Tipping panel – the Final: North versus South

By Brett McKay / Expert

The Super Rugby trans-Tasman Final is upon us, and it’s a battle of the extremities, with the blue team from the top of the North Island against the blue team from the bottom of the South Island.

North versus South. A real Yankee doodle dandy.

I looked back at everyone’s prediction for the Finals a few weeks ago, and none of us picked the Blues and Highlanders getting through to the last weekend of Super Rugby. But neither did you guys!

I scanned through all the comments, and I couldn’t see any Blues-Highlanders predictions there either. So at least we’re all in good company; none of us seem to know what we’re talking about.

For the Final, we’ll offering up a tip and Sure Thing as usual, along with a winning margin and a first try-scorer. Feel free to throw in your suggestions down below.

But the big question this week is whether Harry and Dan fall to opposite sides of this contest? Will we finish with an overall winner, or another tepid draw like last year?

My thanks to guys for ripping into another year of tipping, some of which was even pretty good. And personally speaking, it was great to be able to jump back in the chair late in the season, too.

Stay tuned for what we’ve got in store for the July Internationals and the last of the great rugby tours: the British and Irish Lions once again leaving the Home Nations, this time for South Africa.

LAST WEEK: Digger and The Crowd 5; Brett 4; Harry, Dan, Geoff 3.

OVERALL: Harry and Dan 55, The Crowd 53, Geoff 50, Digger 49, Brett 45.

Digger
Short and sharp this drag race of a Trans-Tasman competition has found the two most consistent sides facing off for a second chance at a 2021 trophy: the glamour of the Blues versus the graft of the Highlanders.

For me, I think the Highlanders will get across the line.

I believe they play with more cohesion and certainty around their game plan, and handle and absorb pressure better than their northern counterparts.

And along with rumours swirling around who may or may not be available for the Blues this coming weekend has me further entrenched into the Highlanders camp.

Having Aaron Smith helps too.

TIP: HIGHLANDERS by 12

FIRST TRY: Kazuki Himeno

SURE THING: The Blues will continue their fine tradition set by Dan Carter by having another World Cup winner waterboy in Beauden Barrett ferreting about.

Brett
Raising our predictions for the Final from a few weeks ago rams home how far off the mark I’ve been in 2021. I had the Chiefs meeting the Crusaders in the Final, and what actually happened was the Chiefs fell in hole, and the Crusaders’ world imploded on them after winning a game by four tries.

But it was hard to be anything but impressed with the Highlanders watching them up close last week. Well, that is, once I could work out if which team was running which way in the flood of white jerseys.

And I say that because obviously, nothing about the Blues impresses me!

That said, I am really looking forward to this game. It won’t really matter if Otere Black is out of action, because the Blues scrumhalves tend to just find the nearest big bloke with a single digit coming around the corner.

If Black played for the Highlanders, Aaron Smith would knock the thermometer out of his mouth from thirty metres away off his left hand. And before Otere would even realise the ball was coming.

So two contrasting styles. Or about as contrasting as the Kiwi sides get.

TIP: Highlanders, obviously. By 7

FIRST TRY: Aaron Smith. For the Brotherhood.

SURE THING: I feel like I should be exempt from this when the Blues are playing.

Tom Robinson. (Photo by Hannah Peters/Getty Images)

Harry
The best player on the pitch will likely be a Highlander.

The shrieking screams of Aaron Smith are horrendous (imagine how it sounds in the close confines of an airport loo), but he is still the best scrumhalf in rugby, despite strong challenges by Faf de Klerk and Antoine Dupont.

Faf is a defensive maestro and Dupont an extra loose forward, but Smith still throws the longest, strongest, straightest passes, to the best targets, and so, he will probably keep the South Island mob in touch, for a while.

But in the end, the big bold Blue bullies will have too much: too much aggression, pace, championship pedigree, and reserves.

They will find space, and score. The Clan will score too, but not enough. Blues by 12. The bigger Ioane to dot down first.

TIP: BLUES by 12.

FIRST TRY: Akira Ioane.

Shannon Frizell. (Photo by Dianne Manson/Getty Images)

Dan
There’s only one pick this week: the Highlanders to snag an upset win in the final.

The reason? Well, it would be very boring if the two best tipsters on the panel went the same way for the final round of the season rather than allowing us to have a clear winner.

Which is to say, Aaron Smith will once again fire perfect, pinpoint passes all around the field to mastermind a victory. The Landers’ lineout will run like precision clockwork, and their team effort (with the help of Smith) will outclass the greater individual talents of the hosts.

TIPS: HIGHLANDERS by 2

FIRST TRY: Ash Dixon

SURE THING: After last week’s debacle, the Highlanders will be sure to avoid wearing their away kit again and therefore don a lovely shade of navy for the decider. Which is obviously very different to Auckland blue.

(Photo by Joe Allison/Getty Images)

Geoff
In a chat after the Blues put 50 points on the Rebels in Round 1, Blues coach Leon McDonald fixed a deathly stare and explained to me how they had visited the room of mirrors, admitted their shame and disappointment at not making the SR Aotearoa final, and resolved to make up for it in this comp.

Perhaps I’m easily influenced, but it was entirely believable.

And for that reason, no matter the appeal of Aaron Smith, Jona Nareki and Liam Coltman’s second half precision, dart-like throws, plus the possible loss of the big ginger Tom, it’s redemption day for the Blues on Saturday.

TIP: BLUES by 5

FIRST TRY: Billy Harmon (who will then request a TMO review on himself and have it rubbed out)

SURE THING: The Eden Park crowd will be 8-10,000 below expectations due to fans staying at home, to ensure they don’t miss any of the cricket.

TT-FINAL Harry Brett Dan Digger Geoff The Crowd
BLU v HIG BLU HIG HIG HIG BLU BLU
Margin 12 7 2 12 5
First try A Ioane A Smith A Dixon K Himeno B Harmon
Last week 3 4 3 5 3 5
Overall 67 45 57 61 55 53

Get your votes in now – The Crowd’s tips will be revealed Friday afternoon AEST.

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The Crowd Says:

2021-06-19T19:36:11+00:00

Exile In Oz

Roar Rookie


Thanks mate. You did really well throughout the year - congrats on the win. If I'd gone with the head I would have been stoked with outright second. Now onto the Tests!

2021-06-19T13:11:17+00:00

PeterK

Roar Guru


close game, bad luck. I gave you a chance to win the tipping comp by going for the blues, the safer bet for me was to match your highlanders pick and you couldn't catch me, but that wouldn't be sporting.

2021-06-18T23:31:41+00:00

taylorman

Roar Guru


Times sure have changed. Highlanders faves to beat the Blues at the home of rugby? In all honesty I just wanna see the W in the books, how the game is played out is secondary. Great to be part of what appears to be a final but this years Blues side wouldn’t have won a full blown Non Covid comp. They would have made top 8 but probably gone out there vs the first away NZ side. But it does give more hope for the next two or three seasons, we’ve finally realised after all these years what a true tight five can accomplish but we still need that world class 10. We haven’t had one who’s sat for good spells in the AB ten jersey since Carlos. Beaudy and DC bit parts don’t count. Anyway, gloom and doom aside… Cmon the BLUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUEEEEEEEES!!!!!!!

2021-06-18T13:01:44+00:00

Geoff Parkes

Expert


Truly great song and album, ak. I was only listening to it the other day, can't believe I left it off the list above. And I just checked, thinking it must be close to 50 years old, like Bob's songs, and it was actually released 50 years on Monday!

2021-06-18T09:41:02+00:00

GoldenEye

Roar Rookie


oh dear...The shrieking screams of Aaron Smith are horrendous (imagine how it sounds in the close confines of an airport loo) Hopefully, some social distancing was adhered to, or at least some protective wear... Might hear the same shrieking in the sheds after the game if Smith gets 'em up...

2021-06-18T06:50:41+00:00

Rugby Tragic

Roar Rookie


Oops, apologies!

2021-06-18T06:20:40+00:00

ThugbyFan

Roar Guru


Oh and Reiko Ioane to bag 1st try. And Congrats to PeterK for leading and likely winning the Overall SR tipping competition. I have informed Herr Dutton that this gentleman consistently picked Kiwi sides to win against the flower of Aussie men. His "OzzieNess" shall be immediately revoked. :laughing:

2021-06-18T06:14:38+00:00

ThugbyFan

Roar Guru


Well the final day of SR and with a tear in the eye, as all Tahs fans have atm, we bid adieu to the Grand Tipsters of 21 and dream of Glory to Them Noble Tahs of 22. Meanwhile, back to reality. I am tipping the Blues on the basis of they have a very big and mean pack of piggies, who will show them upstart penguins the reason why most of them are AB while a few of the other mob got into the AB 2nd division side. The Highlanders have the superior halves combo and an excellent left wing but, I contend your honour, the Blues are more dangerous with power throughout the team and serious speed throughout their backs and will have their minds on the job with the crowd pushing them onwards to TT glory. The main thing the Highlanders are the favourites is their coaching and of course their great half, A.Smith of Airport Loo fame, who has the pass to stretch defences in one play. I love watching their organisation and special moves (they took the Brumbies apart last week with some fabulous set-piece plays and practiced moves) and to be sure they have pulled off some great surprises like beating the Crusaders. Then again, Chiefs beat the Crusaders also, so yada yada that means nowt on Saturday! Lets see how the Highlanders go when seriously under the cosh. Blues by 11. I expect a cheque from RT for riding his beloved team home. Sure Thing. And a BOLD prediction for the upcoming Internationals. For some unknown reason every non-Tahs fan, Kiwi and fan of frog eaters will bag Saint Lachlin of Swinton as he plays for the mighty WB. The much maligned St Lachie will likely win MotM awards from his admiring coach as he goes about his business, chatting kindly to his opponents who are carrying the ball as he gently eases them to the ground and helping them out of their ruck positions (mostly on their knees). The best part of the weekend: No Crusaders. The worst part - No Mighty Tahs. Peace be with you and enjoy the bundys. :silly:

AUTHOR

2021-06-18T02:59:18+00:00

Brett McKay

Expert


not the time, RT!!! :angry: :laughing:

2021-06-17T22:01:41+00:00

aussikiwi

Guest


Joni Mitchell - Blue. Album and song. So many covers of the Dylan songs, too many to list. Possible the most covered artist of the last 100 years. (Can't believe Its All Over Now is over 50 years old). Indigo girls do a great live version of tangled up in blue.

2021-06-17T20:52:10+00:00

Tangata whenua 76

Guest


Question: Name something the Highlanders have done that the Blues haven't over the past........ well forever? Answer: Beat the Crusaders on their home patch! Highlanders by 10 Nareki for 1st try

2021-06-17T18:24:04+00:00

Rugby Tragic

Roar Rookie


Yes, I’ve noticed Brett … errr, a bit below the belt but I wonder if your failure to knowledge the return of the resurgent BLUES correlate with your position on the panels tipping table :happy: :happy:

2021-06-17T16:08:59+00:00

RobC

Roar Guru


aBJ is naughty

2021-06-17T13:58:16+00:00

Francisco Roldan

Roar Rookie


Blues was my team during the last Super Rugby Aotearoa: strong defensively, agile in attack and with a moderate ability to convert possession into territory and both into tries (36.5% effectiveness). The Crusaders eventually took the title, but the Blues imprint continued its work. Today in Trans-Tasman we can see that they improved their own mark of effectiveness in attack taking it to 43.1% and polished their defensive bolt. This balance placed them with a difference of +15 tries in favor, a mark that far exceeds Aotearoa's campaign. I use to follow the algorithmic-based predictions made by some betting sites and most give Blues the winner above 80%. It could be the year of the Auckland...

2021-06-17T12:30:35+00:00

TJ-Go Force!

Roar Rookie


Congrats to both teams for getting there and not dropping a game. Calling a Highlanders win because the Blues didn’t convince me against the Force last week despite their brilliant start, they copped a few tries in the second half. Think Highlanders will have seen that and noted some points down.

2021-06-17T11:52:57+00:00

Geoff Parkes

Expert


Yes... pretty obvious now you mention it ag... :laughing:

2021-06-17T11:30:16+00:00

Harry Jones

Expert


Naughty

2021-06-17T11:05:44+00:00

ag0044

Roar Rookie


The Blues Brothers (somewhat surprised that one hasn't been mentioned). Rhapsody in Blue. Blue Moon.

2021-06-17T10:44:39+00:00

Rugby Tragic

Roar Rookie


A very wise tipping decision Neutral :happy:

2021-06-17T10:43:42+00:00

Rugby Tragic

Roar Rookie


Tom’s out mate …

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