Revisiting my five fearless predictions for the 2020 NRL season

By Ryan O'Connell / Expert

After a couple of seasons of blistering-hot form with my annual fearless predictions, I think I’ll come falling back to earth with an almighty thud this year.

Oh well, that’s life. As any Penrith Panther fan can attest to, what goes up, must come down.

Over the last two seasons, I’ve scored 7.5 out of nine for my ten fearless predictions, but even a Melbourne Storm accountant is going to find it hard to cook the numbers into something positive this time around.

Fear not though, because that won’t stop me from trying! Here goes . . .

1. The Roosters will win the minor premiership – but not the grand final
I started with a cheeky two-for-one prediction, which had served me well in previous years, and once again sees me get off to a relatively solid start.

The Roosters did not win the minor premiership, finishing in fourth place and nine points off the table-topping Panthers, so no luck for me there. However, they most definitely did not win the grand final either, so I – ahem – pick up a point on that front.

You can go ahead and argue the merits of whether picking one team out of sixteen to not be the premiers is in any way, shape or form “fearless”, but facts are facts: I was (half) right. So go me.

2. Latrell Mitchell won’t finish the season at fullback
Well, well, well. What have we here? Yet another correct prediction. Perhaps I didn’t go as badly as I thought?!

A look at the Bunnies playing list for their last game of the season – the preliminary final against Penrith – reveals that Corey Allen lined up in the number 1 jersey.

In fact, even though Allen started the game at fullback, Alex Johnston ended the game at the back for Souths. So Latrell Mitchell was two players removed from finishing the season at fullback.

Honestly, that’s almost worth two points, but I’ll be fair, objective and balanced and just give myself the one point for this brilliant call.

What’s that? My point was that Mitchell wasn’t suited to fullback and would end up back in the centres? Well, technically, that happened after just two games!

Nothing to see here, let’s move along.

(Photo by Cameron Spencer/Getty Images)

3. Kalyn Ponga will win the Dally M
The Newcastle Knights fullback finished ninth on the eventual ladder. I’ll have to check my notes on how the award is calculated, but I’m pretty sure that means he didn’t win the Dally M.

As such, I’ll have to admit defeat on this one.

Next year, I’ll just ask Buzz who is going to win.

4. A 20-40 kick will decide a game
Um, I don’t think one was even kicked?

Anthony Milford attempted one, but much like everything the Brisbane Broncos did this year, it didn’t end very well.

Considering a 20/40 kick potentially wasn’t even completed, Donald Trump would struggle to spin this into a good news story, so it’s a zero score here.

5. Paul Kent will be positive about rugby league all season
I don’t care what you say, this is still an hilarious joke.

Poor old Kenty. He really is an energy tampon. Knowing how much Cameron Smith and the Melbourne Storm winning the premiership would irk him really makes me happy. But I digress – back to the serious predictions.

Cameron Smith and Brandon Smith. (Photo by Kelly Defina/Getty Images)

5. Canberra will win the premiership
As soon as I made this prediction, I apologised to Canberra fans.

OK fine, I didn’t. In fact, I gloated that I would get this one right. In my defence though, it’s Canberra who let themselves down by losing to the Storm in the preliminary final, not me.

The Raiders just never really got into a groove this year. Injuries certainly hampered them, but they always seemed just a touch off their best, and failed to make their second consecutive grand final, let alone win it.

Sadly, we’ll have to pour that green celebratory milk down the drain, guys.

Overall
A very respectable two out of five. Hey, that’s actually pretty good! If this is now what a “down year” looks like, I’ll take it.

Oh, you want more? An encore? Alright then.

Reviewing my bonus prediction – the ladder at the end of the season

Every team’s predicted ladder finish, followed by their actual ladder finish.

1. Sydney Roosters (4th)
2. Melbourne Storm (2nd)
3. Canberra Raiders (5th)
4. Parramatta Eels (3rd)
5. Manly Sea Eagles (13th)
6. Penrith Panthers (1st)
7. South Sydney Rabbitohs (6th)
8. North Queensland Cowboys (14th)
9. Newcastle Knights (7th)
10. Brisbane Broncos (16th)
11. Wests Tigers (11th)
12. Cronulla Sharks (8th)
13. Canterbury Bulldogs (15th)
14. St George Illawarra Dragons (12th)
15. New Zealand Warriors (10th)
16. Gold Coast Titans (9th)

To be honest, apart from a couple of shockers in Manly and North Queensland, that’s not bad going!

Enjoy the off-season, guys!

The Crowd Says:

2020-10-28T05:11:09+00:00

Panthers3

Roar Rookie


i had souths finishing 3rd due to their rooster purchase. manly in the bottom 4 .. :thumbup: :stoked: i got warriors and the titmen in the 8 for 2021.

2020-10-28T04:36:59+00:00

mushi

Roar Guru


More spin than warnie ROC

2020-10-27T18:41:17+00:00

Scott Rea

Roar Pro


Great article Ryan. I particularly liked your comments about Paul Kent.

2020-10-27T14:27:46+00:00

Mitch

Roar Rookie


Ummm well this is a massive blunder but yes you're right latrell didnt finish the season at fullback, but, idk, maybe bc he was injured through a rupture of his proximal hamstring tendon in his left leg!!! Technically you're right but he would've finished at fullback, his injury saved that prediction!

2020-10-27T07:52:02+00:00

Succhi

Roar Rookie


Gus can give the the lotto results for 2025.

2020-10-27T06:55:39+00:00

a

Roar Rookie


Well that 20/40 one was a shocker well I believe sharks also attempted one with 30 seconds to go. Vs Raiders

2020-10-27T06:53:20+00:00

a

Roar Rookie


I think the Sharks attempted one with 30 seconds to go vs Raiders to

2020-10-27T05:47:44+00:00

Mike Rotch

Guest


Way too early standings for 2021: 1. Raiders (17-7) 2. Knights (16-8) 3. Souths (16-8) 4. Panthers (15-9) 5. Roosters (15-9) 6. Storm (14-10) 7. Titans (13-11) 8. Eels (13-11) 9. Eagles (12-12) 10. Warriors (11-13) 11. Sharks (10-14) 12. Dragons (9-15) 13. Cowboys (9-15) 14. Broncos (8-16) 15. Bulldogs (7-17) 16. Tigers (6-18)

2020-10-27T05:26:44+00:00

Sydneysideliner

Roar Rookie


Well you're probably not far off. They *would* make the 8 off the back of their forwards, if they could play 3 games without getting crocked!

2020-10-27T05:20:10+00:00

The Barry

Roar Guru


The Chris of Death...

2020-10-27T05:10:05+00:00

Geoff Parkes

Expert


Always one of my favourite columns of the year - getting six out of the eight is more than respectable, mate!

2020-10-27T04:57:20+00:00

The Barry

Roar Guru


They’re bold. Calling them not fearless was as bad a call as any of the actual predictions I made... If Teddy can win the Wally Lewis medal I’ll bump my score up to 0.83 / 5 :stoked: Although with the emphasis I put on Sharks AND Broncos to make the eight I’m not sure I can claim the half point

2020-10-27T04:39:04+00:00

Sydneysideliner

Roar Rookie


Threepeats are just incredibly hard to do. You need the bulk of your squad at a good age where their quality will stay high but their market value will steady. You need your coach to be adaptable to change but for other teams to not adapt too fast either. And you need a LOT of luck, in results and injuries. To that end, I wonder what's different about AFL to make threepeats (or near-threepeats) so common, and amongst different teams too..

2020-10-27T04:32:21+00:00

Chris.P.Bacon

Guest


ND, like yourself, I had Manly, the Broncs and Cowboys in my eight WITH the Dogs also just scraping into the eighth spot. (13th, 14th, 15th, 16th :laughing: ) Good to see I don't have to share this shame alone! ;)

2020-10-27T04:18:26+00:00

Sydneysideliner

Roar Rookie


Rule of thumb, unless it's Roosters or Storm it's never smart to tip last season's grand finalist for the next one...

AUTHOR

2020-10-27T03:52:04+00:00

Ryan O'Connell

Expert


Yep! You're words, not mine: My not so fearless picks: Roosters three-peat Tedesco to double down on the Dally M and Wally Lewis medals and add a Churchill Manly top three and GF appearance Souths to miss the eight Sharks AND Broncos to make the eight

2020-10-27T03:45:38+00:00

Noosa Duck

Roar Rookie


yer welcome Ryan, but what the heck does it ever follow the script any season. Did anyone really predict that the wheels would fall off the North Qld wagon and did anyone imagine the Roosters finishing 15th in 2015? :shocked:

2020-10-27T03:39:37+00:00

The Barry

Roar Guru


Did I? I think they’re mostly pretty bold calls...wrong as it turns out but bold :silly: Yeah, it’s definitely easier putting nothing on the line and taking pot shots from the cheap seats :laughing:

AUTHOR

2020-10-27T01:47:40+00:00

Ryan O'Connell

Expert


What’s even better is that you admitted they weren’t even fearless!! (It’s a mug’s game, this prediction business.)

2020-10-27T01:26:00+00:00

The Barry

Roar Guru


I’m glad there’s no link to the original article here... I made my own fearless predictions and think I got a big fat zero Roosters doing the three-peat Tedesco winning a second Dally M and the Churchill Souths missing the 8 Sharks and Broncos making the eight (Sharks made it so that’s 0.5!) I think my last was Manly to make the grand final Tough gig these predictions ! Nice work on the ladder predictions. That’s pretty good overall...

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