuine contender for Bill...

2023-08-22T19:11:23+00:00

Rugbynutter

Roar Rookie


Love the Kim un jung of outside backs comment for Fiji. Fiji my wild card that could make the semi as looked good against France in last match and if could further improve on that look out. Fiji could actually even top the pool as just reality this is weaker pool with wales and Australia both also rans of the past that prop up the bottom half of top 12 sides in world rugby. No certainty Australia can beat wales or Fiji and would need top sides for both and even Georgia if they have another Italy moment could cause an upset. Funny thing is best chance for Australia to get out of the pools for probably any World Cup but we are form wise and place in world rugby one of the lowest rankings.

2023-08-22T18:10:24+00:00

Grobu

Roar Rookie


Based on their win/loss ratio, maybe ?

2023-08-22T17:52:24+00:00

Harry Jones

Expert


Yes, I think Botia is a World XV man.

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