AFL mock draft 2018: Top 30

By Maddy Friend / Expert

The 2018 AFL draft is just a handful of days away and to kick off the week, Maddy Friend and Josh Elliott have put together a top-30 mock draft.

In this year’s mock, Maddy is picking for Carlton, Collingwood, Fremantle, GWS, Melbourne, Richmond, St Kilda, West Coast and the Western Bulldogs.

Josh is picking for Adelaide, Brisbane, Geelong, Gold Coast, North Melbourne, Port Adelaide and Sydney, and also Essendon and Hawthorn, though they don’t actually feature at any point.

Pick 1 – Carlton Blues – Sam Walsh
183cm, 74kg

Maddy: Walsh is the complete package, a likely 200+ gamer and future captain. The player you can build a club around.

Pick 2 – Gold Coast Suns – Jack Lukosius
194cm, 85kg

Josh: Everyone knows the Suns must prioritise picking players who’ll stick around, but exactly how to do so is much harder to agree on.

I’m taking the best talent on the board, with the idea that players who are ready to come in and contribute at AFL level will be the most likely to feel like they’re a part of the club.

Lukosius is a bit skinny to be a true key position player right now but I reckon he can still play Round 1 2019 as a flanker.

Eventually – the Suns would hope – he, Peter Wright and Josh Corbett will be the key pillars of a quality forward line.

Pick 3 – Gold Coast Suns – Izak Rankine
180cm, 76kg

J: Like Lukosius, Rankine is simply too good to pass on. The fact he’s a South Australian boy like Lukosius also is nice if you’re a believer in the idea of ‘pairing’ draftees.

Rankine is the player in this draft class I just can’t wait to see playing at AFL level. The Suns would love to see bums on seats at Metricon Stadium, he can put them there.

Izak Rankine (Photo by Michael Dodge/Getty Images)

Pick 4 – St Kilda Saints – Max King
201cm, 86kg

M: I considered taking Bailey Smith or Connor Rozee here – both would be worthy choices – but King is too good to pass up.

He’s a different type of forward to Paddy McCartin, so would compliment what’s already on St Kilda’s list nicely.

Quality key forwards are hard to find, and there’ll still be some decent midfielders on the board at their next picks, should they decide to go that way.

Pick 5 – Port Adelaide Power – Connor Rozee
185cm, 72kg

J: Having just lost Jared Polec and Chad Wingard in the trade period I feel like Rozee is the perfect recruit for Port Adelaide. He can provide that polish going into forward 50 that the Power are craving.

A quick and classy outside mid, Rozee was top two in the 20m sprint at the combine but also tested well for agility and in the running and standing vertical jumps.

Pick 6 – Gold Coast Suns – Jye Caldwell
184cm, 78kg

J: Gold Coast would hope Rozee is still on the board here. If the Suns can add him to Lukosius and Rankine, they get to bring three good South Australian friends to the club together and hopefully that helps them settle in.

For that same reason I considered picking Jackson Hately here, and that selection would make some sense for the Suns – but it’s probably compromising on talent a bit.

Instead it’s a decision between Bailey Smith and Jye Caldwell as the next best pure midfielder in the draft after Sam Walsh. I’m picking Caldwell as there’s been a hint of talk about Smith being a flight risk.

Pick 7 – Western Bulldogs – Bailey Smith
184cm, 79kg

M: Smith compliments the other midfielders on the Western Bulldogs’ list nicely with his ability to burst out of packs.

The Bulldogs often take hard nuts, and he certainly fits that bill. He’s also super dedicated and of good character.

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Pick 8 – Adelaide Crows – Ben King
202cm, 85kg

J: The Crows initially seemed like they were going to be picking just outside that top tier of talent in this year’s draft, but if Rozee and Caldwell both rise into the top bracket then one of this year’s best will slip through to them.

They should take whoever that is, but if it’s Ben King, that’s a good fit. Having lost Jake Lever last year, they could use a really top-quality young key defender on the list.

Ben King. (Photo by Quinn Rooney/Getty Images)

Pick 9 – Sydney Swans – Nick Blakey (matching bid from GWS)
195cm, 80kg

M: I suspect on draft night a bid will come for Blakey somewhere between picks 5-10, and Sydney will match it instantly.

He’s a versatile player who will offer a lot to the Swans no matter which position he plays in (forward or midfield).

Importantly, they can also afford to give him plenty of time to rehab from the litany of injuries he had this year.

J: Death, taxes, and Sydney will match this bid no matter how early it comes. Thank goodness for the academies, making sure the sons of 300-game players against all odds get introduced to AFL somehow.

Pick 10 – GWS Giants – Jordan Clark
182cm, 78kg

M: I’m rapt Clark is still available here – he’s exactly what the Giants need to replace Nathan Wilson and eventually Heath Shaw. A composed, skilful half-back who provides much-needed run and carry from defence.

Pick 11 – Port Adelaide – Chayce Jones
180cm, 74kg

J: Jackson Hately as the next best South Australian prospect comes into my thinking a bit here, but for me he’s probably a bit too similar to the players Port Adelaide already have on their list.

Jones is a more well-rounded and dynamic midfield prospect who, like Rozee, can help fill the gap left by the losses of Wingard and Polec. Top two in the 2km time trial at the draft combine.

Pick 12 – North Melbourne – Tarryn Thomas (matching bid from GWS)
189cm, 73kg

M: I really wanted Jones here – given his endurance, he’d be the perfect Tom Scully replacement. However, I also think Thomas would complement the Giants’ existing on-ball brigade well.

He’s quick, skillful, and, although inconsistent this year, shapes as a real talent for North once he’s had a few years in the system.

J: As a North Melbourne fan I think I’ve probably been googling Tarryn Thomas highlights videos since the day after the 2017 draft… I’m pretty excited for this one.

It’s not just that Thomas has serious x-factor, which he does, but combine that with his size at 189cm and you’ve got a really hard-to-find mix of traits that could make him a bonafide superstar.

He was equal first in the kicking test and equal second in the goalkicking test at the combine. He’s not the complete package yet, but give it time and he may well be.

Tarryn Thomas (Photo by Robert Prezioso/AFL Media/Getty Images)

Pick 13 – GWS Giants – Jackson Hately
190cm, 81kg

M: Having picked a defender in Clark I wanted to complement that selection with a midfielder, and Hately fits the bill well.

He can be given time to develop in the GWS system and will go some of the way towards filling the hole left by Dylan Shiel’s departure.

Pick 14 – Geelong Cats – Sam Sturt
188cm, 77kg

J: You’ve pinched one from me there Maddy. I probably would’ve taken Hately at this pick if still on the board.

Instead I’m going with one of the big bolters of the draft in Sam Sturt. After focusing primarily on cricket earlier in the year he doesn’t have the same body of work that other players do, but what we have seen is spellbinding.

Sturt kicked 11 goals from six TAC Cup games this year and has one of the best athletic profiles in the draft – second for running vertical jump, top ten for agility and 20m sprint.

The popular consensus doesn’t have him this high on the board just yet but I reckon there’s a very good chance he gets picked here or even earlier.

Pick 15 – Adelaide Crows – Zak Butters
181cm, 70kg

J: Butters is a dynamic prospect who can start as a small forward, which the Crows could use, and eventually develop into a creative half-forward or winger.

Pick 16 – Fremantle Dockers – Riley Collier-Dawkins
193cm, 88kg

M: Another player gone just one selection before mine! Butters would have been a good fit for the Dockers – however, they do also need to bolster their midfield, and they get a good one here in Collier-Dawkins.

He’s 193cm, and is the prototype of the modern midfielder. Outside of Nat Fyfe, their midfield isn’t overly tall, so he complements their other pieces nicely.

He was inconsistent at times this year, largely stemming from being shifted into different positions and not settling in a spot, but his best is extremely good.

Pick 17 – Collingwood Magpies – Isaac Quaynor (matching bid from Port Adelaide)
182cm, 82kg

J: With Port’s third pick here I reckon it’s time to put a bid on Isaac Quaynor. I’ve got no doubts Collingwood will match it but in the unlikely event they pass for some reason, Quaynor would be great to have at the Power.

M: Quaynor is too good for Collingwood to pass up. Quick, with a penetrating kick from half-back, he’ll slot into their slide nicely in 2019.

Pick 18 – Port Adelaide Power – Luke Valente
186cm, 80kg

J: It was worth a shot, eh? Instead I’ll take another local boy in Luke Valente. He’s not a flashy type but he was South Australia’s captain and MVP in the national championships.

Champion Data rank him the tenth best player in the pool and count him as elite for both intercept possessions and score involvements.

Pick 19 – Western Bulldogs – Rhylee West (matching bid from Adelaide)
180cm, 80kg

J: So far for Adelaide I’ve got a key defender and an outside mid, so I don’t mind the idea of placing a bid of a grunty blue-collar type like Rhylee West.

M: Like Smith, West is a hard nut, and a ferocious tackler. It wouldn’t surprise me to see him play some senior footy next year.

Rhylee West (Photo by Michael Dodge/Getty Images)

Pick 20 – Adelaide Crows – Xavier O’Halloran
187cm, 83kg

J: With my bid for West matched, I’m going to take a bit of a bolter instead here with Xavier O’Halloran.

O’Halloran has a lot going for him – top two for agility, top five in the yo-yo, top ten in the 20m sprint, 2km time trial and the kicking test.

He’s a nice size at 187cm and he’s also a recognised leader, captaining Vic Metro at the championships.

The consensus has him ranked a bit lower than this, and maybe that’ll prove true on draft night, but I’m a fan and reckon he’s a good chance to be picked up earlier than expected.

Pick 21 – Richmond Tigers – Liam Stocker
183cm, 83kg

M: This year’s Morrish Medal winning-midfielder who averaged 22 possessions a game for the Sandringham Dragons.

He fits the Tiger mould of strong, big-bodied players who win clearances and are accurate kicks.

Pick 22 – Brisbane Lions – Ned McHenry
176cm, 71kg

J: There’s been a lot of talk about the Lions taking a midfielder but with Connor McFadyen coming through later as an academy prospect, I don’t think they necesarilly have to go that way.

Instead a small forward like McHenry, known for his pressure and hard running, would be a good fit.

Pick 23 – GWS Giants – Xavier Duursma
185cm, 71kg

M: A versatile and pacy midfielder, he’s a good fit for the Giants, and can be given time to develop.

Pick 24 – Collingwood Magpies – Will Kelly (matching bid from West Coast)
193cm, 83kg

M: One of the better key defenders in the pool this year, something Collingwood desperately need. Will be given time to develop.

Pick 25 – West Coast Eagles – Curtis Taylor
186cm, 79kg

M: A classy half-forward who could be the perfect replacement for the retired Marc LeCras.

Pick 26 – GWS Giants – Kieren Briggs (matching bid from Adelaide Crows)
200cm, 98kg

J: The Crows have been linked to a bid on Briggs at some point which makes sense – Sam Jacobs is nearing the end of his career and while they’ve got Reilly O’Brien on the list as his likely successor, having another option available would be handy.

M: I’m happy to match for Briggs as the best ruckman in the pool this year, to boost the Giants’ threadbare ruck stocks.

Pick 27 – Adelaide Crows – Ian Hill
175cm, 76kg

J: While the Crows have already addressed their need for small forwards during the trade period, drafting someone like Hill – who can start there and eventually move up the ground – could be a worthy move also.

He started the year ranked as a possible top ten pick so it’s clear that some clubs have developed doubts about him, but having already taken three really good prospects with the Crows’ picks I’m willing to gamble a little more with this one.

Ian Hill (Photo by Adam Trafford/AFL Media/Getty Images)

Pick 28 – West Coast Eagles – Ely Smith
188cm, 86kg

M: A big-bodied midfielder with excellent agility and endurance, he will complement West Coast’s midfield mix well.

Pick 29 – Melbourne – Jez McLennan
183cm, 81kg

M: Melbourne don’t really need any more intercept defenders, but I felt McLennan was too good to pass up here.

He’ll be a good replacement for Michael Hibberd when the latter retires, and the Demons have the luxury of giving him time to develop.

Pick 30 – Gold Coast – Jacob Koschitzke
196cm, 94kg

J: I was really hoping for McLennan here – a good replacement on the list for Kade Kolodjashnij and the chance to bring another South Australian in to join Lukosius and Rankine. It’s this kind of situation where you could see live trading occur on draft night.

Instead I’ll pick up Koschitzke (cousin of former Saint, Justin). There aren’t a lot of highly-rated key defenders but having lost Steven May, I’d like to pick one up for the Suns.

The Crowd Says:

2018-11-22T03:51:45+00:00

User

Roar Rookie


True but no more than the FFC being allocated the peel region. Curiosity as our clubs are aligned to wafl clubs for nga does that give us access to players from the wafl clubs zones?

2018-11-22T03:32:34+00:00

dontknowmuchaboutfootball

Guest


Yeah, that's not too bad an assessment. Nice to see the acknowledgement of the socio-economic objectives.

2018-11-22T02:12:20+00:00

Dalgety Carrington

Roar Guru


Nyoongar is more centred around language though. I don't think representation numbers are such a big issue, the idea is more about buffering reduced economic and social privileges and bolstering access to pathways into the AFL system. The WC has been allocated the South-West zone, which was controversial in some circles.

2018-11-22T01:58:50+00:00

dontknowmuchaboutfootball

Guest


See, I think you're just presuming that. Certainly, it's not part of the stated rationale. And there are significant differences between the Club Academies and the Next Generation Academies (most immediately: the former covers all would-be AFL players; the latter only those from "Indigenous and Multicultural" backgrounds). These differences feed into, or at least do not completely undermine, equalisation objectives, but equalisation, in any case, is not the sole objective. At least one objective (if not the main one) of the Academies is to grow the game in non-traditional AFL markets, or amongst people from backgrounds under-represented in AFL. It's a marketing strategy as much (of not more) than it is an equalisation measure. It's also a strategy that, in the case of NGAs, I think has some public good / social justice consequences, which is the only reason why I'm saying any of what I'm saying. The NGA academies, simply put, aren't about giving assistance to clubs, even if the way they're set up (incentives in the form of draft concessions) means that they also benefit clubs. Don't get me wrong: I'm aware that all kinds of politicking will have gone into the establishment of the NGAs, and in particular the allocation of recruiting zones. That politicking that will have largely worked against the interests of equalisation (though, imo, without completing undermining those interests). All I'm suggesting is that the inequality suffered by QLD and NSW football clubs might pale a little in comparison to the economic and social inequality suffered by at least some of the kids and communities that the NGAs, ideally, are directed at. ("Ideally". It should go without saying that these systems can be exploited in ways that undermine their rationales, or preferred consequences.)

2018-11-22T00:22:36+00:00

Seano

Roar Rookie


Obviously I’m a bomber but I live on the Gold Coast and go to suns games with my kids a fair bit so it would be nice if they win some games. I hope they take Rozee at 3, he is much closer with Lukosios and is a tradional mid. Obviously Rankine is a gun but an outside type the suns can add that style later. later.

2018-11-21T23:52:54+00:00

Pedro The Fisherman

Roar Rookie


So you did put it there then? Sheeeesh!

2018-11-21T23:38:09+00:00

SportsFanGC

Roar Guru


The AFL, hence creating the NGA system. My question remains unanswered and I don't think Gil, Hocking or anyone else at AFL HQ at the Docklands can explain how these academies are in the best interests of the game.

2018-11-21T23:35:51+00:00

SportsFanGC

Roar Guru


It is a spot on article and encapsulates everything wrong with the NGA system. However, there is nothing that a Victorian Club (mostly Collingwood) won't do to ensure that it is always head of the pack and always has the advantage. I do hold some reservations for the future of the AFL and what the competition will look like in 10 years time. It will remain ever popular in the Southern States but you can't expect the TV dollars to keep rolling in when more than half the country won't be tuning in...

2018-11-21T23:12:06+00:00

TomC

Roar Guru


Jake Niall expresses the problems with the NGA academies far better than I ever could: https://www.theage.com.au/sport/afl/dubious-world-of-afl-s-next-generation-academies-20181121-p50hhx.html And restores a small amount of my faith in the footy media to raise issues where Victorian clubs get an unfair advantage.

2018-11-21T22:30:40+00:00

User

Roar Rookie


The indigenous zones given to wce and Freo rightfully doesn't include the noongar areas in the southern parts of WA as that would cause a massive outcry as noongar are over represented when looking at numbers exclusively, if you look at the indigenous numbers to play the game in vfl/AFL the majority have been noongar and I'm certain you'll find Ian hill is noongar as any farmer was, cable, kraqeour, Matera, jetta, Franklin, narkle, ugle, hill, Bennell the list could go on.

2018-11-21T08:07:02+00:00

Stix

Guest


Would like to see Gold Coast trade 2019 R1 Pick (will obviously be pick 1) to StKilda for pick 4. Suns can also swap this years pick 29 for the saints pick 36 to sweeten the deal if need be. Gold Coast 2.3,4,6 = LUKOSIUS, RANKINE OR ROZEE, KING & KING. Port at pick 5 will take either Rankine or Rozee.

2018-11-21T04:24:48+00:00

dontknowmuchaboutfootball

Guest


Who is saying that those clubs need academies?

2018-11-21T01:41:54+00:00

SportsFanGC

Roar Guru


Lroy you need to read up on the draft pick valuation system. The follow that up be reading about Father-Son and Academy bidding and it will make sense. There has been numerous posters that have explained this process repeatedly on this site.

2018-11-20T21:10:44+00:00

Lroy

Guest


Jack Darling was predicted to go in the top 5 or so then he got bashed outside a nightclub, which meant he had ''drinking problems'' so the Eagles picked him up at 22 or something. So a few clubs overlooked him twice!!

2018-11-20T21:05:11+00:00

Lroy

Guest


I don't understand the ''matching bids'' qualification. How does that work, if a club has pick 22, how can there be a matching bid?

2018-11-20T19:42:00+00:00

Paul Thompson

Guest


Your Pick 6 Jye Caldwell is not from SA. He is from Bendigo Vic

2018-11-20T09:43:56+00:00

The eagle

Guest


What about Jez McLennan as an eagle? Does he play like shannon hurn? Shannon Hurns got two years max I reckon he'd be really good.

2018-11-20T09:14:15+00:00

The anonymous cool dude

Guest


Hey man, yeah I reckon that Jordan Clark will go the Fremantle Dockers. Kim Hagdorn said only just over a month ago that the eagles could get him. The eagles definitely won't get him but I think there is a seriously genuine chance that he could up at Fremantle. This fever might make him slide down. Then again I have a feeling that GWS would want him badly

2018-11-20T08:03:48+00:00

Pumping Dougie

Roar Guru


Thanks Johnny

2018-11-20T05:19:16+00:00

SportsFanGC

Roar Guru


Those kids listed in the draft order above haven't finished school yet. On ex-footballers - I still can't see why Southern Clubs in football heartland need Academies. Those players are playing under their noses every week in the VFL, SANFL and WAFL.

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