The Roar's NRL expert tips and predictions: Round 3

By Scott Pryde / Expert

The NRL season is just two weeks old, but tipping is already proving to be somethhing of a nightmare with upsets left, right and centre causing plenty of untippable games for our NRL expert tipping panel in Round 3.

Tom Rock, Tim Gore and myself are joined by AJ Mithen from this point forward, who joined The Roar as an expert this week, penning his first column on Wednesday.

AJ assures me he has struggled just as much as the rest of us to start the season. To save dignity, the score will be in the table at the bottom of the article.

Regardless of which way you look at it, Round 2 was crazy. The Tigers recorded their second win over premiership contenders and suddenly can’t be taken like a joke, the Knights won again and the Dragons played out what will hopefully be the worst game we have to watch this season against the Sharks.

The Cowboys lost to a goalpost on Friday against Brisbane and the Sea Eagles pasted 54 points on the Eels, while the Panthers and Warriors meant there was some level of sanity left in the weekend of footy.

To put it bluntly, it was crazy.

And this weekend promises more of the same with a grand final re-match in Melbourne to kick off Round 3. Both sides are coming off tough losses and need to build some momentum in a pivotal clash.

Speaking of sides needing to build momentum, the Bulldogs will chase their first win of the season against the slow-starting Panthers outfit, before the Tigers look to make it three from three against a Brisbane side still trying to find their stride.

The green machine will play the in-form Warriors to start up Super Saturday, before the Rabbitohs host the Sea Eagles and Eels host the Sharks in a doubleheader at ANZ Stadium. Let’s hope crowds are up for those matches, or it could be an atmosphere-less four hours of rugby league.

Rugby League hits Toowoomba on Sunday afternoon with the Gold Coast Titans taking on the top of the table St George Illawarra Dragons, before the round finishes with Mitchell Pearce playing his first game against old the Sydney Roosters in a Newcastle Knights uniform.

The potential for upsets in Round 3 is very real, as it was in Rounds 1 and 2, and those fixtures are going to leave plenty scratching their heads.

Don’t forget to submit your tips on the form below by 5pm (AEDT) to be part of The Crowd as you take on the experts.

Leading us off is AJ. He is the new man on the panel, so why not?

AJ Mithen

Tips: Cowboys, Panthers, Broncos, Warriors, Sea Eagles, Sharks, Dragons, Roosters
Can Brodie Croft tackle Coen Hess and Jason Taumalolo? We’re about to find out! The Cowboys will take the points from Melbourne, but don’t be surprised if they play an extra few minutes.

Penrith were my slider this year but they’ve placed egg on my face (for now). They’ve had two impressive wins chasing down leads – they won’t have to do that against Canterbury.

Who would have guessed Brisbane giving Anthony Milford and Kodi Nikorima freedom would pay off? Unfortunately, it’ll be back to a dreary grind against Ivan’s Tigers. Not that it bothers Wayne Bennett. He lives for a grind. His Broncos will do it better than Wests.

The joint record holders for fans sent to the insane asylum meet in Canberra. Both teams are consistent – the Warriors work all game while the Raiders put in a solid 70 before heading to the sheds. Even though they’re at home, I’ve got a baaaad feeling for the men in green.

I confess, I like Souths. For me their 0-2 start doesn’t reflect their effort. But Manly are literally running hot and they’ll do the business.

Parramatta’s soul-searching after Sunday’s Brookvale baking would have been deep. Unfortunately they’re not getting an easy outing against Cronulla, who seem even more annoyed than usual. Eels in strife.

St George are having their traditional ripping start to a season. Will the Titans put a hold on that? No, they won’t. Let’s move on.

The Knights are fun to watch, aren’t they. Even when they stunk, they were fun to watch. It’s going to be even more fun watching Mitchell Pearce head back to his old stomping ground. Unfortunately for Newcastle, the Roosters are pretty good, and they’ll win.

Tim Gore

Tips: Storm, Panthers, Wests Tigers, Raiders, Sea Eagles, Eels, Dragons, Roosters
Storm at home will just pip the Cowboys. Although who really knows after last week…

I just can’t see the Dogs getting over the Panthers right now. It’s going to take a while for the new structure to get going. On the other hand, in the other Friday game, why not? If they can beat the Roosters and the Storm then who am I to say that the Wests Tigers wont get the Broncs as well?

I have no good reason to say that my Raiders will beat the resurgent Warriors. But, I bleed Green. They will find a way.

I want to tip the Rabbitohs but I just can’t find a good reason too. They haven’t been bad in their two losses but they are up against a manly side in form, and Adam Reynolds isn’t there…

On the other and, the only reason I’ll take the Eels over the Sharks is that they simply must respond if they have any self-respect. The problem they have is the Sharkies – who have by no means been bad – will also be desperate. This is the match of the round for mine.

The Dragons are building. I reckon they could actually win a match in Queensland on Sunday and to finish it all off, I really, really want to tip the Knights. I do. But I reckon the Roosters might have them here. I hope I’m wrong though.

Tom Rock

Tips: Storm, Bulldogs, Broncos, Raiders, Sea Eagles, Sharks, Dragons, Roosters
What a cracking game to kick off Round 3. The Melbourne Storm host the North Queensland Cowboys in what many believe will be a Grand Final preview. Both sides have been below their prolific best in the opening fortnight of footy, but with so many big game players in each side, expect both teams to bring their best.

I’m backing the Storm to scrape through on the back of their stout goal-line defence and home ground advantage.

Friday Night Football will see the Canterbury Bulldogs open their 2018 account with a comfortable victory against the Panthers, while Wayne Bennett will continue to channel his inner Steven Segal to help his under siege Broncos overcome the giant-killing Tigers.

Round 3 might be a little premature to start talking about season saving wins, but that’s exactly the position Canberra and Cronulla find themselves in. Both beleaguered squads will bounce back from unexpected 0-2 starts with wins over the New Zealand Warriors and Parramatta Eels, respectively.

And in Tom’s “Rock Solid” tip of the week, put your house on the Sydney Roosters killing the biggest buzz in Newcastle since Joey Johns skated down King Street in ’97. The Knights have been outstanding in wins against the Sea Eagles and Raiders, but the emotion of those games will catch up to them. Expect Cronk et al. to put the cleaners through them.

Scott Pryde

Tips: Storm, Panthers, Wests Tigers, Raiders, Sea Eagles, Eels, Dragons, Knights
Dragons by plenty. Let’s get that one out of the way, because even in Toowoomba, that looks like the easiest tip of the week by a considerable distance.

I want to stick at the end of the round, because despite accusations of ‘hating the Roosters’ (Jee, you caught me), I genuinely didn’t like what they put up in Round 1.

I was wrong not to tip them last week with Luke Keary exceeding all expectations and Canterbury going backwards. But there were still holes in the performance, and the Bulldogs didn’t put up much of a fight. I’m again going against the tri-colours, with the Knights two from two – if they can work on their defence this week – Mitchell Pearce, Connor Watson and Aidan Guerra should all be in for huge games.

Speaking of teams exceeding expectations, what about the Tigers? It’s been an incredible start to the season for them and, at home, I reckon they might continue that.

The Panthers, even with their slow starts, should account for the Bulldogs on Friday night, while the Warriors are an impossibility to tip away from home, even if the Raiders’ form has been inconsistent at best.

That leaves the grand final re-match, in which it’s impossible to go against the Storm playing at home, and the doubleheader at Homebush.

The Sea Eagles were great last week and should get the better of South Sydney, while I expect the Eels to bounce back. The Sharks haven’t been impressive one bit so far this season and Parramatta were blown out last week – teams often have a way of bouncing back from that, and if the Sharks continue to handle the ball like they have, it could get a little big ugly in favour of the men in blue and gold.

Round 3 Tim Tom AJ Scott The Crowd
STO v COW STO STO COW STO STO
BUL v PAN PAN BUL PAN PAN PAN
TIG v BRO TIG BRO BRO TIG BRO
RAI v WAR RAI RAI WAR RAI WAR
RAB v SEA SEA SEA SEA SEA SEA
EEL v SHA EEL SHA SHA EEL SHA
TIT v DRA DRA DRA DRA DRA DRA
ROO v KNI ROO ROO ROO KNI ROO
Last week 5 3 4 3 4
Total 9 7 8 8 7

Crowd tipping will close at 5pm (AEDT) on Thursday evening. Be sure to submit your tips on the form below before then to make your opinion count as part of The Crowd.

The Crowd Says:

2018-03-22T08:39:29+00:00

William Dalton Davis

Roar Rookie


I honestly don’t think the NRL put much thought into scheduling around other sports or maximising attendances tbh. You’re right though. What they’re doing is either brave or stupid.

2018-03-22T07:51:35+00:00

Joe

Roar Rookie


Wow, the crowd are slowly getting on the Warriors bus....or is it a case of them getting off the Raiders bus.

AUTHOR

2018-03-22T07:26:32+00:00

Scott Pryde

Expert


THE CROWD'S TIPS ARE IN! Storm (59%) Panthers (74.2%) Broncos (65.2%) Warriors (51.3%) Sea Eagles (79.2%) Sharks (60.6%) Dragons (89%) Roosters (81.4%)

2018-03-22T06:27:38+00:00

ja ja klazo

Guest


Spot on, except i would have Broncos 1-12 and Eels instead of Sharks.

2018-03-22T04:56:25+00:00

PNG Broncos fan88

Roar Guru


Cowboys 1-12 Panthers 1-12 Broncos 13+ Warriors 1-12 Sea Eagles 13+ Sharks 1-12 Dragons 13+ Roosters 13+

2018-03-22T04:05:03+00:00

bearfax

Guest


That's what happens when it gets exciting

2018-03-22T03:29:03+00:00

souvalis

Guest


Cowboys are specials...backrow of Stimson,Hoffman and Finucane doesn’t look to have many points in them.. Elijah Taylor is a huge out for the Tigers defence... I’d rather have Gallen in the side,but the Sharkies have a reasonable record without him and hopefully a few Eels are still shattered and suffering heat complications..

2018-03-22T02:35:30+00:00

Forty Twenty

Guest


This time last year the greatest certainty was that the Cows would flog Manly at home with JT leading the way. They will be steam rolled and none of the forwards will be able to handle Cohen Hess were some comments . Manly won 30-8 and their season began. Who knows what happens this week.

2018-03-22T02:34:07+00:00

Albo

Guest


Storm - Desperately need Kaufusi back, but expect enough points from the backs to win in a tight one. Panthers - Have a good record against the Dogs even when they are travelling OK. Broncos - Tigers will miss Elijah Taylor too much in the middle Warriors - If they can win in Perth they can now win in Canberra with their new found attitude Manly - despite a poor away record, should still have too much with the Turbo twins & DCE in hot form Sharks - in a close one with better defence. Dragons - even in Toowoomba the Dragons should dominate Roosters - A real toss up for me, but home ground advantage swings me this time.

2018-03-22T02:23:40+00:00

your kidding

Guest


Putting the Storm vs Cowboys, grand final rematch, game up against the AFL season opening game tonight in Melbourne is either a brave or dumb decision. If it was on last weekend or the 1st round there would of been more interest down there.

2018-03-22T01:52:37+00:00

AJ Mithen

Expert


Cheers KK! I look forward to embarrassing myself via my weekly tips. I can stay level for so long until my NRL grudges, petty grievances and hates bubble to the top... :).

2018-03-22T01:29:55+00:00

Joe

Roar Rookie


Hurts me to say but I think the Cowboys with Morgan back win in a close one. I think the Storm have a lot more trouble with their combos...Cam and Billy who returned very late + Billy getting injured they were off the pace and they are the ones the team relies on to win. Dogs because they're at home and they're desperate. Panthers have made their own luck to run down 14 point leads but they don't have the crowd this week. Tigers because I'm on the bus until they lose one. Love their defence and the way they started should get a vocal crowd. Warriors because the Raiders look off and the Warriors are going to break all their hoodoos. I think they've got their travel issues sorted as well. Rabbits to win through sheer desperation and Manly to be a bit complacent after last weeks hammering of the Eels. Sharks because they've at least shown some good signs against very good opponents. Close game because the Eels will be desperate and won't be warming up for 40 mins in stifling heat. Dragons because they're the team to beat and their defence is excellent. Roosters because they're just got too much strike across the park. I'll be cheering for the Knights and Pearce though because they're the underdog story this year.

2018-03-22T00:59:52+00:00

Malo

Guest


I hope Brenko guides the Tigers to the finals. What a way to go Benji

2018-03-22T00:59:36+00:00

Ray Stewart

Roar Rookie


Going all away except for Roosters and Bulldogs. Knights and Tigers bubble to burst but should give a scare to their much more fancied opponents. Another week of soul searching for Rabbits, Eels and Raiders as they go 0-3, while the defending premiers to lose back to back at home. Dragons in form and hard to go past and my upset for the round will be the Dogs at home over the Panthers.

2018-03-22T00:58:15+00:00

Dirk Diggler

Roar Rookie


Scottie there are only two games that I'd have difficulty separating - Storm V Cowboys tonight and the the Eels v Sharks. Bellamy has a pretty good record getting the Storm up after a loss and the loser of the second game will be 0 from 3 and won't finish Top 4. Then again are the Tigers, Knights & Warriors for real....we will certainly find out after the weekend

2018-03-22T00:56:05+00:00

Nat

Roar Guru


Cowboys "shock loss"and "Tigers to continue their streak"! Time to add another Horses Head patch to your 5spice quilt mate cause them Tigers got no bite to hurt them Broncos. ;)

2018-03-22T00:37:36+00:00

kk

Guest


Games 3,4,7 and 8 are difficult and a big ask to have all 4 outsiders win. I think 2 of the 4 will win and would be delighted to score 6 from 8. AJ a welcome addition to the panel.

2018-03-22T00:22:17+00:00

BigJ

Roar Guru


Tonight’s and tigers v broncos will be the game of the week. Both the Storm and Cowboys coming off some what shock losses and will be looking to bounce back, and considering that fact that the Storm players butt cheeks still have Bellamy foot print on them the really don’t won’t to lose two in a row. Storm in a close one by 4 Tigers will continue their streak but lose out next week. Tigers by 6

2018-03-22T00:12:48+00:00

Nat

Roar Guru


Here we go again. Since I'm 7/16 so far, you can take these as gospel. Cowboys, mostly because Morgan is back. Not that I think Slater and Suli will play that badly again. Panthers, Good forwards battle but Panthers have a few more points in them. Broncos, If it's dry, the Broncos won't held to a single try. If it's wet the Tigers defence will keep it tight. Warriors, again, Too fit and fast for slow Raiders outfit. Souths, wild card pick because Manly struggle away and Souths should match them everywhere - if Inglis stays on. Eels, at home will bounce back after that hiding. Titans. They have a habit of winning in the wet at home and Ash Taylor back means they will score more points. Roosters, Knights have been good but Manly and Canberra aren't the best measure.

2018-03-21T22:19:06+00:00

up in the north

Roar Rookie


Why does it have to be so hard

More Comments on The Roar

Read more at The Roar