The Wrap: Finals picture still unclear after a difficult week for rugby

By Geoff Parkes / Expert

In what was a chaotic weekend, six teams fighting for three finals spots became five teams fighting for two, with the Waratahs emerging from the ruck, courtesy of their fourth win in succession.

Realistically, five teams might well be four, with the Rebels, in the wake of their controversial 20-17 loss to the Highlanders, now needing a minor miracle to force their way in.

Permutations are many, but with the Reds and Force currently occupying seventh and eighth, those spots are theirs to lose, no matter what the Highlanders and Drua deliver in the final fortnight.

The argument that an eight-team finals series in a 12-team competition is borderline ridiculous is soundly based. But there can be no denying that such a format helps maintain interest for fans of more franchises, for longer. And that’s no bad thing.

One team without any such concerns is the Crusaders, who opened the weekend with a 41-7 defeat of Moana Pasifika, and a brilliant try that deserved much more than the faint “good one” praise offered up by Sky NZ commentator, Jeff McTainsh.

Triggered by a superb pass by Will Jordan, the ball travelled through 22 passes, involving 11 different players, before the movement was finished off by loose-forward, Christian Lio-Willie.

Perhaps McTainsh’s blasé reaction spoke to how Super Rugby viewers have been spoiled over the years; immune to something that once would have been hailed as brilliant and special? Or too jaded to care?

Also falling into the ‘good’ category was young Crusaders halfback Noah Hotham, crowning his best game so far by returning to the field late in the match, and overcoming a significant weight disadvantage, to impressively sit the human barrel, Timoci Tavatavanawai, on his backside in a covering tackle.

In Brisbane, the Blues edged their way into the top four, comfortably putting away the Reds 45-26. Unsurprisingly flat after the heroics of last week, the Reds were too passive in defence, and unable to slow down the speed of the Blues’ recycle.

Just after half-time, with the Reds down by only 17-14 and pressing hard on attack, the ball spilled free out of Fraser McReight’s grasp at the base of a ruck. The culprit was Blues hooker Ricky Riccitelli – laying on the ground and supposedly out of play – but what was instructive wasn’t just the officials caught asleep at the wheel, but what happened immediately after Hoskins Sotutu snaffled the loose ball.

Blues winger Mark Telea’s urgent intent to shift the ball quickly into space, to recognise the opportunity from quick turnover ball, was plainly visible. He didn’t even need to pass it, he just ran hard to where he knew the space would be, and in the blink of an eye, he turned what should have been a penalty and yellow card against his side, into seven points, 95-metres away, at the other end.

 (Photo by Hannah Peters/Getty Images)

The Blues’ win pushed the Hurricanes down to 5th, after they were unable to match the Chiefs, going down 23-12 in the ‘sideways rain’ of Hamilton. On the positive side for the Hurricanes, the match was another step forward, a coming of age of sorts, for 24-year-old loose forward Brayden Iose, now looking to deliver on his undoubted potential.

It’s hard to know where to start with the Highlanders’ 20-17 win over the Rebels in Dunedin. It was a day of frustration and anger for fans of both sides, and bemused neutrals too, all trying to make sense of two sides seemingly unable to deal with the weight of the high stakes, sudden-death nature of the contest.

Let’s start with Sky NZ’s commentary team, where veteran commentator Grant Nisbett began by referring to “Julian” Uelese, before descending rapidly downhill from there, misidentifying players with regular abandon.

It got worse, with sideline comments man Joe Wheeler informing viewers that Matt Philip had been replaced at lock by (utility back) Nick Jooste, and prop Matt Gibbon by (loose forward) Tamati Ioane.

The fact that so-called expert commentators have no idea who visiting players are and clearly aren’t prepared to put in the work to sufficiently engage with the competition to identify players by sight, is bad enough. But it’s the charade – the pretence that these ‘experts’ are providing information of value to viewers – that grates the most.

Testing the patience of their fans, the Highlanders were hamstrung by equal measures of tactical ineptness and lack of midfield penetration. Freddie Burns tapping and running a kickable second-half penalty, into an area where the Rebels had plenty of defenders, was – even for this crazy match – the height of stupidity.

Stacey Ili of the Rebels (Photo by Mark Kolbe/Getty Images)

For their part, the Rebels turned over far too much ball, and with lineout thrower Alex Mafi getting the yips, they were never able to enjoy sustained periods in attack, gaining only 3.5 percent of possession in the attacking 22, compared to the Highlanders’ 24 percent.

For all of the progress the Rebels have made this year, they are still without the hard edge and clinical prowess needed to occupy a higher spot on the ladder.

That said, the officials had a notably poor match, with most of the key mishaps going against the visitors. On the advice of his assistant, referee Paul Williams’ denial of an early try to Sam Gilbert seemed to defy logic, after which he then went on to award two Highlanders’ tries that, on second viewing, were shown to be anything but.

Inexplicably, TMO Richard Kelly chose not to examine Ethan de Groot’s ‘try’, nor foul play by Jona Nareki with only 40 seconds remaining; an act that if correctly penalised, would almost certainly have seen the Rebels win.

Instead, the penalty came at the other end, with Williams, already having harshly dispatched Uelese, and having allowed a willing contest at the breakdown all night, cruelly cracking down for a second time on Richard Hardwick, who appeared to have latched directly onto the ball, prior to being dragged down by the neck, by Highlanders’ captain, Billy Harmon.

If the measure of a successful game is one where the match officials aren’t said to influence the result, then this match was a resounding failure on all counts.

Doing their finals chances a heap of good were the Force, whose fast start and strong finish allowed them to see off the Brumbies 34-19.

Folau Fainga’a of the Force  (Photo by James Worsfold/Getty Images)

That represented an important outcome for both teams, with the Brumbies – having chosen to leave a number of key players at home – slipping to 3rd on the ladder, currently out of a potential home semi-final slot, and the Force now within sniffing distance of the finals.

The best match of the weekend was in Sydney, where the Waratahs and Drua played it hard, fast and furious throughout. In the end, 32-18 to the Waratahs represented a difference in finesse and experience; the Drua ball runners, in their eagerness to initiate heavy contact, consistently too upright in the carry.

Conditioning was a factor too; some tired defensive kicking from the Drua in the second half inviting trouble, which Mark Nawaqanitawase and Joey Walton were only too happy to provide.

Walton’s in-pass for Nawaqanitawase’s second try was a stunning piece of work, albeit with an interesting link to news last week that World Rugby is trialling new ball technology that promises the ability to rule definitively on forward passes.

This is a so-called ‘technology improvement’ that has ‘be careful what you wish for’ written all over it.

Think about the half-dozen or more forward passes not called in any given match. Does rugby – a sport searching for ways to enhance its entertainment value – really need more reasons to impede continuity? Not to mention the additional six scrums?

You can forget all about the ‘passed out of the hands backwards” interpretation too. Show me a ‘smart ball’ good enough to know what occurs outside the ball, and I’ll show you someone who will come up with a reason to go the whole hog and do away with referees altogether.

Proponents of the ball technology should consider one question. In their search for absolute perfection, are they prepared to see thrilling tries like Nawaqanitawase’s – where in the strictest sense, mapped onto a hi-tech grid, Walton’s brilliant pass would almost certainly have been decreed to have travelled slightly forward – be rubbed out?

And what about the try scored in Perth by the Brumbies’ Charlie Cale, following a pass from Andy Muirhead to a flying Corey Toole?

Rugby is an imperfect game; ask anyone who saw what played out in Dunedin. The notion that it can be made perfect is fatally flawed. The cost of that would be to turn rugby into something it isn’t or was never intended to be.

Another thing not envisaged – at least until recently – was Melbourne Rebels’ Super W captain Ash Marsters’ transition from hooker to Test breakaway. Off the leash, Marsters’ ball skills and athleticism proved perfectly suited to the wider commission, throwing the final pass for no less than three of the four tries scored by the Wallaroos in their 22-5 win over Fijiana.

In Dublin, it was more heartbreak for Leinster, starting like a house on fire, but edged out by an impressive comeback by La Rochelle, who claimed their second Champions Cup, 27-26. Expect another wild week of celebrations in rugby’s most renowned sleepy fishing village.

Hanging over the weekend’s action was the death last week, by suicide, of halfback Billy Guyton, aged 33. Guyton played 26 Super Rugby games for the Hurricanes, Crusaders and Blues, and also was selected for the Maori All Blacks in 2016.

A popular figure, Guyton was known to have struggled with a bipolar disorder prior to being forced into retirement, due to the debilitating effects of multiple concussions suffered in his career.

It is not the intention of this column to draw conclusions on Guyton’s death other than to say that this represents a fork in the road for rugby in New Zealand.

One path has already been marked by well-meaning commentary around the need for men to “call a mate”, to help ensure that the scourge of depression isn’t allowed to fester in dark and lonely places. It will also recognise how the science on brain injury and CTE is inconclusive, particularly with respect to isolating the effects of injuries obtained playing sport from other possible contributing factors.

An alternative outcome would be to seize the opportunity for everyone involved in rugby – administrators, referees, coaches, players, media and supporters – to confront the concussion issue, and to expedite the conversations and actions necessary to make the game safer for participants.

Guyton’s age renders this an extreme and uncommon case where Super Rugby, specifically, is concerned. But it is far from uncommon with respect to the suffering of players in other rugby, rugby league, AFL, football, and other contact sports.

Inherently conservative by nature, it is no surprise that Rugby administrators have to date aligned themselves with scientists and academics of a similar conservative bent; all cautiously unwilling to draw conclusions and implement actions that aren’t supported by an unimpeachable evidence base.

This is a false premise. Sports bodies like Rugby New Zealand are free at any time to unshackle themselves from any such self-imposed constraints, to deal in the bleeding obvious.

Guyton, Tu Wylie, Geoff Old and Carl Hayman are just some of the prominent New Zealand rugby players whose dire situations speak to the extent of the problem. There are countless of others suffering; players from elite and club backgrounds.

It is true that, over time, more research, and scientific and technological advances will better inform rugby’s lawmakers. But that is no reason not to act today.

To secure rugby’s future, it is incumbent on everyone involved in rugby to contribute to making the game safer; to ensure that rugby retains a balance between acceptable risk and the skill and physical elements of the game that make it so attractive to play and watch.

Guyton’s death highlights that the time to do this is now; through science yes, but more immediately through law adjustments, coaching, training load minimisation, minimum ages for contact play, injury management, return to play protocols, widespread education and so on.

Failure to act in a decisive and timely way will only invite politicians and fearful parents to define rugby’s future. Rugby can, and must, do better than that.

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The Crowd Says:

2023-05-24T06:21:58+00:00

LBJ

Roar Rookie


Thankyou for the comments Guyton and drawing attention to CTE. Couldn't agree more on all fronts. Well played.

2023-05-24T04:48:16+00:00

RobC

Roar Guru


thanks GP. topsy turvy weekend that. The one that got me the most, is the Brums drastic lineup change

2023-05-23T22:21:58+00:00

Jacko

Roar Rookie


Disagree sorry Fox. You support a team and buy your tickets accordingly. No ticket for SR garrantees the best available players will be playing. The UK comps are the perfect example. If you support a team from those comps you get the players the coach sends out whether they are developing or not. In the short SR comp the Highlanders have used around 45 players. Nothing could be done about that.

2023-05-23T09:25:47+00:00

Fox

Roar Guru


The Blues looked good this weekend Geoff after they finally realised kicking the ball away was not the right game plan which they have been doing all season. Nice to see LMac say so as well. They look better this year than last year at the same time IMO. Last season they peaked too early. This year they are transitioning better into finals mode. I would not want to be playing them before the final that is for sure. They will have a seriously good bench by finals time.

2023-05-23T09:15:49+00:00

Fox

Roar Guru


Jacko – The day you say the intyegrity of any competition is overrated is the day you licence integrity to go out the window. Hell yes it matters. The UK example is that many of the players are development players. Just ask EJ and Irish Joe who have commented on this very thing. They also have a longer comp than we do so the comparison just doesn’t stack up as an argument.

2023-05-23T03:14:25+00:00

SlytheeTove

Roar Rookie


Sure, Hodge tackles and line kicks well, but he could do these just as well from 13 where he is probably better suited. He doesn't have the decision-making speed required at 10, nor the passing or footwork. He is a decent 15, but not one who could initiate many counter attacksw because he lacks real gas. His place-kicking has improved, and line-kicking has always been a strength. I reckon Hodge is vying for #23 with Petaia. By all accounts, Foley has been going well in Japan, but we know what we're getting with him at the test level: serviceable. Foley cannot pass, step, or kick in play as well as Cooper or Gordon. Foley does not boss a game; he is reactive rather than proactive. In that regard, he is more experienced than Lolesio but only offers about the same level of playmaking ability.

2023-05-22T23:06:51+00:00

Jacko

Roar Rookie


I think this "integrity of the competition" is highly over-rated when it comes to SR. UK teams have squads of 55-60 players and their fans dont know who is going to be named from week to week. If you buy a ticket to support your team then all squad members are "Your team"

AUTHOR

2023-05-22T22:58:26+00:00

Geoff Parkes

Expert


Had a really strong match, TJ.

AUTHOR

2023-05-22T22:57:14+00:00

Geoff Parkes

Expert


:thumbup: One of the great New Zealanders of our generation, Paulo.

2023-05-22T22:14:57+00:00

JD Kiwi

Roar Rookie


I meant that Moana Pasifika (what we were talking about) is working well for Tonga and Samoa. 27 full internationals is an important contribution.

2023-05-22T22:12:08+00:00

JD Kiwi

Roar Rookie


When it comes down to it, I don't think anyone is that determined to have an equal comp. If Australia were determined they would cut a couple of teams, but they've decided that wouldn't be in their strategic interests. If NZR was determined they would let Hamish poach top kiwi players but that wouldn't be in their strategic interest. Or we'd split the comp between SRAU and SRA. It's not just the Rebels and Force either. The Tahs and Reds aren't competitive either. But I think the Drua will be. It's not just us that have the crap league of course. The Irish are always resting players and England and France keep going when the test players are away. Leinster won the Pro four times in a row and probably would have made it six had they not prioritised Europe. Ditto Sarries if they hadn't been caught over the salary cap and before then Leicester were in nine consecutive finals. Now they have clubs going bust. And it's not long since we had seven different champions in eight years.

2023-05-22T21:36:26+00:00

Bliksem

Roar Rookie


JDKiwi, working for who? It is not for me that like to see competitive games between Superugby sides that all have the potential to win the tournament.

2023-05-22T21:26:53+00:00

Bliksem

Roar Rookie


There are prove ways to identity biases in individuals and once individuals are aware of their biases proven ways to counter them. You don’t need to read the referee’s mind. The potential for AI to be more consistent and accurate in rules based decisions like refereeing have been proven in research. Algorithms already outperform judges in areas like choosing if an inmate should get parole or not. They issue is to build confidence and find ways to make AI practical. So I am far more positive on the potential for AI to help us fix refereeing.

2023-05-22T20:57:38+00:00

jeznez

Roar Guru


Mirt, that one is on the referee to penalise for a player jumping in the middle of the tunnel. Wind is an interesting one. Might not be able to use it im strong wind.

2023-05-22T20:45:50+00:00

Rocky's Rules

Roar Rookie


@Slythee Yes it is but I don't think Hodge was bad at flyhalf last weekend. At least he tackles and line kicked well :thumbup:

2023-05-22T19:17:03+00:00

Derek Murray

Roar Rookie


Good thoughts. We need to collaboratively find a way to protect and enhance MP and Drua. Same as Force and Rebels. If the pipeline isn’t delivering enough talent for them to be competitive it’s in everybody’s interest to grant them extraordinary opportunities to grow. I don’t want to keep seeing the same teams in the finals. It’s a crap comp. In EPL the haves have a money advantage and it makes the competition less than it could be from my perspective. In SR, it’s a talent pool thing. We need to balance that pool advantage in some way

2023-05-22T19:06:21+00:00

JD Kiwi

Roar Rookie


Yeah I know mate, hence the words "before anyone" which wouldn't work if someone already had (if that logic makes sense.) Someone is bound to do it at some stage though (indeed someone has on another totally unrelated thread.) As a feeder team for Samoa and Tonga it's working as 27 full internationals can testify. As a member of Super Rugby it isn't. I'd say that it needs more funding and that Pasifika players who qualify as All Blacks should be allowed to play for both teams to make MP more attractive.

2023-05-22T18:46:19+00:00

Derek Murray

Roar Rookie


I’m not sure you can call a season of 0-12 working. I’m not on a high horse. This looks terrible when I see the team coming last having their very best player signed by the historically best team in the comp. Don’t care if it was the Tahs or Brumbies or Blues. It feels now like we created this doomed franchise for a very small amount of potentially elite talent

2023-05-22T18:01:42+00:00

JD Kiwi

Roar Rookie


Unfortunately that's always going to be the case, so long as MP players aren't paid as well as European club, All Black or Wallabies players. Before anyone gets on a high horse, Rugby Australia also tried to get Aumua, who is kiwi born and bred. Last year's other standout Henry Stowers now plays for Treviso. The team could certainly do with better funding, preferably from World Rugby. Let's not forget though that no less than 27 of this year's squad alone are full Samoan or Tongan internationals. Overall the system is working.

2023-05-22T14:59:40+00:00

tsuru

Roar Rookie


A few days ago, on here, I proffered the opinion that Larkham was using a kind of crash through or crash strategy. Kind of like kicking for the corner in the 80th minute, rather than taking three points for a draw. In the meantime, I have realised the following - if they had beaten the force and then lost to the Crusaders, they still would almost certainly have been behind the Crusaders, at least on points difference. So whatever happened, they had to beat the Crusaders and the best chance of doing that was to have their best players fresh.

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