OK, so who are the favourites now?

By Alec Swann / Expert

Brooks Koepka, in the last couple of years, has put together an astounding run of form in the major championships.

Of the past six events, the American has won three – one US Open and a USPGA Championship – and finished as runner-up twice.

Add his debut major victory at the US Open in 2017 and you have the kind of streak that hasn’t been performed by too many others in the sport’s history.

But away from the headline tournaments, Koepka’s record is decent without being earth-shattering; he has had a couple of PGA Tour triumphs, the same number in Japan and a solitary European Tour victory to pad out his CV.

The point of this, in a sort-of related way, is that he has found a way of tuning his performance so that it peaks when it really matters.

Of course he is trying to come out on top every time he steps on to a golf course but there is obviously something, wittingly or otherwise, that clicks in the rarefied air and when the spotlight is at its brightest.

I’m fairly certain I’ve written in a previous column on this website (I’ve had a dig around but couldn’t find it so you’ll have to take my word for it!) that I wouldn’t bet against either the Germans in a football World Cup and the Australians in the cricketing equivalent.

When it comes to these tournaments, both tend to find decent form regardless of what has gone before and both know how to win when the games matter more than most. It seemingly doesn’t matter that the personnel may have changed or that the conditions are different.

Australia’s produced impressive performances so far this World Cup. (Andy Kearns/Getty Images)

Come 2022 in Qatar, Germany will be a short price to get their hands on what would be their fifth Jules Rimet Trophy, just as Australia were at small numbers to earn win number six before the ongoing soiree began.

And on yesterday’s showing at Lord’s, would you bet against Aaron Finch joining such luminaries as Allan Border, Steve Waugh, Ricky Ponting and Michael Clarke in July 14?

A semi-final place already secured, a couple of top-order batsmen scoring heavily, the most potent seamer in the limited overs game in fine fettle and the victories being racked up – four on the bounce and counting – this is the kind form that will make others extremely wary.

Of course, in India and New Zealand there are others who could justifiably lay claim to a similar standing. For what it’s worth I’d still lean towards Virat Kohli et al if pushed for a winner, but what was on showing in North London was very good.

Finch and David Warner are in excellent touch and while Steve Smith could probably do with being a place higher as surely he’s a better bet than Usman Khawaja, some of the criticism directed at the batting is misplaced given the competition hasn’t been the run-scoring free-for-all many predicted.

They’ve got what they’ve got and if nothing else, the victory over England provided evidence that if you can post a decent score and you have an attack that doesn’t simply look to contain, you give yourselves every chance.

The form graph is showing an upward trend and, apologies for resorting to cliché, they are a side that look as if they know how to win games.

On the flip side, and this is where the undefinable comes into clear sight, their most recent opponents are heading quickly in the opposite direction.

All indicators in the lead-up pointed at England as the team to beat. Excellent form, home conditions, a gung-ho ‘however many you score, we’ll score more’ approach and players free from the shackles of the past, this was to be their year.

It could still be as whether they reach the last four is still in their own hands, but the cracks are showing and any more of what they served up at Lord’s, and against India and New Zealand of all people, is hardly likely to stand them in good stead.

Ben Stokes kicks his bat in frustration. (Photo by Andy Kearns/Getty Images)

It was hesitant, it was indecisive and it was a pale shadow of the very thing that had seen them installed as the bookmakers’ favourites.

The World Cup hasn’t been good to England down the years and the last week has shown that it certainly won’t allow them to have an easy ride this time around.

The ghosts of tournaments past are sensing a real opportunity for another outing and as the pressure intensifies, as it most certainly will over the next few days, they desperately need to discover their spark.

This is the aforementioned undefinable trait; some players and some teams have the knack of doing just that.

The Crowd Says:

2019-06-27T22:01:27+00:00

matth

Roar Guru


And historically the best bowling team generally wins the Cup

2019-06-27T21:58:55+00:00

matth

Roar Guru


Great point about England’s approach working better when they play the same team in a bilateral series. I hadn’t thought of that.

2019-06-27T21:37:06+00:00

matth

Roar Guru


Funnily enough NZ’s stumbles help England. They are more likely than not to beat the Kiwis now.

2019-06-27T20:05:44+00:00

Lolly12

Guest


Stoinis is, by his standards, bowling out of his skin and a darned fine time to do it too as he is looking for an Ashes spot by the state of his batting and I don't mean that in a good way. Eoin Morgan is looking freaked out, I don't care how often he denies that the pressure of the World Cup is getting to the team. Look at Buttler, his keeping is almost as bad as Carey's and his batting is not close to what it can be. Carey on the other hand, is constantly making up ground at the end of the innings. I hope he carries on with the bat, he's being very helpful, wish I could say the same about his keeping.

2019-06-27T16:43:20+00:00

Gee

Roar Rookie


India, nicely balanced team.

2019-06-27T14:46:52+00:00

Lolly12

Guest


I've always felt it was India's to lose and still think that. I just can't see Australia beating India if they play them in the semi. I don't think the bowling overall is good enough even though - apart from Starc and Cummins - they've performed as well as can be expected.

2019-06-27T11:57:31+00:00

Bunney

Roar Rookie


On India's favouritism, there's one caveat: No one is talking much about the loss of Shikar Dawhan (that's misspelt I'm fairly certain!!) - his loss is massive, and forms a significant chink in their armour

2019-06-27T09:16:04+00:00

jameswm

Roar Guru


No. I’d have him in as a batsman, it’s just that he doesn’t bowl. Though maybe that was a pun… He really should be bowling spin with a name like that.

2019-06-27T08:42:04+00:00

Jeff

Roar Rookie


Yep. Growing up watching the India of the 80s and 90s, the concept of multi-dimensional Indian fast bowling was so alien. For me, I think the wake-up moment was being at the WACA in 2008 seeing a young Ishant Sharma take on Ricky Ponting. I'd spent enough time in India before then watching cricket to know their quicks were up and coming, but from a cricketing perspective, that was the moment India crossed the threshold to become the "New India". Who would have thought 20 years ago that it was the quicks, not the spinners, that would define an Indian bowling attack?

2019-06-27T08:27:42+00:00

ForwardsWinMatches

Guest


Yes, but on a seaming wicket each of Bumrah, Shami and Bhuvesh are a handful. That’s why India are so strong - they now have the quicks as well.

2019-06-27T08:00:01+00:00

Jeff

Roar Rookie


Aren't they already as close to the bottom of the Earth as human habitation would allow, Republican?

2019-06-27T07:26:56+00:00

Raimond

Roar Guru


They are erratic, but sometimes brilliant. You don't know which one will turn up.

2019-06-27T07:16:29+00:00

El Loco

Roar Rookie


What! Are you turning on Turner jameswm? ????

2019-06-27T07:03:38+00:00

Republican

Guest


.....the Kiwis will typically bring us all back down to earth, mark my words......

2019-06-27T06:57:39+00:00

Jeff

Roar Rookie


Damn June English weather! Looking pretty good til Sunday at least. Sunny and in the low 30s across southern England. Beyond that (a few days anyway) overcast but no rain forecast.

2019-06-27T06:52:32+00:00

Spenno

Roar Rookie


Lets not forget that our friend the English weather is quite likely to have a significant impact on the make up of the final four. Some of those 'likely' victories may well be shared pointers. Benefiting the team that was 'likely' to lose and potentially screwing the other team.

2019-06-27T06:04:28+00:00

Chris Kettlewell

Roar Guru


People said the same about England, after the loss to Sri Lanka they'd really be up for the match against Australia. Didn't work out that way though. I'm not expecting India to fail on their game plan as much as England have multiple times in this tournament but they did manage to get a serious scare from the weakest team in it in their last match, so you have to think that no game is an absolute given at this point. Mind you, that's the whole idea of dropping it to a 10 team tournament, to be in a situation where there aren't any absolute gimme's that just involve big nations bashing up on minnows.

2019-06-27T05:58:58+00:00

Jeff

Roar Rookie


NZ to also finish on 11 points?

2019-06-27T05:56:33+00:00

Jeff

Roar Rookie


For me: AUS to be NZ at Lords on Saturday. The first real "hot" weather of the tourment will mix things up. But in AUS's favour I think. PAK v AFG. PAK to win PAK v BAN. Tougher for PAK than the AFG game, But Amir, Shaheen and Wahab will outclass in a "bat-off". PAK to win. BAN v IND. This may be closer than many think. Probably IND but wouldn't be shocked to see BAN get up.

2019-06-27T05:53:06+00:00

AREH

Roar Guru


I think of the 21 decisions to bowl first, only eight have resulted in victory?

More Comments on The Roar

Read more at The Roar