The Roar’s NRL expert tips and predictions: Round 4

By Danielle Smith / Editor

Hey Roarers! How great was round 3?! We had some wet weather footy, a few close matches and blow outs, a thrilling golden point victory, a spectacular comeback – just glorious!

Let’s recap – 

The Sharks were too strong in atrocious conditions on Thursday night, beating the Dragons in their local derby 36-12. 

The Wests Tigers sunk to 0-3, going down the Warriors 16-12 at Campbelltown on Friday night. Both teams were their own worst enemies, with the Warriors just doing enough to snatch the win.

The second match was between the Roosters and the Bunnies, and this is always a feisty encounter. It was pumped up even more with Manu and Latrell finally facing off, with many expecting fireworks and a Tri-Colours victory. Souths obviously didn’t get the memo, not letting emotion get in the way of their game plan and convincingly beat their rivals 26-16.

A top of the table clash to kick off Super Saturday was spoilt by a Mitch Barnet brain explosion, elbowing the Panther’s Chris Smith in the jaw, and getting sent off for his efforts. The Knights were down to 12 men for 47 minutes and did their best to keep up with the premiers, but in the end, Penrith were just too good, downing Newcastle 38-20.

We saw an absolute cracker of a second match between the Storm and the Eels, one of the best games so far this season. With the scores locked at 24-24 at full time, a Mitch Moses field goal attempt the hit the uprights was pounced on by Ray Stone who crossed for the winning try. Mary still has high blood pressure from the match! 

The third match of the day looked like it was going to be an absolute whitewash with the Titans going to the half time break leading the Raiders 22-4. What we witnessed in the second half was one of the best comebacks in Canberra’s history, taking the two points in a hard fought 24-22 victory. AJ would have been strutting around if it wasn’t for the bunged-up leg!

The Cowboys got one up against their big brother during the second local derby of the round, beating the Broncos 38-12 at Suncorp on Sunday. The Cowboys are starting to get a good rhythm going – and howe good is Jeramiah Nanai?!

The Sea Eagles and the Bulldogs rounded out the weekend finally back at Brookie on Sunday night. Playing in weather that resembled the Thursday night match, the teams were hard to split but, in the end, a DCE field goal secured 13-12 win for the home side, their first win of the season.

Mary, Paul, and all of you legends out there in The Crowd took the biscuits this weekend, tipping the most with 5/8. AJ was just behind on 4/8 with Mike and I rounding the group out with 3/8. I tipped 8/8 last week, so I am not enjoying my massive fall from grace! 

Overall, AJ is still in front with 16, Mary and Paul are on 15, with Mike, The Crowd and I on 14.

Ok, onto round 4!

The Titans and The Tigers start us off in tonight’s match at 8pm up on the Gold Coast. The Tigers will be desperate for a win, and the Titans will want to make up for the 18-point lead they squandered last weekend. 

The Knights travel to Cronulla to take on the Sharks at 6pm, followed by the much-anticipated grand final rematch between the Panthers and the Bunnies in Penrith at 8pm. The home side have a few big names returning including one Nathan Cleary, so this should be a cracker. 

Super Saturday starts at 3pm with the Warriors taking on the Broncos at the Warriors home away from home, Moreton Daily Stadium. They will be hoping for back-to-back wins, and Brisbane will be wanting to put on a better performance then they did in their loss to the Cowboys. 

Manly and the Raiders travel to Mudgee for their clash at 5.30pm, with both coming off much needed wins they will be desperate for another two points here. Then in the last game it’s the Cowboys hosting the Roosters at 7.30pm. The Cowboys are on a roll and Trent Robertson is in isolation and won’t be travelling with the Roosters – how much of an impact will that have on the Tri-Colours?

Sunday afternoon sees the Storm take on the Bulldogs at AAMI Park at 4pm, with the Eels and the Dragons playing in the final game at 6.15pm at Commbank Stadium. 

If you would like to see how you go up against the Experts this round, just remember to get your tips in below by 5pm tonight to be counted in The Crowd’s tips.

After her Eels put on a spectacular performance last weekend, I’m going to let Mary start us off today.

(Photo by Cameron Spencer/Getty Images)

Mary Konstantopoulos

Titans, Sharks, Panthers, Broncos, Raiders, Roosters, Storm, Eels. 

The Titans are one of the most intriguing teams in the competition. They know how to score points, but boy can they blow a lead. I’m tipping them to beat the Tigers because the Tigers have been awful. There are several problems at the Tigers at the moment and I don’t think they have enough points in them to beat a team that seems to score points for fun.

The next game should be an absolute cracker. I’m tipping the Sharks based on the fact that Nicho Hynes has continued to steadily improve in each game he has played. The X Factor for the Knights is Kalyn Ponga who is due to return.

I’m still undecided on South Sydney at the moment, so I am tipping the Panthers who continue to be one of the dominant teams so far. The return of Nathan Cleary will be a massive boost for the Panthers and will help them get across the line against a South Sydney team still finding their feet.

The Broncos should beat the Warriors, who continue to be just average. Despite a disappointing performance from the Broncos last week, they are the much stronger team. If the Broncos can use their forward pack to dominate the middle with Adam Reynolds playing a controlled game they will have no problem beating the Warriors, who barely scraped home against the Tigers last week.

The Manly Sea Eagles still haven’t worked out that the rule changes mean that they can’t just play how they did last year. Without tired forwards in the middle, Tom Trbojevic hasn’t had the same impact and that has a flow on impact with players like Jason Saab, Brad Parker and Morgan Harper also looking average. The Raiders have been inconsistent too, but off the back of their comeback win last week, I expect them to win this week too.

The Roosters will beat the Cowboys and the Storm will beat the Bulldogs, the only question being by how much.

The Dragons are a team that have troubled Parramatta in the past, but the return of Ryan Matterson will be a boost for the Eels. I’m hoping after seeing what the Storm did to the Eels middle, that that will be a focus for Parramatta this week. Parramatta’s forwards are stronger than the Dragons and if they can win that battle, will be well on their way to winning this game.

Paul Suttor

Titans, Sharks, Panthers, Broncos, Sea Eagles, Roosters, Storm, Eels

Gold Coast have a few injuries, but the Tigers have more and are struggling to complete a set let alone an 80-minute match.

Cronulla were impressive in the wet of Wollongong last week and should have too much strike power for the Knights.

Penrith are primed for the grand final rematch and will maintain their edge over Souths.

The Warriors probably should be winless if not for a bad refereeing decision so Brisbane in a close one.

Manly will grind out a win over the hot-and-cold Raiders.

The Cowboys will give the Roosters a good run for their money but the visitors to win in Townsville.

Melbourne could put a big score on Canterbury at AAMI Park.

Parramatta could do likewise to the Dragons in the other Sunday game.

AJ Mithen

Titans, Knights, Panthers, Warriors, Raiders, Roosters, Storm, Eels

All I’m hearing in season 2022 is how hard it is to tip each week… I don’t know what these people are talking about, cos I am flying away with this yet again. Want to have this week’s tipping template? Here you go.

The Gold Coast will beat Wests Tigers, but it may not be the explosion of destruction some fear.
Newcastle over the Sharks in a defensive contest. I liked the Knights last week until the send-off, and they’ll want to add to their scalps from good clubs.

Penrith to take Souths in what should be a good fun one.

The Warriors can beat the Broncos if they clean up their attack, but the Broncos have better players. Work that one out.

Fresh from a glorious club record comeback, your presumptive champions, the people’s team the Canberra Raiders will put 56 on a hapless Manly, who are in all sorts when they’re trying to score points.
I almost tipped the Cowboys cos I’m starting to take a shine to them, but I can’t see them dismantling the Roosters defence. This will be closer than people think.

Melbourne will take a little while before working out the Bulldogs to win handily, and the same for Parramatta against the Dragons, who are two losses away from being gone for 2022

(Photo by Bradley Kanaris/Getty Images)

Mike Meehall Wood

Titans, Knights, Panthers, Broncos, Manly, Roosters, Storm, Eels

The Tigers are untippable, so I’m onto the Titans. 

The Sharks – Knights game is the hardest to pick, because I intrinsically rate the Sharks, but I think with Ponga back I like the Knights to cause the upset. 

You can’t tip against the Panthers at home, and I refuse to tip the Warriors at all, even when the Broncos have been unconvincing.

Manly looked to have turned it around and were superb in Mudgee last year and the Roosters are too good to go 1-3, so I’ll be taking them over the Cowboys.

The Sunday games are the easiest, because Melbourne won’t lose twice in a row at home and the Dragons are rubbish, so I’ll take the Eels.

Danielle Smith

Titans, Knights, Panthers, Broncos, Raiders, Cowboys, Storm, Eels

I’m tipping the Titans. I can’t see much improvement in the Tigers until some of their sidelined stars return. 

I’m tipping the Panthers but not confidently. The Bunnies played very well last weekend – this game will go down to the wire. 

In another close one I have gone the Broncos over the Warriors.

The Raiders will still be buzzing from their victory against the Titans, so I am tipping them over the Sea Eagles who were very lucky to get the win over a Bulldogs side that didn’t have much to offer. On that note, I’ve tipped the Storm to thrash the Bulldogs down in Melbourne. 

I’m still on the Cowboys! They are playing some great footy, and I think they will upset the Roosters at home. 

The Eels played brilliantly on Saturday, and the Dragons seem to be one step forward two steps back. I’m tipping the blue and gold to win comfortably. 

I was so proud of the rest of my team’s effort last weekend, playing with 12 men after Barnett stupidity let them down. As always, I’m tipping my Knights.

Round 4 AJ Danielle Mary Mike Paul Crowd
GLD v WST GLD GLD GLD GLD GLD GLD
CRO v NEW NEW NEW CRO NEW CRO CRO
PEN v SOU PEN PEN PEN PEN PEN PEN
NZL v BRI NZL BRI BRI BRI BRI BRI
MAN v CAN CAN CAN CAN MAN MAN MAN
NQL v SYD SYD NQL SYD SYD SYD SYD
MEL v CBR MEL MEL MEL MEL MEL MEL
PAR v STI PAR PAR PAR PAR PAR PAR
Last Week 4 3 5 3 5 5
Total 16 14 15 13 15 14

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Multi tips from PlayUp

Form lines are getting tougher as teams start to distance themselves. Looking at the upcoming week’s round we are tipping there will be some upsets. 

Kicking off with Thursday and Friday, it’s probably the Tiger’s last chance to show some fight and save their coach. Another loss would be disastrous for them, not sure if they can win but we think they could cover the line and win with a + 10.5 Start. 

On Friday, the Sharks and Knights game will be a cracker, both teams in great form. Sharks are very lean in head to head betting, therefore you could look at throwing Knights +6.5 into your multi with this leg paying $1.90 with PlayUp.

Game three of the round gives us the grand final replay from 2021. The return of the king of the West Nathan Cleary can’t be understated, for this reason alone I’d take Panthers head to head. 

Saturday’s game provides plenty of options if you’re having a bet. 

Multi Option 1

Leg 1. $1.90 – Warriors H2H – Warriors need a win, the Broncos are improving but not at their best yet.

Leg 2. $1.43 – Manly H2H

Leg 3. $1.47 – Roosters – Cowboys were great last week and roosters were poor but I’m expecting them to get the job done, if you were looking for value, you could take Cowboys with a head start in what should be a close one +6.5 $1.90

Wrapping up with Sunday, we have the men playing against the boys with Parra taking on the Dragons and Storm versus the Dogs, however, I’m not expecting blowouts for Sunday. Despite the poor form of the Dragons, I think they can show up. Likewise for Dogs vs Storm – Dogs have been gritty all year, therefore I expect them to stay close. 

Option 2

Leg 1. $1.90 – Dogs +13.5 line

Leg 2. $1.90 – Dragons +9.5

We like both of these teams to get across the line factoring in the starts, they have both had solid starts and are playing against two top tier teams both missing key playmakers. This multi will yield you $3.61 with PlayUp.

Good luck this weekend. Be sure to check out the great odds and the new same game Multi-feature at PlayUp. Please gamble responsibly.

The Crowd Says:

2022-03-31T07:39:52+00:00

Muzz

Guest


Cowboys should pip the Chooks. 1-12 $4 is tempting,

2022-03-31T06:42:43+00:00

Adam

Guest


Surely the cowboys beat the roosters. Roosters are a rabble at the moment and something is seriously wrong with them. Mere outside chances for the top 6 on form at this point. Cowboys on the other hand, are in decent shape and should easily whip the roosters

2022-03-31T04:12:31+00:00

Albo

Roar Rookie


Could go either way this one, kk !

2022-03-31T04:06:38+00:00

kk

Roar Pro


Agreed except for Easts.

2022-03-31T04:05:24+00:00

kk

Roar Pro


Agreed except for Roosters.

2022-03-31T03:37:37+00:00

The Barry

Roar Guru


Titans… Sharks… too clinical atm, but agree with Rob that the prices don’t look quite right Panthers… as I type, but JFH, To’o, Moses and Martin is a lot of metres to be missing Broncos… narrowly Manly… and Turbo to score 200 SuperCoach points… pleeeeease Roosters… so close to tipping the Cows. This may be an up week for the chooks Storm… hope the Dogs can hang tough Eels… travelling better, but this reeks of a game they’ll drop a week after beating the Storm

2022-03-31T01:50:10+00:00

jimmmy

Roar Rookie


He had a good one didn't he kk.

2022-03-31T01:26:56+00:00

Tim Carter

Roar Pro


Newcastle are a decent chance, but they have a 6 day turnaround from a daytime game where they played one man down for more than 40 minutes. That has to catch up on them. Maybe they can stave that off this week, but that would just delay the comedown until next round.

2022-03-31T01:01:57+00:00

Rob

Guest


Don't mind a few of the outsiders this week. No idea why Manly are short favourites. The Raiders are unpredictable but Manly have been playing like a bottom four side so far this year. $2.75 for the Raiders is a great price. $2.75 for the Knights looks pretty good as well. Thought the odds would be a lot closer for this one. Knights were very good against Penrith last week given the circumstances so I like their chances.

2022-03-31T00:33:31+00:00

Albo

Roar Rookie


Titans - Despite their awful 2nd half submission last week in Canberra. Sharks - Home ground and the team firing well. Panthers - Down on troops , but Cleary is back and home ground is a solid advantage. Broncos - Bit of a coin toss here after the Broncos poor form last week ? Manly - Another coin toss with Manly so far from the sea ? But Turbo looks enthused again. Roosters - Another coin toss after the Cows big performance last week. Expecting Teddy to lift his mob. Melbourne - Could be a a big score . Eels - Despite the Dragons recent good record over the Eels, I can't forget their WIN Stadium effort ?

2022-03-31T00:06:03+00:00

kk

Roar Pro


Looking forward to seeing Reuben Cooter again, Jimmmy.

2022-03-31T00:04:40+00:00

DP Schaefer

Roar Rookie


If he plays the near miss from last year it should shake them out of 'Derby Blues'.

2022-03-30T23:24:33+00:00

jimmmy

Roar Rookie


Really looking forward to Cows v Roosters. The Roosters are still a top 6 team imo and they will want to change their season around so will be very motivated. Can we win ? Sure , but it will take a really disciplined approach again. If our D really has improved as much as it seems and we continue to play some footy like we did last week and our kicking game holds we have better than a sluggers chance. The only lingering doubt i have is the 'post Derby blues ' . Its such a big game for us last week and it can be hard to reproduce that level again. Hopefully Payten is across that. Hammer for a double . Val kicks 5 from 5.

2022-03-30T22:54:40+00:00

Forty Twenty

Roar Rookie


After reading about Manly's performance against the Dogs, I only got to view the full game yesterday. Manly looked much better than I expected after all the bagging they got from their fans. They created plenty of chances and it was only some great defence and the bounce of the ball which hampered their progress. Once again some of the mistakes were comical almost but they didn't mask the progress in the team's form for me. The Raiders stifled Manly last season in a bit of a boilover but a dry track and some country air should lead to a try fest this time round. The call for Hasler to drop players once again is over the top and I'm confident of a really good showing this week.

2022-03-30T22:38:43+00:00

kk

Roar Pro


AJ, It's great to see you confident and leading. Warriors , Canberra and Knights will cause supporters some BP problems. Not for mine thanks. Cowboys v Easts is a toss up. Can the locals go the full 80'? For the record TIT,CRO,PAN,BRO,MAN,COW,STO,PAR. Residual If only the Steeden had gone a little to the right from Burton's boot. Heatherington's injury had both my shoulders aching in sympathy.

2022-03-30T22:12:02+00:00

DP Schaefer

Roar Rookie


Had the tipping yips last week, can’t do worse. Titans, easy call. Sharks not an easy call. Souths… without full confidence, just a feeling and Panther’s run at home has to end sometime. Brisbane, can’t tip Warriors. Manly, also without full confidence and only on the strength of their half. And Manly won’t squander a decent lead if they get it. Cows. They just lost last year and it hurt. Payton needs to play the replay for additional game motivation. Storm then Eels

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