Legacy on the line: Smith competing with all-time greats, and Voges, as he takes opening gamble in final phase of career

By Paul Suttor / Expert

The Steve Smith to opener experiment could determine whether he finishes his Test career as the world’s statistically best batter since Donald Bradman or yet another batting behemoth who tails off in their twilight years. 

For the first time since Australia’s disastrous home series loss to South Africa in 2016, Smith has tumbled out of the top 10 list for greatest batting averages in history. 

After making 14 and 11 not out in his opening foray at the top of the order at Adelaide last week, his average is now 57.8, placing him 11th all time, a fraction ahead of legendary West Indies all-rounder Sir Garfield Sobers. 

Above him and everyone else is Bradman’s iconic 99.94, followed by a group of greats, plus England’s rising star Harry Brook and the anomaly of the bunch, Adam Voges, the Western Australian who enjoyed a fruitful, yet brief, Test career in his late 30s nearly a decade ago before a serious concussion led to him retiring.

Using 20 innings as the minimum requirement, Brook has surged into second spot at 62.15 ahead of Voges (61.87) with the likes of South Africa’s Graeme Pollock, Windies pioneers George Headley and Everton Weekes, and England quartet Herb Sutcliffe, Eddie Paynter, Sir Walter Hammond and Ken Barrington the only other names ahead of Smith. 

Player Tests/Innings Runs High Score Average
DG Bradman (Aus) 52/80 6996 334 99.94
HC Brook (Eng) 12/20 1181 186 62.15
AC Voges (Aus) 20/31 2667 269* 61.87
RG Pollock (SA) 23/41 2256 274 60.97
GA Headley (WI) 22/40 2190 270* 60.83
H Sutcliffe (Eng) 54/84 4555 194 60.73
E Paynter (Eng) 20/31 1540 243 59.23
KF Barrington (Eng) 82/131 6806 256 58.67
ED Weekes (WI) 48/81 4455 207 58.67
WR Hammond (Eng) 85/140 7249 336* 58.45
SPD Smith (Aus) 106/189 9537 239 57.8
GS Sobers 93/160 8032 365* 57.78

There was not a lot to be gleaned from Smith’s maiden Test as an opener – he looked assured at the crease as he got off to promising starts in each innings. 

He was brought undone by a superb first-up delivery from Windies debutant Shamar Joseph on day one on an atypical Adelaide pitch that was too grassy for a Test although it was the kind of delivery outside the line of off stump that dyed-in-the-wool openers would look to leave while the ball is still new. 

The Gabba pitch for Thursday’s second match won’t be the green monster which caused last year’s Test against South Africa to be done and dusted within two days. 

But any time the pink ball is in operation is a tricky one for top-order batters so even though the Aussies should overpower their eighth-ranked opponents, Smith is not guaranteed a run feast. 

Travis Head looks set to play despite contracting COVID-19 after his hometown Test. 

If he were to miss the match it would leave the selectors in a quandary given Matt Renshaw is the back-up batter in the squad. 

Steve Smith looks on after being dismissed by Shamar Joseph. (Photo by Paul Kane/Getty Images)

Would they throw him into the middle order again at Head’s No.5 spot after that tactic failed in India last year, meaning three of Australia’s specialist batters would be coming in at unfamiliar positions with a newbie opener in Smith and Cameron Green at four?

Or would they rush Renshaw in at opener in his preferred role, switching Smith back to four and dropping Green down a notch?

Despite a few cryptic comments last year surrounding his future, Smith’s not quite ready to be put out to pasture yet at 34 even though he has been hampered by a string of minor injuries.

Many of Australia’s best batters have tailed off in the final few years of their career, particularly when they had reached their mid 30s. 

Ricky Ponting, the player who rivals Smith for his dominance with the bat this century, went from a peak of 59.99 in his prime at 2006 to 51.85 when he retired six years later a few weeks shy of his 38th birthday. 

After turning 35, he scored just three centuries in 29 Tests at 37.19 as he eked out the final few series of his career after ceding the captaincy to Michael Clarke. 

Smith’s recently retired teammate David Warner is the latest example of a decline leading up to his Test retirement with 1475 runs from 26 Tests at 32.77 in the couple of years he played after turning 35. 

The production of Adam Gilchrist (37.16 in 11 Tests), Justin Langer (39.58 in 11) and Matthew Hayden (40.59 in 19) also dropped significantly as they entered the second half of their 30s. 

Perhaps it’s the mental fatigue not the physical deterioration that causes some players to fade away when the greys appear or hair starts to thin (before magically reappearing in Ponting’s case). 

A common theme among these players is that they played continuously at the top level for many years without respite. 

Warner’s fellow 37-year-old Usman Khawaja has bucked the trend recently after spending a few seasons out of the Test side while Voges didn’t even receive his baggy green until he was 35 when he became the oldest player in history to score a ton on debut. 

Bradman after 35? Well, he had a gap of more than eight years in the middle of his career due to World War II, padding up at 38 for the home Ashes of 1946-47 until his famous farewell tour to England two years later. 

In those 15 Tests he churned out another eight centuries as he piled on 1903 runs at 105.72. 

If not for his career coinciding with wartime, Bradman could have set aggregate records which would still stand today. 

Bradman’s tally of 6996 runs from 52 Tests is now the 57th highest total of all time as the generations that followed played more and more matches. 

His average will almost certainly never be bettered and whether Smith ends up second to The Don will depend on whether he can adapt to the opening role he’s volunteered to take on.

The Crowd Says:

2024-01-25T04:49:28+00:00

Barb Dwyer

Roar Rookie


As a person, he's already well ahead of Langer and Hayden.

2024-01-25T03:37:33+00:00

Duncan Smith

Roar Guru


Adam who? I have a voge memory of him.

2024-01-25T01:59:24+00:00

DaveJ

Roar Rookie


Hi Matth, thanks, yes I do have it, and looked at that ranking. But it’s actually opaque, and not explained in detail, how it’s calculated. I emailed him a couple of years ago to clarify, but he could no longer remember how it was done! So it ends up being a bit like the ICC rankings and some of the stuff CricViz produces- proprietary and in house rather than transparent and something most can follow and even apply themselves if they wanted to. US baseball is far better in this regard.

2024-01-25T01:14:20+00:00

Tufanooo

Roar Rookie


They're all fighting for that chance to sit on the silver medallist dais next to Cam Green anyway

2024-01-25T01:13:22+00:00

Tufanooo

Roar Rookie


Are there any grounds to sack McDonald though?

2024-01-25T01:09:18+00:00

Tufanooo

Roar Rookie


Yeah. Agreed.

2024-01-25T01:05:48+00:00

The Bush

Roar Guru


The sad thing with Smith is the what if of his career due to the ban and Covid. He was banned at 29, the peak time for a batsmen and then Covid meant that he missed something like 20 tests in his peak years (see 2019 Ashes). Had he performed in those years as you’d have expected, he’d have had more of a buffer on his average.

2024-01-24T22:54:49+00:00

jammel

Roar Rookie


Amazing stats again!

2024-01-24T22:50:30+00:00

All day Roseville all day

Roar Guru


Longest average innings duration- 164 balls - Bradman (and 61.0 runs per 100 balls) 163 balls - Sutcliffe (37.3 rp100b) 158 balls - Bruce Mitchell (SA, 30.9 rp100b) 154 balls - Sid Barnes (41.0 rp100b) 148 balls - Hutton (38.3 rp100b) 146 balls - Jardine (32.8 rp100b) 144 balls - Barrington (41.1 rp100b) For comparison, Warner faced 65 balls per innings on average.

2024-01-24T22:27:09+00:00

Ben Pobjie

Expert


You’re so angry that I said how good Cam Green is. You must hate him.

2024-01-24T20:23:47+00:00

matth

Roar Guru


It’s harder to find these days but see if you can track down a book by the statistician Charles Davis: Best of the Best. It addresses these issues and tries to come up with a single measure to rank players across periods, including using his methods to take a deep dive into some players like Trumper, Hobbs and Sutcliffe, etc.

2024-01-24T14:42:20+00:00

MO

Roar Rookie


Voges wasn’t a test great but he was a great first class batsman who just couldn’t get into the test team. He was and always would’ve been a very good test batsman. Eras and bulldust aside Damien martyn was very very talented as was Ponting. I love smith but Tendulkar did things as a teenager that have to be respected.

2024-01-24T14:28:34+00:00

HR

Roar Rookie


I think the reasoning used in the analysis is pretty sound, but there needs to be a qualifier of at least thirty or so innings applied (I've seen the suggestion somewhere that a batsman's average starts to converge to his long-term average around this number of innings). Barry Richards is one of the great what-if's unfortunately, but he just played too few tests to really be compared directly. And Arif similarly played too few, and benefited from most of his being played at home (and all of them being played on the subcontinent).

2024-01-24T14:18:30+00:00

Don Freo

Roar Rookie


Really? You support that kind of rubbish on these sites?

2024-01-24T14:17:27+00:00

Don Freo

Roar Rookie


No you didn't. You just went the playground taunt.

2024-01-24T14:13:53+00:00

Don Freo

Roar Rookie


That's because there isn't a Sean Marsh in first class cricket. There is, however, predictive texting in 2024.

2024-01-24T11:27:20+00:00

Ben Pobjie

Expert


You think I made a point? Thanks!

2024-01-24T09:55:46+00:00

Bloodman

Roar Rookie


Good one, Ben

2024-01-24T09:55:20+00:00

Bloodman

Roar Rookie


I hope he succeeds. We need someone born after 1995 to succeed in this team. Too many veterans in this team who will be past their prime 5 years from now.

2024-01-24T09:45:58+00:00

Stuart Bywater

Roar Rookie


Steve Smith: 2022: 876 runs at 58.14. 2023: 979 runs at 42.22 Hardly mediocre

More Comments on The Roar

Read more at The Roar