St George Illawarra Dragons 2018 season preview

By Eddie Otto / Roar Guru

The Dragons led the competition for eight Rounds in 2017 before imploding to miss the finals.

With the acquisitions of James Graham and Ben Hunt can the Red V finally get back to being a serious contender after years in the wilderness?

Last season
Ninth, 12 wins, 12 losses, 533 points scored, 450 points against

Last five seasons
14th, 11th, eighth, 11th, ninth

2017 review
The Dragons would have been very disappointed to miss the finals, finishing in ninth spot, despite leading the competition after eight rounds.

However, we should bear in mind that this side came into 2018 as the second favourites for the wooden spoon and exceeded many people’s expectations. Of course there will be intense disappointment, and rightly so, given they only had to beat the Bulldogs in the final round to qualify in seventh place.

The Dragons finished the 2017 regular season with the third best points differential in the competition, meaning they suffered a few costly close losses in games they should have won. I enjoyed their style of football a lot more last season, with less slow and predictable set plays and a more direct style of football, with plenty of off loads and second phase play.

2018 gains: James Graham (Bulldogs), Ben Hunt (Broncos), Jeremy Latimore (Sharks), Darren Nicholls (Panthers), Mitch Allgood (Wakefield Trinity)

2018 losses: Josh Dugan (Sharks), Russell Packer (Wests Tigers), Mose Masoe (Hull Kingston Rovers), Will Matthews (Widnes Vikings), Tyrone McCarthy (Salford Red Devils), Taane Milne (Wests Tigers), Josh McCrone (Toronto Wolfpack), Drew Hutchison (Leigh Centurions), Siliva Havili (Raiders)

I think the Dragons have done really well in the player market, picking up two big name signings in Ben Hunt and James Graham. While Hunt will have plenty of pressure on him to perform, I think he will enjoy that, as he never seemed to have the full faith of Wayne Bennett in Brisbane.

James Graham, I believe, will have a new lease of life this year. There is no doubt he is an inspirational leader and will be a great influence off the paddock, however looked weighed down, and his form dipped, last season at the Bulldogs. I think it was a good move for the Dragons not to offer Josh Dugan a big-money deal as I don’t think he has been great value for them overall. He averages 17 games a year, and last season his form was patchy, and I think his best years as a strike player are probably behind him.

(NRLPhotos/Gregg Porteous)

Coach – Paul McGregor
I think Paul McGregor is once again one of the most under pressure coaches in the game heading into 2018. McGregor has mentioned in the press that he finally has the roster he wants in his fourth full season in charge, so there really can’t be any excuses this season.

I actually thought McGregor did a decent job last season, however the fact they led the competition after eight rounds, and failed to make the finals from there, was a black mark against his name.

McGregor now has a pretty decent roster at his disposal, so Saints’ fans will be expecting a positive brand of football this season. Saints’ fans are harsh taskmasters though, and they will be wondering whether McGregor has the personality to steer a big club back to the Promised Land, given another late season fade out.

Anything less than a top eight finish and I think McGregor is probably a shot duck.

(AAP Image/Michael Chambers)

Most important player
Ben Hunt. You don’t sign a contract worth over $5 million for five seasons if you are not going to be the most important player at the Red V for this year, and perhaps a few years to come.

Hunt will be expected to form a deadly halves combination with Gareth Widdop, after Widdop excelled last season as the chief playmaker.

The Red V really have not had a dominant half since Jamie Soward was at his best between 2009-2011, and the fact they have only made the finals once since 2011 shows why they were desperate to fill a void at halfback.

Ben Hunt had an outstanding 2015, however his form at the Broncos was patchy over the past couple of seasons, and the question remains whether he can move to Sydney and elevate his name to become one of the premier playmakers in the game and lead the Dragons back towards another premiership.

2018 Likely Side – 1. Matt Dufty, 2. Jason Nightingale, 3. Euan Aitken, 4. Tim Lafai, 5. Nene MacDonald, 6. Gareth Widdop (C), 7. Ben Hunt, 8. Paul Vaughan, 9. Cameron McInnes, 10. James Graham, 11. Tyson Frizell, 12. Tariq Sims, 13. Jack De Belin. Bench – 14. Kurt Mann, 15. Leeson Ah Mau, 16. Jacob Host, 17. Luciano Leilua

2018 verdict – fourth
I think the Dragons have the potential to be a very good side in 2018, so I am tipping them as a surprise packet to make the top four.

I think Graham will be great for them in terms of some genuine leadership at the club when they are involved in some of those close games.

I also think Ben Hunt can form a really good combination with Gareth Widdop, which should make this side hard to contain on both sides of the field.

I think Matt Dufty can be an upgrade on Josh Dugan at fullback, given his speed, and hopefully having put on a bit more size over the off-season.

Their back row is the real strength of the team with Frizell and De Belin in particular very damaging ball runners.

Last year, as the Dragons’ challenge fizzled out, Gareth Widdop started to burn out, whereas this season his combination with Ben Hunt will ensure this side have different avenues to the try line.

I think this side can physically dominate sides as well as having the size across the park and strike power to be a real point scoring threat. I am tipping this is the Red V’s best season in a number of years as they sneak into the top four with 15 wins.

Eddie’s ladder
Fourth: St George Illawarra Dragons
Fifth: Canberra RaidersSixth: Manly Warringah Sea EaglesSeventh: Brisbane BroncosEighth: Penrith PanthersNinth: Parramatta EelsTenth: North Queensland Cowboys11th: Newcastle Knights
12th: South Sydney Rabbitohs
13th: Gold Coast Titans
14th: Canterbury Bankstown Bulldogs
15th: Wests Tigers
16th: New Zealand Warriors

The Crowd Says:

2018-03-06T00:00:59+00:00

KenW

Guest


Cooper Cronk is the biggest halfback purchase of this season clearly, and yet he is replacing Mitch Pearce who (at club level at least) is already a top-level halfback. So the true gain is not that large. Ben Hunt is replacing Josh McCrone... this is the reason I'm excited as a Dragons supporter coming into this season. Those maligned backline players might find they've got some more opportunities too. The addition of Graham into an already tough forward pack & the potential of Dufty is just icing on top.

2018-03-05T03:22:05+00:00

Jim

Guest


I find the dragons this season as hard to gauge as several other recent seasons to be perfectly honest. Hunt should improve the halves no end, but like other comments on here, I do have concerns with the backline and also with McGregor as a coach - but optimistic they will finish somewhere between 5-8 and improve on last year. if they don't, the only satisfactory answer would be for Mcgregor to get the chop.

2018-03-05T01:48:34+00:00

Dodgy dragons

Guest


I have to agree regarding Mcgregor, if we don’t make the finals this year he should get the chop. The power game thru the middle that they played at the start of last year was awesome, but the loss of Widdop on Anzac Day to play of the back of that was huge. They also lost Packer around the same time which weakened the power game. Hopefully with Hunt coming in this year will be an extra foil, because without Widdop we were pretty ordinary in attack. Their stratagies also need to adapt to their opposition because a lot of teams had worked them out by round 10, and unfortunately they returned to the crap that they put up every week in2016. His use of interchange baffles me. Vaughan and Packer were used almost exclusively together for about 20 mins each half, Frizell was used as a battering ram instead of a strike weapon on the edges and in the back half of the season the defensive line was always hanging back waiting where at the beginning of the year they were up in the face of the opposition. I don’t know if it fitness or a change in game plan but it was ultimately to our detriment. Confidence is key and if we have a good opening to the season, without many injuries we should give it a good run this year. I hope.

2018-03-05T01:41:39+00:00

The Koomz

Guest


Top 4 is too much, top 6 is a big possibly. Graham's combination with De Belin in the middle setting up Sim's and Frizzel's angle running is mouth watering. They have 2 off cuff playmakers so they surly will be one of the most entertaining teams but consistency is a big issue. Paul Vaughn to be a Blues bolter and will top the try scoring list for front rowers at the season's end. Couple of good young forwards in Blake Lawrie, Sele and Leilua. Sele definitely needs a contract extension. This time the Saints will be marching in into September!!!!!

2018-03-05T01:24:08+00:00

Charles NSW

Guest


Like all fans, you hope that your team can go l the way against the best their is to offer. However their are many battles along the way to get there and the reason many fail along the way.. The fact is that the Dragons did not have the talent in 2017 to go all the way and it showed in the latter part of the year. Despite all the bagging of Paul McGregor cops from being the coach, he did have the Dragons show some really good stuff to work on for this year. He is our very own and with the service he has given the Dragons we need to give the coach every opportunity to develop as a top lone coach. His main purpose was to try and establish a team with the right players in each position but to some extent it was his downfall. He had players making too many errors and we needed the juniors to be given more or a chance then they had.. In the backs he needs to have Lafai, McDonald and Aitken showing the way or find juniors to take their place and in the forwards he needs have his rotation of his forwards working well. The inclusion of Hunt is a real step forward and it will establish a good spine to go forward with. In regards to Nightingale if need be, their may be an option to move him in the centres as he had worked both the wings and fullback and is a very experienced player. If the Dragons fix up these problems we will be in the top four! .

2018-03-05T01:20:57+00:00

The Barry

Roar Guru


Don’t get me wrong I’m not tipping them to finish that high...but I think that’s their ceiling if they get everyone performing consistently, have a good run with injuries etc. But my concern is the gap between best and worst a lot of these players have and how regularly that gap is realised. McDonald should be a world beater, he’s big, strong, athletic but he just goes MIA in games. Sims can be the same. Even Widdop. Compare his 2016 and 2017. At the end of 2016 he was a laughing stock and regarded as the most over rated player in the comp. He killed it last year. That’s how Hunt plays too. So Like last year I can see the Dragons smoking good teams but then losing games they shouldn’t...unless McGregor finds the key to consistency. It’s certainly a roller coaster ride for Dragons fans...

2018-03-05T01:00:44+00:00

Scott Pryde

Expert


Aitken has battled with injury at times - I expect him to be in for a breakout season TB...Still top four baffles me. I don't think I could predict them that high and justify it although I'd love to see it happen.

2018-03-05T00:14:35+00:00

JohnnoMcJohnno

Roar Rookie


Nightingale, Lafai, MacDonald and Aitken are all internationals, so that's 4 based on world cup games. Doesn't change my opinion that they are bog average when they play for StGI. Last season Aitken was injured, Lafai was good until his contract was renewed, MacDonald was lazy and Nightingale is slowing down. Apart from Dufty there are no speedsters in that backline, and in the games I watched they were never threatening in attack, and a liability in defence.

2018-03-04T22:48:59+00:00

The Barry

Roar Guru


Dragons are the biggest enigmas in the comp for mine. 2015 they were battlers but hung tough to make the eight 2016 they were awful in attack 2017 red hot to start the year but died in the backside in the latter half with some embarrassing, inexcusable losses to bottom of the ladder teams. If they get everyone playing at their potential, I could see them being in the mix for the top four. The problem is getting that consistency particularly from their backline. Guys like Aitken, Lafai and McDonald have massive upsides when they’re on but you’re never 100% sure what you’re going to get. At times in the past Widdop has been similar. Hunt is that type of a player too where he can be killing it and then switch off for a few weeks. Dufty looks quality but he’s only a little bloke and this will be his first full season. It will be interesting to see how he’s going by round 12 or so where he’s been carting the ball back, running at the line, getting smashed every now and then. Feels like it’s been a long season already but there’s still no end in sight. I’m not sold on McGregor as a coach. I still don’t think the Dragons have an identifiable attacking structure. Last year they were at their best when Widdop was playing off the cuff and they were off loading like maniacs. It’s an entertaining (at times) but high risk approach.

2018-03-04T22:31:51+00:00

Paul

Guest


A bog average backline with 3 international players in it? The same mob also managed the third highest points tally last year, so if they're bog average, it doesn't say much for the other backlines in the comp.

2018-03-04T22:29:00+00:00

Paul

Guest


This is an excellent summary Eddie and it wouldn't surprise me in the slightest if your prediction came true about their finishing position. On the other hand, if McGregor doesn't get it right from game 1, he's out the door an they're no chance to make the finals.

2018-03-04T22:08:47+00:00

JohnnoMcJohnno

Roar Rookie


OK. As a StGI supporter I feel flattered, and yet dubious. A top 4 finish? Yes the forwards can physically dominate, yes they have damaging ball running forwards, and yes they finally have a good halfback. What they don't have is strike power in the backs. The backline of Lafai, Aitken, MacDonald and Nightingale is Bog average with a capital 'B', and while Dufty at fullback looks the goods he is yet to play a full season. Based on last years performance, when they come up against other sides with good forwards, even lower ranked sides like Canterbury or Souths, then they have nothing else. I hope I'm wrong but I don't see this changing. Top 8 is a definite possibility but I think top 4 is a bridge too far.

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