Who’s hot and who’s not in the A-League?

By Stuart Thomas / Expert

Seven weeks into another season, some clear A-League patterns and trends have already begun to emerge.

No team can be cemented as premiership or championship favourites, nor death knelled to the cellar just yet, however, something of a picture is starting to emerge.

Within that picture lies the individual players. Some have started the season like the proverbial house on fire and others remain in first gear; coughing and spluttering their way towards the mechanic in desperate need of a tune-up.

There is enough early evidence to suggest quite convincingly that some clubs and individuals are in for a bumper season, with finals and silverware already occupying their thoughts.

One example is Erick Mombaerts. Melbourne City’s 64-year-old coach has been something of a revelation thus far and bar a fade out against the Roar, where his side battled into the teeth of a gnashing wind in the second half, has constructed a near perfect start to the season.

It should not surprise. Mombaerts’ squad is deep, malleable and experienced. However, that was also the case under previous manager Warren Joyce. Perhaps a more positive mindset has made the difference.

The quiet demeanour of the man in charge and an obvious desire to play a more attacking brand has transformed the club and made them the head of the A-League class and the best team in Victoria.

(AAP Image/Julian Smith)

City are hot and potentially only shuffled into second place on the ‘hotness’ pecking order by their striker Jamie Maclaren. The 26-year-old already has nine A-League goals, despite suffering a minor hamstring injury that threatened to derail his phenomenal start.

Whilst considerable credit should also be given to Josh Brillante, Harrison Delbridge and Javier Cabrera for much of their impressive play, the quietly-spoken Frenchman’s re-energising of the club and Maclaren’s ability to capitalise on moments have been the catalyst for City and pleasing for both A-League and Socceroo fans.

Sydney FC manager Steve Corica has laid down a marker after the club’s championship-winning season of 2018-19. After another off-season of squad fluidity in the harbour city, the 46-year-old was no doubt determined to confirm that his debut season in charge had no sniff of luck nor fortune about it.

Hot on the heels of City, the Sky Blues are scoring freely and conceding less often than any other defensive unit. Adam Le Fondre, Milos Ninkovic and Brandon O’Neill have picked up where they left off. Luke Brattan, Alex Baumjohann and Kosta Barbarouses appear to be at home and Rhyan Grant has raised his already consistent and high level in a continued quest to cement a starting Socceroo position on the right side of Graham Arnold’s defence.

While many expressed a justified concern for Adelaide United as they ventured into life without their inspirational captain Isaias, manager Gertjan Verbeek has his new-look squad humming along after four straight wins.

Having already presented management with an FFA Cup to kick off his tenure, the Dutchman now looks to have a side capable of contending, with one young Olyroo grabbing much of the media attention for all the right and sometimes wrong reasons.

I wrote about the rise of Riley McGree some weeks back, identifying that, now content in his home state, the 21-year-old seemed about to explode by adding consistency to his obvious brilliance. He has not disappointed, with his six early-season A-League goals trailing only Maclaren.

Equally as hot has been James Troisi. Refreshed and refocused after a number of disappointments in 2018, the midfielder has immediately become the valuable provider Verbeek required in the city of churches.

With Nikola Mileusnic, Ben Halloran and wonderkid Al Hassan Toure reaping the benefits of his service, as well as a sturdy defence and Coopers Stadium rocking, the Reds are clearly finals bound.

Not so encouraging are the signs at Melbourne Victory. The entire universe can see that Ola Toivonen has little support up front and that Marco Kurz is yet to find a midfield combination that threatens consistently enough to win matches. Perhaps an improving Robbie Kruse and Andrew Nabbout will be the impetus behind a change in fortune, yet right now Victory’s recruitment looks questionable and fresh options somewhat limited.

Robbie Fowler will need time to create something special up north and thank goodness for that second half escape against City. Otherwise, things would be looking particularly grim for Brisbane.

(Mark Metcalfe/Getty Images)

On Saturday, Wellington held on at home to hand the Roar their third loss for the season and thus far, things are not working for Fowler.

Calling effort and application into question after the loss is concerning; especially after it appeared brilliant earlier in the season.
Tony Popovic’s men in the west had better be able to cite a premiership hangover as the reason for such a sloppy start to the season, otherwise, they may be suffering from something more serious.

To this point, things have looked a little flat and disappointing with Bruno Fornaroli now at the arrowhead.

As subdued as they have been, it surely cannot be long before Diego Castro, Chris Ikonomidis and Juande begin to forge meaningful combinations with him.

There is the hot, the not-so-hot and others bubbling away a little lukewarm. Alen Stajcic threatens to bubble over should his Mariners continue their impressive improvement and Newcastle’s Glen Moss has made a stellar start to the season.

Ufuk Talay’s Phoenix look likely to build steadily and the combination of Panagiotis Kone and Alessandro Diamanti at Western United looms as one of the best in the league.

No doubt things will evolve and reshape the deeper we delve into the season but for now, this is the state of play, with each and every A-League club still well and truly in the running.

The Crowd Says:

2019-11-28T10:31:03+00:00

The Joy Of X

Roar Rookie


Still no answer to my questions above. In its recent, initial Summer season advertising campaign, the A League was not mentioned, but other summer sports were. This indicates the A League's Kayo ratings are poor. Again, in this detailed Kayo release, the A League is again not mentioned. This further indicates its figures are well below the sports that are mentioned eg AFL (some games have 100,000 Kayo viewers, up to 130,000; some NRL Kayo games have up to 70,000 Kayo viewers). https://media.kayosports.com.au/media-release/aussies-cant-get-enough-sport-on-kayo/?irgwc=1&extcamp=1337429-aff-imp-lnk-acq-gen-mti&channel=8808&marketing=impact-1&campaign=lau

2019-11-26T21:16:18+00:00

Post_hoc

Roar Rookie


They will work it out, Meier has not been unsuited, I saw it in a game a few weeks ago, (it helps seeing him live) all game he'd make runs ball would sail high or wide out of his reach. muller came on he had 3 touches, first touch wide just outside the 18 yrd box he cuts a cross back finds Meier's head puts hit wide (I think almost the first cross that found his head all game) second cross Muller pushes the ball across Meier who couldn't get power on the ball (under his feet) shoots straight at keeper. 2 touches, Muller put the ball where Meier was, currently Meier is making runs that his players don't 'get' in time they will.

2019-11-26T21:09:12+00:00

Post_hoc

Roar Rookie


Sydney have been a dominate club for several seasons now, it appears in our league you can have maybe two teams at any one time for pushing for the top, Perth Sydney, Sydney Victory, etc My theory if City do well, if they finally live up to what has been expected for a while, this will force Victory to respond, Melbourne is different to Sydney, the separation culturally, geographically etc pretty much results in different cities, different targets, different sponsors. So a dominant Sydney FC doesn't draw away from WSW the same way a dominant City would draw away from Victory. Victory and Melbourne City don't have that separation (we've all been saying it for a while) Victory have cultivated the Business community, the movers and shakers (lol) down there for a while, if City start to ascend, start to Challenge off field as well as on field, Victory will need to react if they are going to survive, by doing so this means there will be 2 large players, 2 successful on field teams. This in history means that a dominant 3rd team will fall down. My view is, this will hurt Sydney more than any other team.

AUTHOR

2019-11-26T04:54:45+00:00

Stuart Thomas

Expert


Totally agree Post_hoc. Playing the exact role required and gelling almost immediately. Something a few other teams would kill for right now.

AUTHOR

2019-11-26T04:53:20+00:00

Stuart Thomas

Expert


I'm tipping them this week and after 5 from 5 in round 7, I'm pretty confident.

2019-11-26T04:43:23+00:00

Fadida

Roar Rookie


Davila shows the benefit of looking outside the square when recruiting (or looking outside the UK - hey Robbie)

2019-11-26T04:40:29+00:00

Fadida

Roar Rookie


I think City are where they deserve to be, very impressive so far. It's WSW who have flattered to deceive. They haven't played well for weeks and their slow tempo, low creation style is ugly to watch. Muller had been anonymous and Meier looks totally unsuited to the style they are playing

2019-11-26T04:14:22+00:00

Redondo

Roar Rookie


This site covers the A-League: https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/soccer-predictions/a-league/ I'm not sure how good it is at predicting - it's based on squad market values and stats from current season games, like types of goals scored and conceded. There is a detailed explanation on the site. I might start putting its match predictions up in the Friday article and see how it goes.

2019-11-26T04:09:00+00:00

Redondo

Roar Rookie


Exactly - he doesn't need to run a game at SFC because he has 3 other midfielders who can share that burden. As a result, he's doing more defensive work than he might have done previously, as is Baumjohann.

2019-11-26T03:39:55+00:00

Para+Ten ISUZU Subway support Australian Football

Roar Rookie


How on earth do you come to that conclusion; "Sydney FC will be the loser" if City win? Please explain doesn't make any sense. :thumbdown:

2019-11-26T03:37:47+00:00

Redondo

Roar Rookie


Here...https://trainingground.guru/articles/ian-graham-the-one-currency-liverpool-use-to-judge-players

2019-11-26T03:36:11+00:00

Redondo

Roar Rookie


There is also a great podcast with Graham, the stats guy. I can't find it anymore...I'll post a link if I do.

2019-11-26T03:28:35+00:00

Simon Kelly

Roar Pro


Adelaide are on a roll(4 wins on the bounce)and are right up there in the attacking stats, 3rd in total shots and 3rd in shots on target. Bizarrely Victory have the joint(with WSW) most clean sheets. And yes the Bye is a pain.

AUTHOR

2019-11-26T03:25:24+00:00

Stuart Thomas

Expert


What a ripper read, aside from the American tinge. It sort of supports both views in a way. I love the line about Klopp's approach being a combination of data and intuition.

2019-11-26T03:05:30+00:00

Lionheart

Roar Rookie


totally agree Kanga. Roar's not as badly off on the draw but not much better with just the third home game coming up this weekend, and a second bye to come before Christmas. There's only four A League games in QLD this year, a State with a population of nearly 5 mil, and SE Qld with around 3 mil, gets just 4 games in the first 13 rounds. Whoever's been running football in QLD for the past 120 years needs a decent boot if that's how far they've advanced the game here.

2019-11-26T02:38:42+00:00

Redondo

Roar Rookie


Stats are wonderfully useful...check this out about Klopp, Dortmund and Liverpool: https://www.nytimes.com/2019/05/22/magazine/soccer-data-liverpool.html

2019-11-26T02:38:36+00:00

Post_hoc

Roar Rookie


I think it's more a reflection on the role Sydney FC needs the player in his position to play.

AUTHOR

2019-11-26T01:56:37+00:00

Stuart Thomas

Expert


Probably true. So sad to see United in the doldrums. Although I am more concerned with the sinking ship that is West Ham. Dropped from 5th to 17th. I'll have a look at this. Not sure where you stand on stats. Obviously patterns emerge and pressure and possession play a role, yet part of me always feels that moments and magic mean just as much in our game at times. Thanks.

2019-11-26T01:48:04+00:00

Kannga2

Guest


McGree and Mclaren are hotter then a 2 dollar pistol . Meanwhile the jets have only had 2 home games in 7 weeks , and have had 2 byes already . . Will absence make the jets fans hearts grow fonder !! Maybe it’s a radical idea , but don’t give any team 2 byes before December .

2019-11-26T01:44:06+00:00

Post_hoc

Roar Rookie


I'm backing Babel, from what I have seen he can get the team to produce, we will finish top 3. City for my mind are overachieving, but maybe my thoughts are tainted by history. This could be a very interesting season, if City manage to win then this could significantly change the A League, and if it does Sydney FC will be the loser. Because a 'good' City will force Victory to respond, and this will cause a step change for the League

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