Brisbane Broncos 2018 season preview

By Eddie Otto / Roar Guru

The Broncos performed well under Wayne Bennett since his return but failed to get over the past couple of hurdles in the finals.

Will this year be any different – or will they miss the finals altogether?

Last season
Third (beaten in preliminary final) 597 points scored, 433 points against

Last five seasons (2013-2017) 12th, eighth, second (beaten in GF), fifth (beaten Week 2 of finals), third (Beaten preliminary final)

Gains
Jack Bird (Sharks – 2021), Patrick Mago (Cowboys – 2019), Andre Savelio (Warrington – 2019), Sam Tagataese (Sharks – 2018)

Losses

Jai Arrow (Titans), Adam Blair (Warriors), Herman Ese’ese (Knights), Ben Hunt (Dragons), Matiu Love-Henry (Warriors), Benji Marshall (Wests Tigers), Tautau Moga (Knights), Jai Whitbread (Titans), Joe Boyce, Mitchell Dodds, Travis Waddell (released)

To me, the losses outweigh the gains for the Broncos who, despite making Week 3 of the finals, realistically were a mile off the Melbourne Storm who went on to win the competition.

While Jack Bird is a good player from Cronulla, it will be interesting to see how he settles into life in Brisbane, especially considering he is currently injured and may not be fit to start the season.

In Blair, Hunt and Moga they have lost three players who are quality and experienced first graders, that played starting roles for the large majority of last season. Benji Marshall, while not as impactful, provided useful depth in the halves coming off the bench and starting a few games around Origin time.

(AAP Image/Dave Hunt)

2017 review
I thought the Broncos had a really good year in 2017, finishing third in the regular season, despite being blown out 30-0 in the preliminary final by the Melbourne Storm. In typical Broncos’ fashion, they started the season fast, winning five of their first six games, and maintained their spot in the top four throughout the season.

The Broncos were actually one of the better sides to watch last year, playing some unstructured and entertaining brand of football in many games.

Coach – Wayne Bennett
The Broncos had been in a real rut before Bennett returned, so despite not winning a title, he has retuned this club to being a consistent winner, making the top five and at least Week 2 of the finals in each of his three seasons.

In a year when not many people had them as title contenders, Bennett managed to get the best out of his roster, steering them to within one game of the grand final. Bennett was also without key players in his spine for large portions of the season, with Darius Boyd, Ben Hunt and Andrew McCullough all missing chunks of football.

(AAP Image/Dan Peled)

Most important player – Anthony Milford
Really it’s all on Milford this year, with the Broncos having lost both Ben Hunt and Benji Marshall in the off-season. While Milford had his moments of brilliance last season, his form fluctuated, and the Broncos really need to assert himself as a more dominant and consistent playmaker this year.

Milford doesn’t have the biggest pack in the world, so how he plays when the side is under pressure and not getting that big roll on down the middle will be important.

Side
1. Darius Boyd, 2. Jordan Kahu, 3. James Roberts, 4. Jack Bird, 5. Corey Oates, 6. Anthony Milford, 7. Kodi Nikorima, 8. Matt Lodge, 9. Andrew McCullough, 10. Korbin Sims, 11. Alex Glenn, 12. Matt Gillett, 13. Josh McGuire. Bench – 14. Sam Thaiday, 15. Payne Haas, 16. Joe Ofahengaue, 17. Tevita Pangai Jnr

(AAP Image/Dave Hunt)

Verdict – seventh
I am backing against the Broncos again this year even though I think they can sneak into the top eight They have a good grip on the fixture list so have a heap of advantages there over other clubs, but I just see their list as missing one or two really good marquee players.

While the Broncos’ roster still looks reasonably strong, I’m surprised they have not been able to land a real big gun over the past couple of years.

This is a side that has a lot of leg ups, including having a whole city to cherry pick the best talent, lots of third party sponsorship, and good control of the fixtures; so the Broncos ought to be challenging for titles every season.

I think their forwards are a little bit light on in terms of real intimidation and size, so a wild card like Matt Lodge could be a key player if he can get his head straight.

The bottom line is, I don’t think their halves are good enough this season to beat the better sides, and I don’t think they have done enough in the off-season to address the side’s weaknesses.

Eddie’s ladder
Seventh: Brisbane Broncos
Eighth: Penrith PanthersNinth: Parramatta EelsTenth: North Queensland Cowboys11th: Newcastle Knights
12th: South Sydney Rabbitohs
13th: Gold Coast Titans
14th: Canterbury Bankstown Bulldogs
15th: Wests Tigers
16th: New Zealand Warriors

The Crowd Says:

2018-03-07T21:43:09+00:00

Gus O

Guest


Very interested to see how Bennett gets the best from Bird. Flanno played him everywhere from fullback to lock forward, I still don’t know what his best position is?

AUTHOR

2018-03-04T01:10:21+00:00

Eddie Otto

Roar Guru


Its a game of opinions Nat, Games are not played on paper. Sometimes team that have been up for a long time hit the wall. Im going with gut feel gut occasionally. Cowhand Broncos have been up and about for a long time. I could be totally wrong. All Ill say is a did put sone thought into it.

2018-03-03T14:48:08+00:00

Johnno

Guest


1988

2018-03-03T12:50:42+00:00

Gray-Hand

Guest


I heard that they offered him what Webke had been paid which was $350k, but he wanted more (don’t know what he asked for, but $400k would not have been unreasonable by any means) given that he had been paid less than Webke while they were both playing. I think Civinoceva was hard done by with the offer he got from the Broncos and that the offer he got from Penrith was an overpayment by the standards of the day. It is one of those situations where there are no hard feelings all round.

2018-03-03T12:27:25+00:00

Emcie

Roar Guru


iirc it was even less then that, i think petro was asking for like $400k a season

2018-03-03T12:14:25+00:00

Gray-Hand

Guest


Bennett will never pay top dollar for a frontrower or backrower. Remember that he let Civonceva go rather than match the $600k offered by Penrith (probably the equivalent of $850-950k these days). Bennett won’t spend big money on a player unless they have playmaking talent. While I can see the logic, there aren’t many teams that win a premiership without at least one top shelf prop.

2018-03-03T11:02:45+00:00

Nat

Roar Guru


I'll back that up. Moga could find himself in the open often but really butcher the finish. The Broncos ran 2nd to Storm in attack by 36 points, 6 tries over the whole season, it should have been much closer just on Moga alone. Great game against Cronulla was the highest point.

2018-03-03T10:16:26+00:00

Emcie

Roar Guru


Brisbane have a few good young props comming through, so I can't imagine Bennett going out of his way to keep those two if they were offered more. It seems to be cheaper these days to recruit an average middle aged player from another club than it is to resign an average young player as well, young players seem to generate bidding wars that masively overinflate their value

2018-03-03T10:04:40+00:00

Emcie

Roar Guru


I imagine he's not the only player that gets a completely different reaction from supporters then from the wider fan base

2018-03-03T09:54:15+00:00

Geoff from Bruce Stadium

Guest


Fair enough - interesting to hear what supporters think about their own players - I guess you get to see all their matches whereas I might watch half of them.

2018-03-03T09:52:31+00:00

Geoff from Bruce Stadium

Guest


Blair played a lot better for the Broncos than he did for the Tigers. I agree that the Broncos will miss his aggression and energy. You still have Maguire who I regard as a bit of a grub but he also has plenty of energy and made plenty of metres for the Broncos, Qld and the Kangaroos. I was a bit surprised that Es'esse and Arrow moved to other clubs but maybe they were offered a lot more cash.

2018-03-03T09:43:58+00:00

Emcie

Roar Guru


He certainly had a great highlights reel by the end of the season, and was getting talked up by a lot of experts. But he had a tendency to take the selffish option, bombed a lot of tries, was a penalty magnet and Oates really suffered outside him (only really getting quality ball from Milf's cutt out passes) which was very frustrating to watch, esecially when he was getting constant praise by commentators

2018-03-03T09:35:39+00:00

Gray-Hand

Guest


Are you therefore suggesting that Moga is a better player than Bird?

2018-03-03T09:33:16+00:00

Geoff from Bruce Stadium

Guest


OK - I just thought he was starting to impose himself in the second half of last season. Started to make a few line breaks and try assists. An average of 13 hit ups and 145 running metres per game are pretty fair stats for a centre.

2018-03-03T09:22:15+00:00

Alan

Guest


The “loss” of Moga is probably the best contract decision the broncos made for 2018. I am sure he’s the reason I’ll be grey and/or bald 10 years earlier than expected. He should find a shop and start selling some of the best steaks and cutlets in Newcastle, because he was one of the best butchers I’ve seen. He would have a -1 try tally per game he played, at least. If it wasn’t a complete defensive blunder it was butchering a certain try. As much as I didn’t like Blair the grub, our front row stocks look thin and our bench weak (esse esse gone too). Plenty of speed in our back line and this halves combo won 7 in a row last year didn’t they? We will be in the 8, maybe the 4 at a stretch. But unless some young props have a real breakout season it’s hard to see us right at the pointy end in late September.

2018-03-03T09:12:36+00:00

Emcie

Roar Guru


A lot of Broncos fans aren't complaining that hes signed elsewhere. That being said, I think he'll do the Knights a lot more good then he did the Broncos

2018-03-03T09:09:49+00:00

Emcie

Roar Guru


It's over two years, so really its probably less risky then a slightly lower long term deal

2018-03-03T09:07:49+00:00

Emcie

Roar Guru


https://www.foxsports.com.au/nrl/nrl-premiership/stats/players?sortBy=errors Pretty sure the deal was reported to be around $3 mil over four years. The Sharks offer for Holmes was technically an extension and not a new deal, but even if they did count that Holmes's deal was for 2 years while Birds was for 3-4 meaning that the total money offered to him could easily have been more then the offer to Holmes. A lot of technicalities floating around a pretty simple statement can lead to a bit of confusion

2018-03-03T09:06:40+00:00

Gray-Hand

Guest


Very ineffective player.

2018-03-03T09:01:38+00:00

Gray-Hand

Guest


You are severely underrating Blair. Blair was never selected as a ball running prop. He was a specialist defender, and probably one of the top 3 in the game. Big bullocking runs might look great on a highlights real, but quick effective and efficient tackles that slow down opposition ball and nullify their playmakers is what wins games. Having said all that, Lodge will make a big difference to the Broncos. They have been missing a powerful ball runner for years, so Lodge will add an extra dimension to their attack. But they will miss Blair.

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