Why the Dan Hannebery deal was good business

By Justin Mitchell / Roar Guru

As one of many thousands of Swans fans that rose this glorious, beautiful morning to hear the tragic news of our dear Dan Hannebery, glee and delight soon hid from raging, thunderous anger.

Immediate thoughts of ‘how could they’ and ‘what the hell are they doing’ swirled through my head, accusations of vehement obscenities levelled against those in control. Repugnant unclean thoughts and future heads on pikes, Game Of Thrones style, swirled through the red mist of anger.

It’s pretty easy to respond in anger to the trade when considering the terms. I don’t blame you, it was my first reaction. A premiership player, three-time All Australian, 2015 AFLCA Player of the Year, 2010 Rising Star winner and superstar of the competition, traded for peanuts. Peanuts!

The trade itself is a doozy. A massive win for the Saints if you do a bit of Excel math. The Swans part way with Hannebery and pick 28, while the Saints send back pick 39 – which they got from the Eagles for Tom Hickey – and their future second-round pick in 2019.

The Saints basically traded Hickey for Hannebery and landed two second-round picks. That’s the surface level stuff, that really drives the supporters mad and makes their blood boil. After losing Tom Mitchell for nothing just two years ago, the Swans are at it again, and this time with a club favourite.

It’s easy to throw out your $5 cup of milk with a double-shot of coffee and stomp your feet, no doubt a lot of us were this morning. At face value, it’s a really bad trade, but you’ve got to scrape that scab off and really look at what’s festering underneath.

The Lance Franklin trade created cap pressure, felt ever since with the massive contracts of Franklin, Hannebery and Kurt Tippett. Hannebery’s contract was renegotiated a few years ago now and he’s been paid handsomely at around $800k a season, while Tippett re-negotiated his early last year after earning close to $1m per year.

Some players were forced into early retirement, others, like Shane Mumford and Tom Mitchell, simply left for better terms and in hindsight, were terrible trades for their output in subsequent years (let’s not get into the Oliver Florent/Will Hayward vs Mitchell debate).

With Hannebery and Tippett off the books, over $2 million has been removed from the salary cap, the majority of which has already been spent on contracts and a healthy offer for Tom Langdon.

Is it really worth losing a favourite son of the club and all-around good guy? Someone who always put his body on the line no matter what? I don’t think anyone will ever forget Hannebery’s 2012 grand final, arguably his greatest game, or how important he was in 2016 during our fightback.

Dan Hannebery was a crowd favourite at Sydney. (Photo by Cameron Spencer/AFL Media/Getty Images)

Since that game, his body hasn’t been the same, struggling through numerous groin and hip-related injuries rumoured to be an undiagnosed and then mistreated osteitis pubis injury. His 2017 averages fell away significantly from his 2012-2016 levels, averaging close to his 2011 season, while his most recent campaign has arguably been his worst.

He missed large chunks of the season and when he did return, although his running ability was still there, his disposal efficiency was dreadful. Kieren Jack-level.

But he still couldn’t play without injury, suffering setbacks against the Giants in Round 22, the Hawks in Round 23 and struggling through the elimination final against the Giants. With his ability to spread and his much-vaunted endurance seriously hampered, combined with this atrocious efficiency, many wondered if we would even see the best of Hannebery again.

At just 27 years of age, he’s supposed to be in his prime. He was lambasted by the media all season long and initial rumours of his trade to the Saints were received with mixed fanfare. Pundits like Matthew Lloyd thought the Saints were nuts, while Swans fans didn’t really know how to respond.

I’m sure most Swans fans were hoping for a first-round pick, or a good player in return, but let’s face it, this is 2018 Dan Hannebery we’re trading. A broken-down 1982 Datsun with 500,000 kilometres on the clock, not the 2015 Lamborghini.

Naturally, we’re a bit flustered when one of the best players in the competition just three years ago is traded for pick 39 and a future second-round pick. That just seems incomprehensible to the majority of us, especially a player as revered as he is.

St Kilda hope the Hannebery trade was a good decision. (AAP Image/Joe Castro)

A quick look at the pros and cons presents us a different story and one certainly worth telling.

Pros: his $800k/season salary until 2021 has been offloaded to St Kilda for five years. With the departure of both Tippett and Hannebery freeing up around $2 million per season, we can re-sign young stars and go after Tom Langdon. We’re still close to 400 points better off in the draft for Nick Blakey and St Kilda now live with Hannebery’s awful disposals.

Cons: He’s still an important player to us as evident in the Melbourne win. He’s a club life member and a favourite player. We all love him. We don’t love St Kilda as much as we love him.

While swapping 28 for 39 was a fist in the face, given we traded out pick 13 to Carlton to 26 and 28 in the first place, the different is just -231 points, hardly a game-breaking difference to land one of the hottest talents in the draft.

The most important question to ask is will we ever see Dan Hannebery back at his best? It’s a question most of you asked yourselves this year and not just contemplated trading him, but considered what he was worth.

I asked myself those questions and while a first-round pick would have been nice, realistically it was never going to happen. A player swap would have been the best outcome, but St Kilda was never going to give anyone up. The only logical outcome was a second-round pick, and we got two, so not bad business all things considered.

I wish him all the best at the Saints and hopefully he can get back close to his former glory, otherwise the Saints are going to be kicking themselves for the next four years.

The Crowd Says:

2019-03-22T17:53:27+00:00

t

Guest


Hang on The deal is Swans lose Hannebery + 28 Saints lose pick 24 (2019 estimate) + 39 (Hickey) Lets see but so far the Saints are losing.

2018-10-16T19:33:53+00:00

christy olsen

Roar Rookie


The Saints needed to do the deal with little to no upfront cost, which they did. It's possible Hannebery negotiated a slightly lower salary in return for the extra two years. After all, he did say that was a big part of his motivation to move. If StK are paying him at his glory-days level, and he in fact gets seriously hurt and isn't even able to serve out his contract, it will indeed end up a huge loss for them. But he doesn't have to be a superstar again for it to be a good move for the Saints. Think of the situation at Moorabin. They have almost no senior leadership. 2018 was a demonstration of what happens when a midfield is full of decent, but not great, talent with no true leader. Thinking back to 2017, it's clear that Riewoldt and Montagne were most important for their experience and leadership. Neither was lighting up the stat sheet, but the team was far better with them around. So, thought of as a replacement for Montagne, Hannebery needs only to be noticeably good to have a positive impact at his new club. If he gives them 4+ years of strong (even if not elite) play, and becomes a leader in the clubhouse, then this trade will be a great deal for all involved.

2018-10-14T08:14:42+00:00

Samuel Ord

Roar Guru


Good business for the Swans getting Hanners off the books. You need to burn down the old growth for the new forestry to emerge. Bad business for the Saints. Five years is far too long. Hanners already showing all the signs that his best football is long gone. The rich get richer and the poor get poorer. Way of the world!

2018-10-14T05:52:33+00:00

Birdman

Roar Rookie


Hawthorn 'gave' away Mitchell and Lewis for far less and turned them into T Mitchell and O'Meara. It's what you do after that matters. I trust my club but do you?

2018-10-13T22:10:17+00:00

The Ghost

Guest


It is obvious to all and sundry that the Vaucluse gin swillers who run this club have lost the plot. Sydney has made mistake after mistake, yet this she's right attitude is allowed to continue. Talk of premiership dynasties were sold to the members, yet instead we have seen continued finals embarrassment as geriatric former stars are rewarded with contract renewals, while good young talent is shown the door. Real Sydney people have had enough. Fresh faces are needed at this club.

2018-10-13T12:06:47+00:00

Bernie Vinson

Roar Rookie


A great player once but I cant forget his bone head free kick when the Swans were just holding on against Demons late in the year - nearly cost them the game...

2018-10-12T23:44:06+00:00

Aligee

Roar Rookie


Franklin has been great value, Tippett not so much!. Hannebery looks tired and worn as another poster said, he is a little guy playing inside mid, unless they have a bit of luck St Kilda will lose on this.

2018-10-12T23:43:55+00:00

Ditto

Roar Rookie


Taking over the contract from the Swans for the next three years and paying nothing in draft collatoral seems reasonable if St Kilda has calculated that they have sufficient salary space, but those extra two years seem dicey. Would he still effectively be being paid 800K p.a in 2022 & 2023?

2018-10-12T23:04:51+00:00

Cat

Roar Guru


Five years does seem very excessive for a player showing wear and tear already

2018-10-12T22:48:01+00:00

Hamish

Roar Rookie


5 years for a broken down Hanners seemed the biggest shock for me. He had a shocking year and the Swans got a get out of jail free card dumping him. For mine, this scenario only highlights why salary transparency is necessary. Football departments have to be accountable for their performance the same way the coach and players do.

2018-10-12T22:38:29+00:00

Angela

Guest


Yes, a great bloke and, until recently, player who worked hard and, for me anyway, always seemed destined to be a one-club player. Regardless of his latest form it will seem odd not to have him on our side whereas Tom Mitchell, regardless of his excellent form since he moved on, never really seemed to an embedded part of our club that Hanners was. Professional sport is cruel and not for the faint-hearted, one minute you're on top, the next minute you're close to being discarded often for things outside of your control (injuries). I would love to see Hanners regain his form and continue to do well even if it's St Kilda's gain and our loss.

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