How the loss of Israel Folau has improved the Wallabies backfield

By Nicholas Bishop / Expert

Controversy follows Israel Folau wherever he goes.

First, it was his refusal to remove anti-homosexual posts from social media, which led ultimately to the cancellation of his playing contract with Rugby Australia.

Now his proposed move back to rugby league has been thrown into doubt. The Tongan National Rugby League had cleared Folau to play in October’s Oceania Cup competition, but the Australian Rugby League Commission (one of the RLIF’s eight constituent nations) are likely to oppose his readmission to the sport.

According to deputy chairman Peter Beattie, the RLIF had never been asked to consider the matter of Folau’s registration:

“The RLIF has made no decision in relation to any registration request for Israel Folau.

“As a current member and deputy chair of the RLIF board, I can assure you that this has never been discussed or mentioned around the board table.”

This follows on from a previous statement by the NRL, in which they indicated that they would not re-register Folau. This would have the effect of not only blocking his return to the sister code, but could result in yet more legal redress. Folau would end up fighting on two fronts in the courts, and against both governing bodies.

The picture is one of continued troubles. Indirectly, it raises the question of whether the Wallabies at the current World Cup are also not better off without Israel Folau on the field, as well as off it.

After all, Folau is associated with Michael Cheika’s version of Australia since 2015, and its underwhelming 50 per cent win ratio. That ranks him dead last among Wallaby coaches in the professional era.

Since the high watermark of the 2015 World Cup, the only Rugby Championship performance with a positive win/loss ratio occurred earlier this year, when Folau was already out of the Wallaby squad.

Sporting dynamics are mostly subterranean, invisible to the outsider. But during his time as a Wallaby, definite features characterised Israel Folau’s identity as a Test match player.

(Paul Kane/Getty Images)

He was an imperious rugby athlete – a deadly finisher in space, and probably the best aerial ball-winner of all time. What Victor Matfield was to the lineout, Folau was to the backfield.

On the other hand, there were areas of his game which did not measurably improve during his union exposure. His kicking game and work in contact were never more than moderate, and his positional play in defence could be suspect. Even when he was an ironclad fixture in the Wallaby side, other players never appeared to look towards him for leadership at critical moments.

The All Blacks seemed to know him better than anyone, on both sides of the ledger. They never challenged him in the air under the high ball, they just waited for him to come back down to earth, and then dispossess him at the ensuing ruck.

That is a neat capsule of Folau’s life in union: a player capable of winning in the most spectacular highlight moments, and then giving it all back in the workaday tasks of the game.

As a consequence, the debate about his best position was never fully unresolved – was he a winger, was he a fullback, or was he a centre?

His presence in the Australian back three caused problems, because both he and his most constant companion, Dane Haylett-Petty, preferred to play in the backfield on defence, rather than on the front line. With the Wallaby selectors looking to fast-track Marika Koroibete into the Test team since 2017, it was left to Koroibete to defend on the line, and it didn’t matter whether that was on the left or the right-hand side of the field.

In two articles at the end of 2018, one in October, the other in November, I assessed the negative impact the constant switching of positions was having on the career progression of wingmen like Jack Maddocks, Sefa Naivalu and Koroibete.

As ex-Wallaby Drew Mitchell put it at the time, “I’d be on the left wing, chasing a kick into the in goal, and then we’d have a 22 (dropout) or a lineout that just dribbles out and I’d have to get back to the right-hand side.

“You expel a lot of your fitness and your cardio just trying to get into position.

“I spoke to Dan Carter after the 2015 Rugby World Cup final and he said ‘mate, we could see the metres you were covering and we were just putting high balls up on you, just knowing you had nothing left’.”

It has become evident since Folau’s departure that a significant portion of the complex ‘musical chairs’ defensive system invented by Nathan Grey was designed to accommodate his individual strengths and weaknesses.

In Folau’s absence, it has been largely abandoned this season. The only time Marika Koroibete is now required to switch over to the right wing is at defensive lineouts – and that particular wrinkle is still as unsuccessful as it always has been in the past.

Against Fiji, a defensive lineout with Koroibete stuck out on the right eventually resulted in a scoring opportunity for the Islanders over on the opposite side of the field:

Koroibete is still on the right, Reece Hodge has picked up his duties out on the left but is late up to the line. As a result, he gets his angles wrong and is brushed off by ‘the Bus’, the blockbusting Josua Tuisova:

There is no easy translation of defensive angles for tackles made on the right shoulder to those on the left, and Hodge pays the ultimate price for his mistake against a ball-carrier as powerful as Tuisova.

The good news is most of Koroibete’s duties are now confined to his natural wing, and that means much greater economy of effort.

At kick-off chases, he stays resolutely on the left rather than moving over to the right:

This, in turn, permits Hodge to pick up Folau’s role as the main chaser of contestable restarts on the other side:

Defensively, Koroibete has also been able evolve his game further by spending more time in the backfield, rather than just on the line:

This is a sensible arrangement, with Haylett-Petty shifting over to the touchline to field the ball, and Koroibete and the other winger (Adam Ashley-Cooper in this case) linking further infield:

Marika drives through the first tackle by Justin Tipuric to set up an ideal first ruck past halfway, and in the middle of the field with all the attacking options open.

Koroibete has also been able to acquire more confidence in the workaday tasks of backfield defence which never appeared to enthuse Folau:

Koroibete drifts back to cover the kick-through by Wales scrumhalf Gareth Davies, then outruns the pursuit before kicking beyond the Welsh backfield to give the platform for an energetic kick-chase.

There are still items to learn on Koroibete’s defensive menu, as the first Welsh try from a cross-kick showed – but at least he is now getting the chance to learn them.

In this instance, he allows Welsh chaser Hadleigh Parkes to get on his outside shoulder and fails to occupy the critical space underneath the ball.

With ball in hand, Australia have looked at their most potent when executing attacks from right to left in 2019, and towards Koroibete’s wing. The tighter the space gets, the more impact the likes of Samu Kerevi, James O’Connor and Koroibete are likely to make, and this is especially true on Wallaby kick-off returns:

Koroibetes’s dynamism, dropping inside on the pick and go, is a very welcome addition to Australia’s arsenal in 2019. Furthermore, he now has the energy to beat Tuisova on the outside around the hour mark – an opportunity he would have been unlikely to grasp with draining demands of ‘musical chairs’ still in place.

One final example:

Matt Toomua breaks down the left, and Koroibete times his switch inside to perfection to set up a quick ruck ball and move Australia to within a couple of metres of the Welsh goal-line. The Wallabies scored shortly afterwards to ignite their second-half comeback.

Summary
Israel Folau’s chequered career in rugby union raises interesting questions about the role of an outstanding individual within an overall team structure.

Folau’s spectacular positive attributes would have demanded his inclusion in any top-tier side in the world, even the All Blacks. At the same time, it is doubtful New Zealand would have made such concessions to his weaknesses.

They would have demanded that Folau recognise, and address his negatives in contact work, kicking and defensive positional play – rather than making any change to their team patterns to accommodate them.

Since Folau’s departure, Australia’s results have improved, and the 2019 Rugby Championship represented their best performance since 2015. The roles of their back three have been simplified, and only the one portion of the defensive lineout structure remains of the ‘musical chairs’ system.

(Photo by David Ramos – World Rugby/World Rugby via Getty Images)

This has benefited Marika Koroibete in particular. Instead of having to shuttle constantly and exhaustingly between wings on both sides, he has been encouraged to stay on the left and learn his backfield duties in a more orthodox rotation. Persistence has led to progress.

At the same time, it appears that nobody is too keen to employ Israel Folau’s outrageous natural talents without more evidence he will stick around, and league looks to be following hot on union’s heels in that respect.

“It’s not that I’m so smart, it’s just that I stay with problems longer,” as the famous scientist Albert Einstein once said.

For five seasons in union, Israel Folau shone, often brilliantly – a shimmering comet across the evening sky. But he could not “stay with the problems” for longer. That meant he never scaled the heights he might have done, or became a role model either on or off the field. The loss is his, but also ours.

The Crowd Says:

2019-11-19T22:01:37+00:00

Nobody

Roar Rookie


Sadly this comment comes far too late, but what you suggested in this article may be explained by Braess's paradox. https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Braess%27s_paradox

2019-11-03T21:55:44+00:00

Meh

Guest


Sad when the best player in the team gets turfed over hurting people’s feelings. Wallabies got their just desserts in the end!

2019-10-15T07:25:20+00:00

zhenry

Guest


It concerns me that the corporate media (and unfortunately this site) target the individual, who have no right of reply. On TheRoar GeoffP, does it, but to my knowledge its the first time for NB - journalists have a wide network to broadcast their views, its cowardly and whats worse its passed off as the norm. Its done to let those higher up the 'command chain' - coaches and CEOs to avoid blame, protect the sponser and their money, and ultimately for the corporate media, their advertisers. Rather than an article about how much better off we are without this miscreant (thats the overall direction of it) why not how we could have used his exceptional talent to better our advantage more. What would the coaches have to do? Is Folau uncoachable? I think the video examples chosen were to fit NBs theme. I guess its a lot safer to infer the rightness of RAs past decision making process concerning this issue. Everything should have been done to allow the expression of Folau's exceptional talents; by RA, the media and their sponsers. From my observation RA was too willing to concede unconditionally to their sponsers. The media as usual flouted their responsibility to the issue. Folau's religeous beliefs could have been kept in the right context by a responsible and educating media; explanations of the Bible; its problems of language and historical context etc. Instead their is 'simplify, scapegoat' the powerless, and above all protect the advertisers. It also concerns me that Folau's issue is defined as 'contract law', clearly a coverup for imposing on religeous freedom and the protection of sponser power. I am against fundamentalism in all its forms, including economic (which benefits the corporates, and only your 'Pilgers' oppose it), but I digress, Folau's religion should be respected; He has a set of deeply felt beliefs that clash with the widely held norm of 'evidence based facts'. Unfortunatey even 'evidence based facts' are now under threat by a media prioritising their advertisers, who cry 'we want freedom' when it comes to Govt taxes and regulations: Yet the corporations negate individual freedom and want complete control of individual lives when they sponsor a sports 'team' or enact their neoliberal policies. It is absolutely vital to stop bowing to corporations. They of course can be very useful, but they, like Folau, are in a belief bubble; theirs is 'profit at any cost', with an out of control 'addiction to money and power'. They are dangerous and must be stopped, and legislated to be governed like everyone else, otherwise we are on a path to the 'extermination of life' on this planet.

2019-10-15T07:02:50+00:00

Sydney Slug

Roar Rookie


Interestingly given your focus on the hard work done by MK relative to IF, Link noted this about Wendell Sailor (in my mind the most maligned League crossover): "Wendell is the most successful tackler with an 88% strike rate. Other Test candidates, notably Gerrard (75%), Rathbone (74%), and Mitchell (68%), seem to be a little off the pace. "Break this percentage down and you will also find that Sailor makes more dominant tackles than any other winger and also involves himself four times as often in contesting opposition tackles and rucks. "What about attack? Wendell actually runs a close second to Mark Gerrard in most categories. Mark has the most carries (11.4 per game) while Wendell has 9.7 per game. Carries are one thing but it's what you do while carrying the ball that is also important. Wendell will break through 4.6 tackles per match while the next best is Ioane with 3.0 per match. "Clean line breaks are topped by Gerrard at 1.5 per match and Wendell is second on 1.3. I'm not trying to bore you with numbers but it is important to understand that at the very least there is a real contribution being made."

2019-10-15T06:50:55+00:00

Timbo (L)

Roar Guru


Best player has given us terrible results for the last 4 years. May not be best for the team.

2019-10-15T06:49:41+00:00

Timbo (L)

Roar Guru


Well the opposition and referees have been voting for the last 4 years with results. Australia Lose, over and over, and over. If the game is centered our 2 "best" players, it doesn't say much about how good they are.

2019-10-15T05:32:43+00:00

concerned supporter

Roar Rookie


Your credibility is shot Piru. Recent quote, not mine from a bloke in The Australian. DHP is sound? where? He took one high ball, missed two tackles, dropped two balls and has no pace.

2019-10-14T16:14:55+00:00

ForceFan

Roar Rookie


The same could be said of almost all of the Wallabies under Cheika despite having support from people such as Mick the Kick. Cheika's rule at the top represents a low point for Australian rugby.

2019-10-14T13:25:28+00:00

Oblonsky‘s Other Pun

Roar Guru


And yet the backline looks better without him.

2019-10-14T07:12:55+00:00

piru

Roar Rookie


People who criticize IF’s footballing ability know SFA about Rugby. Beg to differ Q.For the WRC game against England, who would you select as Australia’s full back? Haylett-Petty

2019-10-14T06:58:28+00:00

MitchO

Guest


Well if you consider it. Tiquiri was very good at scoring points and he was a very safe catch under the high ball. And when he caught a high ball it was hard for the other team to dispossess him. I have this impression of him having to wrestle the opposition whilst waiting for the Wallabies to arrive and help him out.

2019-10-14T06:53:11+00:00

MitchO

Guest


Our kicker in high school practised every day (with his dad) and was a better kicker than Foley. Easy kicks a given and close to the half way line was still a high possibility.

2019-10-14T04:45:58+00:00

piru

Roar Rookie


Dhp ain’t a fraction the fb folau was.. He's ten times the fullback Folau was

2019-10-14T04:23:14+00:00

Josh

Roar Rookie


not many at all, willy o and toutai kefu were two others. surprised to see bernie and horan didnt

2019-10-14T03:20:32+00:00

elvis

Roar Rookie


lol don't tell me, I was saying the same thing. I think you have replied to the wrong person....

2019-10-14T02:59:48+00:00

Hoges5

Roar Rookie


Finally!!!!! An expert actually says this - I have been banging on about it for at least 2 years. All Blacks in particular figured out Folau's deficiencies and exploited them. Never getting a contestable kick down his preferred attacking channel on the right hand side of the field from any team that has done their homework. Great analysis on the effect the "workaround" solution was having on defensive structure too. Koriebete has got better and better now that he only has to do his job and not cover all the other issues. Great work here Nick - let's hope the Wallabies can improve fast enough for the England game!

2019-10-14T01:31:34+00:00

Joe

Roar Rookie


I can't speak to off the record as that just opens up a can of worms with no corroboration and no names. I can say the same thing, spoke to some players off the record who love what these two players bring to the game. What is on the record is their votes and that says he was voted best player 3 years out of 5. There are no perfect players, especially in the Wallabies team, so it doesn't matter that Hooper has deficiencies in his game, he was voted best player by his peers 2 times (not really a bunch) so that means by that measure he was considered the best by his peers in those years.

2019-10-13T23:38:47+00:00

Brian Westlake

Roar Rookie


Reality is that you have an ex employee that did not develop his skill set in the areas that sought development. Reality is the cold facts stated by Nick in the article. Reality is that Josh let us all know that the disgruntled ex employee won the JE medal 3 times 57 times (Thanks josh I might have missed 7 or 8 extras) Reality is that he is gone from Rugby and we are better for it Reality is that no other player posts hate speech on their IG account Reality is a wonderful thing

2019-10-13T23:32:36+00:00

Timbo (L)

Roar Guru


Hoops won the same medal a bunch of times, and I see the same unbalanced performances from him too. Brilliant in some areas, deficient in others. When you speak to players off the record, neither player gets a glowing reference, Sure great at what they do, but they are sick and tired of cleaning up after what they don't. Makes you wonder if there is administrative pressure on how to vote.

2019-10-13T23:21:40+00:00

Joe

Roar Rookie


John Eales medal is voted on by the Wallabies players after every match, not the sponsor...the guys who are out there on the field playing the game with him. It is not from Player of the match which I agree has a sponsor influence. Yes we'd all take a win over a loss any day of the week but that doesn't negate the fact that his fellow Wallabies voted him the best player 3 out of the 5 years he played Union.

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