'Serious contenders': The factors that could carry Manly to the 2022 title

By Tony / Roar Guru

The 2022 competition is less than four months away and all is quiet on the Northern Beaches.

Apart from the embarrassment of having an anti-vax trainer with a top knot, there have been no scandals, no useless internal reviews, no leaked details of brawls in the board room, no major player losses, no ‘sign and hope’ player acquisitions, no salary cap issues, and no coaching upheavals.

Just a club getting on with it and preparing for what could be one of their biggest seasons to date. Stability is the order of the day.

Manly will certainly be aiming for a better start to 2022 than the horror first month from last season.

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Four losses on the trot at an average losing margin of 30 points a match saw them rapidly firm as everyone’s favourites for the wooden spoon, and coach Des Hasler looked to be just one more loss away from being publicly tarred and feathered on the Corso.

But Manly didn’t panic, they got their superstar number one back on the field and proceeded to light up the competition, finishing in a very creditable fourth place, until eventually running out of steam in the preliminary final when they were well beaten by South Sydney.

(Photo by Jono Searle/Getty Images)

There’s a lot to like about how Manly are shaping up for 2022, and they will be serious contenders for the title. Here’s what I believe are the key positives that could just take them all the way next season.

The coach
Since he began his first grade coaching career in 2004, only Trent Robinson and Craig Bellamy, with three premierships each, have been more successful than Des Hasler, who has two premierships to his name.

And no one gets Manly like Hasler does. He’s now coached the club for a total of 11 years, and apart from the two premiership wins in 2008 and 2011, has taken the team to the finals in every other year with the exception of 2004 and 2020.

Hasler has two years to run on his current contract and looks to be one of the least under-threat coaches in the NRL at the present time, which can only be a good thing for team harmony and stability.

Hasler has a good rapport with his players and has been able to develop quite a few players unwanted by other clubs into strong and improving first graders.

I fully expect that Manly will further extend his contract in 2022 unless something goes horribly wrong in the first half of the season.

Hasler is just the man to take Manly all the way in 2022.

(Photo by Matt King/Getty Images)

Roster stability
While other clubs have been active, and some possibly hyperactive, in the recruitment space, Manly have shown faith in their current roster, and the only recognisable signing for 2022 is Ethan Bullemor from the Broncos.

At just 21, Bullemor is a likely lad and will certainly be a handy addition to an already strong Manly pack.

In better recruitment news for the Sea Eagles, they have shed some reserve graders who were taking up space in their squad, and have also re-signed a dozen off-contract players for 2022 and beyond.

Quite a number of clubs are currently spending more time dealing with the large chunks of their playing roster coming off contract in 2022 than they are in preparing for the upcoming season, and this has to have a destabilising effect on the team.

No such problems at Manly though, as the only key players coming off contract in 2022 are five-eighth Kieran Foran, who’ll be 32 by the time his contract expires, and fellow 32-year-old, front-rower Marty Taupau.

Manly can get by pretty well without Taupau, and I’d expect Foran to be extended for another year if his fitness holds up.

(Photo by Cameron Spencer/Getty Images)

Interestingly, a number of fellow top-eight contenders in Melbourne, Penrith, South Sydney and the Sydney Roosters have all lost key players from their roster this year, and to date haven’t replaced them.

Souths have also lost their coach. No such problems at Manly, where the squad that got them to fourth place last year are ready to go in 2022.

The spine
These days, a team is only as good as its spine, and Manly shape up nicely in that department.

A gun fullback in Tom Trbojevic, experienced representative halves in Kieran Foran and Daly Cherry-Evans, and a clever and hard-working hooker in Lachlan Croker all have both the skills and the combination to defeat any team in the competition.

They’ll need to hope for an injury-free season though, as their back-up depth in these positions is very thin.

The outside backs
Manly’s previously unheralded back line of Jason Saab, Morgan Harper, Brad Parker and Reuben Garrick went into last season with just 121 first grade games between them, with half of those notched up by Parker.

While they struggled at times, they managed to score 65 tries between them, and Garrick chipped in with over 120 goals. Not bad for a bunch of also-rans.

I’m tipping we’ll see further improvement from this quartet in 2022, as they’ll be much better for the experience and the confidence gained last year.

They can do the job for the Sea Eagles in 2022.

(Photo by Cameron Spencer/Getty Images)

The forwards
If it’s a big, aggressive, and skilful pack of forwards that gets you going, look no further than the Manly pack.

From skilful players like Jake Trbojevic and Josh Schuster, to a host of big, powerful forwards in Josh Aloiai, Sean Keppie, Marty Taupau, Haumole Olakau’atu, Taniela Paseka, Ethan Bullemor and Toafofoa Sipley.

That’s quite a line-up, and we’re all waiting to see Ben Trbojevic get some game time next season. Manly have the forwards to more than match it with any pack in the competition.

The ‘T factor’
Many clubs have an ‘X factor’ player to turn the team’s fortunes around when the chips are down. Players like Ryan Papenhuyzen at the Storm, Cody Walker at South Sydney, and Nathan Cleary at Penrith.

But only Manly have the ‘T factor’ that Tom Trbojevic provides.

(Photo by Bradley Kanaris/Getty Images)

I’ve been watching rugby league for a long time now and can’t remember a player who dominated the opposition the way ‘Turbo’ did in 2021.

If he stays on his feet in 2022, and the rest of the team do their job, Manly are in with a great chance.

Here’s a fun fact – Manly have won at least one premiership in every decade since the 1970s.

If they keep quietly flying under the radar for the next few months, and avoid the distractions of the silly season, they stand a very good chance of winning their ninth premiership in 2022.

The Crowd Says:

2021-12-10T23:01:06+00:00

Kent Dorfman

Roar Rookie


yes Manly have the "T" factor, and without him they're r00ted

AUTHOR

2021-12-07T01:53:56+00:00

Tony

Roar Guru


Can't wait to see Koula get a game or two

2021-12-06T23:13:50+00:00

Nambawan

Roar Rookie


I think Manly will be more than OK with the players they have available for the Pack - although dummy-half remains a big question mark as Croker, whilst being serviceable, is not really competitive against the other elite hookers. The other major issue is who will be available to back-stop Turbo. The centres also pose some issues as they were shown to be very fragile during those last two finals thrashings. Will be very interested to observe the progress of Toul Koula who hopefully will be upgraded into the top Manly side.

2021-12-06T02:50:59+00:00

Albo

Roar Rookie


Yep ! Given a fair break even on the injury front , Manly have to be given a chance in 2022. They should win enough matches to vie for a top 4 spot again. The positives for them, that I see: 1. Turbo as a match winner 2. Solid halves combination 3. Good developing pack, at least on paper 4. Turbo, Jurbo & Burbo in combination 5. Experienced coach. The negatives I see : 1. Attack is pretty "Turbo centric" . Plans B & C should be developed for when Turbo is not there or under control. 2. The backline is still a query , especially the defensive games & meterage work of the wingers. 3. Missing a quality number 9, though Croker battles hard. 4. A few inconsistent & lazy boys in the pack for mine - Schuster, Paseka, Keppie need more hurry ups 5. They seem to have a few key injury crocks which can impact their season again ( Turbo, Foran, Walker) But all being equal, the same squad with another years NRL experience behind them , must give them a chance of pushing for a title in 2022.

2021-12-05T22:16:37+00:00

Joe Stewart

Guest


If Manly can play well as a team and not rely too heavily on Tom they absolutely have a chance to win the comp in 2022, no doubt.

2021-12-05T04:53:47+00:00

Randall Barnett

Guest


i agree with the same squad they should go close again - with the young guys getting a taste of the finals they should come back better next time around- its ok playing well in the 25 rounds but you have to lift come finals - Manly did not - so time will tell bring it on and yes Manly 2022 Premiers Maybe !! Go Manly

AUTHOR

2021-12-05T03:19:14+00:00

Tony

Roar Guru


Moses Mbye played 4 more games than Turbo and had half the handling errors. Well done Moses! Still, I'd rather see Turbo running out for my team than Mbye. :happy:

2021-12-05T03:11:29+00:00

Paul

Roar Guru


NEVER!!!!!! :happy:

AUTHOR

2021-12-05T03:03:09+00:00

Tony

Roar Guru


Time to let it go Paul :happy:

2021-12-05T02:56:38+00:00

Paul

Roar Guru


I can't see Manly improving either Tony. I have severe doubts Tommy T can have a similar season n 2023 to this year and I don't know how much Manly's problem areas can be addressed simply because they've played a season, eg how do you get Saab to tackle? I think they've peaked and without some fresh blood, will struggle to beat the top teams again. Or prehaps that's my '70's '80's dislike for Many coming through!

2021-12-04T20:29:35+00:00

kk

Roar Pro


I concur Larry1950. Tipping Broncos to cause a few upsets though.

2021-12-04T18:50:00+00:00

JennyfromPenny

Guest


Tom, in only 18 games managed to rank 3rd in the 2021 handling error list, only one behind Saab, and two behind 1st place. With a full season, not much doubt he would have taken the gold medal. Garrick ranked 6th. So one team holds 2nd, 3rd, and 6th place in dropped ball, and many ranked them as Manly’s best three. Theory one, cut out the errors and take the trophy, or more realistically Theory two, once a butter-fingers always a butter-fingers.

2021-12-04T16:43:00+00:00

The Barry

Roar Guru


Yep… one of the two horses won…

2021-12-04T16:41:58+00:00

The Barry

Roar Guru


Yep… a lot of the roosters losses from last season aren’t really losses Keary and Collins effectively become new players to last years roster… Friend, Cordner and BMoz barely played so their kids doesn’t detract from the 21 lineup..,

2021-12-04T13:04:40+00:00

JennyfromPenny

Guest


Tommy would need to find a stack more flat tracks for Manly to be any sort of serious contender. 2/10 wins v Melbourne, 2/9 wins v Penrith, and 1/4 wins in the semis needs help. Heavy roller maybe.

AUTHOR

2021-12-04T11:47:46+00:00

Tony

Roar Guru


Thanks David. I like what I see but they'll be hoping their lack of depth in the spine isn't exposed.

2021-12-04T11:20:10+00:00

Redcap

Roar Guru


Thanks Tony, really good piece. I love their forward pack - Taupau, Paseka, Sipley and Aloiai is arguably the best front row rotation in league. The edge back rowers and Jurbo are top notch. My only questions marks are Boyle and Saab. I could probably live with Saab outside a better centre. It might be worth moving Parker over to that side of the field. If Foran stays fit and keeps playing like he did last year, they're the best team in the comp.

2021-12-04T10:30:47+00:00

Forty Twenty

Roar Rookie


If it was a two horse race , then those two horses would have met in the GF as predicted. The third horse was a Rabbit which beat the Panther 16-10 in the finals. The Rabbits finished second in the race, clearly.

2021-12-04T10:24:26+00:00

KenW

Roar Rookie


Manly finished 13th in 2016. They improved massively to finish 6th in 2017. Definitely a big year coming in 2018. They finished 15th in 2018. They improved massively to finish 6th in 2019. Definitely a big year coming in 2020 They finished 13th in 2020. They improved massively to finish 4th in 2021. Definitely a big year coming in 2022 I'll believe it when I see it.

2021-12-04T09:28:18+00:00

jimmmy

Roar Rookie


It was a two horse race. The horses met in a preliminary final and one of them won the GF. It was almost a certainty that Penrith or Storm won it in 21. Its not quite as certain in 22 but very likely.

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