AFL Power Rankings: 2019 Trade Period

By Liam Salter / Roar Guru

The AFL trade period is done and once again the league has been shaken up by a flurry of player movement.

These power rakings aren’t designed to describe which teams were the best performed in the trade period itself, but instead ranking where each AFL club sits in the food chain heading into 2020 after this year’s player exchange.

The reigning premiers only appeared twice in the trade period – with the very first and the fourth-last player movements – sending Brandon Ellis to the Suns and Dan Butler to the Saints.

They lose two premiership talents, but the Tigers are a strong side, and you’d think neither this year’s trade periods nor draft were a big priority for them as they aim to go back-to-back in 2020.

Involved in exactly one trade of note, and it was a big one.

It’s arguable they gave up a little too much, but Kelly was always going to be expensive, and given that – unlike their West Australian counterparts – they’re in premiership contention at the present, it’s difficult to begrudge them.

Expect them to be at the pointy end next September, yet again.

Losing Tim Kelly sucks, but adding Jack Steven and Josh Jenkins for cheap and holding a good hand at the draft – almost – makes up for it.

Wanted a high price for Tim, and got it, with the Cats among the top teams primed to head deep into finals again… you’d assume.

Brisbane’s most pressing issue was their forward line; missing out on Jamie Elliott early wasn’t ideal, but neglecting to fill the need was poor form.

The Lions did acquire some good players – Grant Birchall fulfilling their Hawks veteran quota, Callum Ah Chee and Cam Ellis-Yolmen adding grunt to their midfield, but you get the feeling Brisbane could’ve done a little more.

No top ten picks in the draft this year, either – although that isn’t an awful position to be in for the Lions. I can easily imagine them dropping a smidge in 2020, but the pieces are all there.


Quiet period – something not unusual surrounding the top contenders. Dispatched James Aish to Freo, alleviating some salary cap space and giving them more wriggle room in dealing with the contracts of some higher profile players.

With their only other action coming from welcoming Darcy Cameron to the club, the Pies had a quiet yet fruitful eight days. That means their 2020 aspirations remain steady, and one would think high.

Not a bad trade period that’ll probably benefit them more than anything. Sam Jacob’s addition helps, while the departures of Adam Tomlinson and Aiden Bonar won’t have any irrevocable effect on their structures.

The grand finalists also shrewdly acquired pick 6, so expect to see the Giants work their way into finals again. A second straight grand final may be tougher.

They were aready a side to watch in 2020, and a superb trade period only fuels that. Were adamant in not giving up pick 13, and didn’t blink.

Josh Bruce and Alex Keath will help them at both ends of the ground next year: a year in which I’m expecting the Doggies to again poach a finals spot. Or even something more.

The Hawks may have lost a veteran and a young, developing ruck, but it’s impossible not to be amazed by how they slyly (and cheaply) accumulated Sam Frost and Jon Patton from the Dees and Giants respectively.

Frost is handy, but a fit Patton will assist the club in furthering their resurgence up the ladder. Remember, Tom Mitchell is yet to return as well. Expecting good things from the Hawks next year.

It’s never easy to manage five players requesting trades to the club. It’s even harder to get all of them in.

While I’m still dubious about the long term effect of giving up what they did to land their targets, they do instantaneously look a better side – particularly with speedy Brad Hill joining.

Expect their draft hand to be bare, but from an initial look, the Saints worked the past eight days beautifully. A finals chance, or thereabouts, in 2020? Yup.

The whispers were abundant, but the gulf of drama in the departures of Ed Langdon and Brad Hill didn’t surprise.

Their eventual departures netted the club some nice picks, with the coming-from-no-where additions of Blake Acres and James Aish going part of the way to replacing the departing duo.

It’s Freo’s fantastic draft hand that’ll benefit the club the most – even if they struggle to adjust to a new coach, and new system, for parts of next season.

North were far from the biggest players this year, but nevertheless popped up on Monday for a pick swap with Melbourne, before popping up again just before the deadline to acquire Aiden Bonar from the Giants.

Nothing too drastic, but they won’t appear in the draft until pick 26, and you have to wonder whether North’s confidence in their current squad is excessively optimistic, or prime for a half-decent season.

Weathered some tiring Orazio Fantasia rumours, and refused to budge on the Joe Daniher request, ending the trade period with only two acquisitions and a cameo in the Tim Kelly trade.

Neither of their new players seems a game changer – and with the club in a bit of flux next year, it’s hard to be enthused about them at the moment.

Tough to place them in 2020, I’m not especially optimistic about finals.

Added to their draft hand, but a rather dubious trade with the Saints raised the ire of Port fans.

Port Adelaide’s departures were a bit of a mess – Paddy Ryder not so much, but Dougal Howard is a frustrating loss. Young ruck Billy Frampton moved up the road to West Lakes, too.

Although they’ve got the talent to compete, Port’s inconsistency at the trade table is perhaps a precursor of 2020. Ken Hinkley would hope not.

Didn’t get the forward they need, but Adam Tomlinson and Ed Langdon in particular will add pace to the side sorely needing some.

It’s the draft – they hold picks 3 and 8 – where Melbourne will really help their cause.

And they need a resurgence – they’ve sent North their first-rounder for 2020. Expect much commentary around that next year.

They had two big targets. They hit neither of them come deadline.

Carlton started with a bang, welcoming home favourite son Eddie Betts, but the Blues failed to successfully negotiate with Gold Coast and Sydney on the future of Jack Martin and Tom Papley respectively.

I don’t think it’s going to be seriously damaging to their immediate successes next year – I can see plenty of scope for improvement – but Carlton would no doubt be frustrated with their failures.

Adelaide’s had a tumultuous off-season, and that continued through the trade period, with seven separate trades. The trouble is – six of those were departures. There isn’t a whole lot of positives, bar the acquisition of Billy Frampton.

Losing Eddie Betts and Sam Jacobs hurts for sentimental reasons, while the exits of Alex Keath and Hugh Greenwood also frustrate.

The Crows have the fourth pick in the draft, but a solitary draftee won’t do much to assist the fledging South Australians in 2020.

The Joe Daniher saga was a controversial one, and the Swans’ failing to secure the mercurial – yet injury-riddled – key forward makes their trade period look like a bit of a fizzer.

They did acquire Lewis Taylor, but were overall uninspiring. I can’t foresee any drastic changes to their ladder position in 2020, or to be honest, much room for improvement.

The Suns had a decent trade period. They stuck to their guns on Martin – although that might backfire on them – while bringing some handy, experienced additions, and extending Ben King.

Their draft hand – however artificially inflated – is strong, but despite all the goodwill, it’s hard to expect any drastic rise for the Suns next year. They’re planting many seeds for the future though.

The Crowd Says:

2019-10-26T22:48:03+00:00

Shane

Guest


How has it significantly weakened the cats? Have you even done a comparison of Stevens vs Kelly?

2019-10-26T22:46:52+00:00

Shane

Guest


Geelong didn't finish on top of the ladder with the best attack/defensive combination because of Kelly. He helped. You will see a drop in performance between Steven's output and Kelly's but the difference will be around .1 goals a game and minus 2 or 3 possessions. That won't be enough for West Coast to overtake Geelong.

2019-10-26T22:40:02+00:00

Shane

Guest


Jenkins averaged two goals a game this year. His best haul is 8. Not bad for a spud, especially for cheap and as depth.

2019-10-19T14:31:03+00:00

Maurice Mclernon

Guest


In a agreement with Tom , you are sort of contridicting yourself saying Eagles at 2 after gaining Kelly and Geelong at 3 , or would it have been visa versa if had stayed at Geelong. Kelly,s loss will have a huge impact on Geelong finals aspirations next season Eagles .

2019-10-18T23:51:23+00:00

Yattuzzi

Roar Rookie


Tom, when Danger stepped out of the Crows, other players stepped up and they maintained their powerful midfield. You will find the same with Geelong. Duncan, who was injured for the prelim will be back. With Narkle et al. They will be fine. Geelongs forward line with Esava and Hawkins with Dahlhaus and GAJ sending in guided missiles, that seems as solid as a brick outhouse. And with little Josh there in the case of injuries or reports. They will not Finish seventh.

2019-10-18T23:01:59+00:00

Parkside Darren

Roar Rookie


Is this just your predicted ladder for next year?

2019-10-18T02:05:09+00:00

D-day

Guest


unconvinced........ extra fire power, they were the highest scoring team this year

2019-10-17T23:24:13+00:00

JamesH

Roar Guru


Had to re-read that after the rankings didn't seem to match up to your assessment of the teams' respective trade periods! But I'm with you now. I'm obviously biased but you seem very pessimistic on Essendon. Odds are they'll get more out of Daniher, Heppell and Fantasia collectively than they did this year. Then you've got the return of Devon Smith, more ruck depth (which was a massive problem in 2019) and further development from the likes of McGrath, Parish, Francis and Guelfi. Maybe they will go backwards. Who knows. It's a funny old game and there are a lot of question marks over the side, especially around Daniher's retention. But based purely on a comparison between who was available last year and who is likely to be available this year, I'm not sure where the justification is for a four-place fall from grace. I reckon the Saints are a bit high, too. Yes, they've brought in some good players but they will probably take time to gel with their new teammates, and they also lost their number one key forward.

2019-10-17T22:27:51+00:00

Don Freo

Roar Rookie


I thought it was a trade period ranking too.

2019-10-17T11:53:39+00:00

Don Freo

Roar Rookie


AD! Freo down there? They were best...or 2nd to Geelong. Freo could have lost Langdon to to Melbourne for nothing in the pre-season draft but got 22 for him. Hill has been turned into a gold mine. They now will get 4 of the best 22 young Ausdies in the draft and a welter of picks in 2020. As for learning a new plan, Rossie's method will be the existing foundation that JLo will just regularly tune. That will be fine. He will work more with skills.

2019-10-17T09:08:36+00:00

Raimond

Roar Guru


I think it could be a Lions-Dogs Grand Final. Definitely two teams that are on the rise.

2019-10-17T03:11:16+00:00

Doctor Rotcod

Roar Rookie


There seems to be a long-term play in play here in that the Eagles have significantly weakened the Cats while strengthening themselves. It moves them up the prospective pecking order. Will you put up a similar Power Ranking post-draft? I think you've got the Dockers a place or two,(or three) low given Longmuir's penchant for attack and Freo's well-credentialled forwards and backups

2019-10-17T01:34:45+00:00

Dan, Concord

Roar Rookie


AD – always enjoy your contributions but I must admit when I saw you were the author of this article I thoigh he must be a sadist! Mind you the comments haven’t been that bad. As for thw rankings I agree with a lot of them except: Cats- I think they have the potential to really drop. Surely there have to ve some question marks on hiw Ablett will go this year? I think he’ll still be great but I don’t think he’ll be able to provide the firepower the cats need. Their forward line looks vulnerable. Danger is going to have to have another PB season and Selwood too. GWS- If they finally get some luck on the injury front I think they’ll be higher than 6th. Too much talent to not be. Blues- tipping higher than 15th Saints- could be anywhere from 12th to 6th Swans far too low. Port, Crows, Nth all to finish lower than the Swans Would have definitely had Freo lower if Lyon was coach but now who knows… maybe they’ll find the goals a bit more?

2019-10-17T00:02:22+00:00

Paul D

Roar Guru


Brisbane will slip from a top 2 finish? Don't go out on too much of a limb there But yes, they will. I would hope our backline covers for Hodge but I remain very unconvinced without extra firepower up front.

AUTHOR

2019-10-16T23:48:50+00:00

Liam Salter

Roar Guru


Yeah, but this isn't a trade period rankings. It's a prospect-for-2020 rankings list, and Gold Coast, as much as I want them to do well, don't have the world's greatest prospects for next season.

2019-10-16T23:21:55+00:00

Tom M

Guest


Wow AD, shocked by these rankings. Cats lose their best performed player in the finals, and go up? Bulldogs the big improvers and the prelim finals sides are only going to be stronger. Rich, WCE, Coll, GWS, WB, Bris all better than Geelong. Hawthorn cant see them finishing in the 8 and I cant see how Essendon don't improve with the players they get back from injury. Too much cool aid

2019-10-16T23:18:39+00:00

13th Man

Roar Rookie


Not sure how Gold Coast were the worst performed side this trade period. Yes they are an absolute lock for 18th spot with your in season power rankings but they did ok this period, Greenwood and Ellis are decent inclusions. They've had a better period than Carlton, Sydney, North, Essendon or Adelaide.

2019-10-16T23:12:28+00:00

IAP

Guest


You're underselling my boys again AD. They've filled the two gaps they had; they will have natural improvement from the young blokes; they will have Libba back; there's every reason to think they will do better in 2020 than where they finished in 2019. Jenkins is spud and Jack Steven is no Tim Kelly - Geelong are too high here. Brisbane have done nothing to improve their team - they've probably gone backwards with Hodgey retiring (Birchall aint Hodgey), and they'll have a harder draw in 2020 - they will slip.

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