Enjoy the opportunity, debutants – I’m not sure how many more there will be as Wallabies enter must-win mode

By Brett McKay / Expert

And with the 41-17 loss to France, the Wallabies are now officially in Rugby World Cup mode.

But there are no more games in which to experiment or give blokes enough rope; the next time the Wallabies run out onto grass in Paris and line up for Advance Australia Fair, they’ll be playing for points in Pool C.

With that in mind, it perhaps wasn’t that surprising that Eddie Jones used five new players for the warm-up game in Paris, and the debutants in Brumbies loosehead Blake Schoupp and Western Force scrumhalf Issak Fines-Leleiwasa now have international rugby memories for life.

And it wasn’t surprising, because this might be the last chance he gets to play these guys – simply because everything is must-win for the Wallabies from here.

Jones told Harry Jones and myself on the podcast back in June that he picks squads by initially naming the first XV, then working out the last five players – because the last five will be the blokes that drive standards and keep spirits in the squad high during a tournament.

These guys are crucial in these roles, because they really don’t know how many minutes – if any – they’ll get. And considering the guys that would seemingly occupy those spots in the Wallabies squad in France, there should be no certainty they’ll see minutes during the World Cup.

Now of course, I don’t know who the last five players in the squad are. But some of Schoupp and Fines-Leleiwasa, along with the other new players, Langi Gleeson, Lalakai Foketi, and Ben Donaldson certainly would be. In fact, throw Josh Kemeny and Max Jorgensen into the mix, and Suliasi Vunivalu as well, despite him quite probably producing his best-ever game at international level, and I’m confident the last five are somewhere in that grouping.

Five games into 2023, and Jones has already used 41 players. That number’s not especially unusual; Dave Rennie used 42 in the first five games on his way to using 51 players in total in 2022.

But those 41 players are also part of 39 positional and personnel changes Jones has made since the first Test of the year in South Africa. It’s unsustainable for team balance and cohesion that he could keep making so many changes through the World Cup.

Fans of the hit US political sitcom Veep will fondly remember Selina Meyer’s election campaign slogan, “Continuity with Change”. The meaningless slogan didn’t help Julia Louis-Dreyfus’ character hold onto the US Presidency (she lost it quite farcically, in fact), and I’m not sure it’s a great plan to win a Rugby World Cup, either.

Too many changes from one game to the next played a major role in Michael Cheika’s diminishing grip on the Wallabies job in 2019. Cheika made 18 changes for the Samoa warm-up game in Sydney, and then had to change them straight back for the first game against Fiji, on the way to making a still unbelievable 77 changes over the course of five games through the tournament.

(Photo by Jason McCawley/Getty Images)

It was no wonder they often looked like they’d not played together much that year; they hadn’t.

The France game on Monday morning saw the fourth different front row go pretty well in the scrums, and another iteration of the three-way lock rotation (with Nick Frost) go okay around the park and in the mauls, but with the lineout still misfiring.

The Tom Hooper-Fraser McReight-Rob Valetini backrow was better again than in Dunedin a fortnight ago, and the three of them are definitely growing as a unit.

The halves were unchanged for a second straight game, and I remain adamant that we need to see Nic White starting with Carter Gordon. And the fourth different centre pairing in 2023 remains as disconnected from the halves as ever.

About the best thing I can offer about the halves and midfield is that their intent was actually quite good, even if their harmony and flow was lacking.

And the back three were quite good again. I still don’t understand why the Wallabies defensive setup has the openside winger stationed so far infield in defence – and I’ll welcome any explanation – but the Andrew Kellaway-Mark Nawaqanitawase combination gets better every game, and that’s more impressive when you consider Nawaqanitawase was playing the hybrid role from the left edge this week.

But the worry now is that there really isn’t any time for mass changes from one game to the next. The Wallabies combinations are still nowhere near strong enough to miss more game time chances together.

With the Wallabies now essentially in knockout mode from the first game of the tournament until wherever they finish, any losses from here will only open the door for Wales possibly and definitely Fiji to go past Australia in the Pool C standings.

Put simply, the Wallabies no longer have the luxury of playing anything less than their best XV from now on. Whatever that best XV is.

France, Ireland, South Africa, New Zealand know their best sides and combinations – and that’s despite the All Blacks now needing to get over a record thumping that will naturally put them on the back foot. All of them have the time and experience together to manage workloads and get game time into other options.

Even Fiji now look ominous and ready to take a scalp after their outstanding win at Twickenham. With roughly half the squad graduating from the Drua in Super Rugby Pacific straight into the national side, they too have a really good handle on combinations. Not to mention growing confidence after the last few weeks in Europe.

Vinaya Habosi of Fiji celebrates with teammates after scoring the team’s second try during the Summer International match between England and Fiji at Twickenham Stadium on August 26, 2023 in London, England. (Photo by Clive Mason/Getty Images)

They’ve won four of their last five, and now will focus everything they have on taking down Wales on September 11. On this weekend’s showing, there’s no reason why they can’t – and when they do, they’ll be ready to take down the Wallabies the weekend after. After that, they can manage workloads en route to the knockout games.

That’s what confidence allows of a team. Of all the teams in Pool C, Fiji arguably have the most control of their own destiny. They’re certainly playing with the most assurance across the park.

Australia certainly does not. It’s already do or die for the Wallabies now.

Five losses from five games in 2023 means they can forget about quarter-finals and the knockout stage for the moment. The Wallabies’ sole focus now has to and can only be beating Georgia in Paris on September 9.

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The France scoreline still feels rough in terms of a reflection of the contest on the night, and the Wallabies will have taken confidence out of certain areas of that performance. But not many of those areas are connected yet, and there’s still far too much room for error.

So it’s now all on the line. No more excuses, no more deflection, no more blowing up at journalists and turning press conferences into farce. And no one believes the ‘we’ve been foxing’ line, either.

Pure and simple, the time for Eddie Jones and the Wallabies to deliver is right now. So let’s see it.

The Crowd Says:

2023-09-01T11:01:43+00:00

Messy Jog

Roar Rookie


I'd still have my money on White to kick a goal over Carter Gordon, but the fact that neither one of them had a single shot at goal in Super Rugby this year tells you something about the level of planning that's gone into this Wallabies campaign. Making it up as they go along.

2023-08-30T13:54:31+00:00

MO

Roar Rookie


Cheers. I didn’t know.

2023-08-29T22:49:53+00:00

Nick Maguire

Roar Rookie


PK, I think we'll get exactly what we would have got under DR with fit players: qualify from the pool and maybe jag a 1/4F win without any guarantees. Semi W extremely unlikely. 2027 was always going to be the realistic target under any coach.

2023-08-29T22:42:59+00:00

The Late News

Roar Rookie


Yep but started as a winger.

2023-08-29T22:29:17+00:00

Gottsy

Roar Rookie


Good article Brett, I agree with everything you’re saying. I’m going to be in Saint Etienne for the Fiji game and to be honest I’m pretty worried. That said, there’s not a lot of good that worrying is going to do, at this point, my expectations are about as low are we are on the World Rugby rankings so I think the only thing I can do now is just go with it and what will be will be. Who knows, maybe Eddie does have some tricks up his sleeve,

2023-08-29T20:02:27+00:00

Cec

Roar Rookie


Geez Brett high stakes already against a tier 2? Sad but true! Definitely White has to start to help out our rookie 10 as the current 9 is just learning about test rugby himself & perhaps still lacks a test level passing & kicking game. For sure Fuji have circled the WB game on their calendar and if we lose that then everything rides on the Wales game :shocked: I still, only just, have faith that we’ll pick up our tier 2 games.

2023-08-29T16:33:15+00:00

Jaydos

Roar Rookie


The WBs literally have mastered the art of trial and error.

2023-08-29T14:43:13+00:00

Wizz

Roar Rookie


No let's just run it...lol

2023-08-29T13:50:21+00:00

MO

Roar Rookie


I’ll ask Nick and report back but I think he reads Brett’s stuff.

2023-08-29T13:43:49+00:00

MO

Roar Rookie


I thought fines was an Oz u20 9? From a longtime ago

2023-08-29T13:35:18+00:00

MO

Roar Rookie


That’s my theory too. Quades got a real problem in that I think he can articulate it. Some of us are more in the go that way really fast and if something gets in your way turn bracket

2023-08-29T13:14:51+00:00

Phil

Roar Rookie


Good stuff Brett. I still don’t understand why the Wallabies defensive setup has the openside winger stationed so far infield in defence – and I’ll welcome any explanation. Nick Bishop would say “it’s the way modern professional defences work Brett”.

2023-08-29T12:28:00+00:00

Phil

Roar Rookie


Not worried about kicking or D with that back 3?

2023-08-29T12:15:54+00:00

Jez North

Roar Rookie


:silly: I have a theory that EJ is showing extra faith in Tate (leadership, extended starts) as Rennie messed his head up ( and form) last season by constantly dropping him after only 1 or 2 starts. I’m not sure what the answer is now. Would likely start White in the first ‘big’ game and restrict his box kicking. I see our threats as Bell/Tupou, Marky Mark & hopefully Kerevi. For Australia’s sake either Tate needs to tighten up his pass or White needs to stop over box kicking & lecturing the ref.

2023-08-29T12:07:47+00:00

JD Kiwi

Roar Rookie


The sensible ones don't last long!

2023-08-29T12:03:51+00:00

Jez North

Roar Rookie


Thanks for confirming :thumbup: I thought it may have been a myth

2023-08-29T11:44:30+00:00

Wizz

Roar Rookie


Lolesio won't run can't defend his channel apart from that is the complete 10..

2023-08-29T09:23:37+00:00

Loosey

Roar Rookie


Well at 95% own rucks won, it has to be very few. I don’t think it matters how, it’s just another plank in the foundation ie minimising dropped ball, not pushing offloads and passes and making the opposition earn possession. Being mindful of the conditions.

2023-08-29T08:56:13+00:00

East Coast Aces

Roar Rookie


"and I remain adamant that we need to see Nic White starting with Carter Gordon." Disagree with you here. Gordon has benefitted from not being partnered with White. White is getting to the rucks slower these days and taking longer to clear the ball. Carter is benefitting from the ball getting out of the ruck quickly where he can take the line on before the defence is moving up quick in his face. He's also benefitting from actually getting the ball instead of slow delayed box kicks that are either too short or too long.

2023-08-29T08:49:51+00:00

Dida

Roar Rookie


Yeah it's fair to say NW hasn't hit form this year for whatever reason. But at 33 and having played the way he did last year against NZ, France, Ireland, it's hard to believe his time has gone. But then again, maybe he has lost it. I love TM but i'm not convinced he should be our starting 9 judging by his performances. I'd probably even prefer RL. But the whole problem now is it's too late to change things up again. Jones has let NW slip down the list without giving another full-time 9 a proper chance with TM. Now all the pressure falls on TM, but we don't have a serious backup.

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