The Roar's AFL expert tips and predictions: Round 2

By Stirling Coates / Editor

Who’d be a tipster after that round?

Up was down, right was left and almost nothing made sense in an equally enthralling and demoralising weekend of upsets last week. Our expert panel got knocked around, The Crowd managed four, and AdelaideDocker’s normally pedestrian score of five was enough to see him top the ladder for the week.

Were Round 1’s outliers just that? Or are scary new trends emerging that we still don’t have a grasp on?

In any case, we’ve got to somehow dust ourselves off and hope the rest of the season proves slightly easier to pick.

Stirling Coates
Richmond, Adelaide, Essendon, Port Adelaide, Melbourne, West Coast, Brisbane, Hawthorn, Fremantle
A preliminary final rematch gets us underway in Round 2. You can’t help but look at Richmond and Collingwood and be reminded of Thursday and Friday last week – a simpler, bygone era when results made sense.

We’ll learn a lot about the Tigers this weekend, given Alex Rance’s unfortunate injury but, even in his absence, I’m picking them to avenge last season’s preliminary final defeat with a hard-fought victory.

Sydney versus Adelaide the following evening represents the other end of the Round 1 spectrum, with both sides disappointing. The Swans put together a blistering final quarter to make it close, but they were downright horrible for most the match on Saturday night.

(AAP Image/Joel Carrett)

Adelaide don’t get a pass mark for their effort a week ago either, but they do play at the SCG reasonably well. John Longmire has some tinkering to do, and it may see his side let another match slip.

The other big-ticket match would have to be the Cats taking on the Demons at that alphabet soup stadium of theirs. Melbourne simply could not have been any more disappointing last week. Given the constant swirlings of mental weakness at the club, there’s every chance it could be the catalyst for a miserable 2019.

That said, the Dees have proved they can play well in Geelong. This is their chance to make a big statement and I’m backing them in.

Saturday’s other matches see the lower-placed side bizarrely starting as the favourite in most cases. Essendon got wiped off the map on Sunday, but St Kilda fared worse in only defeating Gold Coast by a point – so you’d have to go with the Dons.

West Coast should be able to get off the mark and edge past a Giants team that doesn’t travel very well – but watch out if they don’t.

It would be such a Port Adelaide thing to do to back up last week’s heroics with a goose egg against the Blues, but I think they’ll avoid that fate.

Sunday’s suite of matches should see Brisbane – who are somehow the outsiders with the bookies – get over North Melbourne, Hawthorn should be able to down the Western Bulldogs, while Fremantle can dare to dream of first place with a win over the Suns.

Fun fact: Did you know that, outside their minor premiership season of 2015, Fremantle have been atop the ladder at the end of the round only once in club history?

Jabs at the Dockers’ colourful competitive history aside, they do earn the prestigious honour of being my Shoe-In of the Week.

Marnie Cohen
Richmond, Sydney, Essendon, Port Adelaide, Geelong, West Coast, North Melbourne, Hawthorn, Fremantle
I have spent far too long weighing up my tip for Thursday night; it’s the game I have struggled most with so far this year.

I don’t know if it’s wise to tip Richmond in week one without Alex Rance, but I simply cannot bring myself to go against them. The Tigers will be seeking revenge after they were embarrassed by the Pies in last year’s prelim and will be out to prove that their defence is good enough to stand up against a potential contender without Rance.

I have also tipped against Collingwood for the same reason I tipped against them last week – aside from their spectacular September, the club won just one game against a top-eight side in 2018. They came close to Richmond twice but were outrun and outclassed by a better side in the final quarter. It will be close, but my gut is telling me Richmond.

Essendon and North will bounce back after what was a deplorable start to the season for both sides. Neither are in for an easy day at the office, but they all have what it takes to bounce back. Same goes for Sydney.

(Photo by Mark Metcalfe/AFL Photos/Getty Images)

I loved the look of Geelong in pre-season, I loved that their form continued in Round 1 against the Pies and I expect it to roll on into week two. The Dees, on the other hand, were so disappointing after quarter time against Port and while they’ll respond on the field, I doubt it’ll come against the Cats.

West Coast have already had a big week off the field and that will roll into the weekend as the reigning premiers unveil a fourth premiership flag. As impressive the Giants were last week, I can’t see the Eagles losing this at home.

If Freo dismantle the Suns like they did North last week, they may just find themselves on top of the AFL ladder at the end of Round 2.

Daniel Jeffrey
Richmond, Adelaide, Essendon, Port Adelaide, Melbourne, West Coast, Brisbane, Hawthorn, Fremantle
Everyone knows Round 1 tipping doesn’t really count, right? Right!?

Unfortunately, this week doesn’t start off any easier. I’ll take the Tigers over the Pies tonight even with Alex Rance out. Surely Mason Cox can’t mark Collingwood to a victory for the second time in a row against Richmond.

Both Sydney and Adelaide were tremendously disappointing last week. I’ll take the Crows on a hunch they’re capable of improving more in a week than the Swans, and the fact they don’t have to worry about Alastair Clarkson tomorrow.

(Photo by Daniel Kalisz/Getty Images)

Essendon should beat St Kilda, but that’s got more to do with the opposition than their own quality. Port Adelaide will comfortably account for the Blues at home, and expect a bounceback performance from Melbourne after they didn’t show up last week. I’ll tip them in a tight one over the Cats.

West Coast versus GWS will be one of the games of the round. The Giants were mightily impressive last week, but it’s too early to tell if that was due more to them or their opponents. The Eagles away from home is a step up, and one which may prove too much.

If last week is anything to go by, Brisbane will be far too strong for the Kangaroos, even on the road. Hawthorn and the Bulldogs were two of the more impressive sides in Round 1, and their encounter promises to be a good one. I’ll take the Hawks thanks to the Clarko factor, but not by much.

If the Dockers have genuinely learnt how to score this year, and last week wasn’t just a one-off, they could challenge for a finals spot. They’ll beat the Suns, and easily.

AdelaideDocker
Collingwood, Sydney, Essendon, Port Adelaide, Geelong, GWS, Brisbane, Hawthorn, Fremantle
Oh, man. Last week was… interesting. Nevertheless, we must persevere.

Thursday and Friday night’s games feature four teams that underperformed last week. Richmond won, Collingwood didn’t, but I’m tipping that Collingwood will find something extra in a scrappy game.

I’ll also be backing Sydney to beat the struggling Crows – home ground advantage has to count for something, yes?

Essendon hosting St Kilda has all the signs of a potential upset – St Kilda wasn’t good last week, but the Bombers were worse. It’ll be disastrous if the Dons lose, but I’m, not quite confident enough to tip that result.

Sunday’s North versus Brisbane game is also a difficult one. Based on form, you’d expect the Lions to win, but it remains to be seen how ferocious the Kangaroos will be after last weekend’s loss. I like to be a little risky though, so Brisbane will make it 2-0.

Hawthorn will also win that day against what’ll be a competitive Bulldogs side, while Freo – god help me – should also beat the Suns, comfortably.

The remaining three games will see Port Adelaide easily account for the Blues, Geelong should defeat the Dees (who’ll be under a heap of pressure come Monday morning) and GWS will spring a surprise away win against the reigning premiers.

Round 2 Stirling Marnie Daniel AdelaideDocker The Crowd
RCH vs COL RCH RCH RCH COL RCH
SYD vs ADE ADE SYD ADE SYD SYD
ESS vs STK ESS ESS ESS ESS ESS
PA vs CAR PA PA PA PA PA
GEE vs MEL MEL GEE MEL GEE GEE
WCE vs GWS WCE WCE WCE GWS WCE
NM vs BL BL NM BL BL NM
HAW vs WB HAW HAW HAW HAW HAW
FRE vs GCS FRE FRE FRE FRE FRE
Last week 4 4 3 5 4
Total score 4 4 3 5 4

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The Crowd Says:

2019-04-02T02:46:37+00:00

Glen O'Grady

Guest


How did that absolute lock do mate? Think someone might have stolen ya bike!

2019-03-31T06:20:53+00:00

Doctor Rotcod

Roar Rookie


Margins are sometimes the hardest thing to get. Does Eagles by six goals not nine,balance out Cats by four and not 13?

2019-03-31T00:40:40+00:00

TheCunningLinguistic

Roar Rookie


Not doing too bad with your predictions, Dr- though the margins are a little off! ???? We’re both on 5/6, let’s see how these last three go…

2019-03-30T08:52:46+00:00

Peter the Scribe

Roar Guru


Yep. Tipped Saints to have one win for the year and they sit 2-0 after two rounds. As for the Bombers, what is actually going on there?

2019-03-30T06:57:52+00:00

Tassie.

Roar Rookie


your Lock in pick arn`t looking flash.

2019-03-30T04:51:29+00:00

Michael44

Guest


It's early days but West coast and the Western Bulldogs showed last year, and Coll showed last night that Richmond's forwards can't pressure the opposition if their opposition has taken a mark. There is a lot more to it than that of course as they have multiple issues right now. God, I know it is not their game style to emphasise cont poss and clearances (I'm guessing because the coaches thought that it was not a strength of their list), but how I wish the Tiges were a good cont ball and clearance side. It would take so much pressure of their backs. West Coast easily had the Tigers worked out last year. We'll see what happens. Big challenges for my team and IAP may indeed be right. Crossing fingers that he/she is wrong.

2019-03-29T11:58:04+00:00

Doctor Rotcod

Roar Rookie


The Pies' "cushy draw" wasn't a fact, just a quote from ill-informed prognosticators. Rance suggested that the Tigers' 2017 triumph was like a comet,bright in the sky. I can't find the source, but that might be true on another level, only seen every 69 years. Richmond have to adjust without Rance and Riewoldt ,out for six weeks or more. I can't see Cotchin and Martin having more than a couple of bad games, but with the Tiger's "organised chaos" delivery into the forward half being easier to deal with under the new rules, they may not score as well. Caddy is yet to return so they may be depending on Castagna and Higgins for wins

2019-03-29T08:23:25+00:00

The Original Buzz

Roar Rookie


I certainly hope you are right Doc, I am going to the Blues / Port game and it will be the only game I can get to this year so an upset wold be magic. I agree with your tips too but not sure on the Freo 10 goals.

2019-03-29T06:40:37+00:00

Michael44

Guest


Dr, i just want to make sure you understand me. i was never one to say that Coll were helped by an easy draw last year. I knew they were developing fast and the result in the prelim final, and again last nite, clearly showed that Collingwood are now a superior side to Richmond. Also, I just wanted to say that I made a conmment the other day to michael RVC that i thought that a team like the eagles were disadvantaged in two ways compared to a team like Richmond. 1-The grand final is played at the MCG. - in which I told them that I definitely disagree with that being the case. @-The Eagles have to travel further than the Tigers. (that is geography and can't be helped of course). But, i told michael that i didn't think Richmond were advanteged by the fixture compared to the Tigers in that West coast played more true home games than the Tigers, but play more true way games as well, so i told michael that it all seemed to balance out over the home and away. But, I hadn't taken inot account that Richmond played an away game against Esss and i against Geel last year at the mcg. So i was wrong about that.

2019-03-29T02:54:30+00:00

Fat Toad

Roar Rookie


Did the experts even look at the Richmond v Carlton game and the Geelong v Collingwood game last week other than the scores? Richmond played poorly and won mostly because Carlton was worse. Geelong and the Pies played a good game but the game was ultimately decided by skill errors Geelong being more efficient than the Pies.

2019-03-29T01:50:08+00:00

Peter the Scribe

Roar Guru


Now you’re just being silly Larrikin

2019-03-29T00:40:33+00:00

Peter Warrington

Guest


Freudian And sadly acccurate re my igfavourite players :(

2019-03-28T21:57:21+00:00

Peter the Scribe

Roar Guru


Yeah was totally wrong Dingo. Just expected the Tigers to rally big time without Rance.

2019-03-28T21:39:03+00:00

DingoGray

Roar Guru


You really should have more faith in Bucks and your Pies Pete!

2019-03-28T19:46:09+00:00

Wayne Kerr

Guest


Against any other side these dishonest front runners would lose, but not against us. One must reevaluate our performance last week given how bad Richmond were last week. We could only kick 9 goals. Carlton rarely cause upsets except against Essendon.

2019-03-28T12:03:31+00:00

Doctor Rotcod

Roar Rookie


I thought for a moment your comment about being smashed related to Thursday night. Collingwood deserved to be in the GF last year, despite the "cushy draw" moniker. The Tigers played poorly away, had lots of games at home,which had them two games clear but failed when it mattered. Collingwood were on the boil again, DeGoey is a gun etc.etc

2019-03-28T06:09:29+00:00

PriddisJunior

Roar Rookie


I was about 60/40 hawks. Only because hawks better opposition and margin last week. Dogs arent without a chance if the bont is back

2019-03-28T03:48:55+00:00

Cat

Roar Guru


Tiges by -7 so Pies win ... thats almost as good as anon's fence sitting predictions :p

2019-03-28T03:48:29+00:00

Michael44

Guest


Thanx guys. Just wanted to say that even if last year's prelim is brought up in the Tiger rooms before tonight's game, there is really no getting revenge for the Tiges tonight. Last year's prelim is done and dusted and Collingwood won. The Tiges can never get that back. As a Tiges fan, I was scared of Collingwood last year and didn't see why Richmond were supposedly clear favourites before the prelim. Collingwood had taken it up to Richmond in the two home and away games and had lost men in both games. Richmond seemed to be off the boil coming into the finals and there were possible fitness concerns as well. I wasn't totally surprised the the Magpies ended up smashing us. I expect Collingwood to be right up at the pointy end of the ladder come the end of the h & a.

2019-03-28T03:10:22+00:00

Doctor Rotcod

Roar Rookie


Mulligans all round last week. Much simpler this weekend. Pies by 5 points,Cox goals after the siren. Crows by not much. Saints by even less. Carlton with an upset. Geelong by four goals. Eagles by six,JK with six. Lions by plenty before they start running out of steam,but still win. Fremantle by 10 goals. Hawks by enough.

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