The Roar's 2019 AFL ladder prediction - as voted by you!

By Josh / Expert

Yesterday we asked you to help us predict the 2019 AFL ladder. Today, with just one night left until the new season, here are the results – who The Crowd tipped to finish where, and my own personal tips as well.

Adelaide Crows

The Crowd’s prediction: fifth
My prediction: first

Most are of the view that Adelaide will move back up the ladder this year. The Crowd has them going to the middle of the finals pack, they’re my premiership tip.

Brisbane Lions

The Crowd’s prediction: 13th
My prediction: eighth

Although the Lions are an exciting young side, The Crowd doesn’t have them moving too quickly up the ladder. Personally, I’m tipping they sneak into finals. Stranger things have happened.

Carlton Blues

The Crowd’s prediction: 16th
My prediction: 17th

Carlton should be better in 2019 than they were last year, but perhaps only because it would be nearly impossible to do otherwise. Starting to get an impressive stockpile of talent.

(Photo by Adam Trafford/AFL Media/Getty Images)

Collingwood Magpies

The Crowd’s prediction: second
My prediction: sixth

The return of Dayne Beams and some good luck on the injury front could help Collingwood improve again in 2019. But a lot of things lined up for them last year and I’d say a tougher 2019 draw will see them take a step back.

Essendon Bombers

The Crowd’s prediction: seventh
My prediction: seventh

After bringing the hype hard earlier in the year, poor preseason performances combined with injuries to Joe Daniher and Cale Hooker have dulled the expectation on Essendon. I’ll admit I was tempted to leave them out of the eight.

Fremantle Dockers

The Crowd’s prediction: 14th
My prediction: 16th

Although Freo landed some good talent over the offseason, there’s evidently still some work to be done putting the pieces together. Seem unlikely to make a radical leap forward.

Geelong Cats

The Crowd’s prediction: eighth
My prediction: tenth

The Cats were a middling side in 2018 and didn’t really fire a shot in finals. I’m tipping they won’t get the chance to this time, though The Crowd thinks they’ll sneak in.

Gold Coast Suns

The Crowd’s prediction: 18th
My prediction: 18th

In any given week, the Suns will be fielding somewhere between three to six blokes they picked up from the bus station on the way to the game. A few plucky wins will come but it’s hard not to see them copping the spoon.

Greater Western Sydney Giants

The Crowd’s prediction: sixth
My prediction: second

Don’t let the fact they lost some players last year fool you – the Giants are still the most talented list in the competition. I’m tipping their first grand final appearance, The Crowd has them a little lower.

(Photo by Quinn Rooney/Getty Images)

Hawthorn Hawks

The Crowd’s prediction: tenth
My prediction: 12th

The Hawks looked a class below in finals last year, which would suggest the needle is pointing down. A broken leg for Tom Mitchell, likely to cost him all or most of the season, makes that more likely.

Melbourne Demons

The Crowd’s prediction: fourth
My prediction: third

The Dees made enormous progress last year and I wouldn’t be surprised if they need a season to catch up with themselves in 2019. That said, they have more muscle than any other side in the comp.

North Melbourne Kangaroos

The Crowd’s prediction: 12th
My prediction: 11th

Tempted to sneak North into my top eight somewhere, but it’s a tight one this in 2019. They’ve got abundant midfield depth, can it all work in concert?

Port Adelaide Power

The Crowd’s prediction: 11th
My prediction: 14th

Port missed finals last year and then traded out two key players, which would suggest a backwards step in 2019. Still, I wouldn’t rule them out as a surprise packet.

Richmond Tigers

The Crowd’s prediction: first
My prediction: fifth

The crowd’s tipping Richmond for the Meatloaf flag (two out of three ain’t bad), and the addition of Tom Lynch makes a pretty compelling case. I reckon they may have been tactically found a little, and the new rules won’t help.

St Kilda Saints

The Crowd’s prediction: 17th
My prediction: 13th

The Saints were a solid side for a few years – what’s a better indication, that, or 2018? Hard to say, but I’m being optimistic. That said, some of the injury news in the preseason has them feeling a little wobbly and they’ll be in the mix for the spoon if the wheels fall off.

Sydney Swans

The Crowd’s prediction: ninth
My prediction: ninth

Tipping Sydney to miss finals is a mistake made on a regular basis, and both myself and The Crowd are set up to get bowled over this year. Your move, Swans.

(Photo by Tony Feder/AFL Media/Getty Images)

West Coast Eagles

The Crowd’s prediction: third
My prediction: fourth

With some quality players to add to a side that won the premiership last year – and the looming threat of a Dom Sheed breakout – the Eagles should be thereabouts again.

Western Bulldogs

The Crowd’s prediction: 15th
My prediction: 15th

The Dogs have plenty of raw potential, but this doesn’t seem likely to be the year we see it unlocked.

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The Crowd’s ladder prediction

1. Richmond Tigers
2. Collingwood Magpies
3. West Coast Eagles
4. Melbourne Demons
5. Adelaide Crows
6. GWS Giants
7. Essendon Bombers
8. Geelong Cats
9. Sydney Swans
10. Hawthorn Hawks
11. Port Adelaide Power
12. North Melbourne Kangaroos
13. Brisbane Lions
14. Fremantle Dockers
15. Western Bulldogs
16. Carlton Blues
17. St Kilda Saints
18. Gold Coast Suns

My ladder prediction

1. Adelaide Crows
2. GWS Giants
3. Melbourne Demons
4. West Coast Eagles
5. Richmond Tigers
6. Collingwood Magpies
7. Essendon Bombers
8. Brisbane Lions
9. Sydney Swans
10. Geelong Cats
11. North Melbourne Kangaroos
12. Hawthorn Hawks
13. St Kilda Saints
14. Port Adelaide Power
15. Western Bulldogs
16. Fremantle Dockers
17. Carlton Blues
18. Gold Coast Suns

The Crowd Says:

2019-03-21T02:38:50+00:00

Cat

Roar Guru


The two grand finalists from 2017, Richmond and Adelaide, last year began (unrestricted) centre bounces with a 6-6-6 set-up just 3.4 and 4.4 per cent of the time respectively, easily the lowest figures of any teams. The Tigers preferred an extra defender at the bounces (7-6-5) a pattern they used more than any other club at 71 per cent, while the Crows (29 per cent of the time) often used two extra backmen at the bounce (8-6-4), easily the most of any side. Combine that with the kick in rule changes which will prevent teams like the Tigers from camping out on their attacking 50 arc and locking the ball in and it is very easy to build a case why the Tigers will struggle with the new rules.

2019-03-20T20:51:56+00:00

Peter the Scribe

Roar Guru


Cam has the Crows number one too. Can't see it myself. 7th and a first week exit for me despite any theatrical wide stance stares.

2019-03-20T20:50:04+00:00

Peter the Scribe

Roar Guru


Port have a messed up shotgun strategy approach to list building. Have a crack at whoever is available rather than target what they need. As a result they are middle of the road with no real direction or plan for the future.

2019-03-20T12:51:56+00:00

powa

Guest


I dont think port are a 14th side judging from their pre-season form, they were unlucky to go down to the highly rated crows; my guess is they will finish 7th at best and 11th at worst

2019-03-20T12:50:42+00:00

Cat

Roar Guru


Cats will finish above GWS this season. Hw can Cats fans ‘be in denial’ over your wishful thinking?

2019-03-20T10:41:49+00:00

Raimond

Roar Guru


Cats fans are just going to have to live with being out of contention for a few seasons. Being in denial isn't going to help.

2019-03-20T10:06:36+00:00

fractal pixie

Guest


Some soft spot...like K.B you keep saying we are in decline.

2019-03-20T07:59:24+00:00

Cat

Roar Guru


Been hearing that since 2012

2019-03-20T07:56:48+00:00

Raimond

Roar Guru


the wait is nearly over...

2019-03-20T07:55:54+00:00

Raimond

Roar Guru


I think the Hawks' experience got them over the line in 4 or 5 tight matches. They always seemed more of a 13-9 team than a 15-7 one, and that came out in the Finals.

2019-03-20T07:51:48+00:00

Cat

Roar Guru


Been hearing that same prediction since around 2010 ... still waiting.

2019-03-20T07:43:17+00:00

Raimond

Roar Guru


Geelong will definitely miss out this season.

2019-03-20T07:30:39+00:00

Raimond

Roar Guru


I have soft spot for the Cats, but the next five seasons or so are going to be pretty rough.

2019-03-20T05:32:16+00:00

The Brazilian

Roar Rookie


I haven't predicted Geelong to miss the finals for decades, won't be tipping it this year either. Your home ground advantage will get you there but as that dissipates, and it will, Geelong will no longer be a lock for the 8.

2019-03-20T05:07:47+00:00

Cat

Roar Guru


Meh, take all the shots you want, I mean at some point, someday, eventually you'll get a prediction about Geelong's demise right. Even a broken clock is right twice a day.

2019-03-20T04:46:47+00:00

The Brazilian

Roar Rookie


It's a bit like Geelong themselves. They, along with Cat, will go down swinging until they accept their self inflicted demise!

2019-03-20T04:30:22+00:00

Gordon P Smith

Roar Guru


It won’t post in any readable form here, but as part of the article I just posted with the meta-predictions for the season to come, I gathered the fan polling from the Age and AFL.com.au as well, and they lined up along the same lines as ours does. The only differences when averaging the three polls together would be that Collingwood’s second to West Coast’s third on the other two surveys; and Sydney’s 11th place on the AFL site balances out the two ninth places to make it equal to Hawthorn’s one ninth and two tenth places. Otherwise, the average of the three polls matches our survey. (Whoops. Forgot – Fremantle and the Dogs tie at 14.7 on average because the Dockers were 16th in the Age’s survey.)

2019-03-20T04:28:57+00:00

RT

Roar Rookie


Bit of a bee in you bonnet about something, Cat?

AUTHOR

2019-03-20T04:10:35+00:00

Josh

Expert


It's probably wishful thinking moreso than a prediction of any confidence.

2019-03-20T04:10:02+00:00

DingoGray

Roar Guru


Adelaide one Josh? That's interesting? Can't say they've got all that much over the offseason that would say to me they are stand outs. Look i think they'll improve but improve to number 1? That's huge

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