Want refereeing consistency? Take a look in the mirror

By The Journeyman / Roar Rookie

Disclaimer: You got me. I’m a Kiwi. A Kiwi who has just penned an article about the refereeing in the Rugby World Cup Final.

You’re expecting these words to be bitter, right? Well, I cannot promise I won’t slip into those areas. But I can tell you one thing. This won’t be an article about whether the refereeing Team of Four (TO4) cost the All Blacks the game or the technical accuracy of their decisions.

Such ponderings, much like a referee’s decision, can only be subjective. And at the end of the day, rugby lives and dies by one objective fact. Springboks 12, All Blacks 11. A single lousy point. A single lousy point the Bokke refused to give up. A single lousy point that makes the Boks very worthy champions. Now, it might be considered bad form to muse about referees in the aftermath of a fantastic World Cup.

But if I wait for Damian Willemse to stop partying, I may never get pen to paper. So, I’ve made peace that this could read as bitter. But writing is cathartic, and bitter can taste just fine if moderated. After all, the perfect Negroni comes with a peel of orange.

So, if I’m not claiming moral victory for the All Blacks, what am I claiming?

We as rugby players, coaches, fans, and pundits are asking the contemporary refereeing ensemble for the impossible.

This is based on a personal belief that the standard of refereeing at the 2023 World Cup was the highest ever. I have no evidence of this fact outside of the time-honoured eye test. But, from what I have read and listened to throughout the cup, and that is a lot, most seem to concur. So, if I’m right, why have so many people been so angry? Or, more honestly, why was I so angry two Saturdays ago?

This essay explores this question through the lens of two rugby cliches. A set of cliches that appear as ironclad truths in isolation but prove to be hopeless contradictions in concert. The first cliche comes steeped in rugby’s romance.

A belief that “rugby is too beautifully complex for referees to get every decision right.” We are told to live with this fact and unconditionally love the game for its glorious imperfections. The second arrives born from technology, holding that “a TMO must intervene and ensure the right outcome”. We have yet to properly define the instances that demand such divine intervention. Instead, they appear self-evidently at various stages of games, often with help from the local broadcaster. And when they do, it’s to hell with romance; we moderns demand accuracy at all costs.

Cliche #1: Referees can’t get every decision right. Live with it

I want to look at two incidents that support cliche 1’s view of the world. Alternatively, you can just listen to any podcast after the World Cup Final and hear every pundit quote it as fact.

The first happens after 17 minutes and 45 seconds. The All Blacks have clawed it back to three points, and Aaron Smith clears from the restart. A phase later, Duane Vermeulen carries into contact. Ardie Savea rides the contact, stays on his feet, seems to release, and jackals the ball. Wayne Barnes penalises Savea. Now, I’m biased, but it looked harsh live and looks harsher on replay.

And on seeing the replay, even Wayne Barnes seems to admit he got it wrong. Although, this reading may be rewriting history. Instead, Barnes is probably showing why good communication skills are one of the reasons he’s reffing the final. Now, if you know rugby, you know these breakdown penalties are symptomatic of the early exchanges. You just hope your team takes note, adapts, and, if they’re good enough, cash in. Plus, three points in the 18th minute won’t cost you a World Cup, right? Unfortunately, an argument is now being made to claim it did. Why didn’t Barnes just reverse his decision!? Well, I won’t make this argument. Ruck penalties, as crucial as they are, should only be given by the person with the most sensory inputs: the referee. And I prefer real-time vibes to slow-mo gripes.

Ardie Savea of New Zealand and teammates talk to Referee Wayne Barnes during the Rugby World Cup Final match between New Zealand and South Africa at Stade de France on October 28, 2023 in Paris, France. (Photo by Hannah Peters/Getty Images)

The second incident is in the 79th minute. The All Blacks are building. You feel this is it. Our last chance. Rieko Ioane pokes his nose through. But he strays too close to a man with no time for noses. Kwagga Smith is on him in a flash. Pouncing like a cat, Kwagga lands on all fours, swiping the ball to safety. “It’s a f–king penalty!” I yell, and not for the first time. I’ve been pathetically cursing all of the All Black’s previous turnovers. And, of course, I’m right. How could I not be? I mean, I’m in a pub, watching on the angle, six Guinesses deep, praying that the All Blacks score and prevent me from having a very public breakdown.

Twitter has since vindicated me. I’ve seen the still images. Kwagga’s hand is on the floor. He’s not supporting his own weight. The stills also show Wayne Barnes standing only a metre from that ruck. But Barnes knows -better than me – that a still image tells us nothing of reality.

Kwagga was too sharp, Rieko slightly too isolated, and the moment too big. Green 21 took things into his own hands (both of them), risked it all and won. Was Kwagga supporting his body weight? Who cares is the right answer to that question. And if you’re not satisfied. Then, wander over to Twitter. You’ll find a still that will validate your truths.

As you may gather from my last sentence, cliche #1 has helped me come to terms with the loss. After all, understanding just how far to push at ruck time is the sign of a great team. Richie McCaw’s All Blacks built a dynasty on it. And the referee doesn’t and shouldn’t have to get every ruck correct to have officiated a great game. This begs the question: if it’s good enough for the referee, why isn’t it good enough for the TMO?

Cliche #2: We demand TMO intervention to ensure we get the right outcome! Well sometimes

From what I have read and heard post-World Cup Final, most agree that the TMO was right to intervene and disallow Aaron Smith’s try. Byrn Hall, ex-Crusaders half-back, admitted on the Aotearoa Rugby pod he would’ve hated to have seen it awarded against New Zealand. This comment from the Roar appears representative of the general consensus: “I prefer accuracy especially when it comes to critical decisions such as tries…I think [the TMO should intervene] as long as it part of the movement that ends up a try.” But what defines a critical decision? Is it a try? After all, as the Boks have proven, tries don’t tend to decide World Cup Finals. And it wasn’t Ardie’s missed knock-on that made Richie Mo’unga skin three Boks. So, I will take another view of Smith’s try, pushing against sentiment to make an impassioned plea to moderate our desire for accuracy.

It’s 52 minutes and 50 seconds. 14 vs 14. All Blacks win a line out close to the Boks’ 10m line. It’s messy, but Barnes says no knock-on, confirming three times to whoever’s asking. We bash away at the Green wall for a few phases—at least more than two. Then Jordie Barrett finds a small seam. Momentum. It gets shifted out to Mo’unga. Kurt-Lee Arendse is on him. Richie skips past him, slips Damian de Allende, and then sells the other Damian, setting up an Aaron Smith swan dive. It’s a thing of beauty.

I’m so animated that I’ve caused a beer spillage. Thankfully, it’s a Kiwi’s beer – we’re an even mix in this North London pub – so he doesn’t mind. We scored, that’s all that matters. And then we hear Tom Foley. He’s in Barnes’ ears.

“Barnesy, I’m about to show you a knock-on from Black 8.” That messy line-out. Bloody hell. I’d forgotten all about it. Ardie tries to explain he didn’t touch it. But general vibes suggest he’s knocked it on. Looking at the video, Barnesy agrees, but he doesn’t let Foley have the final say, ruling the first offence to be Green playing the jumper in the air. It’s a Black penalty. Right outcome delivered. We go again.

Ian Foster, Head Coach of New Zealand, looks on as he walks past The Webb Ellis Cup during the Rugby World Cup Final match between New Zealand and South Africa at Stade de France on October 28, 2023 in Paris, France. (Photo by Michael Steele – World Rugby/World Rugby via Getty Images)

Jordie kicks for the line at 54 minutes and 28 seconds. Richie’s magic has been erased, but the time it took to produce it has not. Sam Whitelock’s on, and he calls to Scott Barrett at the back. Barrett takes cleanly 10m out. The Boks sack. Ardie drives forward, wrestling with Eben Etzebeth. The best two players in the world. The contest we’ve paid to see. Ardie’s only a couple of metres out when the ball spills free. Barnes calls the knock-on and signals for Siya Kolisi to rejoin the fray. Moment lost. Or is it? The replay flashes up on the screen.

Buried deep in the ruck is Deon Fourie. He’s ripped the ball free illegally. Dark arts that on another day could’ve proved match-winning. But not today; the computer says no. Aaron Smith complains to the touchie, who walks over to Barnesy. They chat, and Barnesy blows a penalty, explaining to the Boks, “I’ve just had comms from my team. He’s on his knees, and then it’s a strip. I thought it was a knock-forward. It’s a penalty.” The TO4 double down, arriving at the right outcome once again. And I was baying for it this time. I’ll deal in hypocrisies for a seven-pointer. Shame on me.

It’s 56 minutes and 35 seconds and Brodie Retallick claims the line-out this time. We maul and ruck for a minute before Jordie loops it over to Mark Telea. He wriggles free, as does the ball. And Beauden Barrett swoops and scores at 57 minutes and 40 seconds. The black cheers at the pub are muted, fearing the worst. Barnes blows try, and the overhead on the pass looks 50/50. But, surprisingly, the TO4 award us the try with little deliberation. Five minutes and two indiscriminate interventions later, we arrive where we started, with Beaudie scoring on the same patch of turf where Nuggy had left a divot. So, were the interventions worth it? My gut tells me we would’ve been better off letting nature take its course.

I know I am writing this after my team has lost. A place where I should be wary about mounting this kind of argument. One could also isolate the events that led from Smith’s disallowed try to Barrett’s score as specific to the World Cup final. But this would be to ignore the broader malaise of which these events are representative. A malaise from which no team, not mine or yours, will ever be immune. A malaise of inconsistency that we all must address. And, if we want consistency, we need to look in the mirror and ask what kind of consistency?

I have a cynical theory about calling for consistency in the aftermath of defeat. It can appear the last resort of a sore loser who’s pining for something, anything, to add a modicum of respect to their post-match bitterness.

Trust me, I would know. Now, I am being provocative, but it’s hard to see how we can demand consistency from referees when we don’t hold ourselves to the same account. I ask you not to read this essay as a Luddite’s call to turn our back on the TMO. Technology can and should play a key role in making our game safer, fairer, and better. But doing so means clearly defining our tolerance for its intervention.

The right outcome should also mean the right outcome for rugby. Not just the right outcome for your team. An outcome that empowers the on-field referee to protect the players, interpret the laws, and let the rugby speak for itself. And on that note, I want to finish my catharsis by celebrating the things Barnsey let happen. Good rugby things born from a mix of cunning, skill, and risk. To Kwagga’s balancing hand, to Richie’s erased goosey, and to Faf’s aborted scrum, I raise a Negroni. Bitter-sweet to the end. See you next year, Bokke. Enjoy the spoils.

The Crowd Says:

2023-11-15T13:31:04+00:00

Tim Carter

Roar Pro


Unfortunately, I don't have a time machine, so you got me.

2023-11-14T22:34:32+00:00

scrum

Roar Rookie


Great article but as can be seen from some of the posts below personal bias by fans trumps all. Most totally oblivious to their own bias which is the driving force behind their desperation to blame someone for a loss. The right decision is the right decision for their team.

2023-11-14T20:36:00+00:00

Guess

Roar Rookie


Oh really, you're certain? Back it up then

2023-11-11T13:37:44+00:00

Tim Carter

Roar Pro


I'm utterly certain you would have been blowing up the refereeing two years ago.

2023-11-11T08:02:52+00:00

Guess

Roar Rookie


It was ok 2 years ago but it's been getting worse since then

2023-11-09T14:39:14+00:00

Jacques

Roar Rookie


For Against 3 min SA NZ yellow card Frizell 13 min SA NZ 16 min NZ SA 19 min SA NZ 28 min SA NZ yellow card Cane 34 min SA NZ 37 min NZ SA 48 min NZ SA yellow card Kolisi 51 min NZ SA 58 min NZ SA 73 min NZ SA yellow card Kolbe SA 5 5 NZ 6 6 Penalty stats are fascinating: South Africa didn't get a penalty from min 35 onwards. Also interesting that penalty to one side versus the other always came in sets (either 2 or 3 penalties in a row). Cant wait to get this human factor out of the game.

2023-11-09T14:13:00+00:00

Jacques

Roar Rookie


I for one hope that the TMO gets more empowered, not less. Fairness and fair outcomes are a critical thing to get right in professional sports, especially rugby with its complicated laws. It is clear that Barnes got four critical decisions wrong in that match and had to be corrected by the TMO (1 red card, 2 yellow cards and a knock-on try). Imagine how tarnished the rugby world cup would have been if those decisions weren't identified and corrected by the TMO, assuming NZ then ended up winning that match. My personal opinion is that NZ has been on the winning side when it comes to 50/50 refereeing decisions since NZ lost the 2007 QF to France and NZ rugby media decided to make an example of Wayne Barnes. I think the use of TMOs will course-correct this and NZ Rugby % winning ratio will drop by >5% and more likely 10-15% (from the high 80% to about 70-75%). If they play 10 matches a year and 40 matches between world cups, this will amount to an additional 4-6 rugby matches that they will lose between world cups. I think this hysteria from NZ are much less about losing the world cup final and much more about the realization that if TMO gets more powers and referee mistakes continues to get corrected in real time, then their winning ratio will drop down to as low as 70%.

AUTHOR

2023-11-08T08:48:19+00:00

The Journeyman

Roar Rookie


Love your last line TDAndo - Not the winning or losing fans; no one ever won an argument around belief by offering logic…. And the point about trying to find methods that please fans. sums it up perfectly. the emotional investment we have in sport is what makes it great as a fan. we'll always feel bitter losing a close game, but refs shouldn't have to appease this.

AUTHOR

2023-11-08T08:39:36+00:00

The Journeyman

Roar Rookie


Hahaha! I would've been with you back in 19 Paulo. There's was nothing at all to take from that horror night. not a good year to be a kiwi in England. thanks for the comment mate.

2023-11-08T06:46:26+00:00

Bliksem

Roar Rookie


If Deon Fourie was a real #2 he would have adjusted his line out throws as Barnes didn’t strictly officiate skew throws. The AR should only get involved if the call is clear and obvious. The knock-on from Savea prior to the Smith try was a poor miss by both the referee and AR, the TMO stepped to ensure that the call is accurate. The match officials so work as a team especially when it comes to critical calls.

2023-11-08T06:44:19+00:00

Khun Phil

Roar Rookie


VAR is a bit like the TMO in rugby!

2023-11-08T06:40:22+00:00

piru

Roar Rookie


They’re not clear about the process then make it sound like it’s fans who are stupid Never a truer word said mate

2023-11-08T01:14:51+00:00

TDAndo

Roar Rookie


There is an enormous amount of academic research into the unconscious biases demonstrated in sporting contests, by both spectators, players and referees. In general, what the research shows is that (1) refereeing decisions will be affected by things like home crowds, previous team and individual performance, and other individual heuristic decision-making cues, and (2) spectators will see around 80% more errors called against their teams as unfair (even when they are not), as opposed to only seeing 20% error rates in the opponents play (even when they are there). However, the most important aspect of the research is neither of the points above, it is that this: unconscious bias is unconscious, and cannot be immediately or reasonably addressed. Even if you can tame some of the referee's confirmation and other unconscious biases (for a start games would be played without crowds), you will never be able to battle the biases of the millions of fans! What does this mean? It means that no matter how you apply the rules, how accurate your technology, or effective the use of the TMO, or indeed how many officials you employ, the fans of the losing side will never be satisfied. More importantly, the losing fans will always be able to identify an action, an omission or a moment that confirms and proves the cognitive paradigm in which they exist...that their team was robbed! Trying to find methods of officiating that 'pleases' fans, players and officials is cognitively impossible. I think the most we can hope for, which is illuminated by @The Journeyman's comment (in his very well constructed essay) is this: The right outcome should also mean the right outcome for rugby Not the winning or losing fans; no one ever won an argument around belief by offering logic...

2023-11-08T00:34:32+00:00

Lem

Roar Rookie


Edsackery

2023-11-07T20:16:53+00:00

Paulo

Roar Rookie


“The right outcome should also mean the right outcome for rugby. Not just the right outcome for your team.” Great cathartic piece. Better than the self serving dribble I wrote back in 2019 immediately after the SF. That was some mournful dross I’d like to take back :laughing: This was nicely put and clearly some gold self-reflection going on. The line of quoted rung particularly true. Too many of the positions fans take are for a single moment on time that favours their team, not something they want to happen in every instance. Good job.

2023-11-07T19:24:17+00:00

Tim Carter

Roar Pro


Worst officiating ever When was the best officiating, out of curiosity?

2023-11-07T19:18:48+00:00

Tim Carter

Roar Pro


What's the cockup? He made a call and there wasn't a clear shot that ruled it wrong.

AUTHOR

2023-11-07T18:24:30+00:00

The Journeyman

Roar Rookie


yeah bang on Guess. when i was rewatching i couldn't beleive the 2 minutes of play that lead to the disallowed try weren't given back and play restarted from the knock-on/pen. seems a massive oversight. what if that was 20 phases and 5mins before NZ scored. basically 5% of the game becomes meaningless.

AUTHOR

2023-11-07T18:22:17+00:00

The Journeyman

Roar Rookie


man i wish Richie or Jordie hit one of them Cec. :crying: But not too be, we probably cashed quite a few chips already sneaking past ireland. completely agree the task of a referee is so hard, probably harder than a player in some respects. i would be a bloody useless. i almost think the amount we see TMOs downplays this a little. makes everything think they could do it and its easy

AUTHOR

2023-11-07T18:18:50+00:00

The Journeyman

Roar Rookie


Thanks ATW - this brilliantly summarizes my feeling too. The cognitive dissonance point specifically. it feels like the current use of the TMO is taking away some of the magic of rugby in pursuit of something that's impossible. As fans of the game I do think we can make a choice to accept errors as you say, and hopefully wag the dog a bit

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