Can England fix soft underbelly, will France stay legal, are Scotland set to fade again? 6N burning questions

By Harry Jones / Expert

We are told rugby has reached its first grand age of parity.

Peerless New Zealand has been reeled in by the Irish, the beefy French have caught burly South Africa, scratchy England has erratic Australia’s number, bold Scotland owns the Calcutta Cup, Wales does not slam grandly any more, and the Italians, Argentines, Georgians and Japanese have annual upsets.

But the parity is more a product of matchups.

The All Blacks still routinely tar and feather Wales and Australia, the Springboks do not truly struggle with Scotland or Argentina, and the intricate Irish Way works a lot better against running sides who do not smash the ruck. Yes, as many as eight teams could have a say in who does not win the Rugby World Cup, but only four shape to have the hardware and software to win it all.

The 2023 Six Nations may also play out in this way. If Wales continues to dominate the Scots this weekend, it will be confirming a longer tale: that very few teams are capable of winning a big trophy and they tend to be the same ones.

Thus, the match of the second round is set up to be the French visit to Dublin.

Ireland seems to have hacked the secrets of rugby at the moment.

Little big things are supporting their attack: carriers tuck and roll at just the auspicious moment to give even an ache-kneed halfback like Conor Murray a smooth swoop; props carry the ball in two hands and deliver soft, short pops; aging flyhalf Johnny Sexton throws empathic and telepathic passes; forwards cut back to the middle instead of the outside; and runs are not maximised to avoid isolated turnovers.

I watched the Leinster schools final between St. Michael’s College and Blackrock College from 2022. It was clear to see the influence of the Test side on these students: the players seemed to know where to be, props popped passes, hookers were key cogs in the wheel, ball presentation was a focus, the kicking was superb, and there was a distinct lack of top end size and speed.

Ireland has adapted to rugby and adapted rugby to its own resources.

At the moment, in this Six Nations, unless France finds form (courtesy of 40 hours of Shaun Edwards rancour) this weekend, it seems like a glide path for Ireland. Farrell’s team is best organised; if the tournament was being contested by various crime gangs, Ireland is a proper Mob, with distribution chains and redundancy planning, all overseen by a real captain on and off field.

Scotland is a bit of a smash and grab motorcycle gang, scoring four tries at Twickenham with less than 30 percent possession.

The first round was dominated by themes of new coaches struggling to turn the ship around, Warren Gatland’s fizzle, wonder tries by superstar Duhan van der Merwe, and questions around French fitness.

My team of the round would be:

Ellis Genge, Dan Sheehan, Finlay Bealham, Richie Gray, James Ryan, Jamie Ritchie, Josh van der Flier, Caelan Doris, Ben White, Johnny Sexton, Duhan van der Merwe, Sione Tuipulotu, Garry Ringrose, Max Malins, and Hugo Keenan.

Eight Irishmen is fair and it could have been more.

All the teams face big questions ahead of the second round.

Can England Stop Soft Tries?

The English attack had atrophied under Eddie Jones to the point of utter impotence in the Six Nations. Single digit try totals two years in a row, no less.

Steve Borthwick and Nick Evans clearly brought more angles to the attack and found space, but defensively, England was woeful.

The Marcus Smith and Owen Farrell combination mostly gets evaluated on attack, but the truth is it fails on defence. League legend Kevin Sinfield was given a taste of how quickly lost ball in Test union can turn into points.

Yes, van der Merwe seems like a Teutonic Lomu, but no Test team should ever be able to score from one player going up the middle from 60 metres out.

(Photo by Mark Thompson/Getty Images)

Italy has also shown skill in scoring. If the English kick chase is as poor this week as it was last, the boo birds will be heard again at Twickers.

Borthwick is probably right about the low state of the team he was handed but Italy is still a team England should always beat at home, handily. They cannot give up tries as easily as they did last week.

Can Wales Use Experience with Youth?

Warren Gatland ran an experiment last week by going with his old guard. There are good young players in the wings, but the mix of new to old is the key.

Gatland cannot throw the tournament away, but could risk a bit more to find out more. He has never been afraid to make big calls and changes, but he also has a penchant for allowing great old players to come back from a defeat. First and foremost, he will need his team to convert more than 2 of 12 chances.

Will Scotland Fade Again?

This is not the first time a triumphant Scotland has faced a less-heralded Wales the week after winning the Calcutta Cup. Gatland has never lost to Scotland with Wales, and Wayne Pivac also had good luck against Gregor Townsend. So, is this the real deal or will Scotland fade again?

There does seem to be a 7-10 point gap between the teams at the moment, and the game will be in Edinburgh. There may not be a better chance for Townsend’s men to challenge to win the trophy for the first time since 1999.

Can Ireland Go Wire to Wire?

Being the favourite heaps pressure on a team. Ireland is attempting to do something even more difficult: stay number one for over a year, spanning the World Cup.

Their form is stellar, their troops all know their brief, and they host the French. But in sport, pressure is a headlock. A few mistakes here and there, an untimely injury, a card perhaps, and a bitter loss could ensue. With France lying in wait in the quarterfinals, perhaps, that would put a large dent in confidence.

Will the French Stay Legal?

France incurred 18 penalties in the first round. It is safe to say that if they do anything similar to that, Ireland will win, going away. Edwards will have been steaming all week. Expect a more accurate French team this week.

Can the Roman Fairy Tale Go On?

Italy is a bit like Argentina in The Rugby Championship. A big upset. Maybe two. But in the end, they simply do not have the weight and numbers. Still, there is nothing “foregone” or “concluded” about their Round Two match in London.

A most fascinating Six Nations continues this week: all of it in the backdrop of the biggest tourney of all.

Parity may be the winner this time.

The Crowd Says:

2023-02-13T20:30:26+00:00

Brendan NH Fan

Roar Rookie


He is very good at what he does and he will never be a Russell or Smith but he is the kind of player that wins things. BB is far more skillful ball in hand than RM but he struggles to win difficult games because he can't kick smartly so compounds errors most of the time. RM on the other hand won't get many amazing breaks but he breaks teams down. OF similarly puts teams on the back foot all game rather than a run here or there which is why Quinns score and concede loads of points. Talk in the media is Smith may be replaced by Ford as Smith is struggling and a one trick pony.

2023-02-13T19:44:43+00:00

Derek Murray

Roar Rookie


You have an opinion. Before yesterday, I mostly shared it. I just thought Farrell looked slow and his passing looked mechanical. Maybe I'm wrong

2023-02-13T18:20:54+00:00

Brendan NH Fan

Roar Rookie


And yet he kicked the ball where he was meant to and he didn’t try run at the first defender he saw. Smith only knows how to play one way and at test level that will result in more losses than wins. Smith has 1 prem title built off having a large SA player at to dig him out when he gets into trouble. Farrell is able to play fine with all the other 10s for England and Lions. I don’t think it’s Farrell is the problem

2023-02-13T08:02:59+00:00

Derek Murray

Roar Rookie


Farrell looked slow and ponderous. His passing was terrible. He’s toast

2023-02-13T07:55:16+00:00

Brendan NH Fan

Roar Rookie


Farrell at 12 worked fine with Ford and Sexton. It fails with Smith because he thinks he can play club football at international level when defences are quicker and harder to breakdown. When the 12 doesn't get the ball off 10 it's harder to effect the game

2023-02-13T07:52:22+00:00

Brendan NH Fan

Roar Rookie


If you have a strategy to win but don't use it says you are choosing to loose. Showing how to beat a team allows you to take out a competitor as we saw when England dismantled Ireland in 2019 6N. I have yet to be convinced that NZ did anything different against SA in the 2015 semi than they did in their previous meetings.

2023-02-13T07:46:32+00:00

Brendan NH Fan

Roar Rookie


I think Wales (6) Oz (5) and England (4) in 2015 were the highest ranked contenders at the start of 2015 to appear in a group. England never made it to the quarters.

AUTHOR

2023-02-12T20:37:24+00:00

Harry Jones

Expert


Yes, and it was the SYSTEM of :rugby: that I found fascinating: so similar to Ireland Test style.

AUTHOR

2023-02-12T20:35:44+00:00

Harry Jones

Expert


Liam is a flat out baller

AUTHOR

2023-02-12T20:35:15+00:00

Harry Jones

Expert


Aged well

2023-02-12T05:49:47+00:00

Brendan Murphy

Guest


I add this with a bit of respect and caution given the understandable question of Ireland's neutrality in WW2. It was less than 20 years since independence, following 3 years of brutal suppression by the British, including the Black & Tans. By comparison, just 30 years after the US gained its independence it fought the British again the War of 1812. Joining the war in 1939 would have meant British troops on the ground and that would probably have caused more difficulty for Churchill and the war effort than he needed. There was considerable contact between the young Irish state and the British, and effectively Ireland was neutral in favour of the allies. When stray British planes landed or crashed in Ireland the crew were quietly transported across the border to Northern Ireland and returned to the fray. When Germans crashed they were interned in the Curragh for the duration. British and American plans were cleared through Irish airspace to protect Atlantic convoys without hinder. Roughly 60,000 southern Irishmen joined the allied forces (2% of the population - equivalent to 1m British) and served with distinction in all theatres. A crucial factor in the success of the D-Day landings was the weather information relayed to the allies from the West of Ireland... if the landings had been 24 hours earlier the risk of weather driven disaster would have been many times greater. Context and timing in history is crucial, and while Ireland did not fight the evil was the Nazis directly, it contributed on every level that was practical at the time.

2023-02-12T05:49:40+00:00

tuohyred

Roar Rookie


Ciaran Frawley - might yet be bench #10 for WC - plays 10, 12, 15 Steve Hansen gave Sopoaga the keys and he steered team to victory in ZA. Later said if Carter not fit he was #10, but couldn't/wouldn't carry a specialist #10 on the bench > Bauden Bloody Barret's ascent. Who knows what Farrell is thinking, but look at Irl B vs Maori ABs As U can tell I'm a fan.

2023-02-12T05:48:55+00:00

CW Moss

Roar Rookie


aucun problème

2023-02-12T05:05:14+00:00

SwissRugbyFan

Roar Rookie


Thank you very much :happy:

2023-02-12T04:47:55+00:00

CW Moss

Roar Rookie


Good judgment SwissFan. :thumbup:

2023-02-11T20:22:25+00:00

Ulrich

Roar Rookie


Missed some really good games.

2023-02-11T17:56:03+00:00

Derek Murray

Roar Rookie


I suspect you’re right re Farrell but we’ll see. No excuses for him given he has the proper 12/13 consistently denied Smith

2023-02-11T17:08:10+00:00

Kane

Roar Guru


Choosing to lose is a terrible way to put it. In the lead up to the two most recent World Cup wins for the All Blacks they lost games that they could’ve won. They lost games back to back in 2011. They definitively don’t leave everything on the table to win those.

2023-02-11T17:04:16+00:00

Kane

Roar Guru


Let’s wait and see. The feeling in Scotland right now is that the pool is wide open. Could quite easily see a top 5 team fail to make the quarters

2023-02-11T16:58:10+00:00

Brendan NH Fan

Roar Rookie


Like Reece. If SR paid more they could keep more players. In 2005 there wasn't any issues because SR paid more than NH leagues.

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