Super Rugby Round 17: Nerves at the top

By Brett McKay / Expert

It’s not just the likes of the Crusaders, Rebels, and even the Bulls who have seen leads trimmed, eroded, or even outright disappear in recent weeks.

Oh no, with just two rounds to go, there’s some nerves appearing at the top of the tipping panel, too.

And though we weren’t necessarily SAYING it, we were all thinking not that long ago that 2019 was Nobes’ back-to-back tipping panel title to lose. We were, weren’t we? Of course we were.

He was looking comfortable; tipping well, and using his inside word or spidey senses of when to pick and when not to pick the Jaguares beautifully.

He was Messi, and we were every other footballer in Spain. He just had us covered.

But then he listed to Harry once too often and picked the Stormers last week. And now his lead is gone, just like that!

What a time to stumble! And what pressure does this bring now, over the last fortnight?!

ROUND 16: Digger and The Crowd 4; Geoff, Nobes, Brett 3; Harry 2.

OVERALL: Nobes and Digger 65, The Crowd 63; Harry 60; Geoff 57; Brett 54.

PERFECT ROUNDS: Haha, it was over before it began. Fair to say, no-one had the draw in Auckland and the Waratahs and the Chiefs. And a lot of us were 1 from 4 heading nervously into the Reds-Jags.

Digger
TIPS: HIGHLANDERS, BLUES, CRUSADERS, BRUMBIES, LIONS, JAGUARES
The Bulls did give me some pause but under the roof I think the Highlanders will have too much for them over 80 minutes, while I will back the Blues (even as I don’t believe it) away from home over the Reds, but I am sure to regret it.

Ash Dixon of the Highlanders celebrates with his teammates. (Photo by Rob Jefferies/Getty Images)

Crusaders have not been at their best, but I don’t think the Rebels are mentally tough enough to win in Christchurch anyhow.

The Waratahs and Brumbies have been giving me a headache; I just do not know, you would assume the Waratahs will be more desperate, but the Brumbies are playing the more cohesive game and seem to be more organised so I will saddle on up for this one.

A likely makeshift centre pairing and a reshuffled loose trio is not at all great for a game against the Lions at old Ellis, who now have more to play for than their visitors this weekend.

The Stormers should (say should) make light work of the Sun setting Wolves, while even the Sharkie Sharks and their inconsistency will not budge me off the Jaguares wagon this week.

SURE THING: Another tiring weekend beckon flicking during scrum resets to catch cricket scores (or between overs to catch rugby scores, whichever takes the fancy at the time) while watch the ‘niggle’ factor ratchet up a few notches as playoff hopes are both realised and extinguished over this round. And a few more cards.

Nobes
TIPS: HIGHLANDERS, BLUES, CRUSADERS, WARATAHS, LIONS, STORMERS, JAGUARES.

We have four teams already in the playoffs, only two without possibilities and only two rounds to play.

The classified teams are also in a bitter battle for the home field advantage in the finals that is usually decisive in a tournament where the travel distances are so vast. Guauuu! Super Rugby 2019 cannot be more entertaining!

Come on SANZAAR, this is great for marketing, do something about it!

The Highlanders must win their last two games with bonus and cross their fingers, and the Bulls have to win to continue to have chances in the most competitive conference this year.

Then, the last two teams of the respective conferences will meet, which makes it very difficult to predict and maybe the Blues will take it from experience.

Tana Umaga, head coach of the Blues (Photo by Dianne Manson/Getty Images)

Crusaders only won two games of their last five, and it is not the way you want to approach the finals, but then the Rebels do not want to qualify to avoid bankruptcy.

The Australian derby is difficult to predict but I prefer the hosts although the Brumbies burned me many times this year. The Lions in Ellis Park in a match not to be missed.

Stormers will beat the Japanese. And Jaguares will have the chance to clinch the conference in a very difficult match against the desperate Sharks in Buenos Aires. What will be prevail? History making or desperation?

SURE THING: We will see some pushing and shuffles in various games this round. Cards! Plenty!

Brett
TIPS: HIGHLANDERS, REDS, CRUSADERS, BRUMBIES, HURRICANES, STORMERS, JAGUARES

Righto, so the last week’s three-week-old tips didn’t – hang on, Digger picked the Lions! What’s going on here?

Nothing I say now about this week matters! Digger has never not picked the “’Canes by plenty”! It’s just the rules; it has to happen every week. What is going on here?

And what happens if he’s right?! Will the world simply implode on itself? I can’t cope with this…

Highlanders… not the Blues… Crusaders easily… I just don’t know how to react. Shouldn’t this bombshell have come with a warning?!? “The following text contains disturbing revelations”?

The Brumbies to beat the ‘full strength’ Tahs… Stormers over the Sunwolves… Jaguares at home.

Folau Fainga’a of the Brumbies (Photo by Quinn Rooney/Getty Images)

And I’ll pick the ‘Canes. Someone needs to…

SURE THING: Eighty Minutes of regret for Digger, and genuine fear of the inevitable – and rightly deserved – ridicule next week.

Geoff
TIPS: HIGHLANDERS, BLUES, CRUSADERS, WARATAHS, HURRICANES, STORMERS, SHARKS

The Bulls are having a good tour but the Highlanders have been blessed with a kind, late rails run to the finals, if they’re good enough. It’s almost impossible to separate the Reds and Blues, and I expect the ref to have difficulty separating them as well. Blues by a whisker.

The Crusaders will be back to business, leaving the Rebels to put all their eggs into the final round basket. And surely it has to be the Waratahs at Parramatta – if only to see what happens at the selection table next week!

I like the grit the Hurricanes showed in Durban – more of that will see them get over the Lions. The Stormers aren’t as well placed as other teams but a win against the Sunwolves will help. And I’m tipping an upset in the final match – the Sharks are angry that last week’s fight was cut short, and will dish it up to the Jaguares, who already have a sneaky eye towards their home final.

SURE THING: Dane Coles will announce his retirement from rugby to take up a position with Barnum Brothers circus, as a human cannonball. He joins Curtis Rona, the magician with no arms, and tightrope walker Semi Masirewa.

Harry
TIPS: BULLS, BLUES, CRUSADERS, BRUMBIES, LIONS, STORMERS, SHARKS.

This is the saddest season of Super Rugby. These dying conferences knotted tight, the twilight of the brave wolves who lost their sun, the winged migration north hereafter, moribund bank books, and the hell that was Folau-gate.

And yet, here we are, with only two teams excused. Everything to play for; perhaps even solvency.

Sports opinion delivered daily 

   

Bulls plus Pollard equals a win. The Blues, surely? Right? Jeez! In this season of uncertainness, incertitude, effability … yes. Blues. The Rebels will continue their great unravelling. The Tahs, too. The brutal Brumbies by a mile. The Lions roar again. And the fickle Stormers by a point or two.

But wait! Over in South America … what’s that sound? It’s the thud of the boot of the Bosch kicking the winner from 55 metres!

SURE THING: A du Preez will punch somebody in the face.

Get your votes in now – The Crowd’s tips will be revealed Friday afternoon AEDT.

Who have you got, Roarers? Who gets your tip this weekend?

The Crowd Says:

2019-06-07T21:45:28+00:00

Nobrain

Roar Guru


I am into SR, later on I will worry about RCH. Jaguares rotation has been really good ( 8 to 9 players every game) .

2019-06-07T15:14:27+00:00

Nobrain

Roar Guru


I think it is a record. Also I do not remember a season with so many games decided with many small margins.

2019-06-07T15:06:22+00:00

JRVJ

Roar Rookie


Don't know if you still follow Periodismo Rugby, but I always try to analyze results there. The Highlanders - Bulls result is pretty good for the Bulls, bad for the Highlanders and (together with the Reds victory over the Blues), good for the ABs? Why is it good for the ABs? Because it looks like ABs from the Highlanders, Chiefs and Blues will be very well rested for the RCh….. *** *** On the other hand, it looks like at least 3 out of 4 Saffa franchises will make it into the playoffs (especially is the Brumbies beat the Waratahs), so the Boks (as well as the Pumas for that matter) will not be as well rested for the RCh and ensuing RWC.

2019-06-07T14:09:14+00:00

Tutema

Roar Rookie


I was just about to ask something similar, is it common to have so many tied games????

2019-06-07T09:35:16+00:00

Nobrain

Roar Guru


Thanks TF, I will celebrate. I taking all my family to the game on Saturday. Argentine wines must be expensive in Sydney!! I do not drink so I do not care ????????????????. Cheers and good luck!!! We have already a tied, so no perfect round!!! Uff what a year for tippers!!!!

2019-06-07T09:30:43+00:00

Nobrain

Roar Guru


Here we go with another tied game . How many we had this season? It i hard enough to get a perfect round, but with this ties is impossible..

2019-06-07T07:33:54+00:00

ThugbyFan

Roar Guru


Nobrain! Braveheart??? Tahs to shout "FREEDOM from the finals" as the Brumbies disembowel the Tahs. :)

2019-06-07T07:26:31+00:00

ThugbyFan

Roar Guru


Reedy, only two Tahs? You do know who the WB coach is, right? :)

2019-06-07T07:09:52+00:00

ThugbyFan

Roar Guru


Ken's Leg, "(Brumbies have test level glue, the Tahs have test level incomes and stylists)...." True Gold. LoL

2019-06-07T07:03:23+00:00

ThugbyFan

Roar Guru


Back to my usual of 2 correct from 7, mind you I should do 1000 Hail Marys for tipping Reds against Los Jaguares. Hoping for some forgiveness by the Rugby Gods this week so here goes: - Highlanders to win a Battle Royale against the travelling Bulls. Both teams are desperate and the Bulls will play like a team with H.Pollard back. But the Penguin's pack takes on a scary look with the return of the human behemoth aka L.Squires. Just to cheer up the Bulls players, as Squires leaves about the 60th minute, on comes S.Frizell. May God/Buddha/Allah/Krisna/Odin and Zeus all have mercy on those bovine souls. - Madness is repeating stupid things over and over, so again I'll pick the Blues (wave to RT). I almost typed the Reds as both teams have half pairings to cause that head-turning scene from the Exocist, and M.McGahan will have a point to prove. But the Reds wingers look easy meat for R.Ioane, M.Nanai and C.Clarke and will leak too many points. Of interest Izaac Rodda clashing with Patrick Tuipulotu and M.Nonu saying hello to S.Kerevi. - Steel-minded Saders to flog the weak-minded Rebs. Crusaders ring in 7 changes and STILL have a beast pack in front of pretty fair backline, with more rehearsed moves than you would see in Flashdance. J. Uelese gets a start, which is a poor career move as the Rebels scrum will be monstered allowing that GOAT (literally) hooker from NSW T.Latu to get a WB jersey. - Brumbies and Tahs is a tough one but I reckon the Feral Horses will put a hoof up them. The Tahs have played above themselves over the past few weeks and they can thank a wonderful find in Lachlan Swinton for that. The Ponies have a 6:2 bench which suggests they intend to power over the Tahs pack, no-one has done that all year but the Brumbies' backline is in 5th gear atm. Of interest is the clash of the fb to win the eye of coach Mickey the Mouse. - Lions. Share markets around the world have crashed, after Digger predicted the Apocalypse upon us. The Canes have a lot of their forward firepower resting /on the pine although most of their backline stars are there. The Lions haven't announced their players but their two Add-ons have been announced as the comedy duo of Jaco Peyper and Egon Seconds. I cannot ignore the prophesy of the Digger and am preparing for The Rapture. Bring It On, Baby! - Stormers to belt the poor Sunnywolves. Of interest is D.Lleyds vs Semisi Masirewa at fullback. - Go for the homeboys here. Sharks will try to bully and strangle the Jaguares but the speed and a neutral referee will get them in the end. Sure Thing has bugger all to do with the rugby. Nobes should be in Sydney next week as a certain supermarket chain has a whole pile of South American wines on special including 3 Argentine reds to help him celebrate the 1st time Los Jaguares get to host a SR quarter and likely semifinals. Congratulations to his team, who have improved each year to become a real SR force. :)

2019-06-07T06:57:34+00:00

HiKa

Roar Rookie


For no reason better than to honour your literary contributions to The Roar, I would be happy to rename the "CT Drizzlers" as "Prospero's Magic". Of course, if they play dreadfully that may be revised to "Ariel's wet farts".

2019-06-07T04:14:26+00:00

Wal

Roar Guru


Listen to an interview with Razor and he commented on how they cooked themselves in the first half. And he was really disappointed that they failed to control the pace of the game more, allowing the Chiefs to play fast counter attacking ball. He also said to play in Suva is all about timing, straight after the bye a must in the future. I think the bye next week helps them recover and regroup before the finals.

2019-06-07T01:23:46+00:00

Rugby Tragic

Roar Rookie


Tahs have no chance then, I've also selected them!

2019-06-07T01:22:53+00:00

Rugby Tragic

Roar Rookie


A fair chance you might be burnt again tonight Brett when the MIGHTY BLUES take on the Reds... even without Reiko and Tuipulotu ... and even away on the enemy's home ground, as the BLUES travel so well! ... *S*

2019-06-07T01:11:06+00:00

Ralph

Roar Guru


Must be for the draw.

2019-06-07T01:01:33+00:00

Muzzo

Roar Rookie


That's what I was referring too....... next weekend, mate, & I don't think the Zoo Crew, will be there. Yeh right!!

2019-06-06T22:03:34+00:00

Rugby Tragic

Roar Rookie


Like the start of any game, when you run out on the field. What you did previously gives you no start for the current year *S*

2019-06-06T21:56:09+00:00

Rugby Tragic

Roar Rookie


Unkind Akari, very unkind to Mr Brett .... but true ????

2019-06-06T20:26:58+00:00

Harry Jones

Expert


Drizzling is what we call _______.

2019-06-06T20:25:09+00:00

Harry Jones

Expert


I saw it. The Sunwolves are as Japanese as I am.

More Comments on The Roar

Read more at The Roar