The Roar's Euro 2020 expert tips and predictions: Italy vs England

By Stuart Thomas / Expert

Euro 2020 has not disappointed.

From the moment the Italians opened the tournament in style, through the tragedy that struck the Danes with the serious health concerns of Christian Eriksen and the powerful home-based charge of the English, the event has produced in spades.

Now just two nations remain in what looks a compelling and intriguing final where identifying the winner appears a mighty tough task. With one more successful tip, the voice of the crowd will have done it again and triumphed over the so-called experts.

Good luck with your selection and be sure to enter it in the sheet below to have a decisive say in the final standings. Here is the way the panels sees the Euro 2020 final playing out.

Mike Tuckerman
England

It’s coming home, isn’t it? Such is the stranglehold the English-speaking media has over the world game, the mere act of failing to publicly declare your undying love for Gareth Southgate’s men tends to lead some of their more spirited fans to want to lock you up in the Tower of London for treason. But put aside the more self-congratulatory elements of their fan base and England really are a very good football team.

From memory, I tipped England to finish as runner-up in the tournament, but I can’t see them coming off second-best against Italy. The major point of difference will surely come in attack, with Harry Kane and Raheem Sterling always looking likely for the English while Ciro Immobile continues to fire blanks.

(Photo by Vincent Mignott/DeFodi Images via Getty Images)

The Azzurri might have had better luck starting the bullish Andrea Belotti up front but with Roberto Mancini loathe to change a winning team, I reckon this is England’s final to lose. They’ll be noticeably nervous but a spirited Wembley Stadium should see them surge home.

Stuart Thomas
Italy

In spite of potentially annoying the English folk who have come charging throughout the week even further, after my column that accurately questioned the empire as the true home of football, I still have the courage to cheer on the Italians in what looks an epic final.

After the dodgiest of penalties saw the Three Lions triumph over the brave Danes, I’d like to think that there is some sense of justice in the world and the team that, in my opinion, has been the most consistent throughout the tournament earns the right to hold the trophy aloft come Monday morning. Gianluigi Donnarumma to save everything that comes his way and Italy to be the 2020 Euro champions.

(Photo by Matteo Ciambelli/DeFodi Images via Getty Images)

Texi Smith
England

This is it. Italy and England in the final courtesy of 120 minutes of drama in the semi-finals, both looking to spearhead a dominant period in European competition and both with the weight of a nation on their shoulders. Expectation is high, failure is not an option, winning is the only way to win the hearts of the fans and respite from the insatiable media.

The sublime skill and confidence of the Italians will outshine anything that England can offer early on. It will be men against boys. If you thought Raheem Sterling went down cheaply, this will be a masterclass from the Azzuri. They will frustrate and bait the crowd with every free-kick, and the panic will spread through the England defence whenever Ciro Immobile gets on the ball in a one-versus-four situation.

As nervous as they are in defence, the miraculous pace of Kyle Walker will be their saviour, mopping up behind the busy John Stones and Harry Maquire and preventing more unpredictable distribution from their short-armed goalkeeper.

With an hour gone and no goals, Italy knocking on the door and the home fans just shouting incoherently in confusion, a breakaway by Sterling will draw players to him. He will slip the ball to Kane, who shoots first time from well outside the box and the ball floats in over the despairing dive of Donnarumma; a goal that Papiss Cisse would be proud of.

(Photo by Shaun Botterill – UEFA/UEFA via Getty Images)

The burst of emotion throughout Wembley, London and England will be orgasmic. England have 28 minutes to hang on. Jack Grealish is told to put his tracksuit back on.

What we endure for the remainder of the game is a procession. Italy attacking slowly and methodically, England committing no one to attack and relying on the solitary figure of Harry Kane to relieve pressure with short bursts. Free kicks for Italy are launched into the area as time runs out, Federico Chiesa shooting wide from ten yards as the ball falls at his feet, sinking to his knees in disbelief as Jordan Pickford pretends not to be able to find a ball behind the advertising hoardings.

The arms go up, Gareth Southgate and Roberto Mancini embrace as Wembley descends into madness around them. The fans cannot get any more worked up, there are faintings, clothes are off, there is lots of crying, smashing of seats, fighting and hugging. Robbie Williams’ Angels blasts around the stadium. England have won the Euros. It’s incredible. The best team didn’t win. You heard it here first.

Pablo Bateson
England

They probably could not be described as epic semi-finals, yet both were on a knife-edge until a result was finally confirmed. Italy did what they do best in very tight matches by holding their nerve in the penalty shootout, while England were given a huge test by their amazing Danish opponents before eventually prevailing.

The home final at Wembley Stadium gives England a huge psychological advantage. They are on a roll, having scored ten goals while conceding only one from a direct free-kick. Forecast weather for Sunday evening is once again for fine and mild conditions.

Confidence is sky-high across the Three Lions squad and my expectations are for their big guns especially Raheem Sterling to shine when it matters the most. Italy started like a rocket during the group stage, yet through the knock-out stages they have only done enough to win through each time in close encounters and conceded goals on multiple occasions.

The key for the Azzurri will probably be not conceding first, keeping things tight and then taking advantage of counter-attacking opportunities to convert. Lorenzo Insigne and Immobile must be at their peak to take such chances.

Consistent with my prediction before the tournament started, I’m tipping England to take the title and win in normal time.

Finals Mike Stuart Texi Pablo The Crowd
ITA vs ENG ENG ITA ENG ENG ?
Current total 26 27 32 26 33

The Crowd Says:

2021-07-11T20:29:26+00:00

Roberto Bettega

Roar Rookie


Italy equalises on the 67th from goal mouth scramble following corner.

2021-07-11T20:01:44+00:00

Roberto Bettega

Roar Rookie


No live call of the game?

2021-07-11T14:03:20+00:00

Marcel

Guest


There's a YouTube video compiling all of England's goals in qualifying and the tournament to date... probably 85% of them are 6yrd tap ins... remarkable consistency. If any team has the defensive smarts to shut that down then it's Italy. Form seems to suggest 0-0 then penalties..let's hope that's wrong.

2021-07-11T11:50:32+00:00

Worlds Biggest

Guest


Very hard to split both teams, Spinazolla will be a big loss particularly against the speedy English wide players. The ageing Italian central defence could be vulnerable to this speed. This is where England have an advantage along with the boisterous home support. On the other side, the pressure on England is immense to deliver a trophy. They can’t keep hanging there hat on 66. Italy have been a juggernaut under Mancini and are a very tough team to beat. I can see this game going down to the wire, Sterling to garner a penalty with a contentious decision again going there way. Kane to slot home the winner and England winning 2-1. I am hoping Italy however I think fate is with the home team.

2021-07-11T10:06:05+00:00

Brendan

Roar Pro


I’m awaiting the fast cars & beeping horns of Leichhardt’s Norton Street. Doin’ it for Sydney’s Little Italy!

2021-07-11T05:08:50+00:00

Reg

Guest


Italy by 2 within 90 minutes.

2021-07-11T04:43:39+00:00

Rellum

Roar Guru


Really hope the Azzuri pull this one out. The world of sport will be near unbearable if England win.

2021-07-11T03:24:41+00:00

Nick Symonds

Guest


OFF TOPIC - CHANGING AUSTRALIAN DEMOGRAPHICS I was just reading an article on economics which included an interesting fact, that more than half of all Australians today were born after 1980. That's interesting because the A-League has the youngest fan base of any football code in Australia at just the same time that this change has happened.

2021-07-11T03:12:30+00:00

Anibal Pyro

Roar Rookie


And the most Youth World cup Winners . Argentina U20 and Brazil U17

2021-07-11T03:11:11+00:00

Anibal Pyro

Roar Rookie


Not even a live blog of the Final of the Oldest tournament of nations of the world. A Final with Messi vs Neymar. A Superclasico. The greatest soccer rivals of all the world. At the Maracana. Between them 7 WCs, 24 Copas Américas, 3 Olympics Gold, best players of the history PELE and Maradona. And no live blog.

2021-07-11T03:05:02+00:00

Anibal Pyro

Roar Rookie


Eurotrash. Argentina is the Champion of the Copa América!!! In Brazil, against Brazil, at the Maracana!!! What a fight!!! Brasil decime que se siente, tener en casa a tu papá!! A Messi lo vas a ver, la copa nos va a traer, Maradona es MAS GRANDE QUE PELE!!! MESSI finally did it.!!!! Bring England or Italia, Argentina and Brazil will smashed them!!!

2021-07-11T02:41:37+00:00

Big Mig

Roar Rookie


Lionheart – with you 100% on “hope for a good game from both teams” but dont be too sensitive on the ‘spite against england’ as Tuckerman aptly pens in his above commentary “the mere act of failing to publicly declare your undying love for Gareth Southgate’s men tends to lead some of their more spirited fans to want to lock you up in the Tower of London for treason”. Brilliant, and may the best team win.

2021-07-11T02:33:40+00:00

Lionheart

Roar Rookie


once again I'm nonplussed about who wins and hope for a good game from both teams. A shout out to my neighbor who in 2010 was outside at 2am pulling down his Italian flag when Italy got turfed out of the World Cup at the Group Stage. He hoisted a kiwi flag instead. I do find the spite against England a bit rich, coming from Sydney and Melbourne pundits who, on another level, think they are the centre of the world, just like they accuse England.

2021-07-11T01:21:48+00:00

Big Mig

Roar Rookie


Having enjoyed Stuart's columns of late, I am going with Italy to win. The Azzurri go into the Euro 2020 final on the back of a record 33-match unbeaten run, having finished top of their group before beating Austria, Belgium and Spain in the round of 16, quarter-finals and semi-finals respectively. But the English also deserve to be in the final. Both are playing well and have been solid over the last 6 months as well have had some pretty good wins, both are very tactical rather than rely on 1 or 2 players. If you look at the English bench, it is one of the best I have ever seen, as is the Italian. By that I mean, either substitution is usually a good one. The French. Belgium and Portuguese for example probably relied too much on their mega stars. I think the English have a better bench but the Italians are more tactical. So it will be a good hard fought, tactical game up to about the 70 minute mark. Then nerves and legs start to go. Then it will be Italy by 2 goals.

2021-07-11T00:59:51+00:00

Buddy

Roar Rookie


I just want to see some skill, flair and pace, often lacking in finals. So many tournaments have the best games in the early rounds before the stakes become unbearably high! Lots of pressure real or imagined on England being the hosts and having the “wonderful” media lovingly referred to as Fleet Street - that’s another part of a bygone era. It’s slightly amusing to see the vitriol over the 3 Lions song around the globe which after all was written when England was hosting a tournament and lamenting all those awful performances post the 66 World Cup but still holding out hope despite the evidence before them. How it got into origins is beyond me but at least provided some entertaining reading this week, better than reading covid tales and NRL mishaps! BTW - Head says Italy, heart says England.

2021-07-11T00:29:31+00:00

JGK

Roar Guru


Meanwhile Di Maria scores a lovely goal to put Argentina ahead in the Copa final.

2021-07-11T00:28:08+00:00

fabian gulino

Roar Rookie


Italy 3 - England 2. Go Italy.

2021-07-10T23:17:52+00:00

Chopper

Roar Rookie


England to win with Stuart backing Italy.

2021-07-10T22:47:40+00:00

DP Schaefer

Roar Rookie


sad to say, expecting a dive-a-thon of Olympic proportions. disgraceful measures taken by both teams to get there and no wonder NRL is getting a sour taste with theatrics. Its time FIFA did something and refs handed out some diving yellow cards. 1 each for England and Italy in the lead up and Argentina. Soccer is a much better game to watch when playing skill is deciding games, not acting...

2021-07-10T22:40:26+00:00

The Late News

Roar Rookie


Ciao Poms.....

More Comments on The Roar

Read more at The Roar