The official statisticians of the AFL – Champion Data – have today revealed their list rankings ahead of the 2020 season and, it’s fair to say, there are some controversial calls.
Each club has been ranked from 1st to 18th overall, as well as by defenders, midfielders and forwards. Predictably, reigning premiers Richmond sit atop the pile – although eyebrows have been raised by the seventh-place ranking of their midfield.
Other huge calls include reigning minor premiers Geelong allegedly having the third-worst defence, GWS being fourth despite supposedly being ranked 14th in defence and 12th in attack, North Melbourne having the competition’s second-best midfield and Gold Coast having a better midfield than Fremantle, Sydney, Adelaide and Carlton.
Champion Data earned significant ire ahead of the 2019 season after anointing Melbourne’s list the best in the AFL, only for the Demons to finish second-last.
We’re sure you’ve got plenty of questions too, so we’ve published the whole table here for you to look at. Make sure to have your say in the comments because there’s plenty to unpack here.
Club | Defenders | Midfielders | Forwards | Overall |
---|---|---|---|---|
Adelaide Crows | 8th | 17th | 16th | 15th |
Brisbane Lions | 11th | 1st | 17th | 10th |
Carlton | 17th | 18th | 13th | 17th |
Collingwood | 4th | 3rd | 5th | 3rd |
Essendon | 6th | 11th | 8th | 9th |
Fremantle | 15th | 15th | 14th | 16th |
Geelong Cats | 16th | 5th | 4th | 7th |
Gold Coast Suns | 18th | 14th | 18th | 18th |
GWS Giants | 14th | 12th | 1st | 4th |
Hawthorn | 10th | 8th | 10th | 11th |
Melbourne | 9th | 9th | 15th | 13th |
North Melbourne | 7th | 2nd | 12th | 6th |
Port Adelaide | 3rd | 10th | 9th | 8th |
Richmond | 1st | 7th | 2nd | 1st |
St Kilda | 12th | 13th | 11th | 12th |
Sydney Swans | 5th | 16th | 7th | 14th |
West Coast Eagles | 13th | 4th | 6th | 5th |
Western Bulldogs | 2nd | 6th | 3rd | 2nd |
Macca
Roar Rookie
https://www.foxsports.com.au/afl/afl-2020-champion-data-list-ratings-explained-geelong-defence-ranked-16th-how-champion-data-numbers-work/news-story/6f397a59bdb38943f5bf844b76789421 The explanation is simple - champion data is data rates which team has the best super coach defence and has no basis in actually how the game works. My favourite line is "This doesn’t mean the Cats are wrong, nor does it mean the Champion Data system is wrong. The latter is just focused on measuring something different." and that something different is completely irrelevant to the real world. Its a bit like asking who is richer and 1 system calculates who has the most money and the other calculates who has the most buttons - neither are wrong as long as you are willing to accept that buttons are a legitimate measure of wealth.
The Brazilian
Roar Rookie
'Facts are stubborn things, statistics are more pliable' . . . Mark Twain
Daz
Roar Pro
Without any explanation of the underlying calculations there is no way to know what it actually represents. It's totally meaningless and subject to so much speculation.
Daz
Roar Pro
Exactly, like a tackle only counts as a tackle if it results in a free kick for holding the ball or a stoppage. All those tackles where it's play on, the ball spills free, or the tackled player handballs away in the nick of time to an empty ground are not counted as tackles, even though without the "attempted" tackle taking place, the outcome of the contest would have a marked difference in the game.
Daz
Roar Pro
People use statistics as a drunk uses a lamppost — for support rather than illumination — Andrew Lang / A. E. Housman
Daz
Roar Pro
Same, some of their stats are so specific they're virtually meaningless to all but the coaches.
Doctor Rotcod
Roar Rookie
And we have the best player
Gordon P Smith
Roar Guru
It also points towards the difficulty of defining the team's defenders by opposition scoring and the team's forwards by their own scoring. As others have pointed out, there's much more that goes into those evaluations, even before getting into the idiosyncracies of the age of a list, injuries, a team's structure on off/def, and so forth.
Gordon P Smith
Roar Guru
I'm going to "defend" Champion Data a wee bit. Just for contrast... . . . Their week-to-week stuff has always seemed to be relatively accurate, at least in ranking players on their relative performances in each round. (If anyone can make something useful out of "metres gained", though, I'd love to hear it.) But the fact that all that's released here are these vague over-arching categories of the three regions in relative rankings only, combined in an undescribed manner, tells me they knew they had nothing concrete to share and simply released this for a conversation starter. . . . . I went back and compared last year's "predictive rankings" with reality and your collective memories were spot on - they were no more accurate than XI's randomized forecasts are: Melbourne 1st, Adelaide 2nd; Brisbane 10th, West Coast 11th. So ignore the results this year, too, but don't throw the baby out with the bath water. This use of their data is worth the value of Donald Trump's makeup, but the in-season data they produce does occasionally have its uses.
Naughty's Headband
Roar Rookie
Dominated scoring by beating up on weak teams in the second half of the year.
JamesH
Roar Guru
I'd rather be embarrassed in a grand final (where they didn't have Ward or Coniglio) than in an elimination final...!
Chancho
Roar Rookie
Technically speaking, GWS were embarrassed in a grand final, whereas Essendon weren't... so there's that
Chancho
Roar Rookie
I think that's the point with them isn't it; player vs player stats... I'm guessing the Champion Data stuff's intended audience is the fantasy football people and not for the regular fans of the game who are keen to see how their team compare to the rest of the comp
Don Freo
Roar Rookie
Ryan Buckland is a West Aussie. His dad and uncle were very good cricketers at Thornlie.
Don Freo
Roar Rookie
Outstanding article too. Funny that it is published as soon as I call for his return. I'll try to stay humble.
The Brazilian
Roar Rookie
Are you concerned a third team would be WA's second best side? A distinct possibility.
fabian gulino
Roar Rookie
champion data has got it wrong.
Josh
Expert
We have the league's best key forward, so :thumbup:
Pope Paul VII
Roar Rookie
The other insult is the 12th best forward line. Easily top 4.
Jonboy
Roar Rookie
Only a rather silly Victorian would suggest a third WA team. Absolute rubbish at best.