The big Victorians throw their weight around, confirming we know little about this AFL season

By Ryan Buckland / Expert

As if emboldened by the news the AFL grand final was to stay at the MCG indefinitely, this weekend saw the big Victorian teams lay the smack down across the competition.

Setting Carlton to one side, the big dogs of football’s home state had impressive wins across the board in Round 4.

Collingwood, Richmond, Essendon, Hawthorn and Geelong won their five games by a combined 341 points, for an average margin of 68.2 points.

Let’s deal with them in turn, from least to most surprising, starting in the most obvious place.

Richmond’s obliteration of Brisbane was one of the most thorough beatdowns handed out in the complete history of organised top-level Australian rules football. I am not exaggerating.

Through just shy of three quarters, the Lions were on track to score the fewest points in a game at the MCG in the ground’s storied 121-year, 2803-game history. They ended up scoring 17 points, just the equal eighth lowest score and the lowest score since 1962.

If we take ‘modern’ times as the mark, it was easily a new low, the previous fewest of the AFL era the 30 points scored by St Kilda against Hawthorn in 2014, and North Melbourne against Collingwood in 2011.

That sums up the game succinctly. It was the worst general play defence against the team best at improvising on the fly – that turned out to be the play.

Dustin Martin booted six goals too, and he’s now equal fifth on the goal kicking chart, with a dozen majors (Lance Franklin is on top, with 17). Richmond roll on, with a significant percentage boost that’ll come in handy come September time.

Dustin Martin of the Tigers (AAP Image/Julian Smith)

Geelong was always going to handle the hapless St Kilda. The Cats’ first hit out at Kardinia Park went almost entirely to script: 18 inside 50s and seven extra scoring shots, few uncontested marks to the Saints, and plenty of pressure around the ball from Geelong. St Kilda now sits 1-3, and on my Simple Rating System calculations are only a hair better than both Brisbane and Carlton in the four rounds to date – their season only alive on account of a fairly tight tussle in the midtable.

The Bombers were the subject of Cam Rose’s Tuesday torch last week, and it was a pattern repeated across much of the media. Essendon had a similarly languid performance in the early part of last season, were chewed out, and responded with a stirring victory over Geelong at the MCG. History seemingly repeated itself yesterday.

The Dons’ activity across the ground, both with and without the ball, was more in keeping with their best football of 2017. The overlap run was too much for Port Adelaide’s press to take, and once the ball hit Essendon’s half forward line it was often a case of when, not if, points would follow. Michael Hurley was extraordinary, Port’s forward half rotation policy allowing him some extra space to go to work. He had 29 disposals and 15 marks in all, four of them intercepts, and launched three scores (heaps for a key position defender).

They remain confounding – the anti-Power of last season in some ways. The Bombers’ two wins have come against premiership fancies in Adelaide and Port Adelaide; their two losses came against Fremantle and the Western Bulldogs. We will get a solid indication on Anzac Day.

We will get to Collingwood in a moment. As for Hawthorn, well, I did tell you they were looking a likely finalist for this season last week, and they delivered on that against Melbourne. I also told you last week we’d spend some time on the Hawks in this week’s Thursday column, and I will, like Hawthorn, deliver.

I will say now, because it is a topic of conversation, that talk of premiership contention is premature. Hawthorn has looked mighty impressive, recapturing the football identity Alastair Clarkson seemed so intent on changing last year (another thing I told you to look out for), but challenges remain.

The Alastair Clarkson endgame

Melbourne, meanwhile, will be smarting after this one. It was an 88-point turnaround from halfway through the first quarter to the end of the game, the Dees fumbling and puzzling their way to an inept display in their forward half. It was not in keeping with the Melbourne we thought we knew; a tough assignment against Richmond looms, albeit with an extra couple of days to recuperate and rehabilitate the gameplan.

And then there was Collingwood, whose away win against Adelaide has been lost in the noise of the rest of the weekend. Nathan Buckley must sometimes wonder if the media has it in for him with the way wins have been covered against losses in his tenure.

This was as quality a win for this group of Pies as I can remember. Adelaide has been lights out on their home deck in recent times, winning 19 of 24 with a point differential of 39.6 against interstate opponents since 2016. With a third of its first choice team unavailable, Collingwood rolled out a team with 500 games less experience than Adelaide. Half of the outfit was 23 or younger, compared to six at the Crows.

One of that cohort was Brodie Grundy, who put up a glorious ruckman’s stat line: 40 hit outs, 12 to advantage, and a 48 per cent hit out win percentage (compared to 42 per cent for Sam Jacobs). He also put up a glorious midfielder’s stat line: 29 disposals, 23 contested possessions, 12 clearances and six inside 50s. Grundy was two men in one, making good on a Dragon Ball Z GIF he tweeted earlier this month.

He was important, but not the critical factor. Collingwood swarmed across the Oval, cutting off Adelaide’s transition game and blunting their influence at the contest. The Pies beat the Crows in the ground game 174-133, a shellacking the home side hadn’t experienced since (sorry…) grand final day.

Adelaide went into the game with a countercultural line up that was very tall up front, and it showed. Reports emerged during and after the game that Tom Lynch and Taylor Walker were playing with injuries hampering their mobility – the duo are so important to that transition game that it was an uphill battle all night.

That’s to take nothing away from Collingwood. It was, in many ways, the final form of Buckley’s Magpies, the game plan he has been working towards since taking the helm in 2012. Collingwood’s ferocity without the ball was only matched by its intent with it. A 23-clearance differential comes back in part to Grundy, but can only be delivered with a total team performance.

They looked like a natural small-ball team, Mason Cox pushed to the fringes of the line up with four or five smalls surrounding Ben Reid. Now switch out Cox for Jamie Elliott, and one of the youngsters (if you must) for Alex Fasolo. Suddenly, Collingwood look like finals contenders – the fate we have all intuitively projected at one point or another in the past four seasons, but have been scared to revisit.

Suddenly Anzac Day looks like a belter, while the five-day turnaround to face Richmond will be a tricky assignment indeed. Brisbane in Brisbane follows (Collingwood haven’t lost there since 2010), before a date with Geelong at the MCG to round out the first third of the season.

Perched 2-2 with a decent percentage, the Collingwood that killed the Crows on Friday night will win at least two, if not three, of those next four. From there who knows.

We could say that about 80 per cent of the league, such is the competition through four rounds. There are a couple of standouts at either end, but otherwise that gooey centre looks as delicious as ever.

With a bit of space to breath between games this round, it looms as an important opportunity to sort through some football matters as we try to get our collective head around this topsy-turvy season.

The Crowd Says:

2018-04-17T14:32:18+00:00

Michael Pallaris

Roar Rookie


Great article, Ryan! Who knows what will happen this round?

2018-04-17T10:36:52+00:00

Doctor Rotcod

Guest


He'll be calling you 'cobber' next

2018-04-17T07:45:26+00:00

Beavis

Guest


The AFL has a problem as always - the number of decisions and non-decisions that go to the home team is embarrassing. Why bother travelling or watching your interstate team (for the ignorant that means both ways - non Vic s in Melbourne and non home teams in non Vic cap cities) if they have little chance. The NRL usually has no home ground issues (the 2 top refs seem to want to make an even contest for usually FTA TV games) but every game is a contest irrespective of home ground (unfortunately for them a bad call, like soccer, can change a game). The Next TV deal will be less if interstaters can't view their team on a level playing field.

2018-04-17T06:04:17+00:00

Peter the Scribe

Roar Guru


He will, it's a lone season we are easing him in so he is cherry ripe for finals.

2018-04-17T04:14:16+00:00

Sachit Dassanayake

Roar Rookie


Mate I am. Did you even read my post? I said at the end "Go Dons!" How is that on the fence and not supporting?

2018-04-16T23:43:07+00:00

Harsh Truth Harry

Roar Rookie


NO way for the Swans. Horse Longmire is the most overrated coach in the history of the game. He is a one trick pony! The Swans are too slow for finals at the G just like the Cats! The Bombers have the most pace in the comp fellas!

2018-04-16T23:38:41+00:00

Harsh Truth Harry

Roar Rookie


I love all this rubbish about the Hawks flag each decade. You manipulate the facts blokes! FACT: Hawthorn went 17 years without a flag, 1991-2008. Yes, the mighty Bombers are the same but we get our flag this year and were persecuted without evidence by the AFL witch hunt which set us back. Now, we simply pick up where we left off and that is collecting cups. The Bombers are the most successful club in the VFL-AFL era along with that rabble Carlton who are now a ghostly shell of their old selves, not Hawthorn. Bombers 16 flags, Hawthorn 13. FACT blokes!

2018-04-16T23:34:12+00:00

Harsh Truth Harry

Roar Rookie


Get off the fence Sachit and support our great Bombers bloke!

2018-04-16T22:31:44+00:00

Birdman

Guest


you can only beat what the oppo brings on the day.

2018-04-16T20:42:40+00:00

Samuel Ord

Roar Guru


Definitely the latter - Geelong, Hawthorn and North Melbourne are all being petted after a strong showing against abysmal oppositions. Geelong got the job done against a decimated St Kilda that are already off the rails and writing off their season. Hawthorn crushed Melbourne, a club they have a fantastic recent record against, with the Demons playing their worst brand of football in four years. North Melbourne smashed Carlton - I mean, come on. Carlton.

2018-04-16T20:33:45+00:00

Samuel Ord

Roar Guru


I think you've read a little bit too much into Richmond's 36-point loss to Adelaide in round two and that by extension undermines your idea that there are no more truly dominant sides in the AFL. There was no great advantage to Richmond defeating Adelaide in round two and they played as such. At quarter time the Tigers and Crows were level and at half time the Tigers trailed slightly - two goals. After that they simply, drifted away, and the Crows took a win. Richmond could've thrown everything into the second half and booked in a round two win - but premierships are not won in March. Even worse, the team could've pushed hard for a win, risking injury and long term fatigue, and come away with a close loss. Following that match the Tigers returned to Melbourne and took on a soaring Hawthorn - coming away with a close win. Entering the contest more fatigued after a hypothetical hard-fought win against Adelaide, Hawthorn may have won that match and the Tigers are still 2-1. Now? Richmond has crushed Brisbane at the MCG and faces Melbourne, Collingwood, Fremantle and North Melbourne all in a row and in Melbourne. The Tigers are likely to sit at 7-1 heading into the middle stretch of the season - a record that wouldn't be likely if they went hammer and tongs after a victory in Adelaide in round two. As an added bonus the Crows will also enter their next encounter with the Tigers - Round 16, July 6 - believing that they have evened out the ledger and are capable of comfortably besting the Tigers. Richmond are likely to have a further mental advantage from now on in. Success in the AFL is marathon not a sprint and you don't take every round at top speed.

2018-04-16T12:40:02+00:00

Dalgety Carrington

Roar Guru


What's a blowout by your definition? Five goals? Surely it'd be eight goals or more? But you're right the number of shellackings was rampant in round four.

2018-04-16T12:34:09+00:00

Philby

Guest


Seems like this year it only takes one good win for everyone to start talking about you as a premiership threat. Easy on the sambuca boys.

2018-04-16T09:34:18+00:00

Mango Jack

Roar Guru


Bold prediction, Harry, and one that flies in the face of history. Hawks have not had a premiership-free decade since the 1950s

2018-04-16T08:59:09+00:00

Cat

Roar Guru


Remind me again how many finals Essendon has won in the past 17 years ...

2018-04-16T08:52:57+00:00

3_Hats SSTID 2014

Roar Rookie


WHO CARES? The Swans will win the Comp! GWS will be the bridesmaid.

2018-04-16T08:01:22+00:00

Peppsy

Roar Guru


Has Wells played yet?

2018-04-16T07:56:16+00:00

Peppsy

Roar Guru


"The more someone brags about its size, the smaller it is"

2018-04-16T07:49:02+00:00

Ryan Geer

Roar Pro


The Bulldogs and the Bombers really put in some great performances and have silenced some of the critics for now at least. The Bombers positional changes worked wonders and were aggressive all game. The Dogs even though going down really took it up to Sydney and were in the game up until the final minute, they might not make finals but will produce some upsets this season. Brodie Grundy now has to be looking at an All Australian ruck spot, the big man made Jacobs look ordinary and has outperformed every opponent he has come up against this season so far McEvoy, Lobb, Kruezer and Jacobs.

2018-04-16T07:22:52+00:00

billybob@hotmail.com

Guest


'...but otherwise that gooey centre looks as delicious as ever.' That there is gold, my friend.

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