NRL preseason predictions 2019

By David Nammour / Roar Rookie

A new year brings a new season of NRL to look forward to (and hopefully some luck with my predictions).

Like last year, I will be writing my ladder predictions with reasoning behind the places, then will go through my finals predictions.

Once again these are just my predictions and feel free to voice your opinions in the comments section below.

Lets just say I don’t have this going one versus two like last year’s grand final, nevertheless, here is my ladder after 25 rounds.

1. Sydney Roosters
Where to even begin with this team? I don’t think I have seen a team win a premiership before, and then add further depth and quality to their line-up.

Seriously, how is it they lose Blake Ferguson, who was a star for them last year, and replace him with not one but two international rep wingers in Brett Morris and Ryan Hall?

Add in Angus Crichton and you have one team that should really get to around the 40=point mark for the season and win the minor premiership with a few games to spare.

2. South Sydney Rabbitohs
If there is one team you relate to a “never say die” attitude, it’s the Rabbits. They always seem to find a way to win games late from out of nowhere.

They have relatively the same team as they did last year in terms of squad list. However, the acquisition of Wayne Bennett should bring better defence to Redfern and add that to their attack which has multiple stars such as Damien Cook, Adam Reynolds and Dane Gagai as well as a strong forward pack led by Sam Burgess and you have a solid unit who should be up there come the end of the season.

Sam Burgess of the Rabbitohs. (AAP Image/Richard Wainwright)

3. St George Illawarra Dragons
My first ‘surprise’ of the predictions. I have the annual ‘May premiers’ doing a lot better at the back end of the season than last year.

I really feel Paul McGregor has learnt from his mistakes not resting players during the Origin period and will do so this year.

The depth the Dragons have is strong, especially in their forward pack, which I think is the strongest in the comp.

I also think the acquisition of Corey Norman will prove great for the Red V as they add another attacking option to the attack that during the first half of the year last year was unstoppable. Hence why I have them in the top four.

4. Melbourne Storm
The first team to drop down the ladder in the predictions. The main reason for this, is of course losing Billy Slater, meaning they now have just one of the three future immortals left in Cameron Smith.

While they still do have plenty of attacking options, I feel that they aren’t building as much as other teams around them and hence why the drop.

I still however think they make top four due to the fact they’ve still got Cameron Smith’s leadership, as well as the best coach in the game at the moment in Craig Bellamy, who won’t let his team drop off.

Cameron Smith of the Storm. (Photo by Michael Dodge/Getty Images)

5. Penrith Panthers
Honestly I struggled with my teams finishing number five and six as both I believe are dark horses to win it this year.

Reason I have Penrith finishing fifth however is due to the fact they do have that little bit more experience throughout their team.

I also feel the re-signing of Ivan Cleary will prove beneficial as they’ll be no rift between him and Phil Gould, meaning the team will be focused on their footy.

I feel Nathan Cleary will also have a bigger role this year and would’ve learnt from the heartbreak against the Sharks in the finals last year.

James Maloney is one of the best winners in the game at the moment and with their depth I think they are capable of finally hitting some of the goals in the 5,10,15, whatever year plan it is.

6. Brisbane Broncos
As said previously, I did struggle with my number five and number six. Reason I have Brisbane finishing sixth however is due to the fact they did lose a fair bit of experience in Josh McGuire moving to the Cowboys and Sam Thaiday retiring.

I feel the young forward pack need a couple more years to fully develop and reach their potential. As well as this, a new coach in Anthony Seibold means it may take this young time a little bit to gel to a new system.

The halves combo of Brisbane also need to show a little bit more “clutch”, especially against tougher opposition in bigger games.

7. Newcastle Knights
Gee, haven’t seen you here in a while! Yep, I think this year is the year the Knights finally crack the eight in their rebuild.

The acquisition of David Klemmer as well as names such as Tim Glasby, Kurt Mann and Edrick Lee means they have filled up some spots which were previously holes in their squad list.

For Newcastle’s sake, I hope Kayln Ponga is played t fullback, however I trust Nathan Brown, whose one of the smarter coaches in the NRL.

Reason I don’t have them too high? I think if any key players get injured, like Mitchell Pearce last year, they don’t have the depth to challenge for a top four spot.

Kalyn Ponga of the Knights. (AAP Image/Brendon Thorne)

8. North Queensland Cowboys
Other big movers are the Cowboys. Let’s just write off last year, it was a disaster to say the least.

Once they got their full team back at the end of the season however, they were winning a couple of games. I think with their squad, if fit, they should be making finals easy.

I think they’ll be slow starters again this year however, as it’ll take the new spine of the team time to gel (even more now cause of the muppet Ben Barba’s exit).

Their forward pack however is one of the strongest in the comp and add Josh McGuire to it and you got one competitive team who’ll make everyone struggle to beat them

9. Cronulla Sharks
The biggest loser of my predictions. The Sharks just can’t escape drama with the new allegations of salary cap cheating and the de-registering of their former coach Shane Flannagan.

Also will struggle in attack, losing their best attacker Valentine Holmes to the NFL. I just can’t see who will score their points.

Also take away 300+ games experience in Luke Lewis and their roster is really looking thinner. With that being said, the additions of Shaun Johnson (is he stays) and Josh Morris should make the losses a little less and they do still have stars in Andrew Fifita and Josh Dugan.

Good luck in your new coaching job John Morris.

10. Manly Warringah Sea Eagles
A team that’ll relatively be the same as last year. The re-signing of Des Hasler as coach should prove massive and should see a more disciplined, hard-working team.

When you have the attacking flair like Tom Trbojevic and Daly Cherry-Evans as well as forwards such as Jake Trbojevic and Marty Taupau anything is possible.

For Manly to succeed, they need to make Brookvale Oval a fortress again, losing quite a few games there recently. Once again not many additions besides Kane Elgey from the Titans and in such a competitive league, you really need to do more to make it to September.

Akuila Uate of the Sea Eagles charges forward during the round 14 NRL match between the Manly Sea Eagles and the New Zealand Warriors at AMI Stadium on June 9, 2018 in Christchurch, New Zealand. (Photo by Kai Schwoerer/Getty Images)

11. New Zealand Warriors
A big drop for team across the Tasman. I just see the Warriors doing a traditional fall down the ladder after one year in the finals for them.

They lost both quality and experience in Shaun Johnson and Simon Mannering. The addition of Lesson Ah Mau from the Dragons is a good one and should improve an already decent forward pack.

Just can’t see them scoring without a sufficient replacement for Shaun Johnson. Roger Tuivasa-Sheck is there, however if he gets injured, I see this team turning to dust like they did in last year’s elimination final versus Penrith.

12. Parramatta Eels
A big improvement for the team with a new home. Usually when any team get a new stadium, they make their new home a fortress for at least one year.

I see Parramatta doing this and having a great win-loss record at home. Problem is away from home I expect them to still be shocking, something as a fan of the side, I have experienced too much.

The addition of Junior Paulo is great as the forward pack struggled to move last year and got smashed by other teams. The addition of Blake Ferguson will also bring both attack and experience to the team who were so predictable to watch.

Brad Arthur is a great coach, however, Parramatta need a quicker start to the year than previous years, which with so many away games to start off the year, will be hard to do.

13. Wests Tigers
The last team I could think of a place for. I think the Tigers are a team that can produce one or two upsets, however will struggle for consistency.

A new coach in Michael Maguire should produce a hot start to the year, however I just don’t think the Tigers have any players that are “elite”.

The lack of size in the forwards has me worried they could be run over and steamrolled by teams and can experience a couple of floggings throughout the year.

Luke Brooks has another year of experience up his sleeve so should produce further quality, however I am not sure if he will – and he could be exposed.

The Tigers’ halfback Luke Brooks. (AAP Image/Paul Miller)

14. Canberra Raiders
A huge drop for one of the better attacking teams in the league. The reason for this is they lost a lot of quality in Blake Austin to the Super League, as well as both starting front rowers in Shannon Boyd and Junior Paulo.

They have not replaced them at all. Rumours have Jack Wighton starting in the five-eighth role, something which I think is a risk that won’t work. If they do not make Canberra Stadium a fortress, they will struggle big time.

One good thing for the raiders is Josh Hodgson starting this year and they still have ‘LEI-PANA” to score points. The problem is their defence, which watching, feels like they concede more points in a rugby league match than AFL/basketball teams can score.

15. Gold Coast Titans
Just something that confuses me about this team. I am not sure what it is. Is it the climate? The poor crowds? The culture?

The Titans have a decent roster in terms of list, however once they put on a jersey they seem to turn into NSW Cup quality players.

They’ve made great signings in Tyrone Peachey and Shannon Boyd. They have got a great forward pack, decent halves and decent back, the Titans now must do something with it. Will they?

Probably not. They need fans behind them cheering them on otherwise it’ll be the same old easy-beats in the Gold Coast.

16. Canterbury Bulldogs
The wooden spooners of 2019 are the Bulldogs. I think they’ve lost too much quality In David Klemmer and Brett Morris and replaced them with a guy that is suspended more than he plays in Dylan Napa.

Besides Napa, Josh Jackson and Kieran Foran, you’d struggle to find a recognisable name in this line-up and hence why I think it’s the worst line-up in the NRL in 2019.

Add the off-field drama with their tight salary cap and its going to be a struggle for Dean Pay’s men.

So that is my predictions for the ladder this upcoming season. Now onto the finals

Who will take out the 2019 NRL premiership? (AAP Image/Joel Carrett)

NRL finals predictions
Week 1:

Major finals
Roosters beat Storm
Dragons beat Rabbitohs

Minor finals
Panthers beat Cowboys
Broncos beat Knights

Week 2 (semis)
Rabbitohs beat Broncos
Panthers beat Storm

Week 3 (prelims)
Rabbitohs beat Roosters
Dragons beat Panthers

Grand final
Dragons beat Rabbitohs

Yes you are reading it correctly! I have the Dragons winning it all this year and the Roosters choking in the prelims.

I have to go optimistic and can’t stick to boring. But you just don’t know how the season will go until it comes along, something I am eagerly anticipating.

P.S. Go the Eels!

The Crowd Says:

2019-02-27T05:02:41+00:00

Ben Kerrison

Guest


Peachey should've stuck with Penrith.

2019-02-22T20:11:43+00:00

peeeko

Roar Guru


Wow, totally irrelevant and unrelated Congrats on winning in 1908 Enjoy high school on Monday

2019-02-22T13:25:18+00:00

William W

Roar Rookie


Previous 2 years, who gives a rats… 2018 with 3 Field Goals, ring any bells? The May Premiers. lol St Merge sold what little soul they had. 21 Premierships to 1.

2019-02-21T12:11:24+00:00

DP Schaefer

Roar Rookie


Storm - "Best coach in the game" ?? No doubt he's got great skills in developing a squad, but the jury is out until we see him without Cam Smith (who - IMO is the main reason for Storm success).

AUTHOR

2019-02-20T12:53:29+00:00

David Nammour

Roar Rookie


Very fair comments made there. haha yea with parra, I am hoping the new stadium brings out a better side, however they got to win 2/3 away games aswell to avoid the spoon. With the sharks I completely agree, theres just way too much that has gone on with them. Plus hiring a new coach with no experience will make it even harder for the team. A lot of experience lost + a lot of attacking flair too with holmes gone, hene they miss the 8 imo. Agree with storm, Bellamy will not let them slack off at all and dont forget they still have a very decent forward pack led by players like jesse bromwich (who imo was the best prop in the game a couple of years ago) I think the father/son thing will be fine. Lets just hope there is no more coach dramas with Phil Gould (which I dont see happening) You arent wrong, Gagai is an awesome winger and shouldnt be anywhere else, especially once robert jennings goes. Well GI apparently has to lose around 15kg but lets hope thats not the case. Dont know about Corey Allen tbh so I cant make a comment. I think norman at the dragons will be fine, he wont be able to mess up with such a group of leaders the dragons have. Agreed, the De Belin saga will cause a bit of internal issues aroung the playing group with all the media. I think it's best he doesnt play till he is cleared of charged of his case as his mind wont be on the game 100%. The broncos on their day can beat anyone. problem is I dont see them doing much THIS YEAR due to lack of experience. Give them a few more seasons and I think theyll capture a premiership soon enough. Im not sure about the Titans. I think there is some sort of hoodoo, as no team in any sporting code thats ever been based in the gold coast, has had success. Id like to see them cause a few surprises thou, as itd be nice to have a fresh face in the finals. Yea I understand. I just didnt want to be boring and go for the obvious answer haha. Hope its not a gf consisting of both them and/or the storm Ive been eager ever since I booked my tickets for the magic round this year. This season just cant come round soon enough.

AUTHOR

2019-02-20T12:41:11+00:00

David Nammour

Roar Rookie


Fair comments you make, here is my reasoning for each team: Storm - got a great forward pack and the best coach in the game to go with munster and smith. Plus look out for this Ryan papenhausen kid as he is quality (according to a friend of mine who played with him) Rabbits have plenty of both quality and experience to compete with anyone. I think they wont really move up or down from last year. and Id also love to see the knights make the 8,however i do agree with you that their keys pkayers must stay fit the whole season

AUTHOR

2019-02-20T12:37:44+00:00

David Nammour

Roar Rookie


They're definitely a possibility, however they just dont have the depth for my liking and one injury to a spine player and i think they miss the 8

2019-02-20T07:40:47+00:00

James

Guest


TITANS TO WIN IT PEACHEY TO BE A GUN

2019-02-20T05:20:10+00:00

Ben Kerrison

Guest


Tigers to make the eight lol Up the Bunnies

2019-02-20T02:27:24+00:00

Kilgore Trout

Roar Rookie


I know you can't predict your own team to get the spoon .... bad karma . Everything else seems like a pretty decent guess . Could be tough for the Sharks but not because of Holmes departure . Graham will be missing for 10 weeks , they have lost Lewis and I can't see that back row hole being filled by the guys tipped to replace them . Plenty of talent , no Flanagan .... hmmm . Could go either way . The Storm will be right in it once again . Croft showed he is up to it and Munster is a star . They will miss Slater of course , but they are such a well "drilled" side it's hard to see them getting too much wrong with the same basic squad . Panthers ... fingers crossed the father / son thing doesn't go pear shaped or have a bad effect on the whole squad . It's really an " all in " call from Gould . Bunnies ... not convinced unless Corey Allen is actually as good as everyone says . I can't see GI playing a whole season at fullback on his gammy knees . Hope I am wrong . Am I the only one who think Gagai plays his best football on the wing ? Dragons ... the whole De Belin saga has the capacity to divide the squad and dead leg their season before it has even begun . Should go close if it gets sorted out and is a happy camp . Norman could be a revelation ... or not . Broncos will be solid . Could surprise . The Titans should be the big improvers in '19 unless there is some kind of hoodoo on them . Newcastle are the great unknown . I hate to say it but , after seeing the WCC it's hard to go past the Chooks for '19 . It would be great to see a Chooks / Bunnies GF but I'll have the Chooks playing a lesser fancied side like the Panthers or Dragons in the GF . How long till kick off ? This off season has been particularly hard to take .

2019-02-20T00:45:03+00:00

Chilli

Roar Rookie


Heard all that dribble last year mate.. our front 13 roll their sleeves up, are dynamic and get down with it for as long as they are needed and don’t rely on their bench as much as others. We have more depth than last year though, particularly the backs. Kyle Turner is a huge welcome back bruz for us in the pack (you mob forgot how good he is hey) and by all reports Junior has gone up another level and the rest of our pine are all reliable as hell including Kennedy coming off a gun year in bears reserves. We arright this year lads ????

2019-02-19T21:17:58+00:00

Rob

Guest


The NRL is currently such an even competition. I can’t see the Storm being a top 4 team with only the aging Smithy and Munster running the show now. Souths are highly overrated and will need a injury prone Reynolds fit and firing to finish in the top 6 teams. So much comes down to staying healthy especially when it comes to the teams best players. The Knights might play finals football this year. I hope they’re in the mix because their fans deserve some excitement and they have a very special player in Ponga.

2019-02-19T11:18:52+00:00

a

Roar Rookie


Knights will make the top 4

2019-02-19T10:36:22+00:00

Rob

Guest


Well it will be interesting to see what a Thurston less Cowboys will be like? I’m very confident about them finishing a lot higher than last years pathetic Thurston retirement village rubbish. Hess will see twice as much ball coming his way on the right edge close to the line and the result might be very productive for O’niel and Feldt. Morgan played hurt and also missed most of last year with injury. Clifford was picked in the PM team because he can play and his all round kicking passing and defence is a lot stronger than the old bloke he’s replacing.

2019-02-19T07:36:26+00:00

DP Schaefer

Roar Rookie


Agreed. All you need is to get that pack close and they can do the rest. Two solid wingers to bring the ball back and give their pack a rest, a great half to scheme and run the plays. Their centres are good enough.

2019-02-19T07:18:16+00:00

Paul

Roar Guru


nah, lots of IFs in both the Storm and the Sharks. One will be lucky to make the finals while the other won't make it at all.

2019-02-19T05:56:26+00:00

Albo

Roar Rookie


The Storm still have the GOAT, and the most successful coach of the past decade, and a well balanced side with a lot of big match experience & success . Plenty of top rep players like Munster, Addo-Carr, Chambers, Kaufusi, Finucane, Asofa -Solomona & the Bromwich boys The Sharks have lost Holmes & Lewis but have gained Johnson & Morris. They have an experienced rep pack , three match winners in Fifita, Moylan & Johnson, a solid experienced backline with Morris & Dugan, and a good batch of youngsters coming through. The Dragons look weaker than last year to me, having one new buy in the always unreliable Norman , but have lost metre eater Nene Macdonald & experienced Nightingale & who knows if JDB survives ? They still have Mary as their unsuccesful coach, Widdop who wants to go home and Hunt is yet to perform in the big games ? I am pretty happy with my early analysis.

2019-02-19T05:51:46+00:00

Paul

Roar Guru


Randy, I'm wondering whether there needs to be that real sparky player? Morgan will be the leader around the park and I suspect they'll change their style to accommodate their strengths; a quality pack of forwards and some big wingers. I don't think we'll see too many length of the field efforts from the Cowboys this year ( because they don't have that Thurston type spark), but that's not an issue if they're scoring in other ways.

2019-02-19T05:44:59+00:00

Paul

Roar Guru


one bloke's good enough to play 9 Tests for New Zealand and the other is good enough to play for Qld and Australia, but they're average? I grant they're not a Latrell Mitchell peeeko, but they're still better than average

2019-02-19T05:27:06+00:00

peeeko

Roar Guru


kahu and oneill are average

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