'A sense of destiny': Demons to finally deliver a flag after 57 years

By Cameron Rose / Expert

Is it Melbourne’s time? After 57 years it really is the biggest, if not the only, question this week.

The Western Bulldogs had their moment in 2016 and will certainly be trying their darndest to have another one.

In 2005 and 2007 respectively we also saw Sydney and Geelong break decades-long hoodoos.

Richmond followed the Dogs in 2017 with a stunning run of success that no-one saw coming. And it is from the Tigers that there are some similarities that we can see in the Demons.

There was much talk from the Melbourne camp across pre-season that something was different this year and it centred on their selflessness. They would finally draw a line in the sand and put team first as players.

Most clubs have a theme heading into a new season, but it’s all talk until we see it. Richmond had a theme of connection and vulnerability heading into 2017, the building blocks upon which their premiership dynasty was built.

Each team has to find their own way to something unique beyond just kick, marks and handballs, and it seems like the Dees have happened on it. They decided to be a champion team rather than a team of champions.

The Tigers burst out of the blocks with a 5-0 record in 2017 before suffering their first loss, while Melbourne opened this year 9-0 as they barnstormed their way into the season.

Richmond missed the finals in the year before their first flag, just as the Demons did last year. Both sides had put the writing on the wall in prior seasons though.

The Tigers famously lost three elimination finals in a row from 2013-15, before bombing out horribly in 2016. The fall was so steep, so stark, so awful, it forced the changes that led to the ultimate success.

Melbourne sailed all the way to a preliminary final in 2018, defeating perennial powers Geelong and Hawthorn along the way, after knocking on the door of finals in the previous couple of seasons. They started 2019 as one of the premiership favourites.

The Demons before their 2018 preliminary final match. (Photo by Paul Kane/Getty Images)

It’s clear the Dees weren’t mature enough to handle expectation and have admitted that they got ahead of themselves following their prelim. They bombed spectacularly, and dropped all the way to 17th.

It forced Simon Goodwin to confront some home truths about the club and the way he led it, mirroring the journey that Damien Hardwick went on.

2020 was a tough season, with the entire country – including football clubs – dealing with COVID for the first time. The stops. The starts. The hubs.

Despite missing finals, from the outside Goodwin seemed strangely confident and upbeat in the latter part of the season.

Melbourne had won three games after Round 9 last year and were sitting 15th on the ladder. It looked like more false promises, another wasted season, and possibly another decade in the doldrums. But they came home with a 6-3 record in their last nine matches to just miss out on the eight. It was a sign of things to come.

Richmond brought in three experienced key recruits for 2017 – Dion Prestia, Toby Nankervis and Josh Caddy. They all played 22-plus games and were integral parts of the run to the premiership, each a different piece of the puzzle.

The Demons have tracked a similar path with targeted recruiting from other lists, albeit not as immediately dramatic.

Jake Lever was the first piece added in the off-season of 2017, to stiffen up a weakness in tall defenders. Steven May followed a year later, and key defence was locked away. It’s fair to say Melbourne wouldn’t be in the grand final without these two, and they are integral to their gameplan.

Outside run was required, so Ed Langdon was brought in for 2020 to take up a position on the wing. After being effective last season, he went to another level this year and could be considered unlucky not to make the All Australian 40.

(Photo by Daniel Carson/AFL Photos via Getty Images)

With Sam Weideman flattering to deceive and Tom McDonald having a poor year, the key forward position was identified as a weakness that needed resolving for 2021.

Enter Ben Brown, in a serendipitous piece of timing of someone’s trash becoming another’s treasure. While taking most of the season to fully consolidate his position, he has set new standards for himself in competitiveness. You can teach an old kangaroo new tricks and make no mistake, he has been a more-than-valuable contributor in this six-win stretch to the grand final.

We know Richmond had the stars in 2017 – Dustin Martin, Alex Rance, Jack Riewoldt, Trent Cotchin. Melbourne has plenty of these – Christian Petracca, Clayton Oliver and Max Gawn, as well as the aforementioned Lever and May. They need no introduction, their exploits are highly regarded.

What premiership sides also need is a group of players elevating their level (think Shane Edwards, Dylan Grimes, Nick Vlastuin, Bachar Houli), role players performing their tasks to perfection (Toby Nankervis, Shaun Grigg, Kamdyn McIntosh, Nathan Broad, Jacob Townsend), and some fresh blood on the scene (Daniel Rioli, Dan Butler, Jason Castanga).

The Demons have all of this covered.

Bayley Fritsch and Christian Salem have certainly had career seasons, one at each end of the field, and we’ve spoken about Ed Langdon in the same category.

They also have a number of roles players executing well, that has also contributed to them having their most valuable seasons – Alex Neal-Bullen has really found his niche as a linkman in the forward half, Charlie Spargo has cemented his spot as that forward-line terrier with a touch of class, and Angus Brayshaw has owned the defensive wingman role. Down back, Trent Rivers and Harry Petty have been solid enough in defence to enable the stars to do their thing with more freedom.

In terms of fresh blood that has added excitement, we can’t go past a Rising Star winner in Luke Jackson, alongside the irrepressible Kosi Pickett. The longer the season has gone, the Jackson-Gawn combination has really gelled, with the latter owning the last part of the year in different parts of the ground thanks to the relief Jackson provides.

(Photo by Daniel Pockett/Getty Images)

Jake Bowey’s seventh game is going to be an AFL grand final. Just another little similarity with Richmond of 2017 that had Jack Graham playing his fifth – the Tiger 19-year-old kicked three goals and polled in the Norm Smith. Bowey has shown class, poise and grit beyond his teenage years.

What Melbourne really has going for them is a confidence and belief, but not an arrogance, that is just brimming. We know it when we see it. Everything is in sync, culminating in a series of powerful performances on the road to this grand final.

The Demons’ last loss was actually to the Bulldogs, back in Round 19. The Dees had a number of costly lapses in defensive 50, which led to several stoppage goals to the Dogs, a situation you’d think is unlikely to reoccur.

It’s no bad thing to have dropped a home-and-away game to your finals rival. This finals series alone we’ve seen a number of results reversed from their previous meetings. The Dogs themselves have done it twice, beating Essendon and Port after losing to them in Round 21 and 23 respectively. It’s easier to drill down and correct things that haven’t worked.

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1964 is the last time Melbourne won the premiership. A 23-year finals drought followed that win and they’ve only made two grand finals since – they lost the first in 1988 to Hawthorn by a then-record 96 points, and were never in the hunt in 2000 against Essendon when going down by ten goals.

There is a sense of destiny about the Demons this year and it’s all falling into place.

After all these decades, it’s finally going to be a grand old flag.

The Crowd Says:

2021-12-22T00:07:54+00:00

Malley06

Guest


Stronger line up don't think so mate

2021-09-25T12:18:38+00:00

.kraM

Roar Rookie


Only missed by 93 points champ :laughing:

2021-09-25T01:38:29+00:00

Knoxy

Guest


His point was that fairytales don't ALWAYS happen. He never said that they never happen.

2021-09-24T10:25:27+00:00

Dale Hughes

Guest


Dogs playing unfit players against fittest team in AFL End of story!

2021-09-24T05:12:50+00:00

Pumping Dougie

Roar Guru


How's this for a statistic: In the last ten years (2011-2020), the side finishing top at the end of the Home & Away season has only claimed the flag once. (Hawks in 2013.) Half of the premiers have come from 3rd spot. Just goes to show the psychological burden of public expectation. Go Doggies!

2021-09-24T01:13:19+00:00

Tazzie

Guest


I think the media have been totally swept up in the emotions of the would be Demons fairy tale allowing the Dogs to quietly sit back and avoid the hype and the weight of expectation. These sides are so evenly poised going into this game that either side with the right mind set and some luck will prevail, I hope the Demons do not get too carried away with sentiment and the huge expectation that they fluff it. I think Dogs by 22 points but would not put the house on it by any stretch of the imagination.

2021-09-23T20:55:12+00:00

Dale Hughes

Guest


100% right Speak to Swans 2016 Dogs get huge free kick advantage On top of free kick ladder all year!

2021-09-23T04:30:00+00:00

DingoGray

Roar Guru


They’ve clearly been the best team all season. But that doesn’t always equate to a Grand Final win. If they play near their best, I expect they win, but if anyone going to stop them from playing their best- the Doggies seem to have the make up to stop them. Could we have Doggies / Brisbane semi type game? Both sides playing good footy and bounce of the ball and luck decide it? I’ll be on the Dees wagon

2021-09-22T21:28:11+00:00

DarwinDee

Guest


No mate you are. I could go all the way back to 1897 and cherry pick years where "destiny" has been fulfilled as you could where it hasn't. You just picked a bunch of years to fit your narrative and I did the same.

2021-09-22T20:09:17+00:00

Naughty's Headband

Roar Rookie


Fair enough. Dunkley and Treloar were both out for 3 months; they were underdone when they came back, but they’re not now. The last 3 rounds shouldn’t be taken into account, quite simple because the Dogs weren’t there mentally; they put the cue in the rack, especially against Hawthorn.

2021-09-22T16:29:51+00:00

Chris

Guest


P.S. : Should Luke Beveridge win this one he'll go down as an exceptional coach in the modern era being just one flag short of Mick Malthouse. He can then set his sights on Clarkson and Hardwick. I think he can do it...

2021-09-22T16:26:53+00:00

Chris

Guest


The 1954 VFL Grand Final was an Australian Rules Football match contested between the Footscray Football Club and Melbourne Football Club at the Melbourne Cricket Ground on 25 September 1954. Footscray jumped the Dees in the first quarter and led by twenty-nine points at the break and were never headed. This sounds a bit like the two recent Preliminary Finals. Could we be in for a repeat performance by one of these two highly-skilled, humble and well-coached sides? The final score was 15.12.102 vs 7.9.51 on Saturday 25th September 1954 in favour of the doggies (The same date as this week's fixture!) The first quarter could decide the match-Carn the doggies!

2021-09-22T16:16:14+00:00

Chris

Guest


The Demons are on the verge of a mini-dynasty. The Demons lost to the Bulldogs in 1954 and then went on to win six flags under the great Norm Smith. I have said all along that history could repeat itself and did so on this webpage back in July. I am sticking to my guns and hope that the doggies can deliver the goods. As for Adam Treloar, he should try and get out of his shell and make up for 2018; 2019 and 2020. Actions speak louder than words young man. Try proving the Maggies wrong against their old nemesis/rivals. Die-in-the wool Maggies won't mind our club having paid part of your salary if you keep the Dees to 12 flags.

2021-09-22T12:25:54+00:00

Cloak

Roar Rookie


I'd be very happy if the Dogs go into this weekend thinking that Round 19 means they're good to go. Yes, they were missing Dunkley, Treloar, Keath and Martin. No doubt those are handy inclusions. But they had all bar Martin back before they then slid into their three game losing run, so they clearly aren't exactly unbeatable when on the field. But there are plenty of factors that went into Round 19 that I'd hazard won't happen again. For starters, it was wet: we've struggled in the wet all year. It isn't forecast to be wet in Saturday. They scored a ridiculous amount from forward half/50 stoppages. I'm very happy if they want to rely on that to generate a winning score again. There was also the accuracy - we kicked 9.11 to their 13.7. Same number of scoring shots. Whilst we were missing set shots directly in front (e.g. Ben Brown in the first quarter), they were somehow sinking freak snap goals from 50 metres out (English in the first quarter). And despite all that, there were only 4 points in it halfway into the fourth quarter. They may well be better now than you were in Round 19, but so are we, and that game was much closer than the 20 point margin suggested. Below you then go on to argue that if you stop Oliver and Petracca, you stop Melbourne. For a side whose three game losing streak coincided with Bontempelli slipping miles off the rest of his stunning 2021 form, and who dropped the Round 11 contest when the only player we "stopped" was Libba, I find that an interesting position to take in the Dogs' favour. On Round 11, whilst Oliver was BOG, Petracca had just 24 touches. In the same game Macrae had 36, Bontemptelli 30, Dale 30, Hunter 27, Smith 27 and Daniel 26. I'd argue we don't need to stop the Dogs' mids to win: we've already beaten them with their prime players getting a stack of the ball once this season. None of this means Melbourne is a certainty to win, because we're not. I just don't buy your reasoning here, or below, very much at all.

2021-09-22T11:30:57+00:00

Micko

Roar Rookie


You're missing the point.

2021-09-22T11:12:09+00:00

Tazzie

Guest


The reality of winning is not as simple as just looking at the quality of the team or game plan in isolation as some suggest, it is also the team that minimises its mistakes, mis kicks, turnovers, the bounce of the ball, dropped marks, umpire mistakes, minor strains and soreness, major hamies, head knocks ect. Given it is played by and umpired by humans, humans make mistakes, there are so many pieces to the puzzle that make or break a result that are totally not predictable. That is what makes it a great game cannot wait til Saturday.

2021-09-22T09:36:02+00:00

1DER

Guest


Age profiles of both teams is very similar and will be a powerhouse in the next 3-5 years Bulldogs may be the underdogs, however, they have the greater number of players who have played in a grand final and know what is required to win one. They should be starting favourites.

2021-09-22T08:24:55+00:00

Jim

Guest


Luke Jackson is the key

2021-09-22T07:54:05+00:00

Naughty's Headband

Roar Rookie


No he plays in the guts swapping with forward flank

2021-09-22T07:47:40+00:00

Dingo

Roar Rookie


I hear you ABRP and respect your comments. I did clarify my earlier comment with a follow up saying that maybe the Bulldogs are just better at putting their head over the ball. Perhaps better coaching as you suggest. Maybe just frustration that it’s not my team at the big dance. I agree the umpire bashing is out of control, watch the comments after the game on Sat. Good luck to both Dees and Dogs

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