XI extremely non-bold predictions for Australia’s summer of cricket

By Ryan O'Connell / Expert

Selection debates. Michael Clarke irritating people. The Channel Nine commentary team copping flak. Fast bowlers getting injured. Warnie being Warnie. Pink balls. Shaun Marsh’s never-ending lottery ticket.

It can all only mean one thing. Yes, it must be cricket season.

So what better time to make some extremely predictable predictions for Australia’s summer of cricket?

1. Shaun Marsh will tease with his potential
This is less of a prediction and more of a copy and paste job.

Shaun Marsh will score runs in the first innings of the first Test. Let’s say, 48. He’ll look comfortable. He’ll look stylish. He’ll make scoring look easy. His fans will say he’s arrived. Again.

He will then have a series of poor dismissals in single figures, appearing extremely shaky at the start of his innings, and ultimately get dropped.

Then we’ll do this all again next year after Marsh scores his customary one first-class hundred for the season, despite the fact he is now 33 years of age, which makes him the second-oldest member of the Test team.

2. The ‘Ugly Aussies’ narrative will become a faux big story
A small number of media identities will bemoan Australia’s aggressive attitude, foul language and/or poor behaviour, calling out the team on a number of sledging-related incidents that they’re involved in, and proclaiming that they have betrayed the spirit in which cricket should be played in.

It will then emerge via official ICC reprimands that the touring team(s) will be found to have behaved in a manner as bad – or worse – than Australia.

Previously mentioned media identities will say nothing.

3. Pat Cummins will break down
Ever make a prediction in the hope you’ll be dead wrong? That’s a large part of the motivation here.

I often make bold predictions on The Roar, acutely aware of the knowledge that I’m setting myself up to have egg on my face. Yet never have I wanted to be embarrassed more on a prognostication because Cummins is a great talent with a lovely bowling action.

I enjoy watching him play and feel the frustration he must experience in his body consistently letting him down. Hopefully, this is the summer he stays healthy and plays a lot of cricket.

4. At some point, there will be an extremely embarrassing Test loss by Australia
I expect Australia to perform well on home soil. When the wickets are hard, true, fast and bouncy, the baggy greens are in their element. They can play their shots without fear that a suspect technique will bring them undone.

When the ball swings, seams or spins, Australia’s batsmen are not quite as good.

On a side note, that last sentence is my entry into the ‘understatement of the year’ awards.

For the most part, Australia will have conditions that suit them this summer, but at some point, the batting line-up will crumble. It could be an explosive Dale Steyn spell, facing a moving pink ball at dusk, or looking lost at sea against spin, but the wickets will consistently tumble, resulting in an extremely embarrassing loss.

5. Holly Ferling will replace Ellyse Perry as the face of Australian women’s cricket
OK, ‘replace’ might be a bit of stretch, so shall we settle on ‘join’ instead?

Ferling is just 20 years of age, but the right-arm fast bowler is ready to become a household name due to increased exposure of her talent and skill – which includes a desire to consistently bowl at a pace of 130 kmph.

She’ll undoubtedly be one of the stars of the second instalment of the Women’s Big Bash League, which is ready to build on last year’s success, and she’s already been identified by the corporate world, having signed on to be an ambassador for a big brand like Milo.

Remember the name. If you don’t know her yet, you soon will.

6. Michael Clarke will upset someone
I’m really going out on a limb here and predicting something bold.

However, I think a ‘revelation’ from Michael Clarke’s book will elicit an angry and/or bemused response from an ex-Australian cricketer.

Said cricketer’s account of things will differ greatly from Pup’s, and there will be a ‘war of words’ played out in the media that ends with Clarke saying he respects the other individual involved, but will suggest – without a hint of irony – that it’s time they moved on.

7. An ‘expert’ will pronounce the 50-over format dead
Despite solid ratings and attendance, plus some entertaining and exciting play, someone will say that One Day Internationals should be no longer.

It will conveniently overlook the fact that 50-over cricket remains a financially viable product and a crucial ‘middle child’ between Tests and Twenty20 cricket, but hey, never let the facts get in the way of a rubbish story.

8. Shane Warne will viciously and publicly attack someone, seemingly unprovoked
The key word in this prediction is ‘seemingly’.

It will appear like Warnie simply goes off on a tangent that ends up in a random outburst that bitterly targets someone with some nasty vitriol. However, it won’t be as random as it looks.

Of those that have been on the end of a Warnie spray in recent years – Steve Waugh, Marlon Samuels, John Buchanan, etc – all have had history with the great leg-spinner, who owns a long memory.

Never let it be said that Warne can’t hold a grudge, and no doubt someone else will cop a ‘spontaneous’ blast this summer.

With the South African team out here, I’m wagering it may be his old pal Daryll Cullinan.

9. The Australian XI for the First Test versus South Africa will look very different from the Australian XI for the Third Test versus Pakistan
Through a combination of injury and form, Australia will end the summer of Test cricket looking very differently to how it started it.

The top order is far from settled. The middle order has serious question marks. The all-rounder spot is still up for grabs. Peter Nevill is far from ensconced in the wicket-keeper role. The fast bowling looks under-strength and too reliant upon Mitchell Starc. Spinner Nathan Lyon continues to struggle for recognition of his talents and performances.

Other than that, everything is immensely stable.

10. James Brayshaw will be missed from the Channel Nine commentary team
C’mon, of course he will be. Mainly because the hashtag #brayshawinsights will be redundant, and I for one, will miss it.

11. Glenn Maxwell will throw his wicket away
I must admit, I’ve changed my tune on the man that hates to be called ‘The Big Show’.

I used to think he was an overrated selector’s love affair who brought little to a side other than electric fielding.

However, he’s actually a super-talented individual who shouldn’t be judged by normal standards, because he’s not your normal player.

Though he may never live up to his potential, he’s a match-winner and a crowd-pleaser. And he will most definitely throw his wicket away at some point this season – probably more than once.

The Crowd Says:

2016-10-31T11:28:39+00:00

Chris Love

Roar Guru


Nice read there mate. I'll throw one out there regarding Lyon. He'll have a blinder of a summer and be the second if not the top wicket taker. He's a spinning phenomenon. Not in the way Warnie or Murali were but in a way where he takes wickets he shouldn't on pitches he should have no right to be taking such wickets. Then when he gets a spinners deck where he should bowl us to victory, he fails, time and again. I hope we offer up a pitch that merits Okeefe being selected at some stage.

2016-10-31T10:30:24+00:00

Jason Gillespie

Guest


Spot on Ronan.

AUTHOR

2016-10-31T05:16:46+00:00

Ryan O'Connell

Expert


At least he's a tease, I guess. You could argue his brother doesn't even flirt.

2016-10-31T05:14:02+00:00

DingoGray

Roar Guru


Every summer there's talk of potential Australian demise, yet every Australian Summer we seem to fill our boots to paper over what is appalling overseas form.... However with Sth Africa and Pakistan on our door step, good chance our Summer form may reflect our away form? I do think though Shaun Marsh is going to have a gigantic summer! I personally think there might be some questions coming the Test Captains way at the end of this Australian summer. I'm expecting him to return to more "Human" returns. I just hope our Cricket Media doesn't go "witch" hunting as a result.

2016-10-31T03:17:00+00:00

Patrick Effeney

Editor


I have become used to terribly bold predictions from O'Connell, so all these make too much sense for one of these. I reckon pretty much all of them will be spot on!

2016-10-31T02:52:39+00:00

JamesH

Roar Guru


He is the least of 9's problems. Once they axe Healy, Slats and Warne then we can worry about 'Braysh'.

2016-10-31T02:49:55+00:00

JamesH

Roar Guru


God damn it, Ronan.

2016-10-31T01:48:34+00:00

Paul D

Roar Guru


Steve Smith is going to get the sack as captain by end of the summer after he endlessly moans and complains about the pink ball tests and goes on to have a crap series. Does a Kim Hughes and steps aside for David Warner. The meaningless ODI and 20/20 games at the tail end of the summer played by the B side after everyone good has gone to India for the tests will be a contender for most irrelevant games of cricket ever played. The Big Bash League is going to be massive. Will dwarf the test matches when it rolls around again. Channel 10’s stellar commentary will further highlight Channel 9’s blokey circle-jerk for the rubbish it is, despite format changes. The summer of cricket will finish with Australia over in India getting an absolute hiding to the indifference of pretty much everyone back home.

2016-10-31T01:32:09+00:00

Pope Paul VII

Guest


Shauny is very fond of the numbers, 0,1,4 and 8 against this mob. If he can combine them in the right order he should go alright. I reckon our batting will go well. I'm backing Paddy Cummins in for test appearances this summer, if they let the poor lad play some Sheffield Shield.

2016-10-31T00:48:49+00:00

armchair expert

Guest


If we do get the S.Marsh déjà vu all over again it'll pretty much officially crown him as the biggest tease in world cricket.

2016-10-30T23:55:12+00:00

Well well

Guest


They all need to pick their act up

2016-10-30T23:55:00+00:00

bearfax

Guest


Yes very unrisky of you Ryan and have to agree with you on most, though I'm hoping Cummins wont break down yet again. One issue I must remark about though is the rebirth of Shaun Marsh. I have been one of his staunchest critics over the years but in recent times he seems to have settled down somewhat. Ordinarily I would agree with your assessment, and I wont say it wont happen. But he has gird his loins over the past 2 years, getting his averages over the 40 mark, and all that potential may finally be revealing itself a little more consistently. I still think we're heading the wrong way, dropping Burns, or not picking Bancroft or Patterson, but credit where credit is due. Marsh is playing more like a top rank batsman lately.

2016-10-30T23:08:07+00:00

Josh Mitchell

Roar Rookie


The best news I've heard in the leadup to this season is that Brayshaw won't be heard... Now if he would disappear from all media.

2016-10-30T22:40:41+00:00

dan ced

Guest


I had that thought the other day, but I was thinking Perry and Lanning with the bat.. but I do like Holly's bowling!

2016-10-30T20:41:24+00:00

Tim Holt

Roar Guru


Lets hope Cummins is like Dennis Lillee rather than Bruce Reid in overcoming injuries for he has a once in a generation star appeal. You saw that in RSA when he nearly beheaded Jacques Kallis, all with a lovely smile on his face Number 7- I am in no way an 'expert' but guilty as charged in this belief. i think ODI's have all the appeal and merit of a dead toenail :) I will add a 12th Man to your list......... 'Australia will finally face opposition that despite them rolling roads to suit their frail batting, still exploit their batting frailties......' One more for the road ' Pakistan sets the Summer ablaze by selecting Mohammad Asif as part of their touring party :) '

2016-10-30T20:24:59+00:00

Ronan O'Connell

Expert


Great piece Ryan, I agree with all of them except for number 3 - I'm probably just being wildly optimistic but I have a feeling Cummins has reached the age where his body has matured and will start to hold together, just like happened with Johnson and Brett Lee at the same age.

2016-10-30T20:23:24+00:00

jamesb

Guest


I really hope number 3 never happens. Not for a while anyway....

2016-10-30T20:16:25+00:00

sheek

Roar Guru


Gidday Ryan, I'm just wondering if Ellyse Perry & Holly Ferling might not actually improve the men's Baggy Greens test team? Sadly, as Aussie men have become increasingly wuzzie, there is an argument that our women are now stronger than our men, across many sports. Who would have thunk it.....

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