Adding Joe Daniher won't solve Sydney's biggest issues, but it may be a turning point

By George Kay / Roar Rookie

Based in New South Wales since 1982, the Sydney Swans have been a team based in a predominantly rugby environment, and up until the last few years, they barely had any backyard talent for them to pick from to help develop a team.

They were a team that relied on superstars to help build their brand, and throughout their 38 seasons in the VFL/AFL in Sydney, the Swans have held copious amounts of superstar talent.

The big-name superstars included Warwick Capper, Tony Lockett, Adam Goodes, Michael O’Loughlin and many more.

They were explosive players with the ability to change the game in a handful of minutes, and these stars helped build the Swans’ name in Sydney in an environment that never suited Australian rules football.

Today, the Swans have one of the great key forwards of football history in Lance ‘Buddy’ Franklin, as well as an intriguing nucleus of young stars in Isaac Heeney, Callum Mills, Nick Blakey, Oliver Florent and Will Hayward to go with key veteran contributors such as Jake Lloyd, Dane Rampe and Luke Parker.

Lance Franklin of the Swans. (Photo by Ryan Pierse/Getty Images)

Unfortunately, with four-time Coleman Medal winner Franklin playing just ten games in 2019, as well as many of their stars that took the club to three grand finals in five years from 2012-2016 ageing, retiring or on their last legs, the Swans finished 15th.

The Swans were not bad statistically, but some glaring issues stood out: a papier mache ruck crew, lead by Callum Sinclair and Sam Reid, managed only 28.5 hitouts per game, the second-least in the AFL (following the Bulldogs), while the Swans finished second-worst in inside 50s per game with just 47.7 per game, behind just the Gold Coast.

The Swans ruck struggles also contributed to the third worst clearance total in the AFL (34.5 per game), and the Swans also recorded the 6th-least tackles inside 50 per game, recording 9.5 per contest.

Good ruckmen can be found cheap; the two premier ruckmen of the AFL in Brodie Grundy and Max Gawn were drafted 18th and 34th respectively. The man whose season was so dominant that he ended up with the fourth most hitouts in AFL history (as well as the most in the league), Jarrod Witts, was acquired by the Gold Coast for picks 44 and 62 in the 2016 trade period.

Acquiring a good ruckman to fix the Swans’ biggest issue won’t be expensive, but for a team who finished fourth last, adding a solid ruckman likely won’t automatically vault the Swans back into finals contention.

The team needs more juice to get there, and maybe that would come in the form of Essendon star Joe Daniher.

The son of a gun (and the nephew of a fair few others), Daniher’s career to this point has involved the highest of highs and some very low lows.

The 10th pick in the 2012 AFL Draft, a father-son pick who could have gone to Sydney if he wanted (his father Anthony played over 100 games for both the Swans and the Bombers), at this stage Daniher has played 104 games for Essendon, winning a best and fairest in 2017, making the All Australian team that same year, and the big man has scored 188 goals across his career so far.

His best season was undoubtedly 2017, a year when he scored 65 goals and helped an Essendon team that had been rampaged by the ASADA findings a season before to seventh place and a finals finish. In the two seasons since, Daniher has played just 11 games for 15 goals, struggling with accuracy, consistency, and copious injuries.

Though he did show flashes, including scoring four goals in an exceptional performance on Anzac Day against Collingwood in 2019, it simply wasn’t enough overall for a man who is reportedly making nearly $700k a year on a big deal at Tullamarine.

Even when he did play in 2019, his goal accuracy of 50 per cent was subpar in his nine games, and thus the rumours have come in that Daniher will go to Sydney in an attempt to revitalise his career playing a supplementary role to superstar Buddy Franklin, which could pay massive dividends for both team and player.

For the first time in Buddy’s stint in the Harbour, he would get a capable twin-tower in the forward line. As valiant as the efforts of Sam Reid and Kurt Tippett have been, they’ve barely been of any general assistance to Franklin, so Daniher will bring something to Sydney that hasn’t been seen in many years. Whether bringing Daniher to Sydney will pay dividends or not, however, is a completely different story.

Joe Daniher (Photo by Graham Denholm/Getty Images)

Daniher is not a forward who can move up the ground and get his own footy; he is a big man who relies on great delivery from his midfielders in order to produce results, so his presence is unlikely to affect Sydney’s abhorrent abhorrent inside 50 totals too much.

The reality is, as talented as Daniher is, he would struggle to get much of the footy as the second-option on a team that registered the second-worst inside 50 numbers in the game, and new key forwards don’t really help make these numbers a significant amount better, so without better entry into Sydney’s forward-50, Daniher’s productivity would likely be inconsistent in NSW.

Adding Daniher also doesn’t fix the Swans’ ruck issues; though adding a capable ruckman would absolutely help fix that problem, and lead to more opportunities for Daniher, no rumours of Sydney’s plans for the ruck spot have been mentioned yet, and if this issue remains an issue, Sydney will continue to struggle getting the ball to their forwards.

If Sydney can get more inside-50s with Daniher in their forward line, the Daniher-Franklin combo would be downright scary and nearly impossible to game plan against. However, as Sydney stands at the moment, it is hard to see what exactly Daniher brings to a team that won’t get the ball to him easily.

A good ruckman would help change that, and Sydney is good at developing players, and if a ruckman can be acquired with Daniher in the trade period, expect Sydney to rise up the ladder following a poor 2019 campaign.

The Crowd Says:

2019-10-02T03:25:20+00:00

James Male

Guest


Don't spend half the article telling us stuff we already know!

2019-09-26T11:57:23+00:00

The Finger

Guest


Paul Salmon featured for Essendon, Hawks, and back to Essendon again. It’s just business.....But, you make a good point!

2019-09-25T13:16:48+00:00

asd

Guest


if they can get him for a reasonable price it would work .Sydney always better at taking players from other clubs and making them into something Mumford was 1 . Do not put all your eggs in 1 basket

2019-09-25T07:44:33+00:00

Kick to kick

Guest


I doubt Sydney will see Daniher as worth a top ten pick at either 4 ( which with Suns concession will be 5) or 8/9 if Papley goes to Carlton. I also doubt Papley will go given his value to the team - crumbing small forwards are crucial in the modern game. Unless he absolutely insists on leaving. While the Swans will like the idea of Daniher and his marketability he’s not an answer to an area of weakness, with Blakey and McCartin coming through as key forward prospects. What the Swans need is to keep Papley ( number one goal kicker this year) and to find midfield talent with its first draft pick. A Daniher deal will only be done with whatever can be conjured after ticking those boxes.

2019-09-25T04:42:29+00:00

Birdman

Roar Rookie


I have to agree Brisbane would be a good fit if he spurns the Hawks :silly:

2019-09-25T04:28:32+00:00

JamesH

Roar Guru


No, but in the middle of the season it was all about Fantasia leaving this year and now that myth's been busted. I think the Bombers would back themselves to keep Joe and get him up and about in 2020, unless Sydney is willing to make a big offer.

2019-09-25T04:12:06+00:00

DingoGray

Roar Guru


It does indeed! I think Big Joe injury concerns would benefit a Medical Team North of the Border. One with a good Track record! The weather would also help the Big Man!

2019-09-25T04:09:51+00:00

Birdman

Roar Rookie


sounds greedy, doesn't it DG?

2019-09-25T03:32:34+00:00

Macca

Roar Rookie


Not according to Papley’s Dad on Twitter. But you are right, who knows what it true but you must admit the signs aren’t great for daniher wanting to stay.

2019-09-25T03:27:56+00:00

JamesH

Roar Guru


True. The rumour mill is going into overdrive now. Hard to know how much is real and how much of it is journos playing Chinese whispers. One 'reports' something that's still unconfirmed, then someone else reports on that report. Apparently North is now a front-runner for Papley and they have pick 7. Who knows.

2019-09-25T03:10:37+00:00

Macca

Roar Rookie


"If the Swans want Daniher then it’s not because they need support for Franklin; it’s because they’re worried about how much footy Buddy – who is 33 in January and only played one game after round 14 – actually has left in him." Completely agree with this but I think Buddy's limited time makes it more likely the Swans are chasing Daniher hard. As for what the Swans will offer Essendon, the rumour has been circulating for a while now that if Daniher decides to go to the Swans they will trade Papley to the blues in a deal that includes pick 8. Pick 8 and 2020's first round pick for a bloke with 15 goals from 11 games over the last 2 seasons who could walk next year and the bombers likely only get a mid first round pick for would have to be "pretty enticing".

2019-09-25T00:18:49+00:00

Omnitrader

Roar Rookie


yep sorry swanny, I wonder if somehow papley leaves then the swans might get Jamie Elliot in a some kind of 3 way deal with carlton and pie

2019-09-24T23:21:52+00:00

MG

Roar Rookie


Sorry to be picky, Buddie turns 33 in January and has three years left on his contract. A succession plan is a good idea but there's already been issues from the Buddy contract. I believe his salary started lower then jumped up to very high and then drops again over the last two to three years. It still creates salary cap pressure so if Daniher was the succession plan then a long term contract with it going up as Buddy's declines and finishes would be better. Maybe have a trigger clause if he keeps on the park.

2019-09-24T22:25:21+00:00

DingoGray

Roar Guru


I'm not sure Daniher fits the Swans. If he wanted a fresh start maybe a trip North would be good for him. I hear the weather is great for injuries.

2019-09-24T22:21:24+00:00

DingoGray

Roar Guru


Patton and Daniher hey Birdman? You can't have them all.

2019-09-24T21:49:08+00:00

Omnitrader

Roar Rookie


the only problem is that Buddy and Sinclair will be 34 and 30 next year. Danniher is a good succession plan for buddy.

2019-09-24T10:47:26+00:00

Maximus insight

Guest


Funny some of the names you have ahead of Brett Kirk! Also, Joe daniher's dad and brothers were also from the NSW Riverina

2019-09-24T07:22:47+00:00

Yawn of the Dead

Guest


yes/ it works both ways Papley pick and future second rounder looks like just enough enticement, as they are unlikely to get anything more than about pick 15 as compo next year

2019-09-24T02:53:39+00:00

MG

Roar Rookie


The big issue for the Swans is not the ruck. It is getting players back from injury and getting experience and size into younger players. As others have noted the ruck situation is greatly improved with Naismith returning from ACL injury and Sinclair from shoulder. Many clubs are interested in Cameron who missed out on opportunity when Naismith and Sinclair were injured because of his own injury. I expect he will move on. If Naismith is playing then Sinclair gets to go forward where he is more suited and do ruck to relieve Naismith. There's a couple of other listed players who have struggled with injury and others that will also push for debut next year. If they fit into the backline then you will see Mills playing more midfield time changing the dynamic of the team. If Heeney is injury free he will also play more midfield. When Blakey adds some weight he will be playing more midfield. This will see Kennedy spending more time forward. His decline in output has been a big issue along with the loss of Hannebery and that's where the lack of winning contested ball and low forward 50s originates. I don't think paying a lot for Daniher is a good move, especially if it means losing Papley. The Swans would still have Hayward and Ronke as small forwards but Papley probably needs a pay rise to reflect his status and I'd rather see the money go to him than Daniher. Let McCartin develop as the other tall. With Buddy, Reid, Sinclair and McCartin there is already enough height in my opinion.

2019-09-24T02:40:41+00:00

Omnitrader

Roar Rookie


it revived riewoldts career by moving there.

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