For the first time in nearly a quarter of a century, the national selectors will have no recent Test-quality form as a guide when they pick the Kangaroos squad for the World Cup.
Which makes State of Origin performances all the more important for the players jockeying for seats on the plane to England at the end of the season.
Australia have not played since the November 2019 upset loss to Tonga in Auckland due to the COVID-19 pandemic putting the clamps on international travel and the International Rugby League, after sustained pressure from the NRL and RLPA, postponing the World Cup 12 months from its original kick-off date last October.
An extended squad will be picked after Origin III on July 13 before a Kangaroo cull at the end of the NRL season to select the touring team which will aim to defend the trophy won in Brisbane in 2017.
For all the question marks over its claim to being an international game, Australian Test rugby league has been a consistent presence since the sport’s inception in 1908.
Apart from the two World Wars, there have been only seven calendar years where the Australian side has not been in action prior to the pandemic, with 1976 (the year prior to a World Cup) the only one in the post-war period.
The current situation is similar to nearly three decades ago when there was a gap of three and a half years between picking legitimate sides from the final match of the 1994 Kangaroo Tour to the Anzac Test of 1998.
There were Tests and the 1995 World Cup played in the intervening years but the Australian teams were chosen only from ARL-aligned players. Anyone who had signed with the Super League rebels was struck off the selectors’ notepads.
With the other cash-starved international federations in bed with Super League after lappin’ up News Corp’s financial incentives to do so, the ARL side played Tests that were little more than glorified training runs against amateurs from Papua New Guinea and Fiji, and a Rest of the World side filled with the remaining premiership talent that had not inked a Super League deal.
From the team which flogged France 74-0 to finish the 1994 Kangaroo Tour to the one which suited up for the ‘98 Anzac Test, only six Australian players bridged the gap: centre Steve Renouf, props Glenn Lazarus and Paul Harragon, five-eighth Laurie Daley, lock Brad Fittler and second-rower Dean Pay.
Incidentally, the Aussies lost that Test to the Kiwis 22-16 when a young fullback on debut had a horror outing – coming off the bench to replace an injured Robbie O’Davis in the first half, he made two handling errors that led to New Zealand tries. He bounced back all right after that night, Darren Lockyer, playing 58 more Tests.
1994 Kangaroos vs France | 1998 Kangaroos vs New Zealand | |
Brett Mullins | 1 | Robbie O’Davis |
Andew Ettingshausen | 2 | Wendell Sailor |
Steve Renouf | 3 | Steve Renouf |
Mal Meninga | 4 | Terry Hill |
Brett Dallas | 5 | Mat Rogers |
Laurie Daley | 6 | Laurie Daley |
Ricky Stuart | 7 | Andrew Johns |
Glenn Lazarus | 8 | Paul Harragon |
Steve Walters | 9 | Geoff Toovey |
Ian Roberts | 10 | Rodney Howe |
Dean Pay | 11 | Steve Menzies |
Bradley Clyde | 12 | Brad Thorn |
Brad Fittler | 13 | Brad Fittler |
Tim Brasher | 14 | Glenn Lazarus |
Allan Langer | 15 | Darren Lockyer |
Paul Harragon | 16 | Nik Kosef |
David Fairleigh | 17 | Dean Pay |
From the 17-man line-up which lost to Tonga in 2019, there is only one player who has since retired – captain Boyd Cordner – Paul Vaughan is no chance of being selected, while fellow bench forward Wade Graham, winger Nick Cotric and starting prop David Klemmer are long odds to return to the representative arena.
That leaves 12 players in contention to retain their green and gold jerseys – the spine of James Tedesco, Cameron Munster, Damien Cook and Daly Cherry-Evans, centres Latrell Mitchell and Jack Wighton, winger Josh Addo-Carr, forwards Tyson Frizell, Jake Trbojevic, Cameron Murray, Josh Papalii and Payne Haas.
Frizell is the most likely to miss the cut given he was an unused squad member for NSW in Origin I and has not been selected for game two this Sunday in Perth.
Barring injury, the other 11 are all strong chances of making the World Cup squad.
Tedesco and Cherry-Evans are vying for the captaincy, although the fact that the Queensland skipper is not guaranteed to be Australia’s halfback given the rise of Nathan Cleary means the Roosters fullback is the frontrunner to succeed Cordner.
Cook is facing a challenge from Ben Hunt and Harry Grant for the Australian No.9 jersey with the Rabbitohs veteran losing his NSW starting spot to Api Koroisau for Origin II.
2019 Kangaroos vs Tonga | Possible 2022 World Cup line-up | |
James Tedesco | 1 | James Tedesco |
Josh Addo-Carr | 2 | Brian To’o |
Latrell Mitchell | 3 | Latrell Mitchell |
Jack Wighton | 4 | Dane Gagai |
Nick Cotric | 5 | Valentine Holmes |
Cameron Munster | 6 | Cameron Munster |
Daly Cherry-Evans | 7 | Nathan Cleary |
Josh Papalii | 8 | Josh Papalii |
Damien Cook | 9 | Damien Cook |
David Klemmer | 10 | Payne Haas |
Boyd Cordner | 11 | Felise Kaufusi |
Tyson Frizell | 12 | Cameron Murray |
Jake Trbojevic | 13 | Isaah Yeo |
Cameron Murray | 14 | Ben Hunt |
Payne Haas | 15 | Tino Fa’asuamaleaui |
Paul Vaughan | 16 | Junior Paulo |
Wade Graham | 17 | Kurt Capewell |
Tom Trbojevic would have been a walk-up start in the backs but his season-ending shoulder surgery means Mitchell and Dane Gagai would be the likely Kangaroos centres with Addo-Carr, Brian To’o and Valentine Holmes fighting it out for the wing berths.
In the pack, Isaiah Yeo is a ‘lock’ for the No.13 jersey with the likes of Kurt Capewell, Felise Kaufusi, Junior Paulo and Tino Fa’asuamaleaui in line for their first Australian honours.
One of the benefits of the three-year gap in Tests is that Australia will have several debutants, like that quartet, who have extensive NRL and Origin experience under their belts before making their delayed international debuts.
There is, of course, plenty of time between now and selection time in October and there is always a player or two who comes from left field with a memorable run in the finals to storm into contention.
However, standout performances in this Sunday’s Origin II in Perth and next month’s series finale can catapult the likes of Patrick Carrigan, Liam Martin, Selwyn Cobbo, Stephen Crichton and perhaps even Joseph Suaalii – if he gets a chance for the Blues – into the Kangaroos conversation.
Paul Suttor
Expert
hes actually been picked at fullback - you were right about centre as they've shifted Niukore out there with Hiku although he did pretty well there last season 4 Parra
kk
Roar Pro
Paul, Daly weighs it by the cent. A handshake and a fair dinkum autograph is the best I could hope for.
dogs
Guest
I reckon if Api goes good in origin (hope he doesn't), and also takes penrith back-to-back, then he'll be the 9
dogs
Guest
Oops,forgot about Manu. Makes my centre comment seem a bit stupid
Paul Suttor
Expert
Capewell should probably be a starting second-rower but given his versatility he may end up on the bench. He has to be in the 17 somewhere
Paul Suttor
Expert
you should see if he wants to trademark that & then ask for a finder's fee
Paul Suttor
Expert
In recent years there have been a few players that Meninga has chosen even when Origin coaches haven't like David Klemmer. He's a big fan of David Fifita so if he plays to his potential at the Titans in the 2nd half of the season, he could be part of the pack too
Paul Suttor
Expert
Cobbo is a future Test player but even with Tupou electing to play for Tonga at WC, it'd be hard for Selwyn to get a gig ahead of Foxx, To'o and Holmes/Gagai
Paul Suttor
Expert
if Origin I formline continues, I could see Hunt & Grant taking their double act into the Test arena. Cook is far from finished but is probably paying the price a bit as well for South Sydney's average form
Paul Suttor
Expert
i cant remember a Kiwi pack being as strong as this one, plus with Jahrome Hughes, Dylan Brown and Joey Manu in the backs, they have that touch of class that you need in Test footy when the bash & barge falls off
Choppy Zezers
Roar Rookie
I hope Munster is flat for the next two origins. In fact I hope he decides to give both games a miss this year.
Choppy Zezers
Roar Rookie
Hate Queensland, but Val is a gun. Kudos to Todd and Val and the Cowboys for unleashing him. He's better than Gagai who tackles like a Dufty
Nat
Roar Guru
No harm in patriotic support. It’s great to watch the Dream Team at the craft. It’s also good for the international game to have a standard set for the others to aspire too. When they do get beat you know it’s a good team that managed the feat.
dogs
Guest
I second that. I remember when our cricket team was flogging everyone and the media were saying it's getting boring. I was thinking "You idiots! This is the best it's ever been. We may never see it's like again". So I hope we flog Tonga next time we play them, just to get everything back to that happy comfortable place. I think Cleary and Munster in the halves will be amazing, reckon they would compliment each other really well. Sorry DCE (I am a QLDer) I just think Cleary offers a little more, but hoping he doesn't shine on the rep stage until after origin is over. The kiwi forward pack will be amazing (Fisher-Harris, Tarpine, NAS, Bromwich x2, JWH, B.Smith Nikora, etc), but I think what we lack in size we'll more than make up for in stamina and mobility. Also think their halves (Hughs and D.Brown?) are very good, but a step below ours, and centre and fullback (Rapana or CNK???) will probably be where they're weakest.
astro
Roar Rookie
Yeah, there's something about the backrow group of Kaufusi, Capewell, Murray and Tino which looks good, but not great. If he actually played to his full potential, David Fifita would be the perfect player for this team, but his form doesn't warrant consideration. I know its early days, but maybe Cotter should come into the team? I'd also swap Gagai for Cobbo and bring Val into the centres.
egbert
Guest
Juicy article thanks Paul. I know everyone bangs on about the health of the international game but for me the Kangaroos are one of our greatest (perhaps the world's) national sporting teams and I want us to batter everybody, all the time, in style. There I said it. I think Burton might end up having a claim on a centre spot, and obviously Grant in for Cook (who is out completely). Martin or Crichton in for Kaufusi, and Jake T may end up in there too - I think Meninga likes him.
Fraser
Roar Rookie
I'm not sure this team would gel very well. Cleary plays incredibly deep off the back of Yeo as first receiver. Munster likes to play flat. I think this team would look more complete with another middle forward over a ball playing lock - and I say this as a huge Yeo fan. I wouldn't have Paulo anywhere near the squad, although he has 2 Origins to show he remembers how to play as a prop. Carrigan to take his bench spot.
Nat
Roar Guru
Hey Bunny. I would have him above all and Murray because he is a better Lock than backrower. It’s not just that he is incredibly consistent but his decision making is spot on. Capewell is right up there in that regard and i suppose that is an experience thing which they both have over the others. It’s opinion of course but what he does, he does very well and doesn’t fluctuate much from that high standard.
Joe
Roar Rookie
Still two games to play but on current club and Origin form I'd have Val over Gags at center. Cobbo on the wing. Grant in for Cook. Not sure you need another second rower on the bench where so many others can play that role. I think the next 2 Origins performances may well be the deciding factor.
Bunney
Roar Rookie
Can't agree Nat. Kaufusi has lost a lot of his dynamism...he's still a good player, but I don't think he's Australian rep quality. Capewell has passed him, and I'd have Angus Crichton, Liam Martin and Cam Murray ahead of him too.