This season's NRL ladder climbers and sliders

By David Holden / Roar Guru

With Australian sport now largely closed until further notice, it is a worrying time for all of us.

For NRL supporters, there’s talk of clubs falling over and talk of an abbreviated season. With no end date in sight, uncertainty reigns supreme.

But let’s stay positive here. Let’s say that the NRL restarts in a couple of months and all 16 teams front up for Round 3. We’ve only seen two rounds of the NRL, but I am going out on a limb here. Here’s my list of teams on the rise, teams on the fall and teams that we are no chance to get an accurate read on.

I’m no proud Queenslander, but I do expect the Broncos to have a big impact on the competition this year. With captain Alex Glenn still on the sidelines, the Broncos have looked the goods.

The signing of Brodie Croft has clearly added some organisational skills to the halves but it is the young guys who are shining through.

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While David Fifita and Payne Haas rightly receive the accolades, I can’t help but be impressed by Pat Carrigan and Tom Flegler. Carrigan has shone in a co-captaincy role while Flegler gets through a mountain of work.

The dominance of the forward pack is opening up opportunities for the likes of Anthony Milford and Kotoni Staggs. Staggs, in particular, is destined for higher honours in the game.

I’ve also been impressed by the Penrith Panthers so far. While they got out of jail against the Dragons in Wollongong, their first-round win over the Roosters was all class.

Viliame Kikau’s fitness is key but he is part of a hard-working pack of forwards. They won the battle of the middle in their first two matches.

Many wondered how Nathan Cleary would perform with James Maloney no longer next to him.

(Photo by Jason McCawley/Getty Images)

The answer so far is very well. Jarome Luai plays an entirely different role to Maloney so Cleary has organised much of the play. This seems to suit his game more.

Api Koroisau has introduced plenty of creativity from hooker and will have a big impact on this team.

Of my teams to fall, here is the big one. The Roosters won’t win the premiership this year.

Sometimes you don’t miss something until it’s gone. Cooper Cronk’s retirement is a massive blow for the Roosters. While he couldn’t be described as a flashy player, he had composure that’s been lacking in those first two losses.

The Roosters could easily be 2-0 instead of 0-2 however they lacked the composure to make the right play at the right time.

Kyle Flanagan will be a good halfback but he is a way off Cronk. The loss of Latrell Mitchell has also cut a focus point out of the Roosters’ back line, placing a lot more defensive pressure on James Tedesco.

The Sharks will also slide down the ladder this year.

They could also be sitting on four competition points rather than zero. That Melbourne game was there for the taking but some late errors and poor discipline gave the Storm the chance.

The Sharks will learn from this but that is just the problem this year. They are a young team missing a heap of experience. Losing Josh Morris doesn’t make it any easier.

The Sharks will be a quality team in a few years’ time, with Blayke Brailey, Ronaldo Mulitalo and Will Kennedy all relatively new in the squad but seemingly having long careers in front of them.

Cronulla will again be regular finalists in years to come, but they won’t be this year.

And finally for the teams where the jury is still out.

It’s hard to get a read on the Cowboys. With a back line as strong as they have and a forward pack featuring Jason Taumalolo, they should be in the running for a top-four spot.

(Ian Hitchcock/Getty Images)

They won’t be, but it’s hard to put a finger on exactly why. Perhaps their forward pack is ageing a bit and the best days are gone for Gavin Cooper and Josh McGuire.

A lot falls on Michael Morgan again this year and his best form is at State of Origin level rather than club form. With a list as long as the Cowboys, Paul Green is under plenty of pressure to perform.

And finally, the Tigers. They had an impressive win against the Dragons before a capitulation against the Knights. It seemed like the Tigers weren’t aware of the crowd lock-out at Leichhardt because, at times, they seemed uninterested and that’s a big concern.

There are a lot of new faces at the Tigers including a new centre pairing in Adam Doueihi and Joey Leilua. Perhaps the defence is taking some time to gel.

Michael Maguire took the Rabbitohs to great heights but was let go with two years to run on his contract. He has a big job in front of him if the Tigers are going to reach the finals for the first time in many years.

We’re only two rounds into the competition and most NRL fans, instead of premiership glory, would settle for a competition restart this year with their team still playing.

However, assuming that 2020 does go ahead, there will be some ladder climbers and sliders. It’s early, but it’s also fun to speculate.

The Crowd Says:

2020-03-31T00:02:30+00:00

Nat

Roar Guru


I could be more that I noticed the Line breaks coming down his edge and not assisted by Drinkwater's enthusiasm to rush. And part on Holmes too, when those breaks happened, everyone had eyes for the ball carrier where, with communication, one takes the support player and the other takes the ball. Can't fault his effort in attack and I do like the finnesse (Morgan), speed (Holmes) and power (power) combo they can develop on that edge and Feldt is as good as finisher as any winger.

2020-03-30T22:02:09+00:00

Forty Twenty

Roar Rookie


It's tempting to look at the first two rounds and draw a few firm conclusions but it can be fraught with peril. In saying that I will make a few early observations. The preseason talk about the Broncos squad being too young is starting to look as wobbly as I thought it was. Some of their experienced troops are not on the field but they were running all over their opponents. They'll be even less young at the end of the season. The Broncos have the troops but once again it will come down to how their halves and leaders deal with the pressure when the heat is on. Manly haven't played their best so far but have had a very hard opening against two of the hardest teams to beat. The Chooks were the team I wanted them to beat the most this season because I believe we needed to reverse the hold of sorts they had over us. They'd either beaten us well over the last few years or had close wins aided by some luck and dodgy forward pass calls. The luck turned and Manly had some lucky breaks aided by great defence. Beating the Chooks after they lost the first round is a decent achievement. Manly's record against the top 3 teams is now 4 wins from the last 6 games which doesn't hurt the confidence level. The teams which have struggled the most in the two rounds look to have the most pedestrian strike power out wide and in the fullback department. It's really hard going when even if the forwards get on top or hold their own , the ball sweeps out wide and you already know that it's going to be a non event.

2020-03-30T10:30:04+00:00

souvalis

Roar Rookie


Marsters may have missed a few but gee you can’t hit him for lack of effort really working hard for his new club. The cowboys lack sting in defence, a dissuader like Wade Graham who jumps out of the bushes and ambushes with a legitimate big hit to lift his team and amuse his fans..

2020-03-30T07:12:31+00:00

Nat

Roar Guru


— COMMENT DELETED —

2020-03-30T03:43:07+00:00

Dirk Diggler

Roar Rookie


Good conversation starter Davo, Broncos are for real. Anyone not convinced they are at worst as Top 8 side and at best maybe top 4........if they can beat the Storm this year then top 4! Never count the Roosters out but odds on they don't win the title this year Sharks art just about everyone's pick for either just making or just losing out on the 8. I'd put them in with Newcastle, Penrith, and maybe NQ all fighting for 6-8. Tigers will not make the 8 this year IMO.

2020-03-29T23:07:04+00:00

Nat

Roar Guru


2 things for NQ, they need to work on Marsters defence as the first priority. I know it's only early showing but he's at (approx) 70% effectiveness. 2, Even though he's in his 30s, NQ need a mongrel and Moose is that guy. JT13 may run over everybody twice but there's little intimidation in defence. There's enough talent in the team to score points, even more when Hammer gets his start, but there's significant pressure to be constantly chasing. I do like the Tigers, I had them top 8 but I'm starting to think they need a dominant middle. For mine they have 'complimentary talent' that could really benefit from TPJ/Kapow type player. An X-Factor. It could be the Leilua's but I feel they are more rocks/diamonds rather than X factor.

2020-03-29T22:34:54+00:00

Flexis

Roar Rookie


I was really liking what I saw and excited to see how the Broncos would grow into the season. Early signs were good. If/when the season restarts Lodge should be reasonably close to recovering. And I would hope that the Broncos would be one of the better, more professional organisations to work through the current situation. If 2020 does kick off again they will definitely give the season a shake.

AUTHOR

2020-03-29T21:51:50+00:00

David Holden

Roar Guru


Trying to remain positive because it feels like there is a long way to go in this

2020-03-29T21:46:28+00:00

Duncan Smith

Roar Guru


Sadly, all 16 teams have slid into irrelevance. If we're lucky, we'll get a two month comp at the end of the year.

2020-03-29T21:31:16+00:00

Walter White

Guest


At least its a footy story that's not all doom & gloom. As for the Broncos, they did seem a bit better than last year but I think they will struggle to make the eight. Cooper was always going to be a massive loss. Just look how Melbourne stumbled after he left and they haven't quite fixed it yet. Storm were looking good for the minor premiership again. They were a bit clunky but still got the wins against tough opposition, once the edges get knocked off, they will start winning with ease.

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