How to fix Australian rugby, Part 5: Winning more games

By @Jeremy.Atkin / Roar Rookie

The simplest fix for Australian rugby will just be having the Wallabies win more games.

Click here to read Part 1 of this series
Click here to read Part 2 of this series
Click here to read Part 3 of this series
Click here to read Part 4 of this series

Trophies in the cabinets strongly correlate with bums on seats and dollars in bank accounts so any plan for Australian rugby needs to answer how it’s going to make us win again.

Of course, winning more games is much easier said than done. How do you go about doing this in practice?

Players
The first thing you do is pick your best players. We’re not spoiled for choice so I’d scrap the Giteau rule and make it open slather. If you make yourself available from June through to October (i.e. outside the northern hemisphere club season) then you’re eligible. Will Skelton (28), Liam Gill (27) and Sean McMahon (26) are all enormously talented, in their peak playing years and they have less than 60 caps between them. That’s ridiculous. It would be one thing to turn our backs on these guys if we were winning everything. Very different story when we’re ranked seventh in the world and going backwards.

Would scrapping Super Rugby and abolishing the Giteau rule lead to a massive player exodus? Almost definitely. As noted in Part 2, the system would be designed to keep the top 25 players in the country and the top 25 juniors but beyond that the players are left to fend for themselves. Some would certainly leave and go to France or Japan, make good money, improve as players and get some life experience. Some would probably end up in the NRL and some would go back to their clubs, play as amateurs and join the workforce. The question is not whether there would be an exodus. The question is whether it would actually be a bad thing?

The comparison people typically draw is with the Socceroos or the Brazilian football team but this is flawed for two reasons. Firstly, we’ve got enough money and good enough competition to keep a core group of players here year-round. Secondly and more importantly, even if they did all leave, we have a clearly defined annual international season, which sees the best players playing in Australia for Australia so it’s not like they’ll be totally lost to the Australian public.

Performance
Based on my experience of watching and playing rugby, there are five factors that go into creating a winning team: raw talent, physical conditioning, experience, cohesion and team culture, and mental resilience. I’ve just made this framework up but I think it works so here is how I would approach each in my new system.

Raw talent
There is no i in team, but there are five in individual brilliance.

Finding and recruiting the best players is fundamental and yet somehow there is not a single person anywhere in Australian rugby who has this a job description. So that would be step one — put someone in charge and have them fly around the country watching club and school footy to find and recruit the best young players.

The goal here is not to find physical specimens and try to mould them into footy players. It’s the opposite. Find the best footballers and turn them into better athletes. With a couple of notable exceptions (such as Jonah Lomu), the greats of the game rarely dominate through pure physicality. Instead they are good athletically and exceptional at reading the play, making the right decisions and executing their skills under pressure and fatigue.

Step two would be the contracting model I outlined in Part 2. Rugby needs to be competitive with the other codes in what it can offer to young players financially. Otherwise, instead of playing Bledisloe they’ll be playing State of Origin.

(Speed Media/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images)

Physical conditioning
All of that said, rugby is still a physical game and the better conditioned the team is the better they’ll perform. This is one area in which reducing the number of centrally contracted players probably helps. Rather than having 150 players scattered across the states all working to different strength and conditioning programmes, all 50 contracted players would now be under a centralised regime.

I would take this one step further as well and publish players’ testing results in terms of strength, speed, agility and endurance. This would allow people outside of the system (either because they are overseas or otherwise) to know what standards they should be trying to hit and it’d give the public insight into the work going on behind the scenes. People loved reading about the All Blacks’ bronco results a few weeks ago so why don’t we see more of that?

Experience
When was the last time the Wallabies won a big game in bad weather? Or won a big game playing ugly like South Africa did against Wales in the World Cup semi-final? I honestly can’t even remember. The 2011 World Cup quarter-final against the Springboks, maybe? But I don’t even think the weather was that bad and even if it was, we won because David Pocock single-handedly dominated them, not through strategic superiority.

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The pool game against Wales in 2015 was pretty good as well but that was all about defence and didn’t have much to do with tactical nous. We have an inflexible mentality that running rugby is superior, which just isn’t setting us up for success, especially in big games and in bad weather.

This is where having international club experience as part of a standard rugby career trajectory is actually a huge benefit. A few seasons spent playing through the European system will give our players way more exposure to these tactics and these conditions than they would ever get playing Super Rugby. Might we have won a few more games at Eden Park if our players had more experience in bad conditions? It surely wouldn’t have made it worse.

Resilience and mental strength
Leadership and ability to perform under pressure are intangible but hugely important skills. How do you foster them? Adversity.

Taking players straight out of school and coddling them in professional academies for their duration of their careers fosters the exact opposite. Players are told where to be, what to wear, what to eat and what to say. They no longer have to think for themselves at all. And this tends to show on the field. If they’re in their comfort zone they can look like world beaters but when they’re put under pressure they lack adaptability.

(William West/AFP/Getty Images)

This is why I think it would be great for all of these guys to spend some time in club rugby. It may not be glamorous but getting smashed around at training by a disgruntled second grader on a wet Tuesday night under poor lighting should be an important part of any rugby career.

Almost every great Australian cricketer from the past three decades was dropped at some point in their career. It was only after getting dropped and working their way back into the team that they prospered — I think there is a lesson in this for Australian rugby.

Cohesion and team culture
There is a school of thought that says cohesion, rather than skill or coaching or athleticism, is the key driver of performance. Alternatively, others argue psychological safety and acceptance of vulnerability are the more important dynamics. Either way, there’s no doubt that a culture is a key driver of performance.

On one hand, my proposals fly in the face of this because it disperses the players to their club teams rather than a smaller number of Super Rugby teams but on the other I’m still talking about an international season that runs for four months so I don’t buy the argument that that’s not long enough. The Queensland State of Origin team spent approximately six weeks together every year and that was plenty.

(Photo by Cameron Spencer/Getty Images)

The thing that really kills teams is factions. It’s fine if not everyone is best buddies with one another but when there are two clear camps it can get pretty toxic pretty quickly. Rumour has it that this has been the Wallabies for the past few years with a rift growing between those of Pacific Island descent in the Wallabies camp and everyone else. Apparently, this existed before the whole Israel Folau saga but that can only have made things worse.

In terms of how you fix this going forward, I have no idea. Apparently this is one of Dave Rennie’s strengths so fingers crossed he gets everyone singing from the same song sheet.

Other ways to win more games
Beyond the ways to improve our performance listed above, there are two other ways to win more games, which my system achieves albeit somewhat inadvertently.

Firstly, the new international calendar reduces the number of hard games we play (i.e. against New Zealand and South Africa) and increases the easy games by adding teams who we’d back ourselves to beat (initially Fiji and Japan). Also we’d effectively be playing for the Bledisloe in one-off Tests every year, which would definitely increase our chances of winning it every now and then.

Secondly, the biggest loser in scrapping Super Rugby would definitely be New Zealand. Their international dominance has been built on their Super Rugby dominance and if Super Rugby goes away, there’s good reason to think they’ll come back to the pack a bit.

One way or the other, improving on-field performance is an absolute non-negotiable for Australian rugby. Australians love a winner, so if we start getting some better results, it’s only a matter of time before people start to appreciate the game itself.

This post was originally published on Medium.

The Crowd Says:

2020-07-16T11:26:11+00:00

Chufortah

Guest


With respect, that’s so 1991. We need to play smart rugby. In 1991 running rugby worked. We need to win - field position, run when it’s smart to do so, grind away, take the points, field position, field position, grind... and lo and behold the gaps start opening and running rugby returns. I think ‘running rugby’ is a nice idea, like trying to eat a hot meat pie with sauce while driving, but it’s probably not the smartest idea.

2020-07-16T01:38:35+00:00

Adam

Roar Guru


Both is my assumption. Plus some people have so much money they run out of ideas how to spend it.

2020-07-16T01:33:15+00:00

Jon Richardson

Roar Pro


It’s a tax dodge? Or just a plaything?

2020-07-15T21:07:16+00:00

Train Without A Station

Roar Guru


As I said SA are yet to show it works outside a WC year. It certainly didn’t help them in the 3 years prior. And it’s the best teams right now.

2020-07-15T20:23:05+00:00

Ad-O

Guest


Best idea for Rugby I've read on the Roar in a while. My only caveat is that 90% of the player exodus has already happened. There's a limit how many foreign players that can be on European rosters, and they need to be Test players to get a visa anyway. Still, we could stand to lose contracts like Michael Hooper's, so we can spend that money on keeping our best 4-5 18yo away from the NRL. But the quality of our Super Rugby teams won't get much worse than what it is right now.

2020-07-15T16:23:47+00:00

Honest Max

Roar Rookie


That’s a pretty small sample size you’ve got, and as you mention, doesn’t include the reigning world champions. I also think I recall Sexton playing more than a few tests for Ireland when he was playing for Racing. In fact, I’m not sure Ireland have such a rule at all - I do know that they get a huge chunk of their career tax back upon retirement if they play their entire career in Ireland.

2020-07-15T16:19:50+00:00

Honest Max

Roar Rookie


Hang on, NZ said they don’t want to have more than 5 teams, because that’s the optimal to keep the ABs strong; however we are supposed to believe that they will revert to splitting their stars between 19 teams should Australia dare to push for 4 teams instead of 3? That doesn’t seem likely. For NZ, it’s not about sustaining the pro comp, they maintain that the pro comp is only there to sustain peak All Blacks. This is why I am confident they are full of sh*t when it comes to going alone - it’s the last thing they want.

2020-07-15T08:43:51+00:00

The Late News

Roar Rookie


Well I suppose it's a quicker game than walking rugby.

2020-07-15T08:04:25+00:00

AndyS

Guest


Sorry, only 6 of the 9 weeks starting the first week of August...

2020-07-15T08:03:05+00:00

AndyS

Guest


He defined his calendar in Part Four...internationals basically run continuously from the current inbound tour though to the current EOYT. My recollection of the release periods was that they are the first three weeks of July, then only six of the next 9 weeks, and November. The club can require them back for the rest.

2020-07-15T07:09:18+00:00

PeterK

Roar Guru


The O/S players would be released for the agree intl window which covers the Rugby Championship and 4 matches of the northern tour. They would also get released for July matches on the incoming tour. I assume his imaginary calendar would be shaped around the agreed intl release windows.

2020-07-15T05:55:28+00:00

Broken Shoulder

Roar Rookie


And don't forget; it's best to have no plan at all. That way, not even the opposition knows what you're going to do.

2020-07-15T05:40:55+00:00

Don

Roar Rookie


Yep When Australia was most successful we kicked regularly and judiciously, had a strong set piece, selected players in position and generally played “smart” rugby. Not overly complicated, just smart. The 2 times in my memory we’ve had coaches with a hard on for this myth known as Australian “running rugby” they were dismal failures. One was Bob Dwyer in his first stint as Wallabies coach - he believed Ella, Ella & Ella were better than anything else available including the great Roger Gould. Until Scotland beat us at Ballymore and Dwyer was booed off the ground. When he came back in his second stint he embraced a far more traditional and smart style of rugby. And most of us are still trying to forget the most recent bloke who believed he was smarter than everyone else in world rugby. His strategy after a loss was to just keep saying “running rugby” and “the Australian way”. If we lose again? Double down and say “running rugby the Australian way” over again. Oh...and complain about the refs...

2020-07-15T05:07:02+00:00

potsie

Guest


There is no bluffing Max. NZR have been doing some heavy duty surveying of fans and members and the options are just a reflection of those results with an NZR-centric commercial lens overlaid. The feedback has been, (if Super rugby with South Africa isn't retained), then NZ fans do not want to watch a competition with a greater proportion of games, if any, involving Australian teams. It is hard to argue that watching the Australian teams, even the better ones like the Brumbies, has been a hard watch for a few years. And there wouldn't necessarily be a 5 or 6 team competition. NZ currently has 19 pro-teams over two competitions. Merging those competitions could support a 10 team competition. The would mean every city in NZ with a population base of 70K or more would have team. The only reason for sticking to 5 teams is NZR are concerned about the high-performance impact i.e. whether the All Blacks would be affected by the greater step up to test rugby. But would this step up be much greater than the step up from a competition with 5 NZ and 5 Oz teams? Quite possibly NZ and Australian rugby are bad for each other at this level. It is bad for Australia because the win rates are too low and supporters are turned off, it is bad for NZ because the watchability and spectacle of games is reduced again turning off supporters. The timing is bad of course. Separation now could lead to a massive outflow of elite players especially in Australia but if that could be mitigated somehow, then going separate ways might be best for both parties.

2020-07-15T04:32:16+00:00

AndyS

Guest


Agree on the first..there seems very little point contracting any players locally given they will spend the whole year prior to the internationals playing amateur rugby. So save the money; you won't be getting anything for it anyway. But TBH, there doesn't seem a lot of point bringing players back from overseas either. For the bulk of the international season they won't be released anyway, so you're going to be Campese comp regardless. So based on the logic presented, just do the bare minimum necessary to ensure you can win against those Tier 2 countries. And there is certainly no point in paying overseas players for the European tour...that isn't even generating revenue, and is in a time zone that has already been rejected.

2020-07-15T03:59:57+00:00

Rhys

Roar Rookie


Watch this space with Twiggy mate, I certainly agree with you, privatisation looks increasingly the only path forward for the Southern Hemisphere and especially Aus

2020-07-15T02:02:27+00:00

PeterK

Roar Guru


exactly , for positions which are have very little depth or quality, in this case lock and hooker.

2020-07-15T01:51:05+00:00

Wally

Roar Rookie


Keep GL as a generalisation but retain the option (If the OS player wants to) of selecting a player or 2 of national interest. There is only a few guys that would walk into a Wallabies team. Arnold for sure, possibly Latu, Skelton, Kerevi. Think time has passed for Gilly and even McMahon. GL doesn’t have to be fair but use it and exceptions to ensure we field the best possible team.

2020-07-15T01:50:57+00:00

Tooly

Roar Rookie


John Monash was notorious for writing pages of details in his long orders. The battles were over before they could be digested. Thankfully the field officers and men knew what to do. As Kerry Packer would say “ Take it away , put on one page and bring it back “. So much here that I agree with. Some points. 1 There has been division in the Wallaby’s. Much of it fostered in QLD. The white anting of Deans by McKenzie , Cooper , a couple of scribes and commentators.The McKenzie Irish Pub sting. The Beale Plane beat up. Cheika V The Brumbies. Cheika loves the Tahs. The Folau none sense. 3 Aussie Running Rugby is high risk Rugby . NZ running Rugby is not. 4 Picking your 25 / 25 would be very divisive and would end incentive. 5 Giteau’s law is Cheika’s law ; Like him best forgotten. We are short of second rowers, so we will need to bring the Arnold twins home. McMahon is also a must have. 6 We don’t need to win , we need to play good Rugby. 7 In the current competition we need good games , winning is irrelevant.

2020-07-15T01:40:37+00:00

Wally

Roar Rookie


Why we have such good throwers from the Reds and Rebels to fall back on. FF must be laughing at this stage. Seriously, I agree with Latu.

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