Super Rugby Round 5: Perfection lives here

By Brett McKay / Expert

Not too difficult, after all, was Round 4 of Super Rugby last weekend. Which of course is an easy thing to say after the event, but hey, what’s the point of reflection if you can’t be a little smug, too?

And that smugness will continue through 60 per cent of the panel this week, after Harry, Digger and myself bagged the first perfect sevens of the seasons.

Mr Parkes would prefer you didn’t look at his results from last week on the panel below (it’s the column on the far left, the one with the three rows of red), while Nobes got sucked into the same vortex that saw The Crowd rather stunningly select the Reds, and with more than 55 per cent of the vote.

It’s nothing but green in the Digger-Brett-Harry part of the panel though, and long may that continue. For at least another week, if nothing else. And even if only in my column, if I’m forced to narrow it down.

Only six games this weekend, and no game in Australia on Saturday night, which seems ludicrous. And at the risk of repeating myself, it really does look like all six games could go either way. Hopefully this ends the same way as the last time I wrote that.

ROUND 4: Digger, Harry, Brett 7; Nobes and The Crowd 6; a considerable distance, then Geoff 4

OVERALL: Nobes, Harry 19; Brett, The Crowd 18; Digger 17, and Geoff 16

Digger
TIPS: HURRICANES, BRUMBIES, STORMERS, REDS, CRUSADERS, LIONS

The Chiefs will wake up at some point but I am hopeful it won’t be this weekend. The Canes’ form should be good enough for a ‘by plenty’ result.

I will back the Brumbies at home as they seem a tad more cohesive and I am picking they will be more desperate for this result, while the Stormers at home after a week’s rest should be too much for a travelling Jaguares side.

Sunwolves and Reds is a real head scratcher for me, I just do not know where to land. In the end I will suggest the Reds as I am unconvinced of the Sunwolves consistency or ability to deal with travel as a group. Of course the same could be said of the Reds, but I suspect their size advantage will also pay dividends.

I do fancy the Highlanders to cause a boil over at home but the Crusaders form is simply too hard to ignore, while the Lions at home also tend to be too good for visiting overseas sides.

SURE THING: Tevita Kuridrani will set things right with his home goal post and will even the ledger on that score, while turf control should not be a factor this weekend.

The Brumbies Mr TK. (AAP Image/Dean Lewins)

Harry
TIPS: HURRICANES, BRUMBIES, STORMERS, REDS, CRUSADERS, LIONS.

Goalposts are more than ever a part of general play in rugby.

This week in practice, Tevita Kuridrani must show his coaches his plan to elude the poles. BBBBB hits the posts on 35 per cent of kicks. And cheeky scrumhalves have found a way to use padding to score.

The Chiefs just don’t seem interested. The Waratahs have structural flaws which are being papered over, but the canny Canberrans will expose them.

The Stormers are among the most difficult teams in World Rugby to beat at home, in their Valhalla.

The Reds just have to win. Sometime. Why not now?

The Crusaders will bore us with perfection and a brilliant new 15. And the Lions will score 40 or more; the Rebels can’t out-Saffa these Saffas.

SURE THING: There will be controversy in Canberra.

Brett’s note: It may or may not be related to media box pies…

Brett
TIPS: HURRICANES, BRUMBIES, JAGUARES, SUNWOLVES, CRUSADERS, LIONS.

The Chiefs have wiped the whiteboard clean of all 2019 plans in naming Damien McKenzie back at fullback, but I’m not sure how the Chiefs will break their duck this weekend. It’s like they’re trying to out-Blues the Blues this year.

Brumbies-Tahs in Canberra is going to be a grind, and I reckon it comes down to who has the most improvement in them from last week. Even without Pocock, the Brumbies are good enough to drag this game into the set piece slugfest that would be to their great advantage.

Teams gets better the second week in South Africa, it’s just the rules. And who knows which Stormers will return to Newlands after the bye? Or which jerseys they’ll wear? But I do know which Sunwolves will turn out in Tokyo, and it’s one that will probably have too much running for the Reds.

The Reds weren’t terrible last week, but they didn’t show me that they can cope with teams that come at them fast, either.

The southern derby will be a ripper on Saturday night/evening/morning depending on where you are (or Wednesday night, I think, for Nobes), and I give the Highlanders a huge chance. A massive chance. Confidence enough to tip them, though? Nope, not quite.

And I’ll finish with the Lions and a challenge for the Rebels to make me pay for it.

SURE THING: Ever Blues-like, the Chiefs will break their duck this weekend, just reinforcing both their Blues-ness in 2019 and the blues I get when tipping the Blues.

Nobes
Tips: Hurricanes, Waratahs, Jaguares, Reds, Crusaders, Lions

Having perfect rounds in this edition of Super Rugby is something superlative, I congratulate those who made it.

The last round the locals took the upper hand and the way this is being considered, visitors should be the stars in this coming weekend.

It would be good if the Chiefs won this game at home but I think the Canes have more and will take the duel.

As I’ve been saying several times, I’m not attracted to the way the Brumbies play and although the Waratahs did not show anything interesting, I think it’s time they’ll do it.

Gonzalo Quesada knew in advance that the game against Lions was going to be the most difficult of the tour through Africa because of the height and its defensive system, and saved several players for the game with the Stormers.

It’s a 50-50 but since this is a round of visitors, I’m going for the Jags.

I think it’s time for the Reds to win and I see them as winners in Tokyo. Crusaders are the safest bet whenever they play so I go with them.

The Queensland Reds may be set for an improvement in their fortunes. (Credit: Sportography/QRU)

Finally I think that Lions at home despite playing with a lot of youth will take the match against the Rebels.

SURE THING: Very close matches on the scoreboards.

Geoff
TIPS: HURRICANES, BRUMBIES, JAGUARES, SUNWOLVES, CRUSADERS, LIONS

All of the favourites getting up last week meant a long slide down a slippery snake. Time to find a few ladders.

The Chiefs will eventually emerge from their hole, but not this week. It feels like D-day already for the Brumbies, who were devastated to lose last week in Melbourne. Let’s bank on Pocock being fit to play and the desperation factor being enough to get the Brumbies home.

I still don’t have a handle on the Stormers, and the Jaguares will have a stronger side in this week. The visitors in a tight one.

The Sunwolves’ discipline issues will have been addressed – expect them to be much better back at home against the still winless Reds.

Sunwolves fly-half Hayden Parker . (Michael Bradley/AFP/Getty Images)

And how can you tip against the Crusaders and not expect to be classified as clinically insane?

Rebels coach Dave Wessels is a ‘big picture’ guy, and the official position is one of support for the Wallabies camp earlier this week. But to have his leading players straggling into Johannesburg a couple of days beforehand is no way to prepare for the Lions.

SURE THING: After being laid out by a trade-mark Ned Hanigan smash, Tevita Kuridrani will be helped back to his feet, thinking, ‘gee, that was harder than being hit by a goalpost!’

Get your votes in now – The Crowd’s tips will be revealed Friday afternoon AEDT.

Who have you got, Roarers? Who gets your tip this weekend?

The Crowd Says:

2019-03-16T06:53:56+00:00

taylorman

Roar Guru


Second time a Crusaders match has been called off due to absolute tragic circumstances as we see the typically American past times of both White Supremacy and mass shootings imported into NZ. Pure evil of the highest order. Thoughts are with our Canterbury people who deserve much much better.

2019-03-15T10:10:10+00:00

RobC

Roar Guru


Yes MrChook! Four is unlucky in Chinese numerology. Except for you and me. Five - it looks like - is bad luck for EVERYONE

2019-03-15T05:05:09+00:00

Muzzo

Roar Rookie


Thanks RT, fingers crossed, mate, as it should be a great game. Like, the Battle of the Mainland. Lol..

2019-03-15T03:58:07+00:00

ThugbyFan

Roar Guru


Sure Thing this week: Nobody is going to flog the Blues so it will be a good weekend for RT. :)

2019-03-14T22:49:07+00:00

Rugby Tragic

Roar Rookie


Good luck Muzzo, on my personal selection for a little multi, I chose Highlanders to win with 7.5 start! ... GO 'LANDERS!

2019-03-14T22:43:27+00:00

Rugby Tragic

Roar Rookie


Late in, but it's a cinch ... fewer games ... easy pickings by nominating.. Hurricanes (by plenty!) Tahs (by enough) Stormers ... (yeah. nah ... I think!) Reds ... to break their duck Crusaders in a tighter match than most think under the roof .. Lions .. yep Rebels will be competitive but will come up short. PS I note that Blues won last week when Brett the Jonah championed the Sunwolves! .... *S*

AUTHOR

2019-03-14T21:08:31+00:00

Brett McKay

Expert


Friday update: Nearing 400 votes already, BRU-WAR, STO-JAG, and SUN-RED all opened really close yesterday morning, but the gaps have widened since. The widest of those three is beyond 64% now, but SUN-RED remains the closest, still sitting at 54% and with only 30 votes in it. And currently, more people think the Rebels can win in Johannesburg, than think the Highlanders can beat the Crusaders...

2019-03-14T19:13:11+00:00

Harry Jones

Expert


Been there!!!!!

2019-03-14T17:18:00+00:00

Carlos the Argie

Roar Guru


https://www.google.com/maps/place/Sydney,+NS,+Canada/@46.1426578,-60.3193405,11z/data=!4m5!3m4!1s0x4b67fb367e723415:0xa783539b7b308087!8m2!3d46.1367899!4d-60.194224?hl=en

2019-03-14T13:57:25+00:00

ThugbyFan

Roar Guru


Terry-I Kidd-U-Not, I'm not sure if it's correct but one of our Roar editors (SZ) said the team that wins the Grand Slam gets 3 bonus points. If so then Wales will win the 6 Nation.

2019-03-14T13:34:50+00:00

ThugbyFan

Roar Guru


Congratulations to Digger, Harry and Brett; my 5 picks pale in comparison. :( Now onto this week. - The Chiefs are on the improve and should look better with DMac finally at fullback but Marty at #10 against TJP and BBBB is surely going back to the future!. Expect Canes to Hurri to the tryline by plenty. - The Brumbies killed the Tahs last year at SFS and should repeat the dose here. The Brumbies back 5 look a better unit while the centre combo of I.Simone and TK looks loads more dangerous than the non-tackling KB and grandpa AAC. Sure Thing here; referee Glen Jackson to bring out some more head-scratchers. - Los Jaguares rested a whole heap of players last week obviously aiming to win this one. That Stormers' pack looks mighty strong but the Jag's backs sure have speed. Not confident but go for the home town. - Can the Reds with 3 x 5/8ths (Teti Tela is also a #10) and no I.Rodda overcome the pacy offloads of the Sunwolves? Add that Amanaki Mafi will come off the bench as the Reds' piggies are feeling a mite weary from chasing leather. Reds look a far better balanced backrow this week, but this game rests on can I.Lucas give that spark to the Reds' backline and can the noobie H.Hockings reduce his errors and penalties? I doubt all of the above can happen so after a close game, the Tokyo Boyz to enjoy the sushi and sake on Sat night. - Don't know who the Highlanders are fielding but Crusaders have most of their big guns starting including D.Havili. That's enough for me to predict Sadie to win the best game of the round, but have to work hard for the big W. - Lions should win this on the basis half the Rebels will be jet-lagged and the thin air to rip their lungs in the last quarter. Rebs have RHP and A.Coleman in 2nd row (M.Philip getting splinters) and Luke Jones at #6, a much better fit. R.Hodge pushes M.Koriobete onto the bench. In short: Hurricanes, Brumbies, Stormers, Sunwolves, Crusaders and Lions.

2019-03-14T10:52:22+00:00

Harry Jones

Expert


Hmmmmmm

2019-03-14T10:51:50+00:00

Harry Jones

Expert


But I have established that Sydney exists.

2019-03-14T10:51:23+00:00

The Slow Eater

Roar Rookie


Thanks for sharing. Interesting stuff. Feel like it’s uphill for the Rebels but I’m hopeful !!!

2019-03-14T10:47:46+00:00

Baylion

Roar Rookie


Lions vs Rebels: 15 Tyrone Green, 14 Ruan Combrinck, 13 Wandisile Simelane, 12 Franco Naudé, 11 Courtnall Skosan, 10 Elton Jantjies, 9 Ross Cronjé, 8 Kwagga Smith, 7 Vincent Tshituka, 6 Marnus Schoeman, 5 Stephan Lewies, 4 Marvin Orie, 3 Carlu Sadie, Malcolm Marx(c), 1 Dylan Smith. Reserves: 16 Jan-Henning Campher, 17 Sti Sithole, 18 Frans van Wyk, 19 Rhyno Herbst, 20 Ruan Vermaak, 21 Gianni Lombaard, 22 Lionel Mapoe, 23 Andries Coetzee Changes at 15 and at lock Two more rookies blooded bringing the total so far to 12 this season - Tyrone Green and Jan-Henning Campher. Green is a very lively player and I'm glad to see him in the team, don't know much about Campher

2019-03-14T10:31:57+00:00

The Slow Eater

Roar Rookie


Ireland by 10.

2019-03-14T09:58:10+00:00

Ken Catchpole's Other Leg

Roar Guru


Lucas to 10?- Is this the hatching of Brad’s cunning plan? I do like the look of Lucas. An interesting selection.

2019-03-14T08:19:23+00:00

Geoff Parkes

Expert


Don't be surprised to see him next week Paul. A number of coaches (most?) are playing the long game, rather than selecting their best XV every week. So it makes sense to split the run-on duties on a two match tour like this. (Other reason is that last week there was a 6-2 bench split, this week it's 5-3, so a loose forward drops out)

2019-03-14T08:19:18+00:00

Paul D

Roar Rookie


No they weren't. Come on guys! If you memory is a bit rough its all still online......

2019-03-14T08:12:48+00:00

Kiwikrs

Roar Rookie


Canes were also missing TJ

More Comments on The Roar

Read more at The Roar