Bring on NRL Round 1's glorious uncertainty

By AJ Mithen / Expert

League fans have never wanted a season to kickoff more than this year. How good is it to get real, meaningful games back?

After the damage the game did to itself over summer, watching some actual rugby league is a welcome relief.

Predictions pieces are all over The Roar, tipping and fantasy competitions are back, and lunchroom chat has moved from being aghast at yet another video story to being aghast at AJ Brimson starting on the bench for the Gold Coast.

We’ve got a stack of new recruits, young guns full of potential and stories within stories that will reveal themselves as the year goes on.

But there are a few things I’m keeping an eye out for in particular.

The Roosters
Or more to the point, how coach Trent Robinson approaches the year. Since he arrived in 2013 Robinson has built a formidable 111-63 (64 per cent) record with two premierships and four minor premierships.

His 2018 grand final was a masterclass in preparation and execution.

It’s worth noting though that in the first ten rounds of their six seasons under Robinson, the Tricolours are a combined 33 wins from 60 games (55 per cent).

Robinson’s teams know how to pace themselves so they hit their peak when it matters.

They’ll be open to early criticism about how they’re travelling but don’t be fooled – if ever there was a chance for the first back-to-back champs in a long time, it’s this team.

Trent Robinson has had great results with the Chooks, but was that merely down to the roster he inherited? (AAP Image/Paul Miller)

Michael Morgan
When Michael Morgan last had the Cowboys to himself, in 2017, they drove all the way to the grand final from seventh position.

After a few uninterrupted years, Morgan’s injury-affected 2018 was one of the key factors in the side’s tumble away from contention when a lot of pundits gave them a chance to win it all.

Partnered with Te Maire Martin, Morgan’s leadership will be critical to North Queensland’s plans to get back into the eight. Make no mistake though, he’s up against it. He needs a clear run from injury and more from his forward pack.

He’ll need to be magnificent to make something of his decent, but not game-breaking backline, featuring new recruits Nene Macdonald from St George Illawarra and former Brisbane Broncos Tom Opacic and Jordan Kahu.

Morgan is one of my favourite players. What can he do with the team now he’s in the pilot’s seat?

Phil Gould, Ivan Cleary and Penrith Panthers
Ivan Cleary is back, Phil Gould is still there. Away from the club, Penrith had a rancid off-season but on the field, fans expect their team to be right up among premiership discussions.

Cleary has had to do a lot of fixer-upper work in his career to date, but now he’s taking a job where strong foundations already exist, the setup is purring, and there’s no need to call for a bus.

Penrith’s going to be running out a squad seasoned with finals experience that’s keen and ready to take the next step.

There’s also the influence of Gould, the general manager of football who’s more hands-on than most. ‘Gus’ has the ear and respect of most of the game’s key figures and, as he has shown over and over and over again, he won’t hesitate to act if he thinks something needs to be done to get the club where he wants it.

Just ask Anthony Griffin. Just ask Ivan Cleary.

Drama is never far away from the Panthers. And boy oh boy, have they contributed to their own problems this year. Who knows what else will come as the season plays out?

Ivan Cleary is reuniting Penrith. (Photo: Renee McKay/Getty Images)

Newcastle and expectation
The Knights finished 11th last year with an ordinary nine-win, 15-loss record. They started the year well with Mitchell Pearce, before a pec injury to their star recruit and consistently bad defence saw them yet again do little more than make up the numbers.

There’s a lot riding on the year for coach Nathan Brown. He’s got the squad he’s wanted since landing in the Hunter, this season adding proven performers like David Klemmer, Tim Glasby, James Gavet, Jesse Ramien and the underrated Kurt Mann.

Can Brown get this club where he wants them? The long, long-suffering Knights fans rightly expect some reward after turning out in numbers to watch the dreck that’s been on offer over the last few years.

Knights coach Nathan Brown. (AAP Image/Dave Hunt)

Sydney’s playing surfaces
While the stadium debacle drags on ahead of the New South Wales election, the SCG is going to get Super Rugby, A-League, NRL and AFL games shredding a surface that has already struggled during AFL seasons when the cricket-pitch area cops boots and poor weather.

Get ready for a classic, cross-code blame-game as the SCG cops a beating.

With two of the biggest Sydney stadiums closed for the year, it shouldn’t surprise to see average crowds down across the board. The opening of the new Parramatta Stadium could save the overall numbers – let’s hope its surface is up to snuff.

2019 is a litmus test for those who advocate for more games at local grounds and would prefer the NRL goes ‘back to the future’. If no one shows up to these local games, what do we blame?

#RefsFault reloaded
Another season, another set of riding instructions for the referees – and this year, we’ll also get a weekly dose of NRL head of football Graham Annesley answering contentious refereeing decisions. What could go wrong?

“Some games will allow the referees to stay out of it, other games will require the referee to intervene on a far more regular basis,” Annesley told The Australian during the week.

“So I want them to show discretion and ensure they adopt the appropriate approach based on the game they are confronted with.”

Graham Annesley (AAP Image/Dave Hunt)

Referees are to ‘call it as they see it’ and leave the trivial penalties alone. All fine and good, I suppose. It shouldn’t take long for a team to lose a game because a few trivial penalties weren’t called, but that’s what the fans want, isn’t it? I’m sure they’ll understand.

I’d love to see Annesley get up on a Monday night and tell the critics to do one, but I’m not holding my breath. The NRL’s form for protecting its most important employees is nothing short of shameful.

With history as our guide, it wouldn’t be a shock to see these weekly reports become show trials to publicly hang referees who made one wrong call out of hundreds (even though they’ve been cleared not to make some calls at all. You keeping up?)

Whatever happens, we can rest easy that dozens of crisis pieces about how refs have lost control of the game are drafted and ready to post.

Expanded thinking from head office
If someone wrote 30 years ago that the 2019 NRL season would kick off with the Broncos playing the Storm in a packed Melbourne stadium, they would have been laughed out of town.

But we need that kind of imagination now. The game needs to think about its next move, and that move must be further outside the comfort zones of NSW and Queensland.

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ARLC chair Peter Beattie and CEO Todd Greenberg are on the record saying the NRL needs to expand and the game’s strategic plan highlights it too.

Expect to see announcements at some stage this season that the Commission are into more advanced planning for expansion.

Whether it’s relocated teams, new teams, more teams, I don’t care. I just want to see that options are being actively considered.

The Crowd Says:

2019-03-13T05:16:43+00:00

Papi Smurf

Roar Rookie


Good point. But Manu has progressed and improved at an exponential rate especially when compared to Burns who has struggled to find his feet in the NRL or get much game time. Burns is a centre and yet has been played on the wing and briefly at FB where he has looked lost and out of place. Cleary peppering him with high balls in one game and seemed to expose his glaring deficiencies under the high ball and also undermine his confidence. Burns also needs to increase his muscle mass and put on weight IMO. He still looks too underweight and light framed to contest the physical battles in the game and he only possesses average speed, agility and acceleration so he doesn't even have that to fall back on and get himself out of trouble. Perhaps you are beginning to see why I favour having Graham at centre (his natural position) and Allan on the wing until he can take over from AJ?

2019-03-13T04:58:49+00:00

BA Sports

Roar Guru


You may also find that Burns has played on Manu a few times coming through the junior ranks and ISP. So it may not be totally foreign to him.

2019-03-13T04:15:44+00:00

eels47

Roar Rookie


The worry though is that if GI isn't 100% Latrell has the ability to make a fool of him.

2019-03-13T04:06:07+00:00

souvalis

Roar Rookie


By the same token it’s not as if Browns locked him in there and thrown away the key..if you have a magician in your team,give him the ball ! How funny was it watching the Roosters on TV last season and hearing the commentators screaming ‘get the ball to Mitchell ! Where’s Mitchell!’ Defensive load..Keary, Maloney, Munster and Walker average 20 tackles a game..all smaller men than Ponga..last weeks trial Ponga was standing quite wide in defence,on occasion outside his center Sione M.who was trying to hurt and deter… If it doesn’t work,it doesn’t work..just put ‘em back..change ‘em mid game, whatever you need to keep your opponents in Ponga Panic mode..

2019-03-13T03:40:40+00:00

Papi Smurf

Roar Rookie


In that case perhaps it would have been more prudent for GI to have sat this game out with that in mind.

2019-03-13T02:44:46+00:00

Papi Smurf

Roar Rookie


NRL Early Mail for Round 1: FOX Sports is reporting that despite being named at left centre with Gagai on the left wing (2. Gagai, 3. Inglis), Greg Inglis will line up against Latrell Mitchell and play at right centre, presumably with Dane Gagai on his more familiar right wing. If true, I think this is a shrewd move by Bennett to contain Latrell Mitchell while giving the new pairing of Burns and Graham a little breathing room. They will still face a challenge trying to contain boom youngster Joseph Manu and veteran Brett Morris who has found a new lease of life at the Roosters following his Man of the Match performance in the World Club Challenge final. This game will be decided in the middle third of the field as well as in the clashes between the halves and between two titans in Greg Inglis and Latrell Mitchell. If Sam Burgess can get his ball handling under control he could also break the game wide open attacking on Souths' right attacking edge with Reynolds inside him and Inglis and Gagai on his outside big Sam will be a nightmare for Boyd Cordner to control one on one and a frightening prospect for the Roosters left edge defence. The pressure is clearly on the premiers while the Bunnies are underdogs and can throw caution to the wind. Souths by 4+ in a game that can go right down to the siren and where Reynolds' boot can make all the difference.

2019-03-13T02:05:30+00:00

Albo

Roar Rookie


100% db ! I think that the greatest threat to the Roosters going back to back this season is the potential extensive injury list via the "shifting sands", potholes and Bulli soil of their new shared home ground at the SCG !

2019-03-13T01:27:08+00:00

The Barry

Roar Guru


Wayne Bennett has always said it took Locky 18 months to fully make the transition and he was arguably the best player in the world with seven or so years of first grade, state and international footy. I think the potential impact of this move has been understated.

2019-03-13T00:08:11+00:00

kk

Roar Pro


Lockyer had a lot stronger support base than Ponga must work with at club level. At Origin the squad strength would allow Ponga to play anywhere, though I still prefer him at full back.

2019-03-13T00:05:09+00:00

db

Guest


A couple season ending ACL injuries could derail Easts in 2019. Anything is possible after seeing the SCG turf the other night.

2019-03-13T00:03:09+00:00

jimmmy

Roar Rookie


I don’t remember Locky being an instant hit at six. My recollection is he copped plenty of criticism early on. Give Ponga some time . He has the talent.

2019-03-13T00:01:29+00:00

jimmmy

Roar Rookie


What a fantastic first round line up of matches we have. Broncs / Storm to start is perfect. Then Rabbitohs / Roosters another cracker. Seriously I can’t remember a more even looking opening round . I hope the games live up to the draw. Well done NRL.

2019-03-12T23:58:34+00:00

jimmmy

Roar Rookie


Morgs would be right centre imo. I think Will Chambers has had his day.

AUTHOR

2019-03-12T23:25:09+00:00

AJ Mithen

Expert


Thanks KK and it’s one of the big questions- will Ponga’s switch work like Lockyer in ‘04, or Will it work like Dugan in ‘12?

2019-03-12T23:22:38+00:00

kk

Roar Pro


Hi AJ, Only trivial refereeing decisions can stop Easts in '19. I tip NQC and PP to go top 4. Too many ageing and injury prone Bondi rejects at the Knights to make the 8. Ponga @ #6 instead of #1 needs to be corrected pronto. Kalyn deserves better. The NRL/ ARL Rule Book being made rid of trivialities and ambiguities has been atop my GGoA wish list since 1946. Alas, it only gets more cluttered and confusing in its application. You penned it perfectly with 'another set of riding instructions for the referees'. Maybe referees should also undergo colour bias tests? Expansion is a good way to waste money the NRL/ARL has not got.

2019-03-12T22:49:43+00:00

The Barry

Roar Guru


Good call on Morgan. A tick over 12 months ago and Morgan was the best half in the game. If Qld picked their team today I think it would be Ponga, Munster, DCE in the 1/6/7 with Morgan leadingvthe battle for a bench spot with Hunt and Milford

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