I'm not giving up on the Wallabies, but I have no idea where they're going now

By Brett McKay / Expert

“It’s the hope that kills you in the end.”

I must confess to not knowing the origin of the quote, but it certainly gets a lot of airtime from the mouths of Wallabies fans.

And here we are again. After scraping through to win a game against Scotland they probably should’ve lost and being unlucky to lose a game against France they probably should’ve won, Australia turned it up completely against Italy and lost a game by just one point that they really should have lost comfortably.

The worst thing of that performance in Florence is that the sheer amount of good work it undid. And I don’t just mean on this tour, I mean over the last few seasons.

We’ve all seen disappointing performances from this Wallabies playing group, but that maiden loss to Italy was comfortably the worst I’ve seen under coach Dave Rennie.

It was listless, it was ill-disciplined, it was poorly conceived and selected and then executed, it lacked direction and even the slightest hint of clear thought, and in the end it represented a complete failure across the touring squad.

The situation is so dire now, that I just don’t know what they do to start the long and winding climb back up the international rugby mountain.

Two days after the fact, there’s even a debate to be had as to where they’re starting again from. Are they still at base camp, or are they actually all the way back in the car park?

I don’t know. I don’t know that they know. And I hate this feeling, but that is where they are.

(Photo by Rodrigo Valle/Getty Images)

Normally after a close loss or a lucky win there will be something to cling onto, something to put the stake into and conclude that sure, things were a long way from perfect, but there was enough to build on for next week.

There was nothing from this performance to take to Dublin this week coming.

And worse, where there’s usually a rein to pull after a loss, a quick fix or a simple tweak that should restore some semblance of normality for the next game, nothing stands out this time all. And God knows what ‘normality’ is when it comes to the Wallabies right now.

There are two games left on this now-tortuous European tour, and there will be not many more than five Tests in 2023 before the Rugby World Cup gets underway in France.

I don’t know how you solve a problem like a team who have been consistently criticised – and even publicly challenged by their own coaches – for their horrendous discipline, giving away 16 penalties against Italy a week after giving away 11 against France, and a week after giving away 15 against Scotland.

I don’t know what you say to that team when nine of those 16 penalties conceded came on their own side of halfway. Seven of them were we’ll within kicking range; only small mercies saw four missed penalty attempts.

I don’t know what you say to a team who just on this tour have conceded a ruck turnover roughly every ten minutes. And that might be OK until you remember that they’re not in possession 100 per cent of the time. On average, it’s going to be closer to half that time.

What do you say to a team that just will not commit to an attacking breakdown, or offer some kind of cleanout support? What do you say to a team who still think it’s smart to play away from possible cleanout support, and leave themselves open to being isolated and turned over?

How many times to do you need to remind players who under intense pressure still make the baffling decision to offload or pass to a teammate in a worse position?

But then when do the coaching staff conclude they’re trying to implement a game plan that the players have repeatedly shown themselves incapable of following?

The Wallabies are hardly playing with any great complexity, yet there must be a point where the coaches recognise that the structures and the plans are too much?

 

Dave Rennie (Photo by Timothy Rogers/Getty Images)

Mind you, if a player can’t perform a crucial core component of their specialist role, how many more chances do the coaches give them?

If a hooker can’t hit a lone lifted target in front of them, or if a scrumhalf can’t put a pass in front of a teammate only a few metres away, where does the coaching responsibility end and the player’s responsibility start?

How many times can a line kicker miss touch and still hold onto that role?

How do you build combinations and connections between players, who despite spending months together in national squads and training camps, somehow manage to look as though they’ve never met?

How does this spiral end?

Curiously, there will quite likely be a reaction from the Aussies against Ireland this weekend, because it does seem to be the one thing that can be relied on. It is, as my esteemed podcast co-host put it on Sunday morning, the simultaneous “flaccid and rock hard” existence this playing group live by.

I don’t know any of these answers. I haven’t always been sure of the answers in the past, and I’m even less sure now. I don’t know how you get a message through to this playing group, and I’m not confident it would be received and implemented anyway.

But there is a World Cup on the horizon and we have to hope the answers are found at some point between now and then.

And we do have to hope the answers will be found, because I can’t even begin to comprehend what happens if they aren’t.

The Crowd Says:

2023-01-05T21:10:35+00:00

Bob Moore

Guest


It’s easy to blame the coach or the Ref or the weather or the travel. At the end of the day it’s the players on the field who must perform. If you don’t have the talent and don’t have a path from kindergarten to international then you cannot expect to compete let alone win. Australian Rugby is failing to look inwards for answers.

2022-11-17T09:17:39+00:00

CRZ38L

Roar Rookie


I think Rennie's been dealt some unfortunate incidents as a coach, but so have a lot other international coaches, the pandemic would have thrown more than a few spanners at every coach in one way or another. The injuries curse is also well documented, but how much of that is due to Rennies' well-known rigorous training schedule, my guess is we'll never know the full truth to how much that contributed to the numerous soft-tissue injuries this year, even though that was being looked at 'apparently'. Lastly rotation, IMO Rennie does need to own some of this, and again injuries have affected his selection at times, but... 1.) by all means rotate your HBs, but at least start with the same HB and rotate the subs. For me White needs to start every test. 2.) 10, well we all know the issues here and there are numerous. 3.) Whoever decided to allow Kerevi to play at the Commonwealth games should leave the room right now 4.) 13. goes back to 9, 10, & 12. Personally I'd like to see consistency from 9, 10, 12 & 13. Think of the 'golden years', those 4 positions were pretty consistent, with later Herbert and Burke coming into the centres. 5.) A hooker that can't throw straight into a lineout, instantly dropped. 6.) Kellaway is an instant inclusion (as would be Koroibete when available). Wright has been given ample chances to impress but only shines rarely > bench. Nawaqanitawase, take a chance and play him for the remaining tests leading up to the RWC. 7.) Fullback, I'm a bit stuck here, as it seems Rennie still is. Discipline and having an effective cleanout, probably sits anyhwere between 1-7 or maybe even above. If you can't secure your own ball, or give away 'soft' penalties then you may as well not show up. History shows that RWC games are heavily decided by a side giving away a penalty, especially during the knockout stages, so the Wobblies need to clean-up their act, and quickly.

2022-11-16T03:20:39+00:00

Nick Maguire

Roar Rookie


HiKa, yeah, that's what I thought of too :laughing:

2022-11-16T03:19:35+00:00

Nick Maguire

Roar Rookie


:shocked: No!

2022-11-16T00:49:55+00:00

Busted Fullback

Roar Rookie


G’day WL. So thrilled for him. Never been in the position but I understand that it can be a big learning curve as you move into the next level. I just hope he is given enough opportunities to learn from his experiences and force the staff to see the quality that some of us see. Hopefully he can learn quickly which tackling technique is required for different situations, possibly his only set-back as many on here have commented. I do believe he has shown more positives than most, if not all, who have had a shot at 15 over the last couple of years. Thanks for the call. Hope you’re keeping safe and well.

2022-11-15T23:32:23+00:00

Joe King

Roar Rookie


The emotion of a loss often exasperates all the problems. If we had of got that kick at the end, sure, there would be a lot to improve on, but it wouldn’t feel so despairing. Notice we had no trouble scoring tries, even if a bit clunky. We would usually be happy with 4 tries, except that Italy still scored 3 and won the game. Thus, if our defence was better, we’d be thinking we’re not tracking too badly, apart from a minor discussion about our discipline and some skills. But fix the defence, and those other issues are no longer seen as the reason we lost. The main reason our defence was poor and we lost, was a lack of cohesion. Points against is usually the first thing to increase when cohesion levels drop. Sure, there are other issues to address: discipline, game plan, some skills, but most of those other issues are exasperated by a lack of cohesion. Further, other issues such as some discipline, isolation/ruck issues, most poor passing, bad decisions, etc, are a result of low cohesion. And unfortunately, like most coaches, DR hasn’t focused on or properly worked out how to significantly increase cohesion at training and outside of game time together under pressure… yet. Cohesion is the depth of understanding players have of one another and how each other reacts under pressure. High cohesion in a team also accelerates an individual player’s skill development. A team with high levels of cohesion allows new young players to do a lot better when they join the team. But high cohesion needs to be the foundation. Building cohesion is only just now starting to be seen as an important factor by the SR teams in Australia: hence, all the mini tours, talk of 3rd tier etc. The Wallabies use to gain cohesion automatically with only 3 SR teams, but now we need to build it intentionally and in other ways because we have 5 teams. ABs use to have it more so with a greater reliance on the Crusaders and one other SR team. With disruption to the cohesion of their SR teams in last couple of years, and with less reliance on the Crusaders, the ABs cohesion levels have dropped a bit. Anyway, all this to say, unless you address the systemic cohesion building issue in the Australian rugby system, the Wallabies won’t become a consistent top 3 rugby team. But if we did address it, we could be a consistent top 3 team. But we need to be way more intentional about it than we have in the past because we now have 5 SR teams.

2022-11-15T23:06:02+00:00

Billy Boy

Roar Rookie


Robo’s was stupid – trying to show his ‘physicality’. Yes but Hunter P was taken out in similar circumstances and no penalty 100% on Jake Gordon, and much to the satisfaction of most probably won't see him again this tour L/O's okay but with 2 players competing for the ball similar circumstances will arise so is the suggestion we don't compete. I think the WBs have stopped competing at the breakdown to avoid be penalised so do we want to do the same at line outs one on one as opposed to stealing

2022-11-15T22:37:49+00:00

Joe King

Roar Rookie


Both the ABs and Wallas are focusing on the wrong solution because they don’t understand the real problem.

2022-11-15T21:40:33+00:00

Nick Maguire

Roar Rookie


BNHF, interesting take on the breakdown. I've been watching Prem League games, mainly to keep an eye on the AU players, and wonder if England aren't heading down the same path. Ruck speed is the be all and end all apparently with many uncontested rucks as defenses don't want to commit, conceeding the ruck rather than a penalty, in the pursuit of a fast, open entertaining game with high scoring. I liken the change in the game there to the introduction of the "6 again" rules in the NRL. It's effectively a different game. In both games seemingly momentum is everything. Once teams get momentum it's very hard for the defensive team to get back on taws. Big leads are racked up quickly until there is a circuit breaker, then it might swap around and there are big comebacks. Do these games, SR and Prem "LQB" League adequately prepare players for the hard grinding sometimes trench warfare of International Rugby? It's an interesting topic.

2022-11-15T20:24:33+00:00

Don

Roar Rookie


Injured

2022-11-15T20:24:07+00:00

Farthing

Roar Rookie


He had one bad kick against France. Otherwise he can kick it further than anyone.

2022-11-15T19:43:04+00:00

Soap Dodger

Roar Rookie


That’s right. His provincial teams were famous for dirt and “niggle”. That will only get you so far and it has never been the Wallabies’ way - to their credit.

2022-11-15T19:20:03+00:00

Graeme Evans

Guest


I very much suspect the Wallabies are doing too much weight lifting and not enough short sprinting. A bit muscle bound, they are clearly too slow to the breakdown. A rest from gym work and a focus on speed is required. And as many have commented, pick basically the same team for all tests.

2022-11-15T19:09:20+00:00

soapit

Roar Guru


thanks mate, as i said italy perhaps not the best example as the ruck pressure wasnt there like other teams and there was undisputedly lots of dumb plays, just something ive been wondering for a while with us conceding so many holding on pens at the ruck

2022-11-15T18:18:33+00:00

Rugbynutter

Roar Rookie


I think at its most basic is lack of skill sets as where we continually lose the game is around our inability to compete at the breakdown. To me this stems back to lack of core focus on basic rugby skills as part of player development. Again a problem of our grass roots and disconnect with private schools and junior club rugby and coaching and skills development challenges.

2022-11-15T18:14:41+00:00

Rugbynutter

Roar Rookie


I thought last years autumn european tour was the worst tour performance and results wise I could remember. Well done wallabies for now topping that.

2022-11-15T16:48:38+00:00

Brendan NH Fan

Roar Rookie


Welsh Rugby was built off the back of miners and the common man but the rest of the home nations was the upper class and private schools. Miners have certain bodies because of the work they do and they had to be agile in tight spaces, the other nations had to be more proscribed in training/development to get the same player. When the mines closed Wales had to wait for the URC and Gats to put in the new system to bring back those players. SS and HC worked and are still working, RA just needs to take those u20s that are being produced and replace what got lost in professionalism. Leinster/England/SA/NZ was built on the school system and Munster/Scotland/France/Wales/Italy was on the Club system, RA just need to look outside Sydney to find a solution how other places have adapted or in Munster's case failed to adapt.

2022-11-15T16:39:56+00:00

Brendan NH Fan

Roar Rookie


It could be he isn't giving people the feedback needed to the players. When he left Glasgow one of the themes from players was he had his favourites who go his time while the rest were in and out and none the wiser what that changed to get them selected or dropped. If WS can't jump but fills the better role in DR plan of the 1 man ruck then he should tell all his backrowers they need to be doing lineout jumping if they want to get selected. Or if Hooper is very good at what he does and he is needed then what he lacks you tell the other backrow players that they need to show they can do those things.

2022-11-15T16:34:52+00:00

Brendan NH Fan

Roar Rookie


Don't agree on Gordon. I think players who cost teams wins should be made clear to them what they did wrong and what they need to show what to be back in favour. Coaches like JS would make players afraid to make any mistake so they made no errors but were predictable. Oz has a discipline problem that needs to be fixed more so than one player, Swain could have cost Oz the NZ game, but he didn't.

2022-11-15T16:30:55+00:00

Brendan NH Fan

Roar Rookie


These youngster have been told since they were in the high performance unit in Italy that 5 Nations don't think they are good enough to be in the 6 Nations and that no one in Italy thinks they are good enough but that they are and they can beat everyone if they put in the work and play like Italians. Because of that they always play with the emotion much like Argentina but now also have the skills to play but know they must play their best. When you get told all week that Italy will try but its a chance for you to shine you don't bring the same focus. any I agree seeing the players line up often tells you their mindset, some people get emotional, some emotionalless but you want to see something.

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