Super Rugby tipping panel round 2: Brumbies' title aspirations get early test, Penney to pile pressure on old club

By The Roar / Editor

We’re off to Melbourne this week for Super Round and, like the teams involved, some tipsters are looking to shore up their week one advantage while others are quickly trying to make up for lost ground.

There are some interesting match ups with the best game coming on Sunday afternoon when the Brumbies go head-to-head with the Chiefs. If an Australian team is to make it to the last game of the season, then that might just be a repeat of this one.

Last week our Rugby Editor Christy Doran was among those who tipped the round, He has to falter at some stage.

Christy Doran

Blues, Rebels, Drua, Crusaders, Brumbies, Hurricanes

Two clear of Harps, so that’s all that matters. But it’s early doors.

The Blues might have rested a couple of All Blacks but they should still have too much muscle up front and potency out wide for the Highlanders. 

As dreadful as the Rebels were last week, they created plenty of opportunities against the Brumbies. That bodes well against the Force, who won’t be as dogged in defence. Look for Taniela Tupou to go after the Force’s scrum.

Moana Pasifka put up a good fight against the Highlanders in an entertaining match up. They’ll be in it against the Drua but the Fijians will respond.

The Crusaders have lost Tamaiti Williams but they’ve brought in Fletcher Newell. That’s a handy replacement. The Crusaders should have too much class for the Waratahs and finish them off in the final 20.

Sunday’s the most exciting day of action. The Chiefs’ combination of Damian McKenzie, Anton Lienert Brown and Shaun Stevenson is scary, but the Brumbies’ forward pack shaves last year’s runners-up. Brumbies, just.

I wouldn’t rule out the Reds given the Hurricanes have lost a couple in the back-row, but the Hurricanes still have plenty of explosiveness in the front-row and in the back line.

Nick Wasiliev

Blues, Rebels, Drua, Crusaders, Chiefs, Reds

Ahh well, the sheen sure came off quickly in round one! While the Force and Rebels let the side down with off-the-pace performances on Friday, there were still victories to be had: a Brumbies side who could land a bonus point even when they weren’t playing well, and a Reds side that oozed creative flair in attack.

And with that, it brings us to Super Round: The return of Ethan de Groot and Jermaine Ainsley is a godsend for the Highlanders, and Rhys Patchell also gave them a lot more composure in the backline, but the Blues on paper have the superior squad in nearly every other position.

Ethan de Groot. (Photo by David Rogers/Getty Images)

The men from Auckland should get home, despite the omissions of Caleb Clarke and Rieko Ioane. Force, Rebels… I’m not angry, just disappointed. You two sides OWE us a good, entertaining match of rugby!

Aside from the welcome return of Jeremy Williams, the Force have their work cut out up front and in set piece. With the Tongan Thor and Alex Mafi brought into the starting side and experienced campaigner Matt Proctor starting in the centres, the Rebels should have superior firepower.

 I’m going Drua, but not by much. There are few things I love more than a coach and team proving me wrong, and if last week is anything to go by, Tana Umaga’s time as an assistant coach has done him the world of good. Moana Pasifika should put up a good fight.

 It was interesting to note that when it comes to away-from-home form, the Waratahs have proven a handful for the Crusaders, winning in 2022 and 2019. However, given their omissions of Lalakai Foketi, Izaia Perese and potentially Marky Mark from the backline, plus the quality across the Canterbury squad, you’re a brave person to pick them!

(Photo by Brett Hemmings/Getty Images)

Chiefs-Brumbies is the match of the round, and I’ve honestly gone back and forth between them. Honestly, the key difference is a certain DMac’s inclusion. If Josh Ioane was starting, I’d likely be backing the men from Canberra. Expect a close thriller. 

Sunday is the best day, not just because of quality clashes but it also serves as a real measuring stick for Australia’s two most promising sides. This is the Reds moment to send a statement: their attack looks very strong, and if the front pack matches up to the Hurricanes in terms of physicality, they should bring this one home.  

Hamish Bidwell

Blues, Rebels, Moana Pasifika, Crusaders, Chiefs, Hurricanes

The Blues just boast that bit of quality that the Highlanders, for all their effort, won’t be able to cope with. I’d say this one should be a comfortable 10 to 15 points.

Who’s worse? The Rebels or the Force? I tend to think Rebels, but I’ve tipped them nonetheless. Neither showed much aptitude last week.

Moana Pasifika will try hard this year and, while their bodies aren’t too knocked around, they might earn a win or two. This needs to be one of them.

(Photo by Asanka Ratnayake/Getty Images)

I sincerely hope to see the Crusaders win by 25 to 30 points. I was pleasantly surprised by how close they got to the Chiefs in round one.

I admire the Brumbies, but this is a big step up in class from last week. I’m not sure they’ve got as many points in them as the Chiefs do.

The Reds were quite impressive against the Waratahs and boast some good athletes. We’ll see if the Hurricanes have too much rugby smarts for them.

Tony Harper

Blues, Rebels, Drua, Crusaders, Chiefs, Reds

The strategy of looking at Doran’s tips and finding a point of difference didn’t work last week but unlike Eddie Jones after a Bledisloe Cup match, it’s not quite time to throw a plan out the window and think about my tipping in four years from now.

So my point of difference games are the last two, where I’ve got the Chiefs to carry on their impressive opening round form by beating the Brumbies, and the finale of Super Round, where I’m all in on red.

There’s nothing I like more than a passionate Kiss and we’ve seen some insight this week into the Reds boss. Whereas his previous dealings have been low key – there was plenty to enjoy in the f-bombs he unleashed to to rally the troops before and during the impressive win over the Waratahs.

The Rebels vs Force will give us another look at two young men who hope to wear the No.10 jersey for the Wallabies this season. I think Carter Gordon had a stinker last week, but only marginally less of one than Ben Donaldson. He should bounce back, and so should the Rebels at home.

It’s going to be sweet revenge for Rob Penney over the Waratahs – but don’t expect him to gloat over the fate of Darren Coleman – he knows exactly how this feels.

Moana Pasifika have never beaten the Drua and that trend will continue – they’ve got spirit, just not enough quality.

Round 2 Christy Nick Tony Hamish The Crowd
Overall 6 5 4 4 5
Last week 6 5 4 4 5
HIG v BLU Blues Blues Blues Blues ?
REB v FOR Rebels Rebels Rebels Rebels ?
MOA v FIJ Drua Drua Drua Moana ?
CRU v WAR Crusaders Crusaders Crusaders Crusaders ?
CHI v BRU Brumbies Chiefs Chiefs Chiefs ?
HUR v RED Hurricanes Reds Reds Hurricanes

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The Crowd Says:

2024-03-01T05:27:09+00:00

ThugbyFan

Roar Guru


Week 1 bombed as I never thought the Rebels backline could be so lacking in ideas. When they had the pill they were so atrocious that they make England seem like the Hurricanes. Tips for 1st-3rd March, the so-called Melbourne Super Round Blues (A) to beat Highlanders by 5 Melbourne Rebels (H) to belt the Western Force Fijian Drua (A) to crush Moana Pasifika Crusaders (H) to flog the NSW Waratahs Chiefs (H) too good for ACT Brumbies Reds (A) to pip the Canes in a thriller.

2024-03-01T02:54:58+00:00

Riccardo

Roar Rookie


That's similar to suggesting the Black Caps might make Aussie bat again... that there's still a mathematical chance... that it's the Warrior's year... but... sob... appreciate the positivity...

2024-03-01T01:11:46+00:00

Colvin Brown

Roar Guru


You're not bottom Riccardo. You're 176th. Could be worse. Plenty of room for improvement.

2024-03-01T00:50:12+00:00

Wig1

Roar Rookie


Crap I didn't vote last week.

2024-03-01T00:47:09+00:00

Wig1

Roar Rookie


Don't let me down force I have your back

2024-03-01T00:38:55+00:00

ScottD

Roar Guru


I'd love to tip the Force but with the squad being a specialist 2nd rower short and with 4 of their best 6 props not available (Moli, Hoopert, Pearce, Wagner), I just don't think they will have the platform to deliver good ball to the backs. It will be interesting to see how Ryan Coxon goes, fortunately he has at least played with Feleti Kaitu'u in the NPC and has been training with them for a couple of weeks so not as bad as being completely new.

2024-02-29T23:48:58+00:00

Ankle-tapped Waterboy

Roar Rookie


Home game wins for all.

2024-02-29T23:32:29+00:00

Riccardo

Roar Rookie


Bugger. Just found me... at the bottom... with 2 picks... Must have been drunk posting/picking... D'oh!

2024-02-29T23:30:46+00:00

piru

Roar Rookie


Good to see our plan has paid off and everyone has stopped tipping us already. Blues, Force, Drua, Crusaders, Brumbies, Canes

2024-02-29T22:08:36+00:00

Bluesfan


Comp needs the Reds and Brumbies to win vs. Hurricanes and Chiefs. Playing in Oz with crowd behind them and a new Wallabies coach in the stands watching not sure how much more motovation they need. Chiefs have lost a fair few key players - Sam Cane, Retallick, Sowakula, Weber and Nankivell - all starters last year. So if Brumbies can't beat Chiefs - where does that leave them? Then Hurricanes - Lost both Savea's and Dane Coles. Pretty hard to replace Ardie so Reds should be going in and expecting to dominate in the loose forwards. Given all 3 Reds have played for the Wallabies - expectation is that they should dominate and then win. Half the issue I think is that some of the Oz teams go in questioning if they can win - when reality is the Kiwi teams are good but they are not supermen and teams packed full of Wallabies should expect to win not hope to win.

2024-02-29T21:41:21+00:00

Bliksem

Roar Rookie


It is a round that will show the increasing gap between the has and the has nots. NZ sides will win all their games with the exception of the Highlanders that will loose badly against the Blues to secure their spot with the other has nots. Drua will be a have in this round. The Rebels will gradually get worse as the season progresses and the off field issues contaminate the on field performance but will still be too good for an injury depleted weak Force side. The only hope the Force had to win this game was to play running rugby but if that was the plan they would have started with Fines and Burley and not White and Donna. It can get ugly for the Force – it will be like watching a plane crash in slow motion as we know exactly what is coming amd how it will happen but can do nothing to prevent it. Rebels fans will get a result to relish in however will be too busy with something else to notice.

2024-02-29T21:33:10+00:00

Footy Franks

Roar Rookie


Bring back rucking, it will bring the crowds back

2024-02-29T20:40:34+00:00

Mirt

Roar Rookie


Overall 6 last week 6 Blues, Rebels, Drua, Crusaders, Chiefs, Hurricanes three trans Tasman games three losses, what more can ya say, but I’ll be happy if I’m wrong especially for the Reds game

2024-02-29T20:27:23+00:00

Riccardo

Roar Rookie


A few of these could go either way, including the Ponies' visit to the Waikato. I'm with Nick in that DMac could be the point of difference if he can get his electric wingers into space. In any case this has the potential to excite. Reds could tip over the Canes but they will have to finish what they create. Sticking withthe boys f Rebels were awful, but so were the Force, and the home side with Thor rampaging should get over the line. Surely, there's some pride on the line too. Highlanders have their stock boosted this week, especially up front, and we are yet to see how slick the Blues can be under new management, but on neutral ground and doing the maths man-on- man, especially out the back Blues appear to have the ascendency. The Crusaders showed glimpses last week and should be comfortably too good for the Tahs. The Drua will be disappointed with last week's showing at home and expect them to be hungry. Accuracy would be better though. Another see-saw but I'll go with the boys from Lautoka, by not much... Hey fellas (EDS) I had sent a request regarding my picks for Last Week's 1st round earlier in the week; I am not on your vaunted ladder?! Pretty sure I got all of them and that they were registered as having been accepted. Am I missing something or just a really poor tipper? Your assistance would be appreciated...

2024-02-29T20:27:11+00:00

Derek Murray

Roar Rookie


Tipping a lot of Oz sides but not my Tahs. Off topic but I think interesting for this audience is the approach GP are taking to marketing the domestic game in England - it’s a game for anyone but it’s not for everyone. So focusing on the violence to grab that 18-24 market who love MMA. https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/73860bb0-e6d4-4bbe-b67a-c0c239ac6b30?shareToken=6fad39be911336ae26c1769c18e55a43

2024-02-29T20:22:35+00:00

Coker

Roar Rookie


"the Blues on paper have the superior squad in nearly every other position." Que? This seems a trifle pessimistic — if anything, in the tight-5, midfield, halfback and goalkicking, exactly the opposite would seem to be true. If the Blues show-pony loosies can be sat on their arses a few times early on, their lips will start to curl and the Highlanders will take this. They're certainly not starting with an inherently inferior squad.

2024-02-29T19:31:06+00:00

Bodger

Roar Rookie


Who are these folk doing the tipping?

2024-02-29T19:23:01+00:00

Dualcode

Roar Rookie


Welp, I tip Blues, Rebels, Drua, Crusaders, Brumbies and Reds on this one. ????

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