FLEM'S VERDICT: Balls to the wall as everything rides on Hazlewood fitness and Root's resilience to new pill

By Bowlologist / Expert

Twenty-four hours earlier Australia would have been thinking ‘we can’t lose it from here’. Now it’s a possibility, and a huge moment is looming in the course of this Test match.

In 10 overs time Pat Cummins, who looked cool despite the toughest of his three days as Australian captain, will be handed a shiny new ball.

Will Josh Hazlewood, who went missing from the attack after bowling just eight overs, amidst some mystery, be there to take it?

If Hazlewood can’t take that new ball that’s a massive win for England. We saw how he used it in the first innings and even on flat pitches he gets steep bounce.

We’re still ahead of the game. Take a couple of wickets quickly and you wouldn’t expect to chase too many. If they can lead by 150 I wouldn’t be backing England to win but it would give them something to bowl to. If they can get to 200 though it’s a different game.

So with two set batsmen and Root’s fabulous record in 2021, there’s an urgency with this new ball. The way Australia use it must be premium.

(Photo by Albert Perez – CA/Cricket Australia via Getty Images)

At the Gabba, days two and half to three and half, are generally the best batting.

Because England’s innings was only half a day in cool conditions, the best batting might be through tomorrow up until tea. When it’s like that it’s a new ball wicket.

If you don’t get wickets with the new ball it’s really tough but if you can a breakthrough you can go on a run and get a few wickets in succession.

That’s a massive hour for this match. Can they strike before that and get a new batsman in? The ball will jag around, but 15-20 overs later it may be really good for batting again.

We’re not sure what happened with Hazlewood, and Marnus Labuschagne denied he had an injury at the press conference after play, but it hurt – he’s a big weapon and brings that good length better than anyone else in the team.

Cummins bowled Lyon quite early after a break when the ball was new and I question that. I would have preferred to see Cameron Green with a newer ball because he’s got a natural outswinger.

That’s not to take away from the batting of Root and Dawid Malan – they played very well.

We were all waiting to see if Root, in career best form, could bring it to Australia. He hasn’t scored a 100 in Australia but was very good last tour without that, averaging in the 40s.

The worrying sign for Australia is what he’s been doing once he goes past his century. He’s scored seven hundreds since November 2019 – five of those have been greater than 180. The new Root, the ruthless Root as captain, goes big and you don’t lose too many Tests if someone scores double hundreds.

If he gets a double and there’s handy batting from the guys below we could be looking at a 200 plus chase.

Malan’s support was critical. We know Root and Stokes can play match winning innings but there were real questions around the other four in the top six.

Malan was excellent last time here, averaging 40 in a well beaten team, scored 100 in Perth but has not scored a run since at Test level.

It’s funny how techniques will work in some conditions but not in others. He doesn’t move his feet a lot, is good square of the wicket and a good back foot player. It suits him here whereas in England that sort of technique can leave you vulnerable to bowleds and lbw and nicks behind.

So far he looks a good selection. And what it does is it pushes Ben Stokes and Ollie Pope and Jos Buttler down – stroke players who are going to come in a very strong position.

Even in the first innings, he played one bad shot and got out. He’s pretty cool and calm and the fast stuff doesn’t worry him. And he doesn’t go hard at the ball. His weakness can be he can waft outside off stump every now and again, for example his first innings dismissal.

He has a short backlift, not excessive footwork, but watches the ball and also has a good game square of the wicket is pretty common in our best players here in Australia.

He looked to get down the wicket to Nathan Lyon, and that’s not an easy thing to do.

Lyon wants the batsmen scratching around the crease. He ran down a couple of times, got inside the line and bunted it on the legside but then he played an unbelievable cover drive.

Lyon bowled the perfect ball he wanted, got outside his eyeline, dropped it outside offstump and Malan ran down and played one of the best cover drives you’ll ever see.

And then in that last over he played another cracking cover drive. Sometimes those lead footed players play short pitched bowling alright but he’s equal to the task against spin – that’s rare.

The Crowd Says:

2021-12-14T00:40:29+00:00

Redcap

Roar Guru


Thanks for the reply, Flem. I'll cheerfully admit to not being familiar with the terminology and will accept my looming demotion on the Roar. "If you don’t get wickets with the new ball it’s really tough but if you can a breakthrough you can go on a run and get a few wickets in succession" Doesn't that describe almost every wicket, except for the raging turners in Asia? Or, perhaps there's nuance I'm missing. It's clearly an epistemological issue. :happy:

AUTHOR

2021-12-13T23:43:56+00:00

Bowlologist

Expert


sorry late to this but if you don't know what a "new ball wicket " is on a very good batting pitch. I would lose the Roar pro moniker. "When it’s like that it’s a new ball wicket.If you don’t get wickets with the new ball it’s really tough but if you can a breakthrough you can go on a run and get a few wickets in succession."

2021-12-11T00:58:17+00:00

Don Freo

Roar Rookie


There was an appeal, albeit a token appeal. Some captains get criticized for unsuccessful reviews. Non-reviews get more leniency. I'd say a review of Green's LBW appeal on Malan yesterday would have delivered a wicket too. Green and Carey were not assertive enough.

2021-12-11T00:43:26+00:00

Derek Murray

Roar Rookie


That was so odd with the wicket not noted. Rare the fielding side isn’t over-appealing

2021-12-11T00:39:44+00:00

Don Freo

Roar Rookie


He actually did take a wicket...just didn't review. It's important to understand that Test cricket is different to white ball forms. It's about plans, discipline, patience. A proper game of chess differs in process to formulaic speed chess. That's a useful metaphor for understanding how a team employs its role players. A finger spinner is used differently to how a wrist spinner might be used. Lyon's impact can be best measured by his discipline to play according to script. The pay off came this morning.

2021-12-10T23:32:00+00:00

Derek Murray

Roar Rookie


He did. But wickets are his currency. And he’s broke. I like him but, if we question Starc’s position, we must question Lyon’s also. I’m hoping they give Green more overs today. Selfishly, I want to see more of his bowling and I think he can take wickets

2021-12-10T23:30:14+00:00

Steele

Roar Rookie


Pre game concerns about Harris, Starc and Lyon well vindicated now. Swepson and Richardson anyone?

2021-12-10T23:19:04+00:00

DaveJ

Roar Rookie


I thought Lyon caused a few more problems than Leach. But you’d think if this kind of analysis is available someone would be working with Lyon to see if there is something he can adjust or fix.

2021-12-10T23:06:53+00:00

Pom in exile

Roar Rookie


It’s that delicate balance isn’t it but I agree that most captains go defensive too quickly, but they’re also often guilty of not plugging a gap that some batsmen use as their release shots. Ian Bell (used to) and Joe Root just guide the ball to 3rd man for an easy boundary, but it seems that Cummins has it filled so plus 1 for him.

2021-12-10T22:58:46+00:00

Pom in exile

Roar Rookie


He bowled ok.

2021-12-10T22:52:47+00:00

Derek Murray

Roar Rookie


He bowled a third of the overs so I’ll concede his priority may have adjusted a little but he’s one of four bowlers. His job includes taking wickets. He didn’t take wickets. He emphatically didn’t do his job well. I’m sure he’d agree if asked

2021-12-10T22:39:05+00:00

Don Freo

Roar Rookie


He did his job really well.

2021-12-10T22:26:03+00:00

Derek Murray

Roar Rookie


I didn’t think he was terrible but he’s just not getting wickets. We pick 4 bowlers. None get a free ride

2021-12-10T22:24:48+00:00

Derek Murray

Roar Rookie


Good luck with the weather

2021-12-10T22:22:21+00:00

Vicboy

Roar Rookie


Hameed looks good. Even if he only gets to 20 odd and then gets out, he forces the bowlers to bowl to him. Once he works out how to get the second 25, he might be the rock you can build around. Technically 1000% better than Burns. Lyon looks to have been worked out by opposing teams - doesn’t even clean up the tail anymore. Although it is doubtful Australia will fear Leach - too many lefties for his mild spin to cause much damage.

2021-12-10T22:09:57+00:00

Don Freo

Roar Rookie


He bowled really well.

2021-12-10T21:59:07+00:00

Lance Boil

Roar Rookie


Because a batsman gets set the field becomes defensive. So the reliance is upon bating error. It is my enduring frustration when watching test match cricket.

2021-12-10T21:38:57+00:00

Gee

Roar Rookie


I would like to see Green come on before Lyon when the bowl in relatively new. Boost the boys confidence and he is capable of getting 2 or 3 in a burst. Lyon can bowl his harmless darts with the soft ball.

2021-12-10T21:25:12+00:00

Pom in exile

Roar Rookie


Absolutely, drop the poor sap…please.

2021-12-10T21:21:56+00:00

Pom in exile

Roar Rookie


Lyon did speak about ending careers, it’s taken 4 years but he might be about to.

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