I actually relish a small part of the preseason, because anything is possible. At this point we all still think that our team can win the premiership.
My excitement this year is even more because on the whole, the off-season has been relatively drama-free.
We’ve had a World Club Challenge which garnered plenty of interest, thousands of people turning out for a trial game in Papua New Guinea between the Canterbury Bulldogs and Cronulla Sharks, and the NRL Nines which were fun and demonstrated an interest for the game in Perth.
The big question at this point though is who makes the finals.
Each year, I find it harder and harder to select the top eight. It’s a demonstration of how close our competition is that every team is capable of making it.
So after much thought, here’s my top eight – with the caveat that the top six teams I have selected will definitely make it:
Sydney Roosters
South Sydney Rabbitohs
Melbourne Storm
Canberra Raiders
Manly Sea Eagles
Parramatta Eels
Brisbane Broncos
Newcastle Knights
Incredibly, even without Cooper Cronk, the Chooks will be the benchmark yet again.
Latrell Mitchell will be an outstanding acquisition for South Sydney and I look forward to him making the fullback position his own.
A couple of years ago I made the mistake of predicting Melbourne’s demise after big departures like Cronk and Billy Slater, but even though star players may leave, the Storm have a system in place which makes sure that the next generation slot right in.
And then of course there’s Cameron Smith.
Manly will go deep into the finals, given what they were able to achieve last year with an average squad and injuries to Tom Trbojevic.
The team that seems to be causing contention is Parramatta, who finished fifth last year. Everyone knows I am an Eels supporter, but I’m curious to understand what has people leaving them out of the eight altogether? The only reason I can come up with is that the last time the blue and gold went into a season with expectation, 2018, they finished at the bottom of the ladder.
But this year, the squad has improved with the additions of Reagan Campbell-Gillard and Ryan Matterson. Bankwest Stadium will be a factor too – the player love running onto it and have a genuine home-ground advantage.
They will make the finals.
I was wary about including Brisbane, because I question some of Anthony Seibold’s coaching decisions, but I selected them based on their emerging talent – particularly David Fifita and Payne Haas, who are game-changers.
The Knights snare my final position. They were close to the eight last year, but clearly a rift developed between Nathan Brown and his players. With a new coach in place, Newcastle will cause some major upsets.
But what about the teams I haven’t chosen?
Notable omissions include the North Queensland Cowboys, Cronulla Sharks and Wests Tigers.
Many have picked the Cowboys based on the recruitment of Valentine Holmes, the improved fitness of Jason Taumalolo, and the impact of a new stadium. I still hold reservations.
Last year, Paul Green made some curious calls, favouring experience and his older players rather than taking the opportunity to blood fresh talent. The squad has talent, but I query whether Green is capable of leading them to glory again.
The Sharks have a good squad, including the likes of Matt Moylan, Wade Graham, Bronson Xerri and Shaun Johnson, but something doesn’t feel right.
Cronulla’s off-field dramas have been well documented, including the departure of another CEO and the loss of their home ground for the next three years. What impact will no permanent home have as they take games all across the country?
Would it be cruel to tell you all that the Wests Tigers occupy my ninth spot?
I have tremendous faith in what Michael McGuire is doing, but this squad is missing players in key positions.
I hope to be proven wrong.
The Gold Coast to surprise us all this year with major improvement. They have a new coach, Ash Taylor looks enthusiastic and ready to play rugby league, and while the loss of Ryan James is big, surely 2020 has to be better than 2019 for the Titans.
The Bulldogs will be another improver, just not enough to make the eight.
If there’s one thing I’m sure about, it is that this will be an exceptionally entertaining season, so bring on Round 1.
Tim Buck 3
Roar Rookie
You're definitely not a member of the Committee to Re-Elect the Prime Minister. I don't like Cronulla much too.
JohnnyRipe
Guest
No white men in SA Mary and Sprucey old boy . Perhaps you should both migrate and “ live the dream “. I’m sure you’ll both be welcomed with open arms.
JohnnyRipe
Guest
Morrison is just another professional parasite, groomed and moulded in the image of his faceless advisers. Probably goes home , throws up and showers for hours after being in the Vicinity of the Cronulla ( Bogan ) faithful . My wife calls me a creep , uncanny hey .
Tim Buck 3
Roar Rookie
Our leader is a Sharks fan so there's commitment for you. I assume you don't know what Trump is saving the US from as you're a member of CREEP and it's a good slogan.
JohnnyRipe
Guest
Yes yes yes , that pesky democracy in amongst all those wonderful dictatorships. I see what you mean .
bop
Roar Rookie
warriors for the 8
Gray-Hand
Roar Rookie
Exactly. And this year Seibold will have a full preseason to get the team playing like he wants them too. Young players will be a lot more experienced. Boyd won’t be captain. Boyd will only be allowed to play a maximum of 14 games. Gillett and Bird(hopefully) won’t be sitting on the couch sucking up $1.5 million of the salary cap. Milford will have a number 7 who is at least moderately capable of managing a game. The only way they are worse off than last year is Lodge being out for half the season. That’s definitely a blow, but it’s easily outweighed by the improvements elsewhere. There just isn’t any real reason to think the Broncos are going to be worse this year than last year, and lots of reasons to think they will do better. Anyone thinking they are going to be in the top 4 or even seriously challenge for the top 4 is kidding themselves, but I don’t see them dropping out of the 8.
Forty Twenty
Roar Rookie
He's looking to extend his contract but he isn't happy with the response apparently. He was Manly's top try scorer in 18 and forward of the year at the Eels in 19 I believe.
Chris Love
Roar Guru
My 8 was similar to yours but in a different order and Cowboys instead of BRIsbane. But it was a toss up between the cowboys and sharks.
Chris Love
Roar Guru
What’s this news on Shaun Lane getting the cold shoulder? I haven’t seen anything of the like.
Rellum
Roar Guru
Lets not get too crazy :stoked:
matth
Roar Guru
Go the mighty Dolphins!
Nat
Roar Guru
I know it's fanciful thinking but if they can make the 8 on last year's performance, what happens when they're not so bad?
mushi
Roar Guru
I think the league they were referring to was the cessnock under 15s
mushi
Roar Guru
I think that's bullish on Souths. Even if LM makes the FB spot his own it won't be week 1 and their pack is needs augmenting. They're more 2021 than 2020 and you need to worry about Bennett checking out. Coaching is a brutal job, half invested probably only delivers 10% of the out put.
mpc
Guest
He has been a great servant to that rogue state Israel, but awful for the US
max power
Guest
why would the dogs improve? because they bought another average back rower?
max power
Guest
saving the usa from what?
Chris Love
Roar Guru
My top 8. 1. Rabbits 2. Raiders 3. Roosters 4. Eels 5. Storm 6. Knights 7. Eagles 8. Cowboys. While I gave the Eagles only 7th I think they could go real deep into September provided once their early season injuries come back they stay fit.
Micko
Roar Rookie
What's wrong with white people spruce?! :shocked: