Half a dozen rounds in, here are six Super Rugby takeaways for Dave Rennie and the Wallabies

By Daniel Jeffrey / Editor

Six completed rounds marks the all-important one-third point of the Super Rugby season.

Well, maybe not all-important, but it’s nonetheless enough of a sample size to get a good indication of the issues new Wallabies coach Dave Rennie will have to contend with – as well as the strengths of his side.

So with half a dozen rounds under our collective belts, let’s dive into the good and the bad from the Super Rugby season so far.

Good: Battle for no.10 is more than a one-flyhalf race
With Christian Lealiifano, Quade Cooper and Bernard Foley all leaving for Japan at the end of last year, it left Australia’s flyhalf stocks perilously thin.

Matt To’omua, used more at inside centre or off the bench in his international career, was the only player with any meaningful Test experience in the position – not counting James O’Connor’s ill-fated foray as the Wallabies’ chief playmaker.

And while the Rebels no.10 still looks the man most likely to line-up at flyhalf when Rennie names his first team, there’s at least some meaningful competition for the jersey, not least from that man O’Connor, who has been particularly impressive in his performances when playing there for the Reds.

The 29-year-old is still better suited to playing in the midfield though, and thankfully isn’t the only alternative to To’omua at flyhalf. Youngsters Noah Lolesio and Will Harrison are taking to Super Rugby well in their debut seasons, and O’Connor’s Queensland teammate Isaac Lucas has shown enough to suggest Brad Thorn could do far worse than pair him and O’Connor at 10 and 12 from the start of games.

None of that trio are going to usurp To’oomua in the starting Test side, but they do give the Wallabies more depth in a key position than what was initially expected this year.

(Photo by Patrick Hamilton/AFP via Getty Images)

Bad: Goalkicking
It’s been a common weakness for the Wallabies – it’s an awful long time since they last had a player they could bank on converting eight or nine attempts of every ten from the tee – and goalkicking looks like it will once again be an issue in 2020.

Take a look at the numbers for all the players who’ve taken at least ten attempts at goal:

Bryce Hegarty is the only Australian going at better than 75 per cent, and he’s just taken the minimum ten attempts. Ryan Lonergan does have a perfect record with the boot so far, but has only taken seven shots. At any rate, neither is likely to be wearing green and gold in a few months.

Comparing the kickers’ conversion rates to the competition average of 70 per cent doesn’t paint a particularly pretty picture, either:

Matt To’omua and Will Harrison are bang on the average, give or take a couple of per cent, while Noah Lolesio and Jock Campbell are at the wrong end of the scale entirely. (In Lolesio’s defence, Christian Lealiifano had a similarly poor rate last year on account of the Brumbies’ rolling maul-heavy attack, which leads to a high percentage of tries scored out wide.)

It’s a handicap for Test teams to be leaving points on the tee, but with the goalkicking stocks slim in Super Rugby, it’s one the Wallabies will be burdened with this year.

(William West/AFP via Getty Images)

Good: The kids are alright
What pre-season positivity there was this year in Australia focused on the crop of talented young players set to emerge at Super Rugby level. Making the final of the Under 20 World Championship was one thing, but could they match it with seasoned professionals in the best provincial competition in the world?

Turns out they can.

Sure there have been hiccups, but it’s clear this emerging generation of Wallabies contains some rare talents who will excel at senior level.

The aforementioned Lolesio is having an excellent maiden season with the Brumbies. He might have played a part in his side’s sole loss of the season against the Highlanders, having a kick charged down which gifted the New Zealanders a try, but the way he was able to rebound with a standout performance the following week as the Brumbies won away against the Chiefs speaks volumes about his skill and character.

Harry Wilson has been a dominant force at the back of the Queensland pack this year. He’s one of only two players this season to have made more than 50 tackles and carries (he leads the competition in the latter stat with 80) and his performance against the Crusaders on Friday one you’d expect from a seasoned Test veteran, not a 20-year-old pushing for a first Wallabies cap.

For all the doom and gloom around the Waratahs’ season (more on that in a tick), as Brett McKay wrote yesterday, their problems don’t reside with the likes of Harrison and Mark Nawaqanitawase, who’ve been two of the side’s better performers so far.

These aren’t players who should be comprising the core of Rennie’s side this year. There’s enough there, though, to warrant the odd cameo off the bench, or at least a place in the wider squad from which to learn from the country’s experienced players in preparation for a more substantial role with the Wallabies down the track.

Harry Wilson. (Photo by Tracey Nearmy/Getty Images)

Bad: The Waratahs aren’t
Enough has been written about the Tahs’ dismal start to the year that we’ll avoid labouring the point here. However it worth touching on, at least quickly.

That Rob Penney’s side are losing games isn’t necessarily the issue – a down year was always expected after the loss of so many experienced players (they saw a grand total of 469 Test caps leave the club at the end of 2019). It’s been the nature of them which has been problematic.

Losing to the Chiefs? Well, yeah, they’re one of the best sides in the comp, if not the best. That’s gonna happen.

Shipping five tries in 20 minutes? That’s unacceptable.

That the Tahs have a worse for and against than any other side in the competition whose name doesn’t being with “S” and end in “unwolves” is an indictment on them. While there’s inexperience at the club, there’s still a good chunk of Wallabies there, and the guys who are still cutting their teeth at this level aren’t exactly mugs.

Whatever your views on whether Wallabies should be made up of as many Waratahs as they have recently, their poor play is giving Rennie a smaller pool to select from than what would otherwise have been the case – other than Michael Hooper, there’s not a player on the team who should be in contention for a Test spot right now.

No matter where your state allegiances lie, that’s no good thing for Australian rugby.

(Ashley Feder/Getty Images)

Good: Key departures haven’t stopped the Brumbies
The Brumbies didn’t have an exodus the size of their interstate rivals, but they did lose some key players before this season, including Christian Lealiifano, Sam Carter, Henry Speight and, most importantly, Rory Arnold.

Not that those departures have halted the side’s momentum from last year. The Brumbies once again sit atop the Australian conference, their only blemish this season their last-minute, one-point loss to the Highlanders – a result comfortably offset by an away win against the Chiefs the following week.

More importantly for Rennie, we’re seeing players who’ve have been pigeon-holed as potential Wallabies starters have strong seasons; Tom Banks at fullback, Tevita Kuridrani at outside centre, Rob Valetini and Pete Samu in the back row, and Allan Alaalatoa, James Slipper and Folau Fainga’a up front would all likely make the starting XV for the first Test against Ireland if it was named today.

Add in impressive starts to the year from some fringe players – Irae Simone, for example – and we can expect the Brumbies to dominate the first Wallabies squad of the year.

(AAP Image/Lukas Coch)

Bad: There’s still no forwards coach
Not a Super Rugby problem per se, but it is a bit of a concern that the Wallabies don’t have their full coaching staff confirmed yet. After all, with Rennie still fulfilling his obligations with Glasgow, having all of his assistants on deck in his absence would have been an ideal backup.

Scott Wisemantel (attack) and Matt Taylor (defence) were excellent hires by Rugby Australia, both top-quality Australian coaches with proven success as Test assistants.

As it is, though, we’re still waiting on a forwards coach to be confirmed. There were early noises following Rennie’s appointment suggesting it might be Nick Stiles, then reports came out in late January that an announcement could be made within a week.

Fast forward to today and Stiles is staying in Japan, having signed an extension with Kintetsu Liners in January, and the only other development in the search for a forwards coach is that Dan McKellar is right in the mix.

McKellar no doubt has a future of some kind at the Wallabies, but if that role is to be the top one, he’d be better off sticking with the Brumbies and maybe heading to Europe in a couple of seasons to get more head coaching experience in a different environment.

It would also be ill-advised of Rugby AU to disrupt the one Super Rugby side in the country which is in title contention.

Regardless of whether it ends up being McKellar or someone else, the final make-up of Rennie’s coaching staff needs to be sorted, and soon.

A quick note to all you eagle-eyed readers who’ve no doubt noticed this is not our usual Wednesday morning rugby offering: Nick Bishop and his analysis will be back next week after he enjoys a well-deserved holiday.

The Crowd Says:

2020-03-13T11:04:03+00:00

Rhys Bosley

Roar Pro


Not the way I saw it, they looked like defensive misreads and miscommunications on his part to me. We'll see for the rest of the season though.

2020-03-13T08:58:32+00:00

Oblonsky‘s Other Pun

Roar Guru


He wasn’t the one the ball runner ran on either occasion? On both occasions he was coming in to help out his teammate, who didn’t complete the tackle or even slow the guy down. Bizarre to blame him for those tries.

2020-03-13T08:47:32+00:00

Rhys Bosley

Roar Pro


"I’d be interested to see if you could point to occasions in matches that indicate a pattern of Valetini lacking defensive nous or agility." I can, both tries that the Chiefs scored this year were fast inside backs who targeted Valentini defending next to the ruck. He couldn't get a hand on either Cruden or Lienert-Brown, it poses a real weakness for the Brumbies. Personally I hope they keep him there for the Reds game, he will offer rich pickings for our blokes, if they are smart. And the only way to counter that is to pair him with another defender, which exposes the Horsies out wide.

2020-03-13T03:35:11+00:00

jcmasher

Roar Rookie


In the past I’d have agreed with you but not now. Wingers like others are expected to tackle

2020-03-13T02:10:11+00:00

numpty

Roar Rookie


Defence was a shambles that night and first game with new attack structure.

2020-03-13T01:59:15+00:00

Dougie

Roar Rookie


:laughing: :laughing: that's why i bought them. We started off well with Lukhans break for a try.Called back for a forward pass, then as we slowly got carved up,so did i .The Boks fans were so nice and they swamped me.They even wanted to get a photo with me when i was at the bar at halftime.I felt like i was a Hollywood star a local drug dealer wrongly convicted or an endangered species. Weird but nice.Made numerous okies out of that experience.

2020-03-13T01:47:39+00:00

numpty

Roar Rookie


If you pick Speight and MK, you probably run DHP just for his unreal talent under the high ball and ability to steer the ship a bit more. You could also look to drop Toomua out the back on occasion who has a safe pair of hands and gets airborne. The rules are such that as long as the player gets in the air and is near the ball, they can't go too wrong. MK gets away with it this way often. In terms of attacking kicks, rather then contest in air, you contest on the deck with MK, Speight and Hooper all very good chasers/tacklers and flood the ruck.

2020-03-13T01:43:23+00:00

numpty

Roar Rookie


Woulda needed all 6 of those cans to get through the night :laughing:

2020-03-13T01:21:36+00:00

Dougie

Roar Rookie


Numpty i was at that very game, my Roar profile was pic was taken there.Quite the experience. :laughing: :laughing: :laughing:

2020-03-13T00:30:25+00:00

Oblonsky‘s Other Pun

Roar Guru


Who is then? No winger is a strong tackler, strong under the high ball and good at the breakdown. I think Speight is the best tackler in terms of our wingers, best at the breakdown and nowhere near as bad under the high ball as you think. His lack of kicking skills is the main weakness.

2020-03-13T00:25:58+00:00

PeterK

Roar Guru


this i agree with , positioning is important for both attack and defence. Tackling is just part of it, you need to be there to make the tackle.

2020-03-13T00:14:26+00:00

numpty

Roar Rookie


I think the core role defensively is positioning - when to shoot/not shoot, drop back, stay in the line, crab etc etc. (mixed with being able to make the tackle) This is why specialist wings are important, and why Speight should very much be in discussions for the WBs, because he is very good in this respect. Doesn't matter how good you are at tackling if you aren't there to make it or try and make it at the wrong time. This has been my qualm with alot of WBs back 3 players in recent times. They are always 3-5m behind the bloke scoring the try because they were out of position.

2020-03-13T00:00:38+00:00

numpty

Roar Rookie


This is the tradeoff. Banks/DHP/Hodge are superior in the air, but none are wingers. Therefore, they will not be as good positionally in either attack or defense. Last time Aus played two generalist wings good under the high ball in Hodge and DHP they lost 35-17 to SA. A number of those tries were scored down the flanks. One in particular where DHP entered a ruck as the only blindside defender allowing the 9 to cross untouched. Banks also looked very lost in his (very limited) time on the wing in gold. Here’s the lowlights – https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TNdAYpBtpPs

2020-03-13T00:00:35+00:00

PeterK

Roar Guru


I disagree because ruck work is the cream on top for a wing and the core defensive skills are tackling (yes good at it not great), and contesting the highball and he is poor at it. So if you look at core defensive skills then no he is not australia's standout defensive winger.

2020-03-12T23:51:40+00:00

Oblonsky‘s Other Pun

Roar Guru


Sure, it is a part of defence, but so is breakdown work, where Speight is unparalleled. Think he’s clearly Australia’s standout defensive winger. Koroibete struggles in defence.

2020-03-12T23:46:36+00:00

PeterK

Roar Guru


I agree Speight is competing with Koroibee for 1 strike weapon wing spot. Kellaway and CFS are just as good as defenders. Part of defence is defending the highball and Speight is weak at that. Speight is the best winger at hitting rucks though and pilfering or slowing ball down. To be a competent catcher you need to compete in the air against a highball. White, Toomua, JoC (9,10,12) none of them are good at this. Banks and DHP are and why both should start so you do have 2 players good in the air.

2020-03-12T23:39:21+00:00

numpty

Roar Rookie


Keep digging that hole PK. You didn't even use fake stats to back up your claim re: kellaway and cfs this time. Brass tax, Speight is not a kick/catch winger - i agree. If that's what you want, that's fine but that is a subjective, tactical decision and you will, by default be sacrificing in other areas. As always, its a tradeoff. But, Speight is best or top 3 across the board in all other facets (along w koro). No other candidate comes close currently. Considering that a likely WB 15 is gonna have competent kick/catchers at 9, 10, 12, 15 I don't see it as the deal breaker you seem too. Also, Speight is also not a defensive pick only, as in my initial comment, he is at or near the top for runs made, meters made, tackle busts. So not even that argument holds up.

2020-03-12T22:59:35+00:00

PeterK

Roar Guru


I agree However I do not subscribe that Speight is THE best defensive winger , as per numpty's statement – by not picking Speight you are by default not picking the best option defensively. Part of defense has to be catching the highball, also Speight is NOT a great defender , yes he is good. So are Kellaway and CFS. I want one winger who can attack well, and defend the highball well, and kick long well on 1 side, the other winger is the strike weapon. I do NOT want to focus on defence for 1 1 wing like Horne or AAC were used. I guarantee NH teams and Boks would focus a kicking game down with quick chasers if neither winger can compete for highballs nor kick, it happened a lot before and would again. Also don't give me the boks don't have one, the wallabies ranked 7th are not close to the boks in defence and power which is what their game is built on so it is quite different.

2020-03-12T22:57:25+00:00

numpty

Roar Rookie


Well, of all ppl Dilks you will at least be able to vet my statement on Pulu having very little game time thus far this season. :stoked: Agreed, summary stats should be used very much only as a BROAD guideline only and often tell you something else of use. e.g. Hooper often has a high rate of handling errors and missed tackles, but this more reflects (to me) his huge work rate and that he is in everything. re: tackle stats, once again they more just tell me general involvement in D. Speight and Koro are near the top of missed tackles for Aus wings, but have also made the most tackles by far. So, rather than telling me they are poor tacklers (bad tacklers don't put on bone rattlers like MK), it tells me they get through alot of work.

2020-03-12T22:21:50+00:00

Oblonsky‘s Other Pun

Roar Guru


I mean, if that’s true then it is a prime example of what Red Rob said about stats being closer to useless than useful. It’s up there with Rhys’ assertion that Scott-Young, Dempsey and McCaffrey would be better 6s than Valetini based on the stats. Rugby has so much grey area that I think it is virtually impossible for missed tackles and tackle effectiveness to be useful. There’s discretion in what constitutes a missed tackle and also the context of what the missed tackle was is also important. There was a period a few years ago when Speight ran around like a headless chook in defence. But the last three seasons he has mostly been excellent in defence, not only in terms of positioning and making tackles but in slowing down opposition ball at the breakdown.

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