AFL Power Rankings Round 14

By Liam Salter / Roar Guru

We’re back in yet another footy festival/bonanza/streak (whatever word you wanna use).

What an intriguing round it was. Not a lot of upsets – but more uncertainty thrust into key races for minor premiership, top four and top eight. Next edition of these will be up next Saturday, given the quirky fixturing.

1. Geelong (last week: 3)
That was the club’s biggest comeback from a first term deficit since the 1930s. They’ve now won four in a row – three of those against finals contenders. For the second time in as many weeks, I’m promoting a new team to top of these rankings. Geelong is that team.

2. Port Adelaide (last week: 2)
For the second week in a row, the Power faced a dogged competitor from outside the eight. Unlike the Hawks last week though, they had a slightly easier time shaking off the Swans – largely thanks to Charlie Dixon’s four goals and some midfield ascendency. In a tough competition for the minor premiership, with Geelong and Brisbane hunting that spot, too.

3. West Coast (last week: 1)
A difficult team to judge this week. I don’t think one loss derails their awesome recent form but given they did lose to the reigning premiers and they were one of only two top eight teams to lose this week, I have to drop them in these rankings. Essendon up next.

4. Richmond (last week: 4)
A big win for the reigning premiers, and it was a brilliant one. They finish the round in the top four (for only the third time this year) and with Geelong the only one of their three remaining competitors that’ll be tricky, they’re in a very good position.

5. Brisbane Lions (last week: 5)
Had the bye.

6. St Kilda (last week: 6)
A bit of their lustre disappearing, with Saturday’s loss to the Demons their third in four games. They’ve now lost two games by a cumulative total of five points. Usually, I’d suggest they’d be a team to would learn from the close losses – but every win is vital for the Saints, so bouncing back against a vulnerable Hawks up next is now almost obligatory.

(Photo by Matt Roberts/AFL Photos/via Getty Images)

7. Collingwood (last week: 7)
They’d won four of their previous five before yesterday’s match, but the Pies had been widely seen as a weak finals contender. That’s why their latest win is so, so vital: it locks them in the eight for now, though they still have to navigate injuries and a tricky finish to the season.

8. Melbourne (last week: 10)
Their top eight chances live another day. They redeemed themselves after the capitulation against the Doggies, and sent themselves back into the eight – for now. A relatively easy fixture from here on out benefits them, too.

9. GWS Giants (last week: 11)
That’s how you bounce back! The Giants dominated the clash, stifling mini Freo fightbacks and having the game sewn up by the final break. They remain well and truly in finals contention, and if they play like they did on Saturday, they’re a chance to win out from here.

10. Carlton (last week: 8)
So, so much on the line – and they put up a stinker of a second half. The Blues failed to score a goal after halftime, and with this loss go their finals chances, you’d presume. That genuinely sucks, because in my eyes, Carlton are such a likeable team.

11. Western Bulldogs (last week: 9)
They “pulled a Hawthorn”, though not nearly as badly. Like that team, they started brilliantly – that first term was almost as good a quarter I’ve seen any team play this year – but they failed to hold off Geelong. A bad start to a critically important month for Luke Beveridge’s side.

12. Essendon (last week: 14)
I mean, I’m sure they’d rather not have to go through the comeback motions every time they win, but it was nonetheless a superb victory for the under-fire Bombers. Finals still remain a very unlikely proposition, but the Bombers can optimistically be a spanner in the works for four (!) finals-bound teams. Optimistically being the key word there.

13. Gold Coast (last week: 13)
Good win – and sorely needed after six weeks of losses and a draw. They’re not making finals, but this remains a reasonably impressive season for the young team. One blight on the game: they were reminiscent of their Queensland cousins in terms of goal accuracy, which halted what would’ve (should’ve) been a much bigger victory.

(Photo by Chris Hyde/AFL Photos/via Getty Images)

14. Fremantle (last week: 12)
And Freo’s good run of form comes to a crashing end. A little unfortunate that they came up against a GWS side desperate for a win, but the Dockers were poor from the outset on Saturday afternoon. Incredibly difficult encounter with Essendon up next … potentially without Luke Ryan.

15. North Melbourne (last week: 15)
I mean no offence when I say this, but they produced a bland performance in a relatively inconsequential clash. The Eagles, Port and Freo are their final three opponents. Yikes.

16. Sydney Swans (last week: 17)
To their credit, they produced a much-improved performance against Port, but beating the ladder-leaders in Adelaide was probably going to be a step too far. Face the Dees next week: any upset potential at all, I wonder?

17. Hawthorn (last week: 16)
That was … not good, to put it lightly. They looked superb early – and, indeed, almost everyone thought they’d run away with it – but Clarko’s squad couldn’t do anything as the Dons ran over them. Awful result for the club, if that doesn’t sound to hyperbolic.

18. Adelaide (last week: 18)
Had the bye.

The Crowd Says:

2020-08-31T09:19:04+00:00

Charlie Keegan

Roar Guru


Interesting fact: the bombers hawks game was the fifth largest deficit that the bombers came back from however, when you increase the margin by 25% then it is actually equal with the largest half time come back from the bombers of 45 points.

2020-08-31T08:09:27+00:00

Neil from Warrandyte

Roar Rookie


I don’t necessarily think that the tigers played poorly that day, I think it was more that Port played out of their skins, where everything clicked.

2020-08-31T08:06:44+00:00

Neil from Warrandyte

Roar Rookie


I also think the tigers prefer a break on the shorter side, say 5-6 days. Seem to start much slower after a break of 8 days or more.

2020-08-31T07:44:27+00:00

Yattuzzi

Roar Rookie


Cats seem to play better the shorter the break. Even our bye is only ten days. Might even beat the Dons after it. First time in years.

2020-08-31T05:45:14+00:00

Uosdwis R. Dewoh

Roar Rookie


Yeah you're forgetting the games against Brisbane and St Kilda. I'd confidently tip Richmond to beat Port in September if they meet, I'd doubt the Tigers would repeat another poor effort like they did last time. They looked well off the pace that game (watch the last quarter again) and still weren't overly far off.

2020-08-31T02:50:35+00:00

Rissole

Roar Rookie


Dogs should be around 7. If they played Carlton, Melbourne or GWS this weekend I'd expect them to win.

2020-08-31T01:54:52+00:00

pablocruz

Roar Rookie


Geelong v Saints not an even match up for mine, would expect Cats to win almost every time. The other may be an outlier, indicating how good Geelong are. Pretty sure you'll find on most occasions the less rested side loses.

2020-08-31T01:30:54+00:00

Chief Keeffe

Roar Rookie


Agree with other commenters that the rankings are pretty good this week except for North, who absolutely need to be 17th. Can't see the justification for them being any higher. Would also personally drop WC below Richmond and Carlton below at least the Dogs.

2020-08-31T01:24:38+00:00

Yattuzzi

Roar Rookie


Geelong vs Saints, five days. Geelong vs Port four days. Port 6 day break

2020-08-31T01:21:35+00:00

Enigma

Roar Rookie


North Melbourne's average age yesterday: 25 years, 10 months Gold Coast's average age yesterday: 23 years, 5 months. North was also more experienced: average games played of 84.4 compared to 63.5. Even if you were right, and you had a younger/more inexperienced side, does that excuse 8 scoring shots to 31, and a 63 point loss to a side that hadn't won for 7 weeks? Injuries/absent players certainly weren't an excuse for Melbourne last year. I'm happy for you to rely on the 1990s to give you something happy to think about. I didn't bring Melbourne up in my post, either. As I've said before, people like you who seem to only ever post negative things about other sides, particularly when they barrack for under-performing sides themselves, make this site worse.

2020-08-31T01:04:50+00:00

Rowdy

Roar Rookie


It was a vintage typo

2020-08-31T01:04:05+00:00

Rowdy

Roar Rookie


Did you mean "flighty" Eagles?

2020-08-31T01:02:35+00:00

Rowdy

Roar Rookie


17th is right. Adelaide had their best game last week and he, subjectively, still ranked us 18th. This ranking systems not worth the 0s & 1s.

2020-08-31T00:59:19+00:00

pablocruz

Roar Rookie


I think the time between games is a huge factor. Richmond had one less day to recover than Port while the Eagles had one less day to recover than Richmond. On both occasions the the team with less recovery time has been blown away in the 4th term. This type of result seems fairly consistent across the board, particularly when two sides are fairly evenly matched. I'd also suggest the two losing teams in these examples were a little undermanned as well.

2020-08-31T00:54:15+00:00

Rowdy

Roar Rookie


And he still has us at 18th

2020-08-31T00:46:51+00:00

Yattuzzi

Roar Rookie


Harsh on Port. They haven’t put a foot wrong except for Cats game. That game, Cats where white hot and everything just clicked. They beat the Tigers and the Tigers had no excuses. GWS are still lurking but are mentally weak.

2020-08-31T00:36:23+00:00

fractal pixie

Guest


Richmond will be a big test for us.

2020-08-31T00:35:05+00:00

fractal pixie

Guest


Win not wine.

2020-08-31T00:23:05+00:00

Nico

Roar Rookie


Agreed on all points, except that Giants are gone. They’re just bad travellers. So expect them to stumble again once back in QLD, then pick up again. They’ll probably run out of time.

2020-08-31T00:13:58+00:00

Brian

Guest


Not favourites with the bookies. The loser of Geelong v Richmond game will likely miss the top 4

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