What we can glean from Denmark's match against Peru?

By Evan Morgan Grahame / Expert

Compared to Australia, Peru is probably as starkly different a football team as could be conceived.

But in preparing for Denmark tonight, and with the lingering echoes of the France loss still rattling around our heads, it’s worth looking at how the other Group C first round match played out and glean anything we can to help drive us to our first points of the tournament.

Three times in the opening 15 against Peru, Denmark were guilty of bunching up defensively. Peru, a lovely passing team, able to flick and jink through heavy pressure, were successfully drawing Danish defenders across from the weak side toward the ball.

The Peruvians were packing the midfield, all touching the ball, and it left huge open areas on the weak side flanks that were, invariably, activated by Peru. Here is the third such example, where fine play on the near side is worked across to the middle. Yusuf Yurary Poulsen is guilty of sluggish defending, leaving yawning pasture open for Peru’s left full back Miguel Trauco to speed into.

Aziz Behich – our best full back – will be speeding into those areas for the Socceroos, and as he was our most passed-to player against France, it will be of great benefit to Australia if Denmark allow such freedom on the flanks again.

The Danes, affronted by Peru’s aggression and appetite to start the game – and why wouldn’t they be hungry, it’s been more than 30 years? – allowed their structure to warp and bend, like a Dali clock.

Australia will have to greet them with the same confronting zeal, to test them again. As it happens, Poulsen committed another glaring piece of shoddy defensive awareness in the second half, allowing Christian Cueva this time to scamper behind him – admittedly while offside – into the box, a chance Peru really should have scored from.

Forcing Poulsen into these situations could well be an area of weakness from which the Roos might profit, and while we may not have Peru’s snap passing in our midfield, our full backs are plenty capable of applying pressure in the final third.

Once Denmark had withstood the initial Peruvian flurry, their formation settled into place. A nominal 4-3-3, it morphed into something more like a 4-2-3-1, with Christian Eriksen in the archetypal No. 10 position, appropriately. Denmark, generally, were very narrow. Their left back Stryger Larsson was only a sporadic factor in attack, and their left sided attacker, Pione Sisto was seen regularly drifting into the centre, even out to the right.

Eriksen and Poulsen were combining on the right too; all this explains how offensively lopsided the Danish system was; 52 per cent of the Danish attacks were generated on the right hand side, compared to 23 per cent on the left, per FIFA tracking stats. Matt Leckie and Behich will have a lot to deal with if this trend is repeated against Australia, as is likely.

Danish striker Nicolai Jørgensen roamed across the full width and length of the Peruvian half. He only managed to take one shot, that was blocked, over the course of the entire match, but his was not an isolated, listless performance. His activity and industry, at 6 foot 3 inches, will be a handful for Milligan and Sainsbury, with the latter likely to take on the brunt of the graft for that assignment. Australia’s defenders will have to be wary not to be dragged too far out of position, leaving gaping holes in behind for Eriksen to punish.

Speaking of the man, although this was far from his most influential performance, Christian Eriksen was clearly eager to run his way into the game against Peru; he ran further than any other Danish player, tracking the longest distance run with and without possession. He attempted the second-most passes on his team, passing most frequently to Poulsen and Jørgensen. Even while off his game, the Spurs play-maker can still effortlessly punish defenders who over-commit or dive in.

As good as Mile Jedinak and Aaron Mooy were against France, they were rattled the few times Paul Pogba and Antoine Griezmann really shifted into the higher gears off the dribble.

Peru did well in man-marking Eriksen, but it’s worth questioning if Mooy or Jedinak are agile enough – or have the stamina – to stay with the Dane, considering how constantly and with such unpredictable invention he drifts around the pitch, sniffing out space. You can see here, as Peru’s promising attack breaks down, Renato Tapia makes the mistake of allowing Eriksen to drift ahead of the ball, without a chaperone.

One pass into open park, and Eriksen is leading Denmark’s counter, as safe a pair of hands in which to place a burgeoning chance as any in world football. With Tapia labouring in the background, Eriksen puts a perfect pass on a plate for Poulsen, who slots home the winner.

Would Mass Luongo have a better chance of sticking with Eriksen over the course of 90 minutes? Would Jackson Irvine? These players needn’t replace Mooy or Jedinak, perhaps Rogic might finally be sacrificed, with Mooy moved up. It would be unwise to assume Eriksen will have as quiet an opening hour against the Roos as he did against Peru.

So then, what must the Roos do to improve? Well, regardless of how the Danish set up, Bert van Marwijk must find a way to grease the wheels in the centre of the park. The control Mooy and Jedinak enjoyed against France occurred in our own half – 24 per cent of it was held in the zone just in front of our own box, a larger proportion than in any other zone on the pitch – and it did not translate to progress made up the middle.

Australia – Mark Milligan in particular – showed they can pass ably out to the wings but, to put it bluntly, if we can’t pass up the middle, we’ll have to run the ball up the guts. Mooy and Jedinak are not dynamic players; they don’t have the ability to burst through the lines with the ball at their feet.

Jackson Irvine and Mass Luongo are much more suited to this, and depending on who starts as striker, driving forays through the midfield might be the best way to involve Rogic, who was again an alienated figure against France.

[latest_videos_strip category=“football” name=“Football”]

Irvine, for instance, could given the role of positioning himself ahead of the defensive midfielders and behind the attack, with the intention of receiving the ball and looking to out-pace or out-muscle a tackler.

It would be a physically demanding role, because no small amount of back-tracking and movement would be involved, but Irvine is probably our best athlete behind Leckie. As touched on above, if the thought of dropping Mooy or Jedinak is too hard to fathom, Irvine, in this role, could even replace Rogic – he’d certainly add more defensively, and considering how rarely Rogic managed to involved himself in the attack against France, how much would it take away from the offensive scheme?

Questions linger over Robbie Kruse too; for all his off-the-ball value, making interesting runs and defending with eagerness, he contributes so little as far as tangible attacking input. Having lost the first game, the argument against including wildcard Daniel Arzani from the beginning is weakening.

Denmark beat Peru, but Peru missed a bagful of chances, including a penalty, with Kasper Schmeichel making six saves. Denmark might be our best chance at a win this tournament, and we should set up accordingly.

This second game will be an excellent opportunity to see how flexible van Marwijk really is. We learnt a lot from the loss to France. Let’s see what effect it has tonight.

The Crowd Says:

2018-06-21T08:27:05+00:00

me too

Guest


seem to remember he also went alright against an even taller and better european team than the danes last world cup.

2018-06-21T08:02:29+00:00

BWM

Guest


Massimo definitely must play & I agree that Mooy should sit deeper in the midfield. I like Juric for his ability in holding the ball up but without positive attacking play around him, he will be too easily marked. None of our strikers are prolific, most are unknown quantities at this level. I would also like to see Arzani get at least half an hour but unlike many, I do think Kruse is a strong contributor in keeping the ball moving in attack, drawing defenders and puts in pretty decent passing & crosses. Behich works hard but his final ball is so often way off target, or turned over. Isvhe really a left sided player? I don't understand why Kruse gets all the criticism.

2018-06-21T06:55:24+00:00

AGO74

Guest


Cahill is made for Peru. They were very ordinary against NZ's big Burnley striker Chris Wood in the play off. Timmy caused havoc against a similar team at last world cup (Chile). Albeit he is 4 years older but his main qualities are still there....

2018-06-21T06:52:52+00:00

AGO74

Guest


That's a really interesting point Kris. With respect to the SPL as well, these are much more mentally and physically draining games than backing up on a cold wednesday night at Kilmarnock or Dundee.... On that basis is the best strategy to put both Arzani and Rogic on in the last 35-40? I love Arzani's x-factor but his 90 minutes stamina is questionable plus the ability for him to potentially create havoc running at tiring defenders is surely greater....

2018-06-21T06:34:26+00:00

lunchboxexpert

Guest


I expect BvM will be looking to employ a game plan very similar to that he employed for Australia against the Czech Republic. The main problem I see to this approach is Eriksen has the potential to really hurt Australia if they fail to execute this plan well, much more so than any of the Czech Republics players had (or perhaps could be bothered doing, as it appeared that some of the Czech Republic players were clearly working on their holiday plan rather than the game plan).

2018-06-21T06:20:13+00:00

TomC

Roar Guru


I think Evan's idea of moving Mooy up to replace Rogic, with Luongo playing behind, is spot on. Rogic's value was that he's more likely to win us a set piece in a decent spot. His weakness is that he's not going to bring the other attacking players into the game. Mooy might not draw the fouls but he has better vision and delivery to feed Leckie and Kruse out wide. In a game where hopefully we'll have a better share of possession, and we need three points, we should be trying to find as many paths to goal as possible.

2018-06-21T05:58:26+00:00

Lancey5times

Roar Rookie


Thanks Geoff, That makes a lot of sense. Enjoy the game tonight ?

2018-06-21T05:47:38+00:00

MQ

Guest


With only 11 players permitted on the field at any one time, how many attacking mids are proposing to throw forward?

2018-06-21T05:45:53+00:00

Kangas

Roar Rookie


Luongo needs to play. Arzani needs to at least 35 minutes Australia can win this , but we need to be tight early .

2018-06-21T05:39:36+00:00

Caltex & SBS support Australian Football

Guest


It is because we haven't got a Harry Kane, is the reason why, we have to throw more attacking midfielders up into the front third to do part of the job that our poor strikers can't do.

2018-06-21T05:36:53+00:00

Geoff Foley

Roar Rookie


Rogic beside him is a problem, but more as a team structure, rather than on Mooy himself. Need to have them passing between midfield lines to each other, not square or through balls. Leaving Mooy so far up removes his under-rated defensive ability too. Too slow to press a defence, he's best as a deep midfield interceptor. I agree with Timmy- he has never been a center-forward. As many point out, he is a player without a natural position. Why we play him as a CF is because most Asian teams can't match his aerial ability and there are many better players than Timmy for the midfield slots. Timmy may well get a run against Peru, but I expect that will be only in case of emergency and not at the expense of a CF.

2018-06-21T05:29:51+00:00

Kris

Guest


The problem with Rogic is his physical capacity. Of the 17 games he has played this year he has only done the full 90 four times. Celtic never start him on 4 days breaks. Whenever they have short breaks they will start him in one and bring him off the bench in the next.

2018-06-21T05:19:13+00:00

MQ

Guest


I accept that, but it's also BVM himself. He's not one to muck around with different structures.

2018-06-21T05:15:13+00:00

Kris

Guest


Bring in Jurman to counter the height of the Danes and their ability at setpieces, shift Milligan into Eriksen's space to man-mark him. Drop Rogic who can't play back to back games at the best of times and have Mooy a little further forward.

2018-06-21T02:57:32+00:00

Lancey5times

Roar Rookie


I may be mistaken but was Rogic beside him the key problem with Mooy at 10? Wouldn't Rogic further forward help this? And Cahill is not a centre forward yet at international level we play him there.

2018-06-21T02:30:01+00:00

iron fist

Guest


Denmark are a tall team so despite Cahill's freakish vertical leaping attributes, he is better suited to play against Peru.

2018-06-21T02:27:36+00:00

iron fist

Guest


How much time do you think you will get out of Arzani as a starter at this level? He has stated himself that he has struggled to play out A-League matches. Don't get me wrong I think he needs more time on the pitch than he had against France, but I think his value will be in the final 20 mins where the Danish defenders are tiring. Jedinak played a role against France, but I think BVM should go with Luongo in a must-win match. BVM will continue with a compact defensive structure and attack on the counter, but we need a quick transition to accomplish the later, something that just doesn't happen with both Mooy & Jedinak as the CMs. Mooy & Jedinak first look to play sideways & backwards whereas Luongo looks to play forward. If Jedinak is a non-negotiable change, then I'd even consider Luongo for Mooy. Perhaps pairing Luongo and Arzani as the match progresses is a thought which means Luongo can be a substitution while Jedinak & Mooy can see out the opening physicality. Still, Mass is the best central midfield spark we have and we can get more out of Rogic and any forward BVM decides to start with with him playing fast and direct, rather than being continually directed out to the flanks due to slow attacking play from Jedinak & Mooy.

2018-06-21T01:58:13+00:00

Ben of Phnom Penh

Roar Guru


Our goal scoring record over the past three years has been very good (our clean sheet record however......). The entire "where will the goals come from" mantra has more to do with a national existential angst regarding strikers than any fact relating to goals. For some reason consistent goals from midfielders and defenders don't appear to ease our sense of dread.

2018-06-21T01:29:06+00:00

Geoff Foley

Roar Rookie


Mooy at 10 is a disaster, as seen in the short-lived experiment from Ange. Mooy must be further back in the pitch, where has time and space. And is defensive nous is largely forgotten by a lot of people, He is world-class at shutting down passes from the midfield into the feet of the forwards. And nor is Rogic a centre-forward for that matter. Any change in the spine for a more attacking game must be Jedi out for Mass, possibly even Irvine. Juric in for Nabbout. As to Arzani, not strong enough to run out a game yet. I would prefer Kruse to start and absolutely run his markers ragged in an hour. The give Arzani 30 minutes at them.

2018-06-21T00:58:04+00:00

haymother

Guest


Cahill won't be used in this game ... unless we are two behind with 10 minutes to go. But I think he'd be good coming on late against Peru. They leave a lot more space, less compact, its the kind of team he can score against

More Comments on The Roar

Read more at The Roar