History tells us the Dragons need a rebuild

By Andrew / Roar Pro

As we all remember, Wayne Bennett brought immediate success to the Dragons when he took over the reins in 2009.

A minor premiership in 2009, another minor premiership in 2010 plus the long-awaited grand final victory and then the World Cup Challenge in 2011.

In fact, within the first two years of Bennett’s arrival, the Dragons held every trophy available to them: the Charity Shield, World Club Challenge, Anzac Day Cup, JJ Giltinan Shield and the Provan-Summons Trophy plus the Clive Churchill Medal as the cherry on top.

So by comparison what expectations should Dragons fans have for Anthony Griffin? Should they expect a similar result in such a short period of time?

Results do in a large part depend on the cattle available to the coach so I was wondering which coach has the better starting point?

In 2008 the Dragons finished seventh with 13 wins coming off two years in 2005 and 2006 where they made credible title runs.

In 2020 the Dragons’ best place finish is likely 11th with six or seven wins. The last finals appearance was in 2018 where they finished seventh.

The 2008 team which Bennett inherited included grand final players Jason Nightingale, Brett Morris, Matt Cooper, Mark Gasnier (left in ’09 but returned in ’10) Jamie Soward, Ben Hornby, Dean Young, Beau Scott, Matt Prior, Jarrod Saffy and Ben Creagh.

Of the current 2020 squad, the only players I can think of that might make the 2010 grand final team are Cameron McInnes for Nathan Fien and Paul Vaughan for Michael Weyman.

So obviously Bennett had a far superior squad to work with than what Griffin is inheriting, so a two-year plan to win a premiership is completely unrealistic. It’s more like a five-year plan including at least a partial rebuild.

But given that Griffin has only been signed for two years and a premiership seems extremely unlikely in that time frame, what’s the plan? What results will the Dragons Board be looking for in two years to extend Griffin’s contract? I think a top-eight finish in 2021 is a must and then an improved finish in 2022 such as finishing in the top four.

It’s going to be a long road back to the top for the Dragons which will require careful squad management and some difficult decisions.

Is Anthony Griffin up to the challenge to see it through? Or will he last only the two years and then pass on the torch to Dean Young? It’s going to be interesting to see what happens.

The Crowd Says:

2020-09-14T04:16:20+00:00

Shmuckles

Roar Rookie


The Dragons have improved from last season but still fall way short of the top seven teams IMO. Saturday's loss to the Raiders was their heaviest this season, and at a time when stand-in coach Dean Young is trying to leave his mark on the team. I think the appointment of Anthony Griffin is what the team needs to snap them out of their physical & mental lethargy. The forwards have to aim up and lift their standards if the they are going to challenge the top sides, starting with Tariq Sims and Paul Vaughan (who has let the team down big time twice this season due to stupidity, selfishness and a lack of discipline). It all takes time and I don't expect Anthony Griffin to achieve what Wayne Bennett did in only 2 seasons. To start with, Griffin doesn't have the talent available which Bennett had, and there are no big name signings on the horizon. They have two players in crucial positions who haven't performed on a consistent basis (Hunt & Norman). If Griffin can get them to perform consistently the team will perform much better, but it's a big "if". You would think that after 3 seasons at the club Ben Hunt would know what his role is, but to me he looks lost at times. It's fair to say that the club have had some rotten luck over the past couple of years and it's obvious that some new voices & ideas are needed to move past a period of time that has put the Dragons in a rut. The other problem is recruitment - or lack of it. The club have gone after some big name players and come up empty handed. I don't know how this can be fixed unless they become a more formidable team. I know Griffin will do his best for them, and at the end of the day this is what the players need to do as well. If that happens I think there will better on field results and a more optimistic outlook for the future. It's going to take time.

2020-09-12T23:09:19+00:00

Nat

Roar Rookie


All good. I get your point. :thumbup:

2020-09-12T07:17:00+00:00

Emcie

Roar Guru


The team needs adjustments, not an overhaul

2020-09-12T07:10:03+00:00

Emcie

Roar Guru


I completely agree with everything you've said. But I think we might be refering to different things when we say rebuild. I think theres a distinct difference between clubs building over a period of time as they look to improve and clubs that try and sell multiple lean seasons as part of some grand plan. As I said in my comment, I believe that success comes down to the decision making of clubs , I should have added that i think "rebuild" is thrown around by clubs as an excuse for situations resulting from poor decisions. "Rebuilding " periods in league tend to be characterised by bad decision making in my view and they tend to end after good decisions start getting made. Signing aging and injury prone players in key positions (on big money) doesn't strike me as a good strategy long or short term, yet it seems to be the go to strat in a rebuild. But i wasn't applying this to the current Dragons situation, just the concept of developement focused coaches.

AUTHOR

2020-09-12T07:02:12+00:00

Andrew

Roar Pro


If you watched the Canberra game today you would have seen the huge difference between us & the top teams. We need some new players & staff who have come from winning cultures. A rebuild.

2020-09-12T06:09:24+00:00

Emcie

Roar Guru


It was more then Barba- 1,6 and 7 at the time was a lucky dip beween Barba, Prince, Hunt, Wallace, Norman and Hoffman in every combination under the sun. I think overseeing the Lockyer transition cut him some slack rather then earned him praise. And the 2012 team he inherited post Lockyer was far from rubbish, given the chance I'd swap our current squad for it in a heartbeat, the side had 11 rep players and 7 future rep players (and that's after dumping Gagai)! That's the side he inherited and after three years of development the spine of 2015 featured two imports, McCullough who preceeded Hook by 2 seasons (three including his debut season) and Hunt who'd only spent one season as a regular half. I should probably stop now, the way I process information and present it can give the wrong impression. I'm not saying that there are massive red flags over Hooks coaching or anything, just that I can't see how he's earned the reputation he's cultivated.

2020-09-12T05:25:59+00:00

matth

Roar Guru


Yeah it's a long time ago now for my old memory. I just knew he coached the 20's but not when or for how long.

2020-09-12T04:45:05+00:00

Paul

Roar Guru


I'm sure you're the same Andrew, I've never had a say in who should be selected for any role like coach, supervisor, boss etc. As you say, they badly need some tough love.

2020-09-12T04:36:16+00:00

andrew

Roar Rookie


Can't believe Alex Glenn wants a say in who coaches the Broncos. Alex, your job is to play football, and in your words, it's not your job to select the coach. This is half the problem at the Broncos, players think they are entitled, to even think about wanting a say in who the coach will be,Alex, you're on thin ice anyway. The Broncos need some tough love and I'd sooner see Paul Green in charge, someone who's not afraid to make tough decisions.

2020-09-12T03:32:46+00:00

Paul

Roar Guru


I've never seen it - true story. Don't worry, the Broncos fans will be dragging these same terms out, once Alex Glenn decides who that person will be. :happy:

2020-09-12T03:13:43+00:00

mushi

Roar Guru


Couldn't disagree more emcie on the rebuild myth. Watched it across too many different sports and the same in businesses. Long term success comes down planning and strategy. Short term success is about tactical use of resources. Often they can be mutually exclusive decisions. Been a more than a few papers on this at the Sloan sports conference over the years I believe. It's a big issue for coaches "under pressure" you effectively force them to unwind or shelve the broader plan. If they "succeed" then they've likely just made the future worse.

2020-09-12T03:12:39+00:00

Emcie

Roar Guru


He was the under 20's coach for 2 years, and those guys debuted in either his first or second year. He certainly played a part but i dunno if that's enough time to give him all the credit.

2020-09-12T01:20:12+00:00

Nat

Roar Rookie


Well he's been in commentary for a few years now so I'm sure he knows it all by now. I don't disagree with the 2nd part, I have my doubts about his Premiership qualities. Obviously 'development' coach is my opinion but I'm sure the Saints nor Hook considers himself that but no doubt that's what Gould employed him for, to replicate the pathways I'll give you Barba as the poor signing/utilised. He did oversee the Lockyer transition. I'd argue he delivered a better performing team than he inherited, post Locky. Bennett brought in (of note) Milford and Boyd. Resurected Blair I suppose. A team in such a mess doesn't go top 2 and a GF in the following year.

2020-09-12T00:49:01+00:00

matth

Roar Guru


But wasn't Hook previously their under 20's coach so brought a lot of the guys through there before they even got to first grade? Guys like Hunt and McCulough, Glenn, etc?

2020-09-11T21:08:37+00:00

farkurnell

Roar Rookie


"Rebuild" "Knockdown" "Partial" I think you Drags have been watching too much of The Block

2020-09-11T21:02:49+00:00

andrew

Roar Rookie


I think a rebuild is a coach having an each way bet. He's got an excuse if he fails and he's a genius if he succeeds. It's a B.S term in my opinion,as far as using it as an analogy.

AUTHOR

2020-09-11T12:05:18+00:00

Andrew

Roar Pro


Nathan was 29 when he took over from Andrew Farrar he was only one year out of first grade himself with virtually no coaching experience. I think all things considered he did very well, he left with a winning record & that’s more than can be said of McGregor or Price. He had success in the UK & he was handed a dumpster fire in Newcastle. I hope he succeeds in NZ & proves his critics wrong. Perhaps winning at a club that’s never won before is his way to achieve redemption.

2020-09-11T11:36:00+00:00

Bunney

Roar Rookie


I can't agree with your analysis Andrew. Mary's two greatest flaws were his inability to fix the late season fadeouts, and his inability to properly develop young talent. That young talent is there. Dufty, Ravalawa, Lomax, Sailor, Clune, Kerr, Host etc. etc. Griffin has been given a simple task. A short term contract to develop these players into top tier footballers. The crux of a very good side is there if these players develop into what a lot of experts believe they can.

2020-09-11T11:22:54+00:00

Emcie

Roar Guru


Every coach develops players, its part of the job. Bennett developed generations of players at Brisbane, the difference between the two is what they did with those players. If your only notable quality as a coach is developing players you're not a complete package, it's not a selling point (unless that's reflected in asking price).

2020-09-11T11:04:30+00:00

DP Schaefer

Roar Rookie


That's an interesting insight, thanks for that. :thumbup:

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