Infiltrating a cartel is never easy. Just ask a grizzled narcotics cop or one of the armada of Australian bowlers trying to get into the Test team.
The record-breaking trio of Pat Cummins, Mitchell Starc and Josh Hazlewood keep on keeping on and, in concert with veteran spinner Nathan Lyon, they could theoretically stick together as Australia’s frontline bowling attack for two or three more years.
Not that any of these four players have shown significant signs of a downturn in form, but Australia’s selectors appear allergic to bringing down the curtain on the career of any established player.
Whether that’s David Warner in the Test side or Aaron Finch prior to that in the one-day squads, or current short-form specialists Marcus Stoinis and Matthew Wade, who keep getting recalled despite their best years being well behind them.
It appears the only way 35-year-old Lyon, 34-year-old Starc or 33-year-old Hazlewood will put their baggy green cap in mothballs anytime soon is if a major injury gives them no choice or they suffer a dramatic drop in form.
The danger of this Fab Four all playing on together like The Rolling Stones rather than calling it a day before they’re over the hill like The Beatles is that the Australian team will be left with a trio of back-up singers to Cummins as the ageing frontman if they depart in quick succession.
If push ever comes to shove and the selectors decide they have to punt a legend to fast-track the likes of Lance Morris, Spencer Johnson, Xavier Bartlett and Todd Murphy into the side, then it will be like a parent being forced to choose which kid they like the least.
For a number of reasons, Starc should be the first of the quality quartet to make way for the next generation.
He is the eldest of the three quicks, he has the most miles on his legs in terms of international appearances and his red-ball returns have been the most erratic of the foursome in recent times.
The elephant in the room with Starc is the not-so-small fortune he has given up by not playing in the IPL over the years.
You would hate to see Starc become bitter and twisted if his Australian career comes to an abrupt end because of the many millions he has given up by bypassing world cricket’s most lucrative league since 2015.
Starc will make his return to the IPL after the upcoming tour of New Zealand, playing for Kolkata Knight Riders for the tidy sum of $4.4 million.
Australian cricket is indebted to him for resting his already overworked frame for many years when he could have been cashing in like many other multi-format stars whose international careers have been compromised by their T20 franchise commitments.
In theory, if Starc were to voluntarily give up Tests in the near future, his earning potential in the twilight years of his career would go through the roof.
But on the other hand, if he wanted to keep playing Tests for the next few years while also cashing in at the IPL, it would be extremely rough for the Australian selectors to drop him after all the sacrifices he’s made, both physically and financially.
In the past two calendar years and the three Tests that the Aussies have played in 2024, Starc’s record has been pretty strong – 84 wickets at 28.7 and a strike rate of 46.7 in 23 Tests, and he’s been the best option on subcontinental wickets ahead of Cummins and Hazlewood.
Over the same timeframe, Cummins has 89 wickets in 24 matches at 24.79 and a strike rate of 47 while Hazlewood (48 wickets at 22.7, striking at 45 in 12 Tests) has not played as much due to a couple of injuries and missing selection in Asian conditions but his numbers are still excellent.
Chief selector George Bailey said in a Sydney Morning Herald interview which was published on Wednesday that he was happy with the way the next generation had performed over the summer with 27 players used across the three formats against Pakistan and the West Indies.
He said they were wary of the established greats in the first-choice team burning themselves out by playing too much cricket and wanted to ensure the back-up players had experience before they replaced the current stars.
“If you manage it correctly, you might have someone who by that stage has played five, ten, 15 or maybe more games in that format, and they’re not coming in cold. It’s international cricket and they slot into your team a lot more smoothly,” he said.
After the recent introduction of a bunch of new faces, this is definitely the case in the white-ball line-ups but the Test line-up has rarely changed in the past few years and there are few players waiting in the wings with red-ball experience at international level.
If Starc, or Hazlewood for that matter, were to make an exit before the other members of the bowling cartel, the selectors would be able to rotate Bartlett, Morris, Johnson and Jhye Richardson if he can shake off his injuries to see who can be the cornerstone of the next long-term bowling attack.
Lyon’s exit, whether it’s when he’d like to retire after the 2027 Ashes tour or beforehand, is likely to mean Murphy gets a chance to nail down a spot but NSW leg spinner Tanveer Sangha or a left-field option like WA offie Corey Rocchiccioli could leapfrog him.
Players in the final stages of their career are rarely the best judges of when it’s time to retire even though most think they know when the time is right.
If the selectors allow the current bowling quartet to dictate when they make their exit from the Test team, they could all go within a cluster of a year or two.
Many of the current Test team have earned the right to decide when to pull the pin… but only if they keep performing at the level which made them great in the first place.
Don Freo
Roar Rookie
Warne/Murphy? Similar talents? Chris Green got a third of that tally in his first Shield innings. Have you counted the number of wickets Roccicchioli has taken in the same two/ three seasons that Murphy has played?
JamesH
Roar Guru
Warne had 13 Shield wickets to his name on his test debut. McGrath around 30. No hard and fast rule should ever prevent obvious talent from being selected, especially if there isn't another dominant candidate at the time. (And for the sake of accuracy it was 22 wickets, since he debuted the previous season.)
Don Freo
Roar Rookie
Only 21 Shield wickets should never earn test selection.
JamesH
Roar Guru
Now you're just making things up. He has at least one 4-for in each of his previous two Shield seasons. Across those two seasons (having missed some games due to test and A game selection) he's taken 21 Wickets at 21, at an economy under 3rpo and a strike rate around 45. And he wasn't expensive in Nagpur. He took 7/124 off a mammoth 47 overs, with an economy rate of just 2.6. He bowled almost as many overs as Lyon, who only took 1 wicket. So clearly not anyone would have had the same result. I'm going to assume you're just making this argument because you think Rocchiccioli (who I also rate highly) should be ahead of him, despite having fewer FC wickets at a significantly worse average and strike rate, and also never having taken a 5-for in the Shield.
JamesH
Roar Guru
Okay, I hadn't heard that comment from him. I'm a bit doubtful he has it in him to go for 2 more years in tests. We've already seen his speeds start to drop a little. Hope I'm wrong though.
qwetzen
Roar Rookie
Compare Starc to Lee (each the number 3), and Starc has a terrific record Oh btw... I posted some stats which disagreed with that assertion. For reasons known only to management, they weren't published.
qwetzen
Roar Rookie
We don’t compare David Warner to Damien Martyn. That's because of the likelihood of legal action from DM...
Rowdy
Roar Rookie
And Dizzy had a beautiful action.
Rowdy
Roar Rookie
"Merrilythrowin" :laughing: :laughing: :laughing:
Rowdy
Roar Rookie
Not miles better. A bit better. The gap between Dizzy to Lee was just as big as Pigeon to Dizzy.
Rowdy
Roar Rookie
Rebel Without a Clause?
Rowdy
Roar Rookie
And the Hoff's humanity
Rowdy
Roar Rookie
And paid for in pounds and pence and before that in thallers, scillings und pfennigs.
Rowdy
Roar Rookie
Nothing can help the Wallabies.
qwetzen
Roar Rookie
A good bowler isn’t great if bats can score runs at the other end. That's not guaranteed. eg R Hadlee & Merrilythrowin
DaveJ
Roar Rookie
Yes, by accounts of those who saw both him and Thommo at his peak.
liquorbox_
Roar Rookie
He may also want to be with his family, some people realise that once you have earnt enough money to live comfortably for the rest of your life you dont need to earn more, you need to enjoy life and sometimes this is being with your family and friends.
Ace
Roar Rookie
Actually watched aome of the Women's test match But did check the scores of all games
Don Freo
Roar Rookie
I mentioned Jordan Buckingham too. Have you seen how he started? Riley Meredith back from injury too. Gone through the two best openers in the country.
Don Freo
Roar Rookie
That's right. The ball turning either way. The India tour is so rare it doesn't demand 2 spinners, always, in our test side.