The 2019 World Cup will save Warner's career

By Ronan O'Connell / Expert

Australia’s raging desire to win next year’s World Cup will save the banned David Warner’s international career because the Aussies cannot win the tournament without him.

Australia have always pulled out all stops to win that tournament, a key reason they’ve lifted the Cup four out of the last five times.

This obsession with owning the Cup may well intensify as Australia plot a way to rebound from the ball-tampering scandal which left Australian cricket in tatters.

It is this desperation to re-announce themselves as a world cricket force which will prompt Australia to pick Warner for the World Cup, despite many cricket pundits claiming his international career is over.

They may be rank outsiders to defend the World Cup, but no opponent would rest easy facing a full-strength Australian team boasting the likes of Warner, Steve Smith, Aaron Finch, Mitchell Starc, Josh Hazlewood and Pat Cummins.

Australia will have the luxury of entering the World Cup under minimal pressure – public expectations will be extremely low. If they have some luck with injuries and can field a full-strength team they could spring a surprise.

But they won’t pull off such an unlikely victory without the services of their best ODI cricketer in Warner.

Warner is Australia’s only true ODI batting superstar. In the three years before his ban, Warner piled up a remarkable 2,353 runs at 55 in ODIs, by far the most runs of any Australian in that time.

Warner’s 10 tons in that period was bettered only by the world’s undisputed number one ODI batsman Virat Kohli.

What is particularly relevant is that Warner’s strike rate of 104 in that period made him the only member of the top 10 run scorers worldwide who struck at a-run-a-ball or better.

This is crucial because Australia have had a major problem over the last two years with scoring too slowly in ODIs.

(Photo by Ashley Vlotman/Gallo Images/Getty Images)

No other Australian batsman can come even close to matching Warner’s ability to not just make lots of runs, but also to make them consistently and at a sprinting pace.

Australia’s next two highest runscorers over that period, Steve Smith and Aaron Finch, had far slower strike rates of 85 and 91, respectively.

To emphasise the difference in their scoring rates, Warner scored at 6.24 runs per over, Finch at 5.46rpo and Smith at just 5.10rpo.

None of Australia’s other main top order options – Travis Head, Shaun Marsh and Usman Khawaja – can score as quickly as Warner. That further underlines the crucial dynamism he adds to the Australian ODI team.

An ODI top three of Warner, Finch and Smith would give Australia a fantastic base. Of course, it is in the middle order where Australia has continued to struggle.

However, on paper they do have decent options to bat between four and six in Head, Glenn Maxwell, Marcus Stoinis and Shaun and Mitch Marsh.

If even just two of those five manage to find form in time for the World Cup Australia would suddenly have an imposing batting line-up, backed by a formidable attack.

I still feel, however, that their hopes will revolve around Warner. If the World Cup still two or three years away then Warner’s critics may have been right – his international career may have been killed off by the ball-tampering scandal.

But the approach of this tournament, and Australia’s preoccupation with holding the World Cup, will give him a lifeline. It may even provide Warner with a chance to prove that he’s worthy of selection in the 2019 Ashes.

The Crowd Says:

2018-10-28T09:50:30+00:00

Aaron Finch

Guest


Line up finch,warner,shaun marsh,smith,mitch marsh,maxwell,bancroft (wk),starc,cummins,agar,hazlewood no lyon since he is very expensive when it comes to odis and agar is great when aus needs runs desperately and can bowl pretty well too.

2018-08-06T22:46:07+00:00

bobbo7

Guest


Not so much the action - but the lying about it, yes it was worth a 12 month suspension. You can't have your captain lying to the fans.

2018-08-06T05:20:38+00:00

Insult_2_Injury

Roar Rookie


Not sure if you've ever been a selector Ben, but when you are picking a team you choose a batting lineup. My opinion - which you are free to disagree with - is that Warner is one of two players (with Smith) out of the current ODI side who are proven International match winners and walk up starts, even if only having had T20 warm ups. I'm not comparing Warner with Maxwell. I'm saying Warner comes in to open with Finch and Head bats 3-5, where Maxwell has been tried and regularly fails. If Smith is in - and why wouldn't he - he takes Shaun Marsh's spot. Maxwell, Finch, Head, Short and Marsh have the added advantage of making huge runs to keep Warner & Smith out, but Maxwell & Short haven't performed consistently to do that. Short is on the rise and certainly should be in the squad. Marsh builds innings and will take the opportunity handed to him. Maxwell has never grown as a player and his record of facing an average 23 balls in ODI's isn't good enough. He doesn't bring a game home and won't make ugly runs to be there at the end. He'd rather hit across the line and get out when we need 30 to win, going for the improbable six, than hit down the ground and use up 30 balls to get 30 AS A PARTNERSHIP. He'll walk off the ground with a shrug and head shake as though he got an unplayable, but he believes he's got to play his way. That dummy spit last year was because he didn't like being told he needs to assess the game situation and play accordingly. He didn't like Vic coach Andrew McDonald telling him he needed to fit into their game plan, so wanted to leave. He didn't like Smith & Lehman telling him he needed to be aware that he needs to be a junior partner sometimes. There's nothing wrong with unconventional technique - Smith has proven that - but he went past Maxwell when he realised he could make bigger scores more consistently by building an innings and giving the conditions & bowler respect when needed. Finch, Short, Head & Lynn are better options for Australia, not only because they hit through the line, but because they sum up the situation, realise they got away with chancing their arm and then settle to fight another over. With Warner & Smith they make an ideal top 6.

2018-08-06T04:07:57+00:00

Insult_2_Injury

Roar Rookie


Smith took responsibility for an action he didn't physically do. He said at the presser it was a leadership group decision. I didn't condone the action - it's the stupidest thing Australia has done in a long time. It is not worth a 12 month suspension. It is not worth a 1st class & international suspension.

2018-08-06T03:36:57+00:00

bobbo7

Guest


The issue is they cheated and then lied to the umpires and public at the press conference. They were that stupid and arguably should not play again - more for the lying about tape than anything else - complete idiots. It is acceptable to blatantly cheat, lie to the umpires and then the public?

2018-08-01T23:08:06+00:00

I no

Guest


Definitely had cobwebs but he still failed Smith went alright and Ben McDermott outscored both of them he is a real t20 prospect and he can bat anywhere and he was the wicketkeeper.

2018-08-01T14:46:13+00:00

Graham

Guest


He certainly had some cobwebs didn't he but seemed to come good towards the end. He needs to play every 2020 match he can

2018-08-01T09:27:53+00:00

I no

Guest


You talk ???? Warner has already been back played in Canada and failed miserably.

2018-08-01T09:17:48+00:00

I no

Guest


Yeah and how weak teams did rohit play australia always play the top 4 countries.

2018-08-01T09:06:59+00:00

Paul

Roar Guru


Even Bradman couldn't slot back into the Australian side after being out injured. It is insulting because effectively you've set two standards - one for a guy who played a very ordinary last ODI series IN Australia, then zero ODI cricket till the WC, and the rest, all of whom have to prove themselves.Sure he's probably our best ODI bat, but he carries no form into a series where losing two games probably means we're out of contention. Can we assume this guy is a lock to tour - probably. Should he be considered a certainty to play in the actual WC, not at all.

2018-08-01T06:20:36+00:00

Rellum

Roar Guru


I don't agree with him either. If Warner is a cancer in the dressing room then I am ok with him not being picked again. Bat as a batsmen then he would be picked in the ODI team straight away.

2018-08-01T04:24:46+00:00

Rellum

Roar Guru


Really!!! Yes I am aware. I thought the injuries had got the better of him. He even said so at the time.

2018-08-01T02:38:35+00:00

Chris Kettlewell

Roar Guru


It's hardly an insult to bring back the teams best players as soon as they are available. Players who've proven themselves over many years, year in, year out, compared to fringe players who really still need to be proving themselves to try and earn selection. If you have one of your best, core players get injured and be out for a while, then manage them back to health so they are ready to go again, they slot back into the team automatically. Sure you'd like to get them some warm-up games before their first big game comes along, but there's no question about them having to go back to domestic cricket and prove themselves good enough. They've already proven that.

2018-08-01T02:30:31+00:00

Chris Kettlewell

Roar Guru


He hasn't been dropped for poor form, but been excluded because of a suspension. It will be just like when Shane Warne was rubbed out for 12 months. The moment that ban was over he was straight back in the team. When you are talking 2 of the 3 players who were suspended were the two best batsmen in the team, you've got to think it's pretty much likely that they'll be straight back in also.

2018-08-01T00:02:47+00:00

Graham

Guest


I'd certainly like to see it tried. I'd like to see an analysis on what is most effective on flat tracks because quite frankly I have no idea. I worry a little about the wk position but we have a year for either paine or carey to improve the 1 day form

2018-07-31T23:16:02+00:00

JamesH

Roar Guru


Since 2015: Warner - 2804 runs @55, SR 105 Rohit - 2996 runs @59, SR 96 I think you can make a case for either. There's not much between them.

2018-07-31T23:10:17+00:00

JamesH

Roar Guru


Maxwell is a far, far more versatile batsman than Lynn. Lynn has incredible power but plays a top order role when the ball is hard. He's also perpetually injured and gives nothing in the field. I'd love him to get his body right but I suspect he's past the point of no return there.

2018-07-31T23:04:41+00:00

JamesH

Roar Guru


That's a good side, Ronan. The great thing about our personnel at the moment is that we have top order options, so if Warner doesn't come back for some reason we have other guys who can do the job. Smith is the one we really need in good form to strengthen the middle order. I like the idea of two spinners, especially if Marsh is fit enough to regularly bowl 7-10 overs of medium pace. I'd probably pick Cummins over Hazlewood given the nature of the pitches we're likely to see.

2018-07-31T22:56:42+00:00

Paul

Roar Guru


so we're exepcting all other players who stand a chance of being selected for the WC to perform in the leadup matches but this guy can scratch around in a few meaningless T20 games and he's an automatic selection? That's pretty insulting to the other guys who have to prove themelves. Ditto with Smith. He should not be considered a lock for his Test spot unless he shows SOME form in some lead up games, prior to his return. I'm not saying they shouldn't play, but you can't pick these guys because they were good 12 months ago. Ask AB de V how long it took him to find his feet after 12 months off and it's not that easy.

AUTHOR

2018-07-31T21:35:51+00:00

Ronan O'Connell

Expert


I'd like to see Australia trial two spinners in ODIs given the World Cup is being played in England, which has had the flattest, highest-scoring ODI pitches in the world over the past 3 years. Bowling 40 overs of pace on roads makes you far too predictable - spinners play such a massive role in modern ODI cricket, even modest spinners like Moeen Ali.

More Comments on The Roar

Read more at The Roar