My blueprint for Australia's rugby calendar

By Joe King / Roar Rookie

There are a lot of reasons why Super Rugby stopped working, especially for Australian fans.

But I’ve sometimes wondered if one of the reasons was the building frustration for many Australian fans that Super Rugby could never quite deliver something akin to what the NRL and AFL give their fans to enjoy every year.

With Super Rugby expanding to include more Australian teams, along with the conference system, perhaps many Australian fans thought they could experience something close to a national domestic competition.

But alas, with time-zone irritations, the Super Rugby final hardly ever played in Australia, and years without any Australian teams even being in the final, the frustration only grew. And gradually Australian fans have come to realise that Super Rugby can never play the role they hoped it would.

Of course, the thing is, it was never actually designed to play that role in the first place!

New Zealand and South Africa certainly didn’t need it to play that role within their countries since they already had traditional domestic tournaments in place. Originally, for New Zealand rugby, apart from raising revenue, one of Super Rugby’s main purposes was to identify and polish players ready for Test level.

And New Zealand rugby will continue to see this as one of the main roles of their Super Rugby teams going forward. This system has served the All Blacks and rugby in New Zealand so extremely well, that you can be sure the administration will do everything in their power to maintain this system. This includes keeping all their Test players and potential Test players within their own teams, where they can manage the style they play, and condition and rest them in a way that best serves the All Blacks.

(Photo by Hagen Hopkins/Getty Images)

Australian fans need to be aware of this in their hope for a Trans-Tasman competition. Many Australian fans might be thinking a good structure would be to have five Australian teams included. But it needs to be realised that this will make the Australian teams less competitive overall. Even four teams is a stretch.

Yes, Australia won Super Rugby when they had five teams, but notice this did nothing to stem the declining interest in Super Rugby. The overall lack of competitiveness has made it hard for Super Rugby to win fans in Australia.

If Australia has five teams in a Trans-Tasman competition, they should not be expecting an Australian team to win it very often, and probably not be in the final very often either. And so Australian fans will be disappointed if they are expecting a Trans-Tasman competition with five Australian teams to deliver something close to an NRL or AFL competition experience.

Further to this, it’s just going to be a real drag for New Zealand fans. It would be like Japan expecting a second team in Super Rugby, or South Africa expecting six teams all over again with many of their best players away in Europe.

A possible way to solve this problem and provide the required depth needed for five Australian teams might be to recruit a certain amount of Argentinian and South African players. However, this relies on enough good players being available and not involved elsewhere. It’s possible, but it’s still an unknown factor to rely on.

Further to this, in order to have enough content with five teams each, the teams will be forced into conferences all over again where they will play all teams once, but their own conference teams twice. This will raise questions of fairness for the stronger conference. And a home-and-away season involving all ten teams would be too much content to fit within the 18-20 week window.

(Tracey Nearmy/Getty Images)

So what if Australia has less teams? In the NRL, A-League and the NBL, New Zealand fans don’t expect to have any more teams. They just make do with what they have. Maybe Australian rugby fans need to do the same in a Trans-Tasman competition?

The problem with this, however, is even if less Australian teams resulted in them being more competitive and one of them winning more often with less of a domestic presence, then you’re straight back to Super 12 square one again, with the growing desire in Australia to have more teams and spoil it all over again.

A Trans-Tasman competition might be better than Super Rugby for many Australian fans, but it won’t satisfy them in the way that many think it will. It won’t be long before Australian fans start wishing they had their own domestic competition.

However, the problem with a standalone domestic competition in Australia is the risk that it won’t bring in enough revenue to keep their top players – or at least, it will take too long to do so. Many Australian fans are happy to take this risk.

But remember, the one team that truly has the ability to make the headlines, win fans to the game in Australia, and bring in plenty of revenue is the Wallabies. Think about 1998 to 2003.

If Australia loses even more of its top players, and the Wallabies decline even further, it may put rugby in a worse position than the A-League, and set Australian rugby back for generations.

Such a domestic competition will forever struggle to win fans and raise revenue because it can’t attract and keep its top players. It will be a deep hole to climb out of. And it will be especially dark in that hole come Test season.

(Photo by Hannah Peters/Getty Images)

It is easier to see the problems than it is to see a clear solution.

However, here is a less than ideal model, but which might tick the most boxes overall.

As in any model, Test rugby will kick off in July with the in-bounds, followed by the Rugby Championship, followed by the European tours. This is pretty much fixed. The question is what to do with the 18-20-week window from the end of February to the end of June?

Assuming that Super Rugby does not continue with South Africa and Argentina, what if we could have a domestic competition and a Trans-Tasman competition? There are two ways to do this.

The first way I predict might appeal to many Australian fans, but would not appeal to New Zealand. And it wouldn’t raise as much revenue as the second way either. In any case, the first way would be for the year to kick off with a revamped eight-team NRC to be played in Australia, while the Mitre 10 Cup is played in New Zealand – with all the Test players available.

Following these two competitions, the top four teams from each would play in a truncated Trans-Tasman competition, with two pools of four teams each. In each pool would be two Australian teams and two New Zealand teams.

Play all the teams in your own pool, with the top two teams moving through for cross-over semi-finals and a final. All the other teams from the NRC and Mitre 10 Cup that did not qualify could play in a knock-out competition at the same time.

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The beauty of this model is that fans can follow their team in their own domestic competition and then in the Trans-Tasman competition, and potentially be crowned champion of champions. And excitingly, the team that wins the Trans-Tasman competition may not even be the same team that won their respective domestic competition!

The downside, however, is that some of the best players may be in teams that don’t qualify for the Trans-Tasman competition, and therefore miss out. Thus, the competition could miss out on potential bums on seats and further broadcasting revenue.

In any case, I predict this idea won’t suit New Zealand rugby because they will be looking to use their Super Rugby teams in the same way that has served their purposes so well in the professional age.

The second way to have a domestic and Trans-Tasman competition would be to, again, start the year with a revamped eight-team NRC in Australia, while the Mitre 10 Cup is played in New Zealand.

At the risk of distracting people from the concept, the NRC teams I would include would be Western Force, Melbourne Rebels, Canberra, Brisbane, Sydney, NSW Country, Queensland Country and Fijian Drua based in Western Sydney to tap into that region’s rugby potential.

Following the NRC and Mitre 10 Cup would be the Trans-Tasman competition made up of the following Super teams: ACT Brumbies, NSW Waratahs, Queensland Reds, Highlanders, Crusaders, Hurricanes, Blues and Chiefs.

(AAP Image/Chris Symes)

With this model, the Trans-Tasman competition no longer needs to fulfil the role of a top-level domestic competition for Australian fans because the NRC now provides that – with all the Test stars playing in it.

Instead, the Trans-Tasman teams act as representative teams that attract fans in the way that the Super 12 teams originally did. And because they are representative teams, there is no need to have finals.

The Trans-Tasman competition is simply an intense, straight seven weeks, where every team plays every other team only once, with a first-past-the-post winner. Every game is an event. Every game is a must-win special event, just like State of Origin in the NRL.

The Trans-Tasman competition is not designed to expand. Expanding it only takes away from it – just like it would if they tried to play more State of Origin games each year. Less is more. It drives up revenue because it never gets old or tired. It leaves fans wanting more of its intensity and to see the best verse the best again.

And on top of this, Australia can use the Trans-Tasman competition for the same purpose as New Zealand does for the All Blacks – to identify and pick the Wallabies. With this common purpose, both countries can move together without banging into each other all the time.

The year would run as follows: domestic comps from late February to April, then the Trans-Tasman comp from the end of April to June, then the internationals between July and November.

(Cameron Spencer/Getty Images)

Three more small points. Firstly, in New Zealand, this model would change the structure of their season with the Mitre 10 Cup effectively swapping places with club rugby. However, it’s important to note that it doesn’t change the purpose of these two components within their system, and so it shouldn’t affect the overall results of their system.

Secondly, while this model is somewhat a bag of mixed goodies, the length of season for the domestic competitions is similar in length to the current NRC and Mitre 10 Cup, but with increased interest because all the Test stars are available. Fan surveys indicate that a Mitre 10 Cup with all the Test players available would be quite popular in New Zealand, and perhaps feel like a return to the NPC glory days. And for Australia, it allows them to build the basis of a viable domestic competition and establish any new brand names, without taking the risk of putting all their eggs in a domestic competition alone.

And thirdly, this model might go some way to relieving the tension between the Sydney clubs and supporters of the NRC in Australia. While the NRC would gain pride of place with all the Test stars available, it would no longer clash with the club competitions at the back end of their season.

Instead, all of the NRC players who don’t qualify for the Trans-Tasman competition would return to their clubs at the end of April, and the non-Test Trans-Tasman players would return to their clubs in July. That leaves room for ideas such as a national club championship if there is the appetite for it.

That’s a pretty good deal for both the NRC and the clubs. It increases their value to be bundled together in an overall package.

It’s not an ideal model, but it might just tick the most boxes overall.

The Crowd Says:

2020-05-24T08:56:41+00:00

Glider

Guest


Some consolation. There will be no problem getting permission for spectators back to the game because there is not enough people attending to worrying about social distancing ...... !! Same with league - one miserable stand half empty and a hand full of people scattered around at the end of the ground. Thats the reality at the moment.

2020-05-11T22:30:05+00:00

Joe King

Guest


Yeah, all good points, MDiddy. Thanks for your feedback.

2020-05-11T16:06:42+00:00

MDiddy

Roar Rookie


Nice article mate, like a lot of us, you've obviously been staying up late and poring over calendars, schedules, union structures and making notes and diagrams. I do like the idea of the rugby season being a calendar year build up, starting with a wide base of NRC teams, then switching to smaller representative teams and then into the International season. I suppose the leftovers from the NRC teams who don't make the Tahs/Reds/Brumbies would return back to club rugby? Presumably these would be semi-professional players. Like anything that's being thrown up especially my own proposals, a lot of what ifs, given the unpredictable future of Super Rugby, the true motives of New Zealand and more importantly the financial situation of Rugby Australia to float such a competition. The focus on this latter seems to be getting closer and closer to being realised if recent news reports are to be believed. I'm in favour of the reduction in three rep teams but the shorter season and decreased regularity of the rep teams playing together will mean that the combinations between players in contention for Wallaby selection will be limited. Same for the Kiwis, should they be involved, although some of their current franchises have strong alignment with their Mitre 10 feeder clubs so they would probably perform as well as they usually do. I think the point has been made in these comments already, but the talk of World Rugby's changing calendar continues to add another unknown element into the mix. If the July window for international tests was moved to the end of the year it would benefit the Southern Hemisphere teams who would have had a full year of playing and building consistency but you'd have to think a 10-11 month season would have a strain on the players at some point.

2020-05-10T10:12:09+00:00

Joe King

Guest


Thanks for your comment, Kashmir. The team names are details that can be changed without affecting the overall concept. I guess the NRC already has Brisbane (City) and Sydney as two of their teams. So it's nothing new. It would be very hard to leave these cities unrepresented and gain traction in a national domestic comp. But you're right, all the NRC teams are still a little new and may feel artificial. They need time. And with all the test players playing and revenue from the TT comp, it gives us some time to get them established. Maybe in time, there's a place to add New Castle and Adelaide. I guess we've got to start with what we've got. But the NRC teams are not origin teams, and so the teams should all be pretty even. If the TT teams are SoO type rep teams on the other hand, then they need to include NSW and Qld at the very least. These are our traditional rep teams in this sense. And they capture the following of the two biggest rugby regions. And it's very hard not to make the third team the (ACT) Brumbies since they are one of the original teams. But yeah, the Brumbies would need to represent any players not of NSW and Qld origin (of which there are not as many), and 'extra' players not part of NSW and Qld teams. That's what made the Brumbies the fan's favourites in the first place. They were like the left-overs, but became really tight and became our most successful team in the early years. Anyway, feel free to come back at me if you disagree or something.

2020-05-10T08:21:06+00:00


New Zealand is the most marketable rugby union brand there is, I think if New Zealand rugby leave Australian rugby in the cold, Australian rugby will be in the mire, not the other way round you suggest.

2020-05-09T09:42:45+00:00

Kashmir Pete

Roar Guru


Thanks Joe One thing that leave me flat about the NRC is the concept of Brisbane or Sydney nominally competing against the other sides. I'm assuming most (majority) of players with most other sides are affiliated with a club team in Brisbane or Sydney. I would prefer to see the team from these two 'incubator cities' teams with new regional NRC teams, say in Newcastle or Adelaide etc? Fans in Sydney and Brisbane might take a particular 'TV interest' in one of the regional teams, and it seems to leave the Sydney and Brisbane comps, less tainted in my mind, by nominal teams for their two cities, which in reality, if truly respresented in the NRC, would regularly flog other teams. One can argue all NRC teams are maybe artificial too, but my instinct is to 'cut out' Syd & Brisb. Then as I think you and Jez suggest, follow up with (in 1st instance) 3 'state of origin' teams. But my preferred provincial teams would be (1) Sydney (2) Brisbane (3) 'Outback/Brumbies/whatever'. That strikes me as enabling the 3rd team, to have 'more not less' true 'players of origin'. As Jez says, and players overlooked by (say) Sydney and Brisbane provinces, available for 'Outback Team' Cheers KP

2020-05-09T09:01:08+00:00

Joe King

Guest


Thanks mate! While I was out walking today, I was actually thinking along the same lines. I realised I shouldn't have called them the 'ACT' Brumbies, but rather just left them as the 'Brumbies', because in my mind they represent the rest of Oz, while NSW and Qld are basically origin teams.

2020-05-09T08:54:53+00:00

Joe King

Guest


Thanks Danny, appreciate that.

2020-05-09T08:50:55+00:00

Joe King

Guest


I did think it might be a popular idea in NZ to have the Mitre 10 Cup with all the Test stars in it. Because the market is too small in NZ to have this on its own, I truly thought this model might be better for NZ too. But perhaps I am mistaken. In any case, can't blame a guy for having a go.

2020-05-09T08:44:13+00:00

Joe King

Guest


I'd love that Steve, but it's far from certain, and won't be before 2023 World Cup if it happens. The 6 Nations won't move, but what might move is the July Inbounds move to October. This would be great because it would allow an extra month or so before TRC.

2020-05-09T08:40:34+00:00

Joe King

Guest


Interesting. Wouldn't mind thinking about that a little more. Thanks.

2020-05-09T08:32:14+00:00

hog

Roar Rookie


Yep just drivel, The average Super rugby audience between 16-39 age since 2013 has recorded a 73% drop, obviously wrong its more like 65%, hell who needs a future.

2020-05-09T08:17:29+00:00

Waitemata

Roar Rookie


@ClassAct Troll score 1/10.

2020-05-09T07:43:23+00:00

hog

Roar Rookie


Well maybe that's just where our game sits right now, or we can continue with those visions of grandeur, I mean surely that American or Asian conference money should start kicking in soon.

2020-05-09T07:24:56+00:00

Train Without A Station

Roar Guru


Australia just can’t commercially support more than 5 teams. The goal should be more, but when you are struggling to support 5, it’s not the time to add on costs or more

2020-05-09T07:13:11+00:00

jeznez

Roar Guru


Your second model is very similar to what I’ve come around to. In my model the three teams in the trans Tasman are NSW, Qld and Rest of Oz and they are picked on origin with players not picked in one squad available to the others to maximise the best talent playing. Fully agree your NRC split which is pretty much the existing model. Hadn’t considered your first past the post plan but think that is a ripper as my plan had a few too many games. Nice one!

2020-05-09T06:45:01+00:00

JD Kiwi

Roar Rookie


Agreed. Some people want to create a second rate NRL. Unfortunately you don’t have the players, fans or money to make it work.

2020-05-09T05:33:16+00:00

ClassAct

Guest


If Australia leaves New Zealand rugby out in the cold all of their good players will head off shore with a watered down Mitre 10 comp left in its wake. The next generation of New Zealand’s best players will be queuing up for reserve grade NRL squads. Imagine what that would do to the national psyche ????

2020-05-09T04:12:38+00:00

Jacko

Guest


Boonboon RA has never been for the benifit of SA and NZ. SA and NZ just managed themselves 100% better to make the situation work for them. Aus was incapable of doing that. RA needs to own their failures and stop blaming SA, NZ or anyone else.

2020-05-09T04:12:15+00:00

Hobo Joe

Guest


To save Oz rugby from itself, I hope Covid stays around stopping travel for years. Then we can build what we should have always had. An English Premiership style of competition. Imagine if the afl copied rugby. Six state teams, Melbourne gets a home game every fortnight and only ten match season. You would be playing straight into soccer’s hands. People would drift to other sports. And this is exactly what union has done. And they are supposedly the intelligent footballing class. It is insane to think that Sydney has one pro match a fortnight. Whoever came up with that shit?

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