You don’t meticulously assemble a 40-man training squad, as Wallabies boss Dave Rennie did this week, without already having a draft Test starting XV for July 2.
Rennie’s planning is well underway for that huge date with Eddie Jones and England at Perth’s Optus Stadium.
Playing against England is one of the few match-ups for the Wallabies on Australian soil where the general sporting punter pays attention.
Usually, you have to beat the All Blacks or the Springboks, when they are World Cup champions, to grab that broader attention.
Beat England in this three-Test series and it will carry real bang. That’s exactly what the Wallabies and Australian rugby needs.
Rennie owns Australia’s horrid 0-8 run against England even though he’s only responsible for the last loss, the wasteful 32-15 trip at Twickenham last November. Being the coach who ends the nightmare would be a real feather in his cap.
More than once, Rennie made it clear before and at the camp that: “There are still opportunities to come through (late) into the squad like Andrew Kellaway did (in 2021).”
That’s eight rounds and finals in Super Rugby Pacific to make so much noise that your authority or skill can’t be ignored.
Taking a broad sweep, there are only a few capable of doing so.
The top candidate would have to be Queensland Reds winger Suliasi Vunivalu, who will likely have seven or eight games to show how good a finisher he is upon his imminent return from a long-term hamstring issue. He’s the mystery element.
Queensland Reds flanker-lock Lukhan Salakaia-Loto, off to Northampton Saints at the end of the year, would need a storming second half of the season against the Kiwi teams once he comes back from his high ankle sprain.
The form of experienced Melbourne Rebels playmaker Matt Toomua has improved but the caravan looks to have moved on.
Brumbies finisher Andy Muirhead or Western Force backrower Tim Anstee would need five-star efforts week on week to earn the training squad spots they had in 2021 but neither are starting XV candidates for July.
Your Test XV for July 2 is going to come from the 40 names already announced plus a dollop of Quade Cooper, Rory Arnold and Samu Kerevi from abroad.
Join experts Brett McKay and Harry Jones along with special guest Jonathan Kaplan on the latest edition of The Roar Rugby Podcast.
Now the “Giteau Law” has been supplanted by the “Kerevi Clause”, Rennie can use up to three players based overseas in any series or tournament.
That language is instructional in itself. Could Cooper play both the England series AND The Rugby Championship? It’s doubtful because he’ll certainly be wanted for the November tour of Europe as the big World Cup rehearsal tour.
Grabbing him for three blocks of Tests in five months would seem very unlikely seeing the Wallabies and Cooper’s Japanese club couldn’t get on the same page for the November tour last year.
If that’s the case, Rennie would back in-form James O’Connor and Noah Lolesio against England and hold Cooper back until TRC so he can be measured against his nemesis, the All Blacks.
That’s all conjecture.
The great thing is there are plenty of moving parts and selection puzzles to be solved before July 2.
Can you play both Rob Valetini and Harry Wilson in the same Test backrow when both are excelling in Super Rugby Pacific? When is Rob Leota going to re-surface because the mullet man did make some marks late last season?
Jordan Petaia may be an exciting, big-upside gamble at fullback against England or he may just be getting the high workrate lift right now that he’s needed to be a better Test winger.
The bigger winner in all of this may be NSW Waratahs hooker Dave Porecki. If his form holds against Kiwi opposition, he may be the one Wallaby debutant against England on July 2.
POSSIBLE WALLABIES XV (v England, July 2, Perth):
Jordan Petaia, Suliasi Vunivalu, Len Ikitau, Samu Kerevi, Andrew Kellaway, Quade Cooper, Tate McDermott, Harry Wilson, Michael Hooper (c), Rob Valetini, Izack Rodda, Rory Arnold, Taniela Tupou, Dave Porecki, James Slipper.
ThugbyFan
Roar Guru
LoL. It was a pi$$take. grinzzz
John Wagner
Roar Rookie
Your selected XV has much merit, thanks Jim. (As a former club secretary, I well remember you when you covered Club Rugby so well in years gone by!) Who are your bench players, mate.? One player whom I would like to see picked in the 23, --- IF only he was bigger! ---is the Reds centre, Hamish Stewart. But, really, maybe some of your, and my, and others', selections could change a fair bit after we play the Kiwi Super Rugby sides.? The type of players whom the Poms will pick, and their style of play, is no secret, so we had better get the selections correct for when we meet them, ---- and how they perform against the Kiwis in the next few weeks could be a good pointer! Let us forget all this talk of which State they play for, and pick the 23 who will do Australia proud!
Morsie
Roar Rookie
"Perhaps you can drop that non-Tah “log” J.Petaia and bring in W.Harrison as cover 5/8th and fullback. " Now you're talking. What a great idea.
Malotru
Roar Rookie
Hodge at FB? Oh dear, surely not Morsie.
Malotru
Roar Rookie
Based on your comments I've just mortgaged the house and put it on the Wobblies to win the RWC. Keep taking the meds Ethel!
Malotru
Roar Rookie
They could always do a 'Fine Cotton' on him GentleGeorge. Problem solved.
Morsie
Roar Rookie
And you forget that they play on opposite sides of the scrum AND that HJH can play both sides.
Morsie
Roar Rookie
You are wrong. Robertson has barely started this season, he's been injured. HJH has put in some monumental shifts.
Derek Murray
Roar Rookie
He has played games. At the moment he’d be underdone though, I agree. Plenty of time to get back and make a case but he needs to, you’re right
JP
Guest
* Holloway is an outstanding scrummager, and this will be needed against England. He has transformed the NSW scrum; He was dominated by the Reds pack. That why the Reds won both games, He failed years ago. Dont need him back.
Matt
Guest
Robertson is playing better and has 26 tests under is belt, why would you want another rookie HJH v the poms it would be a disaster.
Matt
Guest
Donaldson is too green , makes too many basic errors. No way
Chris
Guest
Swinton has not played a game this year. I want fit players in my Wallabies who at least show some form in Super rugby. Under done Swinton? no thanks
Leroy14
Roar Rookie
I certainly hope Harris improves. He sure has potential
jeznez
Roar Guru
Yeah, as I said he’s been better the last three rounds. Round 2 - 5 tackles Round 3 - 1 tackle Round 4 - 6 tackles Were poor. His other matches have been an 8, 9, 9 and 10 tackles. He needs to show consistency but these last three weeks are a step in the right direction.
Leroy14
Roar Rookie
Harris is averaging less than 7 per game. Wilson and Valentini are around 11 tackles a game.
Dean
Roar Rookie
No real argument at prop. Hooker, well…on form a certain Mr Nasser must be it. The riches of second row - Rodda and Phillip? The Backrow - what a puzzle! So many excellent players. 8, has to be Wilson or Valetini, if Valetini isn’t at 8, then he is at 6. Uru though brings a 6,8,5 option. Swinton, Leota, ASY, Valetini, Wright, LSL, and no doubt, some others I have forgotten. 7 :shocked: it’s a real conundrum!! Hooper and McReigh
Morsie
Roar Rookie
How are both playing so far this year?
jeznez
Roar Guru
Yeah. Harris is still learning/developing. Shouldn’t be anywhere near the Wallabies squad yet. His last three weeks have been better defensively. He’s much more in the middle of the field and making 9/10 tackles a week. Had some very low numbers earlier in the year when he was defending on the short side or out wide.
Leroy14
Roar Rookie
Well, I take that back about Valentini. He is very high but not Harris. Exceptionally low for Harris.